Bahia vs. Flamengo Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 5 October 2025

Get ready for an exciting clash in Serie A as Bahia takes on league leaders Flamengo at Arena Fonte Nova. Scheduled for October 5th at 22:30, this match has significant implications for both sides.

Bahia, currently in 6th position with 40 points, is in a tough spot with 13 players out due to injuries and suspensions. Coach Rogério Ceni will have to rely on younger talents like Kayky and Sidmar to challenge Flamengo. Flamengo, sitting comfortably at the top with 55 points, comes in as the bookmakers’ favorite (1.68 odds) and is expected to field a strong squad, driven by the in-form Giorgian De Arrascaeta, who has netted 14 goals this season.

Given Flamengo’s strong recent form and Bahia’s depleted squad, our match tip recommends betting on a Flamengo victory. Both teams have kept a single clean sheet in their last five games, adding to the potential for an interesting contest. However, the edge clearly lies with Flamengo, who have the best attack and defense in the league.

Expect a tight battle, with Flamengo likely to capitalize on their depth and quality. A 2-0 scoreline in favor of Flamengo seems a plausible outcome.

Brace yourselves for a fascinating game that could further entrench Flamengo’s position at the top of the table.

Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tip

Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction
Betting tip
Flamengo to win

Flamengo to win is the recommended bet for the upcoming clash between Bahia and Flamengo.

There are several reasons for this prediction:

Best Attack and Defense: Flamengo boasts the best attack and defense in the league, scoring over two goals per game and conceding less than one on average.

Injuries and Suspensions: Bahia is dealing with several absences due to injuries and suspensions, making it challenging for Coach Rogério Ceni to field a robust lineup.

Head-to-Head Dominance: Flamengo has a strong track record against Bahia, winning the last five encounters between the two teams.

Considering Flamengo’s form and the adverse situation for Bahia, a victory for the league leaders seems highly probable.

Bahia vs Flamengo Odds

The odds for this upcoming match between Bahia and Flamengo indicate that Flamengo is the strong favorite to win. Given their dominant position at the top of the Serie A table, the bookmakers have given Flamengo appealing odds to continue their winning streak.

Bahia vs Flamengo Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Bahia	5.05
Draw	3.58
Flamengo	1.68

These odds reflect Flamengo’s superior form and standing in the league. Bahia, struggling with numerous injuries and suspensions, is considered the underdog. A Flamengo win seems a valuable bet given their consistent attacking prowess and solid defensive record. The odds of 1.68 for a Flamengo victory suggest a high probability of them clinching the win.

Keep in mind these odds can change as the match approaches. Always check for the latest updates before placing your bet.

Bahia Team Analysis

Bahia Recent Performance: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Loss

Bahia’s recent form has been patchy, with their last five matches reflecting a series of ups and downs. Currently holding a record of Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Loss, they have struggled to string together consistent performances.

Their latest outing saw them fall 2-1 to Botafogo RJ, adding to their woes as they aim to maintain a strong mid-table position. Despite a solid 1-0 victory over Palmeiras, Bahia has suffered defeats to Vasco da Gama and Cruzeiro, and could only secure a draw against Ceara.

With an average of just 1.00 goals scored per game and managing only one clean sheet in their last five matches, Bahia is finding it difficult to keep opponents at bay. Furthermore, their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by their average concession rate of 1.2 goals per match this season.

The team’s numerous injuries and suspensions add another layer of complexity, making it tough for Coach Rogério Ceni to field a strong lineup consistently. Given these challenges, Bahia’s immediate focus will likely be on stabilizing their form and securing crucial points to avoid slipping down the table.

Bahia Key Players

Bahia will be relying on the few fit and available players to make an impact against Flamengo.
Luciano Juba, the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, will be sorely missed, as he is suspended for this game. The absence of notable players like Mateo Sanabria and Gabriel Xavier also forces Bahia to adapt their strategy significantly.

Key players like Everton Ribeiro will be crucial in the midfield, providing both creativity and stability. Up front, Willian Jose will lead the attack, hoping to capitalize on any opportunities that come his way.

Expected lineup for Bahia:

• Goalkeeper: Ronaldo
• Defenders: Gilberto, Luiz Gustavo, Santi Ramos Mingo, Iago
• Midfielders: Everton Ribeiro, Nicolás Acevedo, Jean Lucas
• Forwards: Kayky, Willian Jose, Ademir Santos

With many absences, the team will need standout performances from young talents such as Kayky and Ademir Santos to fill the gaps and pose a challenge to Flamengo’s robust defense.

Bahia Suspensions & Injuries

Bahia is facing a significant crisis with numerous suspensions and injuries impacting their squad depth. Coach Rogério Ceni will have to manage without key players, making the lineup selection particularly challenging for this crucial match against Flamengo.

Suspensions:

• Luciano Juba: Yellow cards
• Mateo Sanabria: Yellow/red card
• Santiago Arias: Yellow cards
• Rodrigo Nestor: Yellow cards
• Gabriel Xavier: Yellow cards

Injuries:

• Kanu: Calf injury, expected return in late November 2025
• Erick Carvalho: Thigh injury, expected return in mid-October 2025
• Caio Alexandre: Thigh injury, expected return in mid-October 2025
• Erick Pulga: Thigh injury, potential return in 1-2 weeks
• João Paulo: Knee injury, expected return in late October 2025
• David Duarte: Thigh injury, doubtful for the match

These absences might significantly impact Bahia’s gameplay and strategy, forcing the team to rely on young, less experienced players to step up and fill the gaps.

