Deportivo Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 3 May 2025 - bettingexpert

This weekend promises an intriguing clash as Deportivo Alaves hosts Atletico Madrid at the Estadio Mendizorroza. With just 4 rounds left in LaLiga, both teams have their unique motivations. Deportivo Alaves, currently positioned 17th with 34 points, are just hovering above the relegation zone and are desperate for every point.

In contrast, Atletico Madrid sits comfortably in 3rd place with 66 points and is determined to solidify their spot despite a rollercoaster season. Recent head-to-head encounters have often leaned in favour of Atletico Madrid, and with Julian Alvarez leading their attack, they are the bookmaker’s favourites.

Considering Alaves’ struggles with scoring only 0.60 goals on average in their last 5 games, and Atletico’s robust defending and attacking prowess, our match prediction leans towards a comfortable win for Atletico Madrid. The recommended bet is Atletico Madrid -1.50 Asian Handicap, as they are likely to exploit Alaves’ weaker defense conclusively.

Expect cloudy weather with pleasant temperatures around 23°C which should make for a delightful matchday atmosphere.

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tip

For this thrilling LaLiga matchup, our recommended betting tip is Atletico Madrid -1.50 Asian Handicap. Evaluating the stats, Atletico looks primed to secure a comfortable victory.

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Atletico Madrid -1.50 Asian Handicap	2.13

• Atletico Madrid is currently the bookmaker’s favourite, and with good reason.
• Deportivo Alaves have been struggling offensively, averaging just 0.60 goals scored in their last 5 games.
• Atletico Madrid’s robust attack and defense make them a strong contender to win by a considerable margin.

Expect an intense matchday with both teams battling it out for crucial points!

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Odds

The odds for this LaLiga clash reflect Atletico Madrid’s status as the bookmaker’s favourite. With both teams having distinct goals in this match, the odds offer some interesting betting opportunities.

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Deportivo Alaves	3.70
Draw	3.11
Atletico Madrid	2.13

Atletico Madrid’s recent form and superior squad depth give them an edge, making them a strong contender for a comfortable win.
Deportivo Alaves, fighting to avoid relegation, will need to break their goal-scoring struggles to pull off an upset.

Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis

Deportivo Alaves Recent Performance

Deportivo Alaves have had a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, showing some resilience with notable victories against Real Sociedad and Girona. However, their form is inconsistent, with a draw against Sevilla and losses to Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano. They average 0.60 goals per game and have managed 2 clean sheets in their last 5 fixtures. Here’s a closer look at their recent results:

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Deportivo Alaves	Real Sociedad	2025-04-23	LaLiga	1-0 (Win)
Sevilla	Deportivo Alaves	2025-04-20	LaLiga	1-1 (Draw)
Deportivo Alaves	Real Madrid	2025-04-13	LaLiga	0-1 (Loss)
Girona	Deportivo Alaves	2025-04-05	LaLiga	0-1 (Win)
Deportivo Alaves	Rayo Vallecano	2025-03-29	LaLiga	0-2 (Loss)

Recent Form: WDLWL
Despite their struggles to score, with an average of just 0.60 goals per game, Alaves’ defensive solidity has been a key factor in their fight to avoid relegation. They have managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five games, a stat that will be crucial against a strong Atletico Madrid side.

Deportivo Alaves Key Players

Deportivo Alaves’ key player to watch is undoubtedly Kike Garcia, their top scorer with 12 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be critical in their fight against relegation. Another essential player is Antonio Blanco, who, as a defensive midfielder, plays a pivotal role in breaking up opposition attacks. With Joan Jordan doubtful due to physical discomfort, much of the midfield responsibility could shift to Carlos Vicente and Jon Guridi. Nahuel Tenaglia at right-back will need to be strong defensively, especially against Atletico’s dynamic wingers.

Expected lineup for Deportivo Alaves:

• Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
• Defenders: Nahuel Tenaglia, Facundo Garces, Santiago Mouriño, Manu Sanchez
• Midfielders: Ander Guevara, Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi, Carles Alena
• Forward: Kike Garcia

Individual battles to watch include Kike Garcia against Atletico’s centre-backs, Robin Le Normand, and Clement Lenglet.

Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries

Deportivo Alaves will have to deal with some injury concerns as they face Atletico Madrid. Notably, Abdel Abqar is out with a hamstring injury and is expected to return in early May 2025. Additionally, Joan Jordan is doubtful due to physical discomfort. These absences could impact Alaves’ defensive stability and midfield presence.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Abdel Abqar	Hamstring Injury	Early May 2025
Joan Jordan	Physical discomfort	Doubtful

The absence of Abqar could weaken Alaves’ defense significantly, while Jordan’s potential absence means the midfield might lack some creativity and control. Eduardo Coudet will need to make tactical adjustments to cope with these challenges.

Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation

Deportivo Alaves Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Kike Garcia
• Midfield Trio: Carlos Vicente (RW), Jon Guridi (AM), Carles Alena (LW)
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.

Eduardo Coudet’s squad is likely to line up in their familiar 4-2-3-1 formation. Antonio Sivera will start in goal, with a back four of Nahuel Tenaglia, Facundo Garces, Santiago Mouriño, and Manu Sanchez.

In midfield, Ander Guevara and Antonio Blanco will act as the double pivot, providing defensive cover while allowing their wingers to push forward. The creative onus will be on Jon Guridi, flanked by Carlos Vicente and Carles Alena, aiming to support lone striker Kike Garcia.

Coudet may focus on a solid defensive shape and utilize counter-attacking opportunities, given their recent scoring struggles and the absence of key defender Abdel Abqar.

Atletico Madrid Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Atletico Madrid has had a mixed bag of results recently:

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Atletico Madrid	Rayo Vallecano	2025-04-24	LaLiga	3-0 (Win)
Las Palmas	Atletico Madrid	2025-04-19	LaLiga	1-0 (Loss)
Atletico Madrid	Real Valladolid	2025-04-14	LaLiga	4-2 (Win)
Sevilla	Atletico Madrid	2025-04-06	LaLiga	1-2 (Win)
Atletico Madrid	Barcelona	2025-04-02	Copa del Rey	0-1 (Loss)

Recent Form: WLWWL

Atletico has showcased their attacking prowess, averaging 1.80 goals in the last five games. While they’ve bagged three wins, their defensive strategies need tightening, having managed only one clean sheet during this stretch. Keep an eye out for their tendency to score in 88% of their away matches.

Atletico Madrid Key Players

Expected lineup for Atletico Madrid:

• Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
• Defenders: Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Javi Galan
• Midfielders: Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher
• Attackers: Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sørloth

Julian Alvarez, Atletico’s top scorer with 15 goals, will be a key figure in this match, looking to exploit Alaves’ defense.

Rodrigo De Paul, known for his versatility and creativity in midfield, will aim to control the game’s tempo.

A notable individual battle will be Alvarez up against Alaves’ centre-backs, Facundo Garces and Santiago Mouriño—an encounter that could define the match’s outcome.

Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico Madrid heads into this clash without any suspensions, so they’ll have their full roster to choose from. On the injury front, Atletico Madrid appears to be in a favorable position as there are no reported injuries affecting the squad at the time of writing.

This clean bill of health allows Diego Simeone to field his preferred starting XI and make tactical adjustments as needed throughout the game. The absence of injuries and suspensions is crucial for Atletico, particularly in a match where securing three points is vital for maintaining their league position and Champions League aspirations.

Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation

Atletico Madrid’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Alexander Sørloth and Julian Alvarez
• Midfield Dynamics: Giuliano Simeone and Conor Gallagher out wide, with Rodrigo De Paul and Pablo Barrios controlling the center
• Defensive Strength: Jan Oblak marshals a solid backline including Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, and Javi Galan
• Notable Strategy: Strong away performance with 88% scoring rate, but need to stay vigilant in the last 15 minutes where they concede most goals

Expect Atletico to leverage their attacking prowess and solid midfield to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities. Their fluid 4-4-2 formation allows for dynamic transitions and effective pressing.

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Atletico Madrid	Deportivo Alaves	2024-11-23	LaLiga	2-1 (Win)
Deportivo Alaves	Atletico Madrid	2024-04-21	LaLiga	2-0 (Win)
Atletico Madrid	Deportivo Alaves	2023-10-29	LaLiga	2-1 (Win)
Atletico Madrid	Deportivo Alaves	2022-04-02	LaLiga	4-1 (Win)
Deportivo Alaves	Atletico Madrid	2021-09-25	LaLiga	1-0 (Win)

These recent encounters have showcased a tightly contested rivalry, with both teams displaying moments of dominance. Atletico Madrid has managed to claim three victories, while Deportivo Alaves has secured two wins in the last five meetings. Each match has its own narrative, enriching the competitive spirit between the two clubs.

Odds accurate as of 01/05/2025 13:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.