Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 21 September 2025

As LaLiga action continues on 21 September 2025, Mallorca will host Atletico Madrid at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Set in round 5 of the season, the match sees Mallorca languishing at 19th in the standings with just 1 point from their opening four games. By contrast, Atletico Madrid is positioned 11th with 5 points.

Mallorca’s last five games reflect a mixed bag of performances (WDLWL). They have struggled with conceding goals, especially between the 31st and 45th minute mark. Vedat Muriqi, their top scorer with 3 goals, will seek to break down Atletico’s disciplined defense.

Atletico, under the tactical brilliance of Diego Simeone, are coming off a narrow Champions League defeat at the hands of Liverpool but recently secured their first LaLiga win of the season against Villarreal. Their key players include Antoine Griezmann and Alexander Sørloth. With several players sidelined due to injury, Atletico could still start strong, as evidenced by scoring first in all their matches so far.

Bookmakers favour Atletico Madrid with odds at 1.76 for an away win. A plausible bet would be Atletico Madrid to lead by one at halftime in the European Handicap, considering their robust start in games.

This encounter holds significance as every point is crucial. Both teams have much to prove as the season progresses.

Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting tip

Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

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Betting tip Odds
Atletico Madrid (-1) in 1st half (EH) 1.76

Atletico Madrid frequently starts matches with strong defensive organization and efficient attacking transitions.

3 Reasons Why This Betting Tip Is Solid:

• Atletico Madrid have scored first in every game this season, highlighting their fast starts.
• Mallorca tends to concede goals, especially in the final 15 minutes of the first half, which could benefit Atletico’s scoring chances.
• With a more disciplined squad under Diego Simeone, Atletico’s tactical setup can overpower Mallorca’s relatively weak defense.

Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Odds

This matchup between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid sees a clear favorite in the visiting team, Atletico Madrid. Bookmakers have given them strong odds to clinch a win, reflecting their better form and standing in LaLiga so far this season.

Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Betting Odds

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Bet Odds
Mallorca Win 4.93
Draw 3.51
Atletico Madrid Win 1.76

Atletico Madrid’s reliability to start matches strongly and score first has influenced their favorable odds. With players like Antoine Griezmann and Alexander Sørloth in attack, they’re expected to dominate possession and create early chances. Mallorca, struggling at the bottom of the table, faces a tough challenge against the strategically disciplined side led by Diego Simeone.

Mallorca Team Analysis

Mallorca Recent Performance

Mallorca’s recent form has been less than ideal, tallying only one point from their last five LaLiga matches, giving them a record of WDLWL. Their most recent outing ended in a 3-2 defeat against Espanyol on 15 September 2025. This early-season struggle leaves them languishing in 19th position in the standings, with defensive issues being a significant concern.

The team has only managed to keep one clean sheet in their last five matches. They average 1.20 goals per game, with Vedat Muriqi leading the scoring charts with three goals. Defensive instability, especially between the 31-45 minute mark, has seen them conceding goals at critical times, significantly impacting their ability to secure points. In coming matches, they need to focus on tightening their defense while capitalizing on Muriqi’s scoring form to climb up the standings.

Mallorca Key Players

Mallorca face a crucial match against Atletico Madrid, and their key players need to rise to the occasion. Leading the charge is Vedat Muriqi, who has already netted three goals this season, making him their standout scorer. His physical presence and finishing ability are pivotal for Mallorca’s attacking prospects.

In midfield, Sergi Darder will be essential for controlling the game and providing creativity. His vision and passing could break through Atletico’s solid defense. At the back, captain Antonio Raillo needs to marshal the defense to prevent early goals that have plagued Mallorca, particularly in the 31-45 minute interval.

Expected lineup for Mallorca:

• Goalkeeper: Leo Roman
• Defenders: Pablo Maffeo, Martin Valjent, Antonio Raillo, Johan Mojica
• Midfielders: Sergi Darder, Samú Costa, Manu Morlanes, Pablo Torre
• Forwards: Mateo Joseph, Vedat Muriqi

With these key players, Mallorca aims to find some stability and start climbing the league table.

Mallorca Suspensions & Injuries

Mallorca approach this fixture with a relatively clean bill of health. Their only notable absentee is Javi Llabres, who is nursing a hamstring injury and is doubtful for this match. While Llabres’ absence might slightly diminish their midfield depth, the main starting lineup remains largely unaffected.

Having most of their squad available could offer Mallorca the stability they need to mount a more robust challenge against Atletico Madrid, especially as they look to turn around their recent poor form in LaLiga. With no suspensions affecting the squad, coach Jagoba Arrasate can field his strongest eleven and will likely focus on tightening up their defense and making better use of their offensive opportunities.

Mallorca Tactics and Formation

Mallorca are expected to continue with a defensive setup for this match, likely lining up in a 4-4-2 formation. This approach aims to add solidity at the back while providing structure for counter-attacks.

