Independiente vs. Lanus Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 13 October 2025

Tonight’s clash between Independiente and Lanus in the Liga Profesional has significant implications despite the disparity in their standings. Independiente, languishing at the 29th position with just 6 points, are desperate for a win, especially after going winless in their last 11 matches. Their top scorer Felipe Loyola and key defender Franco Paredes are both out, compounding their struggles. On the other hand, Lanus sits comfortably in 3rd place, amassing 20 points so far. While they’ve had a solid form (WWDDW), they are not overwhelming away from home, which evens the playing field a bit. Key players for Lanus like Rodrigo Castillo, who has netted 4 goals, will be ones to watch. Given Independiente’s propensity for draws and Lanus’ steady but unspectacular away performances, the recommended bet leans towards a draw. Lanus have scored most of their goals in the 31-45 minute interval, while Independiente often concedes in the later stages, which could very well influence the game’s rhythm. With both teams missing several key players due to injuries, the stage is set for a gritty and closely-fought encounter.

Independiente vs Lanus Prediction & Betting tip

Our recommended betting tip for the upcoming Independiente vs Lanus clash is a draw.

Independiente vs Lanus Prediction
Betting tip
Draw

This prediction stems from several key factors:

• Independiente’s Struggles: The home team has not won in 11 consecutive matches and often ends games in a draw (D1, L4 in their last five encounters).
• Lanus’ Away Form: Although Lanus is in good form overall, they tend to be less dominant in away games, which evens out the probabilities.
• Independiente’s Defensive Consistency: Despite their position, Independiente has managed to keep 2 clean sheets in their last five games, indicating a solid defensive line that can hold off Lanus’ attacks.

Given these points, a draw seems to be a sensible betting choice.

Independiente vs Lanus Odds

For those looking at placing a bet on the upcoming Liga Profesional match between Independiente and Lanus, here are the latest odds.

Independiente vs Lanus Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Independiente to win	2.09
Draw	2.95
Lanus to win	3.87

Even though Independiente are the bookmaker favorites for this match with odds of 2.09, their recent form and lower league position would suggest caution. A draw, with odds of 2.95, looks quite tempting given Independiente’s record of numerous draws and Lanus’ tendency to play it safe in away games. Lanus, despite their strong standing at 3rd, has a less convincing away game record, reflected in their odds of 3.87 for a win. Considering the odds and both teams’ form, aiming for a draw might be a more secure bet.

Independiente Team Analysis

Independiente Recent Performance

Independiente’s recent form has been quite a struggle, with their last five matches resulting in three draws and two losses (DLDDD). Despite managing to keep 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games, they’ve had real trouble finding the back of the net, scoring only 0.4 goals per game on average. Their defensive ability is somewhat of a paradox, as they often succumb to late goals, conceding most in the 76-90 minute interval. This trend has left them in 29th place in the Liga Profesional with just 6 points. Their last five results:

• Godoy Cruz 1 – 1 Independiente (05-10-2025)
• Racing Club 0 – 0 Independiente (28-09-2025)
• Independiente 1 – 1 San Lorenzo (21-09-2025)
• Independiente 0 – 1 Banfield (13-09-2025)
• Instituto 0 – 0 Independiente (30-08-2025)

Clearly, they need a turnaround, especially without two key players, Felipe Loyola and Franco Paredes.

Independiente Key Players

Without key players Felipe Loyola and Franco Paredes for this match, Independiente will have to rely on the rest of their squad to step up. Top scorer Felipe Loyola, with 2 goals this season, will be notably missed. In his absence, the onus will likely fall on Ignacio Pussetto, backed by Santiago Montiel and Matias Abaldo in attack. Pussetto, who has shown glimpses of brilliance, will need to be in top form to give Independiente a fighting chance against Lanus’ solid defense led by Carlos Izquierdoz. Expected lineup for Independiente:

• Goalkeeper: Rodrigo Rey
• Defenders: Federico Vera, Kevin Lomonaco, Sebastian Valdez, Facundo Zabala
• Midfielders: Pablo Galdames, Rodrigo Fernández, Luciano Cabral
• Forwards: Santiago Montiel, Ignacio Pussetto, Matias Abaldo

Despite their league position, this lineup has the potential to spring a surprise if they can connect well on the pitch.

Independiente Suspensions & Injuries

Independiente faces a significant challenge due to suspensions and injuries leading into their match against Lanus. Felipe Loyola, the team’s top scorer, and defender Franco Paredes are both sidelined. Loyola is out due to national team commitments, while Paredes is serving a one-match suspension for accumulating yellow cards. Their absence will be keenly felt, especially given Independiente’s struggle to score and maintain clean sheets. Additionally, center-back Nicolas Freire remains unavailable due to a hamstring injury and is expected to return in late October. This defensive setback, combined with Paredes’ suspension, could expose their backline against Lanus. These absences will undoubtedly put pressure on coach Gustavo Quinteros to select a competitive lineup and strategy to overcome these hurdles.

Independiente Tactics and Formation

Independiente will likely adopt a 4-3-3 formation for their match against Lanus, a setup they have used intermittently over their past few games.

Independiente Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Ignacio Pussetto
• Midfield Trio: Pablo Galdames, Rodrigo Fernández, Luciano Cabral
• Defensive Strength: Despite their recent struggles, Independiente has maintained two clean sheets in their last five games.

