Velez Sarsfield vs. Atletico Tucuman Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 30 September 2025

Get ready for an intriguing Liga Profesional clash on the 30th of September 2025, as third-placed Velez Sarsfield take on 15th-placed Atletico Tucuman. With Velez Sarsfield in solid form and positioned as bookmaker favourites, this match is crucial for maintaining their top-tier standing.

Velez Sarsfield, under the guidance of Guillermo Barros Schelotto, boast an impressive defensive record, having secured two clean sheets in their last five games. Braian Romero, their top scorer, is expected to lead the attack. In contrast, Atletico Tucuman, managed by Lucas Pusineri, have struggled for consistency, despite occasional flashes of brilliance from their top scorer, Leandro Diaz.

With odds favouring a home win, expect Velez to capitalize on Atletico’s away form and their own recent victories, such as the 2-0 win over Central Cordoba. Look out for tight defence, strategic play, and perhaps a low-scoring affair, consistent with their recent head-to-head encounters.

Recommended bet: Home win for Velez Sarsfield.

Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction & Betting Tip

Best Bet Recommendation: Home Win for Velez Sarsfield

Reasoning:

1. Solid Current Form: Velez Sarsfield are in top form, currently sitting 3rd in the standings with 18 points. They’ve secured 4 wins in their last 5 matches, showcasing a strong defensive record.
2. Head-to-Head Advantage: Velez Sarsfield has had the upper hand in recent encounters, with a win and a draw in the last two meetings with Atletico Tucuman.
3. Bookmaker Favourite: The odds at 1.91 indicate a high likelihood of a home win, consistent with Velez’s solid performances and strong home record.

Overall, Velez’s consistency and strong defence make them the favourites to take all three points in this match.

Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Tucuman Odds

When evaluating the betting odds for the upcoming game, Velez Sarsfield are the bookmaker favourites with odds of 1.91 for a home win. This reflects their strong form and higher league standing. Currently sitting 3rd with 18 points, they are in better shape compared to Atletico Tucuman, who are 15th with 12 points.

The odds for a draw stand at 3.05, whereas Atletico Tucuman face longer odds of 4.51 for a win, highlighting their struggle for consistency. Considering Velez Sarsfield’s advantage in head-to-head encounters and consistent performance at home, the odds suggest backing them for a victory.

Velez Sarsfield Team Analysis

Velez Sarsfield Recent Performance

Velez Sarsfield have shown a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, recording two wins, two losses, and one draw:

• Racing Club 1 – 0 Velez Sarsfield
• San Martin San Juan 1 – 2 Velez Sarsfield
• Velez Sarsfield 0 – 1 Racing Club
• Huracan 0 – 0 Velez Sarsfield
• Velez Sarsfield 2 – 0 Central Cordoba

Despite the up-and-down nature of their recent form, Velez Sarsfield are still among the top teams, sitting 3rd in the Liga Profesional standings. They have managed to score 0.80 goals on average in their last five matches while maintaining two clean sheets in the same period. This showcases their solid defensive setup, making them tough to break down.

Overall, their recent performances indicate a resilient team capable of grinding out results, which aligns well with their bookmakers’ favourite status for their upcoming match.

Velez Sarsfield Key Players

Velez Sarsfield’s lineup boasts several key players who are expected to make a significant impact in their match against Atletico Tucuman. Braian Romero, their top scorer with 2 goals this season, will be crucial up front. Additionally, midfielder Manuel Lanzini is likely to orchestrate the play with his creative passing and vision.

Defensively, Lisandro Magallan and Emanuel Mammana are expected to provide a solid backline, while Alvaro Montero will be guarding the net with the aim of adding to their clean sheet tally.

Expected lineup for Velez Sarsfield:

• Goalkeeper: Alvaro Montero
• Defenders: Jano Gordon, Lisandro Magallan, Emanuel Mammana, Elias Gomez
• Midfielders: Claudio Baeza, Agustin Bouzat, Francisco Pizzini, Manuel Lanzini, Matias Pellegrini
• Forward: Braian Romero

Key individual battles to watch out for include Romero against Atletico Tucuman’s center-backs Clever Ferreira and Marcelo Ortiz.

Velez Sarsfield Suspensions & Injuries

Velez Sarsfield are dealing with a few notable absentees heading into their clash with Atletico Tucuman. Thiago Fernandez is out with a cruciate ligament injury, though he might return in early October 2025. Similarly, Joaquín García is sidelined with an ankle injury and is also potentially back in early October. Tomas Cavanagh is nursing a muscle injury and could return in about 1-2 weeks.

Additionally, key players like Aaron Quiros, Tobias Andrada, Maher Carrizo, and Imanol Machuca are suspended. Quiros received a red card and will miss one match, while Andrada and Carrizo are away on national duty, with three matches left in their suspension. Machuca faces a seven-match suspension.

These absences could hamper Velez’s defensive and midfield stability, making it crucial for the rest of the squad to step up.