Bahia Tactics and Formation

Bahia will approach the match against Flamengo with a tactical 4-3-3 formation. Given their recent struggles and numerous absences, Coach Rogério Ceni will need to be strategic in utilizing his available resources effectively.

Bahia’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Willian Jose, leading the attack with support from wingers Kayky and Ademir Santos.
• Midfield Trio: Everton Ribeiro, Nicolás Acevedo, Jean Lucas – crucial for both defense and creation.
• Defensive Setup: Defenders Gilberto, Luiz Gustavo, Santi Ramos Mingo, and Iago aim to be solid at the back, though the team has only kept one clean sheet in their last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Strong performance in the final 15 minutes, with most goals scored during the 76-90 minute interval.

Given the injuries and suspensions, it’s expected that Bahia might adopt a mix of resilience in defense and quick counter-attacks, utilizing the pace and creativity of young talents.

Flamengo Team Analysis

Flamengo Recent Performance: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw

Flamengo has been in excellent form, reflected in their recent run of results: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw. Their strong performances have solidified their position at the top of the Serie A table.

In their last outing, Flamengo managed a goalless draw against Cruzeiro. Prior to that, they secured a crucial 2-1 victory over Corinthians, boosting their title aspirations. Their form has been bolstered by consistent goal-scoring, averaging 1.80 goals per game over the last five matches, and a stout defense that has kept one clean sheet in the same period.

Flamengo’s attacking prowess is driven by key players, including Giorgian De Arrascaeta, who has scored 14 goals this season. With a solid defensive unit that concedes only 0.5 goals on average per game, Flamengo combines robustness at the back with flair up front, making them formidable opponents for any team in the league.

Coach Filipe Luís will likely stick to their effective strategies, focusing on their strengths to maintain their lead in the standings.

Flamengo Key Players

Flamengo’s squad is filled with top talents who have been instrumental in their successful season.

Giorgian De Arrascaeta, the away team’s top scorer with 14 goals, is undoubtedly the star player to watch. His ability to find the back of the net consistently makes him a critical asset for Flamengo’s attack. Alongside him, Pedro provides additional firepower up front, ensuring their opponents have a tough time defensively.

In the midfield, Saul Niguez and Jorginho offer stability and creativity, making it difficult for opposing midfields to gain control of the game.

The defensive line, bolstered by the returning Leo Ortiz and Danilo, will look to stay solid at the back and protect goalkeeper Agustin Rossi, who has been in good form.

Expected lineup for Flamengo:

• Goalkeeper: Agustin Rossi
• Defenders: Guillermo Varela, Leo Ortiz, Danilo, Ayrton
• Midfielders: Saul Niguez, Jorginho, Jorge Carrascal, Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Samuel Dias Lino
• Forward: Pedro

These players will be crucial as Flamengo aims to maintain their top spot in the league.

Flamengo Suspensions & Injuries

Flamengo will have to navigate this match with a few critical absences, but overall, they remain much more intact than their opponents.

Suspensions:

• Leo Pereira: Yellow cards
• Alex Sandro: Yellow cards

Injuries:

• Erick Pulgar: Broken foot, expected return in mid-October 2025
• Michael: Ankle injury, doubtful for the match

While the suspensions of Leo Pereira and Alex Sandro will slightly weaken Flamengo’s defense, the depth in their squad should allow Coach Filipe Luís to adjust without major disruptions. Their offensive and midfield lines remain strong, ensuring that Flamengo retains the upper hand going into this match.

Flamengo Tactics and Formation

Flamengo consistently employs a 4-2-3-1 formation, capitalizing on their balanced squad to exert control in both offensive and defensive phases of the game.

Flamengo’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Pedro, who leads the attack supported by De Arrascaeta, Carrascal, and Lino.
• Midfield Duo: Saul Niguez and Jorginho, providing defensive solidity and creative transitions.
• Defensive Strength: Despite the suspensions of Leo Pereira and Alex Sandro, the backline with Guillermo Varela, Leo Ortiz, Danilo, and Ayrton remains formidable, having conceded only 0.5 goals per game on average.
• Notable Strategy: Flamengo’s ability to dominate possession and press high makes them effective in breaking down oppositional defenses, often capitalizing during the 61-75 minute interval.

Given their strong form and tactical prowess, Flamengo will aim to control the game tempo and exploit any defensive lapses from Bahia. Expect a disciplined approach, mixing patient buildup with rapid transitions.

Bahia vs Flamengo Head-to-Head Statistics

When evaluating the head-to-head record between Bahia and Flamengo, it is evident that Flamengo has had the upper hand in recent encounters. Over the last five matches, Flamengo has triumphed in all, showcasing significant dominance.

Last 5 Head-to-Head Meetings:

• Flamengo 1-0 Bahia – 11 May 2025, Serie A
• Bahia 0-2 Flamengo – 5 October 2024, Serie A
• Flamengo 1-0 Bahia – 13 September 2024, Cup
• Bahia 0-1 Flamengo – 29 August 2024, Cup
• Flamengo 2-1 Bahia – 20 June 2024, Serie A

Flamengo has consistently outperformed Bahia, winning with clean sheets in four out of the last five encounters. This streak underlines their superior form and effective strategies against Bahia.

With Flamengo currently leading the Serie A table and Bahia dealing with various suspensions and injuries, the historical trend suggests another favorable result for Flamengo.

Odds accurate as of 03.10.2025 22:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.