The absence of Felipe Loyola will force coach Gustavo Quinteros to adjust his attacking strategy. The focus might shift more to Pussetto, who will need to act as the primary striking force, while Montiel and Abaldo provide width and support from the flanks. Defensively, the team will lean heavily on goalkeeper Rodrigo Rey and centre-backs Kevin Lomonaco and Sebastian Valdez to marshal the backline, particularly now that Nicolas Freire is out with a hamstring injury. The midfielders will need to be robust, with Galdames and Fernández tasked with breaking up Lanus’ attacks and launching counter-moves. Given Independiente’s track record of draws, Quinteros might prioritize a solid defensive structure first and aim to catch Lanus on the break.

Lanus Team Analysis

Lanus Recent Performance

Lanus has been in a fine run of form lately, with their last five matches across all competitions resulting in three wins and two draws (WWDDW). They have demonstrated a solid defensive base, keeping 2 clean sheets in these games while averaging 1.2 goals per match, showcasing a balanced approach. Their recent results include:

• Lanus 2 – 1 San Lorenzo (05-10-2025, Clausura)
• Instituto 0 – 0 Lanus (28-09-2025, Clausura)
• Fluminense 1 – 1 Lanus (24-09-2025, Copa Sudamericana Final Stage)
• Lanus 2 – 1 Club Atletico Platense (20-09-2025, Clausura)
• Lanus 1 – 0 Fluminense (17-09-2025, Copa Sudamericana Final Stage)

Currently positioned 3rd in the Liga Profesional with 20 points, Lanus will aim to continue their good run, particularly as they have been resilient, even in away games.

Lanus Key Players

Lanus has several key figures who are integral to their strong performances. Rodrigo Castillo leads the scoring charts for the team with 4 goals, making him a critical threat in the attack. Besides Castillo, Eduardo Salvio and Marcelino Moreno are expected to play crucial roles from the wings, providing creativity and pace. Walter Bou, the central forward, is another player to watch, as he has been consistently effective in holding up play and linking with midfielders. Expected lineup for Lanus:

• Goalkeeper: Nahuel Losada
• Defenders: Gonzalo Perez, Carlos Izquierdoz, José Canale, Sasha Marcich
• Midfielders: Agustin Medina, Agustin Cardozo, Eduardo Salvio, Marcelino Moreno, Ramiro Carrera
• Forward: Walter Bou

In terms of individual battles, Ignacio Pussetto from Independiente versus Carlos Izquierdoz from Lanus is one to watch. Izquierdoz will have to be at his best to contain Pussetto’s threat, especially given Independiente’s draw tendency which could mean a hard-fought 90 minutes.

Lanus Suspensions & Injuries

Lanus heads into this fixture with a few significant injury concerns that might impact their lineup and strategy. Notably, Raul Loaiza is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and will not be returning until late October. Felipe Pena Biafore, who is dealing with a shoulder injury, is expected to be back mid-October but will miss this match. Additionally, Ronaldo DeJesus and Franco Watson are also out, with head and strain injuries respectively, both expected to return in about 1-2 weeks. These absences could test the depth of their squad, particularly in defensive and midfield areas, as coach Mauricio Pellegrino might need to shuffle his line-up and rely on some less usual starters to maintain their strong run of form.

Lanus Tactics and Formation

Lanus is anticipated to stick with their reliable 4-2-3-1 formation against Independiente. This setup has yielded positive results in recent matches, underscoring their ability to balance both defense and attack effectively.

Lanus Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Walter Bou
• Midfield Line: Agustin Medina, Agustin Cardozo as defensive midfielders; Eduardo Salvio, Marcelino Moreno, Ramiro Carrera as attacking midfielders
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in their last five games, reflecting a resilient backline
• Notable Strategy: Lanus often scores most of their goals in the 31-45 minute interval, emphasizing an ability to capitalize on late first-half play

In this formation, Walter Bou will be the spearhead of the attack, supported by the creative trio of Salvio, Moreno, and Carrera. The solid defensive partnership of Carlos Izquierdoz and Jose Canale aims to thwart opposition attacks and maintain their impressive defensive record.

Independiente vs Lanus Head-to-Head Statistics

Independiente and Lanus have clashed multiple times in recent years, with a balanced record reflecting the competitive nature of their encounters. Here are the results from their last five meetings:

• Lanus 1 – 1 Independiente (06-04-2025, Liga Profesional Apertura)
• Lanus 0 – 2 Independiente (18-10-2024, Liga Profesional)
• Independiente 1 – 1 Lanus (27-05-2023, Liga Profesional)
• Lanus 1 – 1 Independiente (13-08-2022, Liga Profesional)
• Lanus 1 – 0 Independiente (01-05-2022, Copa de la Liga Profesional)

The matches have generally been tight, with three of the last five ending in draws. Interestingly, Independiente managed a solid win in their last encounter at Lanus, showing they have the potential to challenge the visitors. Overall, considering both teams’ recent form and key player absences, this head-to-head track record strengthens the argument for a closely contested match, potentially ending in yet another draw.

Odds accurate as of 11.10.2025 01:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with {bookmaker}.