Velez Sarsfield Tactics and Formation

Velez Sarsfield Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Braian Romero
• Midfield Creativity: Manuel Lanzini pulling the strings in the attacking midfield role.
• Defensive Resilience: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on maintaining a solid defensive shape and exploiting quick transitions through the wings.

Velez Sarsfield are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, providing a balanced approach with a solid defensive structure while allowing Manuel Lanzini to create chances for Braian Romero up front. The team’s ability to keep clean sheets (two in the last five games) highlights their defensive stability, crucial for their strategy to counter Atletico Tucuman’s attacks effectively and to hit back on the break.

Atletico Tucuman Team Analysis

Atletico Tucuman Recent Performance

Atletico Tucuman has shown mixed form in their last five matches, featuring two wins, two losses, and a draw:

• Atletico Tucuman 2 – 0 River Plate
• Newell’s Old Boys 2 – 0 Atletico Tucuman
• Gimnasia LP 1 – 0 Atletico Tucuman
• Atletico Tucuman 3 – 0 Talleres
• Sarmiento 2 – 2 Atletico Tucuman

Despite their inconsistent results, Atletico Tucuman has managed to score an average of 1.40 goals in their last five matches. They have also kept two clean sheets during this period, showcasing flashes of solid defense. Currently positioned 15th in the league with 12 points, they are aiming to bounce back and climb the standings.

This stretch of performances highlights a side capable of pulling off surprising results, making them a potential wild card in their upcoming match against Velez Sarsfield.

Atletico Tucuman Key Players

Atletico Tucuman’s lineup features some standout players who will be key in their upcoming match against Velez Sarsfield. Leandro Diaz, the team’s top scorer with 3 goals, will be crucial in leading the attack and finding the back of the net.

Midfielders Kevin Ortiz and Adrian Sanchez will aim to control the tempo and supply opportunities to the strikers, while defenders Clever Ferreira and Marcelo Ortiz will be responsible for holding the line against Velez’s aggressive forwards.

Expected lineup for Atletico Tucuman:

• Goalkeeper: Matias Mansilla
• Defenders: Damian Martinez, Marcelo Ortiz, Clever Ferreira, Miguel Brizuela
• Midfielders: Nicolas Lamendola, Kevin Ortiz, Adrian Sanchez, Lautaro Godoy
• Forwards: Leandro Diaz, Mateo Bajamich

A key battle to watch will be Leandro Diaz going up against the Velez centre-backs Lisandro Magallan and Emanuel Mammana, in what should be a compelling contest.

Atletico Tucuman Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico Tucuman will be missing a few players due to injuries, which could impact their performance against Velez Sarsfield. Renzo Tesuri is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and is expected to return in early October 2025. Moises Brandan, out with a calf injury, is also aiming for a comeback around the same time. However, the team will significantly miss Juan Infante, who is dealing with a cruciate ligament injury and won’t be back until early December 2025.

These injuries might affect Atletico Tucuman’s defensive and midfield stability, requiring other squad members to step up and fill the gaps. Fortunately, there are no suspensions, allowing coach Lucas Pusineri some flexibility in selecting his starting XI.

Atletico Tucuman Tactics and Formation

Atletico Tucuman Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Leandro Diaz
• Midfield Control: Kevin Ortiz and Adrian Sanchez providing stability and creativity.
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five matches.
• Notable Strategy: Focus on solidifying the midfield and defence while exploiting quick counter-attacks through their forwards.

Atletico Tucuman are expected to adopt a 4-4-2 formation, which provides a balanced approach suited to both defense and attack. With Leandro Diaz leading the front line, supported by Mateo Bajamich, the emphasis will be on quick transitions and exploiting any defensive lapses by Velez Sarsfield. The midfield duo of Kevin Ortiz and Adrian Sanchez will be crucial in controlling the tempo and distribution, while the defence, led by Marcelo Ortiz, will aim to maintain their recent defensive solidity.

Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Tucuman Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between Velez Sarsfield and Atletico Tucuman reveals a series of closely contested matches over the past few seasons. Here are the results from their last five encounters:

• Atletico Tucuman 1 – 2 Velez Sarsfield (18 March 2025, Liga Profesional Apertura)
• Velez Sarsfield 1 – 1 Atletico Tucuman (1 June 2024, Liga Profesional)
• Atletico Tucuman 0 – 0 Velez Sarsfield (2 March 2024, Copa de la Liga Profesional)
• Velez Sarsfield 3 – 1 Atletico Tucuman (9 October 2023, Copa de la Liga Profesional)
• Atletico Tucuman 1 – 1 Velez Sarsfield (21 February 2023, Liga Profesional)

Velez Sarsfield seem to have a slight edge with two wins, including a recent 2-1 away victory in March 2025, while Atletico Tucuman has managed to hold Velez to three draws.

An interesting observation is that less than 2.5 goals have been scored in 80% of these encounters, indicating generally tight and low-scoring games. This historical trend may influence the strategic approaches of both teams in their upcoming clash.

Odds accurate as of 28/09/2025 00:03, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.