Mallorca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Vedat Muriqi – the team’s top scorer with three goals this season.
• Midfield Shape: The midfield quartet, comprising Sergi Darder, Samú Costa, Manu Morlanes, and Pablo Torre, will aim to balance defensive duties with quick transitions.
• Defensive Woes: Only one clean sheet in the last five games indicates defensive instability.
• Notable Strategy: Defensive resilience, aiming to absorb pressure and exploit counter-attacking opportunities, especially through the wings and Muriqi’s aerial prowess.

Coach Jagoba Arrasate will need his team to be disciplined in defense and find ways to capitalize on limited chances to find a breakthrough against a disciplined Atletico Madrid side.

Atletico Madrid Team Analysis

Atletico Madrid Recent Performance

Atletico Madrid’s recent form in all competitions has been a mixed bag, illustrated by a record of LDDWL. Their most recent match was a 3-2 defeat against Liverpool in the Champions League on 17 September 2025, a game that highlighted both their attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities. In LaLiga, they secured their first victory of the season with a solid 2-0 win over Villarreal.

Despite their rocky start, Atletico’s ability to score is consistent, averaging 1.40 goals per game. Defensively, they’ve managed just one clean sheet in their last five matches, an area that coach Diego Simeone will undoubtedly look to improve. With several key players injured, consistency and depth might be challenging as they prepare to face a struggling Mallorca side. However, their disciplined tactical approach and quality in attack could be decisive.

Atletico Madrid Key Players

Atletico Madrid’s arsenal of key players will be crucial in their matchup against Mallorca. Leading the line is Antoine Griezmann, whose experience and skill have been pivotal for Atletico. Despite a slow start to the season, his vision and creativity remain essential for breaking down defenses. In support, Alexander Sørloth, their top scorer with one goal, adds physicality and aerial threat, especially during set-pieces.

Midfield stalwart Koke is expected to control the tempo, while Giuliano Simeone and Nico Gonzalez will look to exploit spaces on the flanks. Defensively, Jan Oblak’s goalkeeping skills, combined with the efforts of defenders like Robin Le Normand and Clement Lenglet, will be key to maintaining their solid backline.

Expected lineup for Atletico Madrid:

• Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
• Defenders: Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko
• Midfielders: Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Nico Gonzalez
• Forwards: Antoine Griezmann, Alexander Sørloth

With this lineup, Atletico aim to dominate both possession and scoring opportunities.

Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico Madrid head into this match dealing with several significant injuries that could impact their performance. Key players sidelined include José Giménez, Alejandro Baena, Thiago Almada, Julian Alvarez, and Johnny. All are expected to return in early October 2025, which leaves Diego Simeone with some tactical adjustments to make.

The absence of Giménez and Johnny weakens their defensive options, while injuries to Baena, Almada, and Alvarez take away creativity and attacking depth. Managing these absences will be crucial for maintaining their form and continuing their decent start to the LaLiga season. Despite these setbacks, Atletico still have enough depth in their squad to put up a strong fight against Mallorca.

Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation

Atletico Madrid are expected to adopt a 4-4-2 formation under the tactical expertise of Diego Simeone. This setup is traditional for Atletico, emphasizing both defensive solidity and quick counter-attacks.

Atletico Madrid Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Antoine Griezmann – experienced playmaker and forward, critical for linking up play.
• Midfield Shape: A balanced midfield with Koke and Pablo Barrios centrally, supported by Giuliano Simeone and Nico Gonzalez on the wings.
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games, with Jan Oblak in goal supporting a robust defensive line.
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and early goals, as evidenced by their scoring in 100% of their games this season.

With a well-organized defense and potent attacking line led by Griezmann and Sørloth, Atletico aim to strike early, control the tempo, and exploit any defensive lapses from Mallorca. A fast start will be crucial for their game plan.

Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Statistics

The recent head-to-head record between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid heavily favors the latter. In their last five LaLiga clashes, Atletico Madrid have emerged victorious each time, showcasing their dominance over Mallorca.

• 2025-02-01: Atletico Madrid 2 – 0 Mallorca
• 2024-11-10: Mallorca 0 – 1 Atletico Madrid
• 2024-05-04: Mallorca 0 – 1 Atletico Madrid
• 2023-11-25: Atletico Madrid 1 – 0 Mallorca
• 2023-04-26: Atletico Madrid 3 – 1 Mallorca

These encounters highlight Atletico’s strong defensive discipline, consistently keeping Mallorca to a zero or low-scoring margin. On the offensive front, Atletico’s ability to secure early goals has been a recurring theme, making it challenging for Mallorca to stage comebacks. Given this track record, Mallorca face an uphill battle to reverse their losing streak, especially with Atletico’s current form and tactical prowess under Diego Simeone.

Odds accurate as of 19.09.2025 15:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.