Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction, Match Preview, Wednesday, 19 November

Atlético Mineiro are set to face Palmeiras in a highly anticipated Serie A clash on Wednesday, 19 November. Both teams are competing for crucial points in the league, making this a significant encounter. Atlético Mineiro, renowned for their strong home performances, will be looking to make the most of their advantage against a formidable Palmeiras side. Although the venue details are not specified, the intensity of this fixture is expected to attract considerable attention from fans and analysts alike.

Palmeiras, currently one of the top contenders in Serie A, will aim to maintain their momentum against Atlético Mineiro. Both teams have displayed impressive form throughout the season, and this match could have implications for the top positions in the league standings. With both sides eager to secure a win, this fixture promises an engaging battle on the pitch. As the match unfolds, fans will be keen to see which team can assert their dominance and claim the vital three points.

Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tip

Given Palmeiras’ strong head-to-head record and current form, our recommended betting tip is Palmeiras in the Draw No Bet market. This option provides a safety net given the potential unpredictability due to weather conditions, ensuring a return if the match ends in a draw.

• Palmeiras have demonstrated superior form in away matches and a higher points-per-game record compared to Atlético Mineiro.
• The significant injuries to Atlético Mineiro’s key players reduce their attacking threat and depth.
• Palmeiras’ strong head-to-head record provides confidence in their ability to secure a result.

Palmeiras have a distinct tactical advantage with three wins and one draw in their last five meetings against Atlético Mineiro. Despite missing key players, their squad depth has been impressive throughout the season. Atlético Mineiro are struggling with several key injuries, which significantly limits their attacking options.

Betting Odds

In this Serie A clash, Atlético Mineiro are set to face Palmeiras, and the betting odds suggest a closely contested match. While the odds are not specified, the history between these two Brazilian giants often points to a tight affair.

For those looking to place a bet, consider the recent form of both teams. Atlético Mineiro have been strong at home, but Palmeiras have shown resilience on the road. This could be an ideal opportunity to explore the over 2.5 goals market, especially given both teams’ attacking prowess.

Atlético Mineiro Analysis & Past Performance

Atlético Mineiro’s recent form has been inconsistent, with their last five matches yielding two wins, two draws, and one loss. The team displayed attacking prowess in their 4-2 victory over Sport Recife, yet struggled in their recent away defeat to Red Bull Bragantino, losing 2-0. This inconsistency highlights a potential vulnerability away from home, despite an overall solid home record.

Recent Form:
In terms of team statistics, Atlético Mineiro have scored an average of 2.00 goals per game while conceding 1.40 goals over their last five fixtures. Their defence has kept two clean sheets during this period, indicating a reasonable level of defensive solidity. However, their inability to consistently prevent opponents from scoring remains a concern, as seen in matches like the 3-3 draw against Fortaleza.

Currently sitting in 10th position with 44 points, Atlético Mineiro’s home form has been more reliable, with a 60% win ratio at home this season. This contrasts with a more modest overall win ratio of 40%. Key player Hulk, the team’s top scorer with 7 goals, remains integral to their attacking strategy, offering a significant threat in the final third.

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Atlético Mineiro Suspensions & Injuries

Atlético Mineiro face significant challenges with key players sidelined due to injuries. The absence of Caio Maia, who is suffering from a cruciate ligament injury and expected to return in late November, alongside Tomás Cuello, Júnior Santos, and Lyanco, all ruled out for the season, presents a considerable blow to their squad depth and tactical flexibility. The loss of Júnior Santos and Lyanco, in particular, impacts the team’s defensive solidity and attacking options.

Coach Jorge Sampaoli will need to explore alternative options to fill these gaps. Likely candidates to step in could include young talents from the reserve squad or tactical adjustments to the formation to compensate for these absences. This might involve a more conservative approach, focusing on maintaining possession and defensive stability.

Such unavailability may influence Atlético Mineiro’s betting odds, potentially swaying punters to consider Palmeiras as the more robust side. However, Atlético Mineiro’s resilience and adaptability under Sampaoli should not be underestimated, as they have shown the ability to perform under pressure despite key players being sidelined.

Atlético Mineiro Key Players

Atlético Mineiro will rely heavily on their talismanic forward Hulk, who is the team’s top scorer with 7 goals this season. Known for his robust physical presence and powerful shots, Hulk is expected to lead the attack and exploit any defensive weaknesses of Palmeiras. His ability to hold up play and bring others into the game makes him a pivotal figure in Atlético Mineiro’s offensive strategy.

In midfield, Igor Gomes and Fausto Vera will be crucial in dictating the tempo of the game. Gomes, with his vision and passing range, can unlock defences, while Vera provides the necessary defensive cover and ball-winning capabilities to balance the midfield dynamics. Their partnership will be vital in maintaining control and creating opportunities for the forwards.

Defensively, the presence of Vitor Hugo and Ruan in the backline offers solidity and aerial prowess. Their ability to read the game and make crucial interceptions will be essential in neutralising Palmeiras’ attacking threats. With Renzo Saravia and Guilherme Arana providing width and support from the full-back positions, Atlético Mineiro are well-equipped to handle both defensive duties and contribute to attacking phases.

