Auxerre vs. Nantes Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 10 May 2025 - bettingexpert
As the penultimate round of Ligue 1 approaches, Auxerre will host Nantes at Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps on 10 May 2025 at 20:00. With the stakes high, Nantes are fighting to avoid relegation, currently sitting 15th with 32 points, while Auxerre, in 10th place with 41 points, aim to solidify a top-half finish.
Auxerre’s recent form has been inconsistent (LWLLW), showing resilience with notable wins despite struggling defenses. However, key injuries and suspensions might impact their play. Nantes (LDDLW) are desperately seeking points to stay clear of relegation, facing a tense contest.
The referee, Marc Bollengier, averages 3.2 yellow cards per match and might influence the game’s tight nature.
Given the tepid form of both teams and their cautious approach, a draw seems likely – our recommended bet. Expect a tactical battle with both sides eager to avoid surprises.
Auxerre vs Nantes Prediction & Betting Tip
Recommending a betting tip for this match, a draw looks the most plausible outcome. Both Auxerre and Nantes have shown inconsistent form lately, making it hard for either team to dominate.
| Auxerre vs Nantes Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.43 |
- Both teams are likely to play cautiously, as they aim to avoid surprises near the end of the season.
- With strong defenses and struggling offenses, a stalemate is a real possibility.
- Recent encounters between these two teams have been closely contested, making a draw a safe bet.
Given these factors, a draw seems the most favorable outcome for this Ligue 1 clash.
Auxerre vs Nantes Odds
Here are the odds for the upcoming Ligue 1 match between Auxerre and Nantes:
| Auxerre vs Nantes Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Auxerre | 2.86 |
| Draw | 3.43 |
| Nantes | 2.38 |
Nantes are the bookmakers’ favourites, despite being lower in the standings. Auxerre’s odds suggest they are seen as underdogs, possibly due to their inconsistency. Given the close odds, a draw could be a worthwhile bet, especially considering the teams’ recent form and the stakes involved for Nantes in avoiding relegation.
Auxerre Team Analysis
Auxerre Recent Performance
Auxerre’s last five matches have been a mixed bag of results, showcasing their inconsistency.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | Le Havre | 2025-05-04 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Lens | Auxerre | 2025-04-27 | Ligue 1 | 0-4 (Win) |
| Lille | Auxerre | 2025-04-20 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Auxerre | Lyon | 2025-04-13 | Ligue 1 | 1-3 (Loss) |
| Rennes | Auxerre | 2025-04-06 | Ligue 1 | 0-1 (Win) |
Recent Form: LWLLW
Auxerre has averaged 1.60 goals scored in their last five fixtures but has also conceded frequently, reflecting a defensive frailty with only two clean sheets in that span. Their inconsistent outcomes leave them mid-table, with a robust win against Lens (4-0) as their standout performance.
The home team faces Nantes with some key players like Hamed Traore sidelined, which might influence their attacking potential.
Auxerre Key Players
Auxerre will rely heavily on their top scorer, Hamed Traore, who has netted 10 goals this season, though his hamstring injury rules him out for this match. In his absence, other key players like Gaetan Perrin and Lassine Sinayoko will have to step up, especially in midfield and attack.
The expected lineup for Auxerre is:
- Goalkeeper: Donovan Leon
- Defenders: Clément Akpa, Sinaly Diomande, Jubal
- Midfielders: Ki-Jana Hoever, Gaetan Perrin, Assane Diousse, Fredrik Oppegård, Ado Onaiwu, Lassine Sinayoko
- Forward: Theo Bair
Key individual battles to watch include Theo Bair against Nantes’ robust defenders Jean-Charles Castelletto and Nathan Zeze.
Auxerre Suspensions & Injuries
Auxerre are facing a few significant absences heading into the match against Nantes. Below is a detailed overview of their current suspensions and injuries:
Suspensions
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Elisha Owusu | Yellow cards | 17/05/2025 |
| Han-Noah Massengo | Yellow cards | 17/05/2025 |
Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ousoumane Camara | Groin injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Lasso Coulibaly | Cruciate ligament injury | Late May 2025 |
| Elisha Owusu | Sprained knee injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Hamed Junior Traorè | Hamstring injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Kevin Danois | Muscle injury | Out for season |
These absences could heavily impact Auxerre’s midfield strength and overall squad depth. Coach Christophe Pélissier will need to rely on his bench and find tactical solutions to compensate for these key players’ unavailability.
Auxerre Tactics and Formation
Auxerre Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 5-4-1
- Key Forward: Theo Bair
- Midfield Duo: Gaetan Perrin, Assane Diousse
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Typically concede most goals in the 76-90 minute interval.
Auxerre under Christophe Pélissier will likely adopt a 5-4-1 formation, focusing on a solid defensive structure. With the key midfielders out due to suspension and injuries, the midfield will rely heavily on Gaetan Perrin and Assane Diousse for both defensive cover and support in transitions.
Expect plenty of width provided by Ki-Jana Hoever and Fredrik Oppegård on the flanks, while the central defence stands resolute with Sinaly Diomande leading. Theo Bair will spearhead the attack, looking to exploit any defensive lapses.
Nantes Team Analysis
Nantes Recent Performance
Nantes have had a mixed bag of recent performances, indicated by their last five matches: one win, three draws, and one loss. Their recent form reads as LDDLW, showcasing a relatively low average of goals scored at 0.80 per game and a tendency to keep things tight at the back, with just one clean sheet in this period.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | Angers | 2025-05-04 | Ligue 1 | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Nantes | Toulouse | 2025-04-27 | Ligue 1 | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Nantes | PSG | 2025-04-22 | Ligue 1 | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Rennes | Nantes | 2025-04-18 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Nice | Nantes | 2025-04-04 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 (Win) |
Despite these inconsistent results, Nantes have shown resilience in defense but need to work on enhancing their goal-scoring capabilities if they are to climb up from their current 15th position in the standings.
Nantes Key Players
Nantes’ potential key players in this match start with their top scorer, Matthis Abline, who has netted 8 goals this season. His performance up front will be crucial in breaking down Auxerre’s defence. Mostafa Mohamed, another attacker, alongside Moses Simon, adds dynamism and a goal-scoring threat. Their battle against Auxerre’s defensive trio of Diomandé, Jubal, and Akpa will be a point to watch. The midfield is anchored by Pedro Chirivella, who will face off against Auxerre’s Assane Dioussé.
Expected lineup for Nantes:
- Goalkeeper: Rémy Descamps
- Defenders: Fabien Centonze, Jean-Charles Castelletto, Nathan Zézé, Kelvin Amian
- Midfielders: Douglas Augusto, Pedro Chirivella, Johann Lepenant
- Attackers: Matthis Abline, Mostafa Mohamed, Moses Simon
A tenacious defence led by Jean-Charles Castelletto will aim to restrict Auxerre’s forward movements.
Nantes Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Adel Mahamoud | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Saidou Sow | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
Nantes are dealing with some significant injuries as they head into their match against Auxerre. Both Adel Mahamoud and Saidou Sow are sidelined with cruciate ligament injuries and are out for the remainder of the season. The absence of these key players in defense could weaken Nantes’ backline, which may struggle to hold up against Auxerre’s attacking efforts. These injuries, combined with a lack of suspensions, will require other squad members to step up and fill the gaps effectively.
Nantes Tactics and Formation
Nantes Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Matthis Abline
- Midfield Trio: Douglas Augusto, Pedro Chirivella, Johann Lepenant
- Defensive Setup: Jean-Charles Castelletto, Nathan Zeze, Kelvin Amian, and Fabien Centonze
- Notable Strategy:
Nantes often push for late goals and are particularly strong in the 76-90 and 31-45 minute intervals. With a backline seasoned by experience and adaptability, Nantes aim to maintain a solid 4-3-3 formation for balance. Mostafa Mohamed will also be key, partnering with Abline up front, while Moses Simon offers additional width and dynamism in attack.
Auxerre vs Nantes Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | Auxerre | 2024-08-25 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Auxerre | Nantes | 2023-04-16 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Win) |
| Nantes | Auxerre | 2023-01-01 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Nantes | Auxerre | 2018-01-23 | Coupe de France | 3-4 (Win) |
| Nantes | Auxerre | 2013-12-17 | League Cup | 1-0 (Loss) |
Auxerre and Nantes have gone head-to-head consistently over recent years with some tightly contested matches. Auxerre’s notable 4-3 victory in the 2018 Coupe de France epitomizes their potential to challenge.
Expect a competitive game given their recent encounters, with both teams aiming for a resolute finish late in the season.
Odds accurate as of 2025-05-08 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