Expected lineup for Atlético Mineiro:

• Goalkeeper: Everson
• Defence: Renzo Saravia, Vitor Hugo, Ruan
• Midfield: Rony, Igor Gomes, Fausto Vera, Guilherme Arana, Bernard, Dudu
• Forward: Hulk

Atlético Mineiro Tactics and Formation

Atlético Mineiro Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Hulk
• Midfield Pivot: Igor Gomes and Fausto Vera
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and quick transitions in the final third.

Atlético Mineiro, under the guidance of Jorge Sampaoli, typically deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, allowing them to maintain a balance between attack and defence. The midfield pivot of Igor Gomes and Fausto Vera provides both defensive cover and creative outlets, supporting the attacking trio of Rony, Bernard, and Dudu.

Defensively, the team relies on the experience of players like Renzo Saravia and Guilherme Arana to provide width and support, while Vitor Hugo and Ruan form the central defensive partnership. This formation has facilitated two clean sheets in their last five matches, demonstrating defensive resilience.

Offensively, Atlético Mineiro focus on high pressing and exploiting quick transitions, particularly effective through the central channels where Hulk’s physicality and goal-scoring prowess come into play. Despite a recent 0-2 loss to Red Bull Bragantino, their attacking strategy remains potent, especially at home.

Palmeiras Analysis & Past Performance

Palmeiras have experienced a mixed run of results in their recent fixtures, securing two wins and three losses in their last five games. Notably, they managed impressive victories against Santos FC (2-0) and Juventude (2-0), showcasing their ability to keep clean sheets.

Recent Form:

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In their recent outings, Palmeiras have averaged 1.80 goals scored per game while conceding 0.60, underlining their balanced approach between attack and defence. However, away from home, their performance has dipped, with only one win out of the last five away matches, resulting in a 20% away win ratio. Defensively, they have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, indicating a strong backline when on form. Despite recent losses to Santos FC (0-1) and Mirassol (1-2), they remain a formidable side, positioned 2nd in the league with 68 points.

Palmeiras Suspensions & Injuries

Palmeiras face a challenging situation with several key players unavailable due to injuries. The absence of Figueiredo, Paulinho, and Lucas Evangelista, all ruled out for the season, significantly impacts the team’s depth, particularly in midfield. This trio’s unavailability may force coach Abel Ferreira to rely more on players like Raphael Veiga and Felipe Anderson to fill the creative void in the middle of the park.

In goal, the absence of Weverton due to a broken hand, expected to sideline him for 1-2 weeks, could see Carlos Miguel continue in his stead. While Miguel has shown competence, Weverton’s leadership and experience are hard to replace, potentially affecting Palmeiras’ defensive confidence.

Tactically, Palmeiras might need to adapt their strategy, possibly opting for a more conservative approach to compensate for the missing attacking options and to shield their less experienced goalkeeper. These injuries could also influence betting markets, potentially altering the odds as Palmeiras’ usual strength is compromised.

With no suspensions to further complicate matters, Palmeiras’ focus will be on effectively managing the available squad to navigate through this injury crisis and maintain their competitive edge in Serie A.

Palmeiras Key Players

Palmeiras will rely heavily on their top scorer Vitor Roque, who has already netted 16 goals this season. Roque’s ability to find space and his clinical finishing make him a constant threat to any defence. His partnership with Bruno Rodrigues in the forward line is expected to be pivotal, as Rodrigues brings pace and creativity, providing Roque with the service he needs to excel.

In midfield, Raphael Veiga stands out as a key playmaker. His vision and ability to dictate the tempo of the game are crucial for Palmeiras’ tactical setup, often linking play between defence and attack. Alongside him, Aníbal Moreno’s defensive awareness and passing range help in maintaining possession and breaking opposition lines.

Defensively, Murilo Cerqueira and Micael are expected to form a solid partnership at the back. Their physicality and aerial prowess are vital in neutralising attacking threats, providing a strong foundation for the team. The tactical impact of these players will be significant as Palmeiras aim to control the match both defensively and offensively.

Palmeiras Tactics and Formation

Palmeiras Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Bruno Rodrigues
• Midfield Pivot: Aníbal Moreno and Raphael Veiga
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five outings
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wide play and swift counterattacks.

Palmeiras often deploy a 3-4-3 formation, which allows them to maximise width and create overloads on the flanks. The midfield pivot of Aníbal Moreno and Raphael Veiga is crucial, providing defensive cover while also supporting transitions into attack. This formation helps them maintain a balance between defensive solidity and attacking prowess.

Defensively, Palmeiras benefit from the three-man backline of Murilo Cerqueira, Micael, and Bruno Fuchs. This setup has been pivotal in achieving three clean sheets in recent matches, underlining their defensive resilience. Goalkeeper Carlos Miguel’s performances have been instrumental in maintaining these clean sheets.

Offensively, Palmeiras leverage the speed and skill of their wide players, with Felipe Anderson and Mauricio key in stretching the opposition. Their ability to execute swift counterattacks is a significant tactical advantage, allowing them to exploit spaces left by opponents, particularly effective against teams that press high.

Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Palmeiras, Palmeiras have the upper hand with 18 wins compared to Atlético Mineiro’s 15, alongside 18 draws. Their last encounter saw Palmeiras edge a 3-2 victory in a thrilling Serie A match.

When it comes to Serie A, Palmeiras have been dominant recently, securing wins in their last two league meetings. Atlético Mineiro will be keen to turn the tide, especially after their 2-0 away win in 2023.