Mirassol vs. Sao Paulo Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 19 October 2025

The eagerly anticipated Serie A clash between Mirassol and Sao Paulo is set for 19 October 2025 at 22:30. Mirassol, currently sitting comfortably in fourth place with 49 points, face a Sao Paulo side eight points behind in eighth place. Both teams are looking to solidify their standings as we enter the latter stages of the season.

Mirassol come into the match as the bookmaker’s favourites, backed by odds of 2.35 for a win. Their recent form has been strong, boasting two impressive home wins. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by top scorer Reinaldo, who has netted 10 goals this season. However, they’ve struggled to keep clean sheets recently.

Sao Paulo has endured a mixed bag of results lately, evidenced by their recent loss against Gremio. Injuries have impacted their squad, with key players like Jonathan Calleri and Rafael Toloi sidelined.

With both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities, our recommended bet is a draw. Mirassol’s undefeated home record and Sao Paulo’s potential for a bounce back make for an intriguing and balanced game.

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Betting tip

Considering the recent performances and current standings of both teams, a draw seems like the most balanced prediction for this upcoming clash. Mirassol’s undefeated home record (9 wins and 5 draws) supports this, even though they haven’t managed to keep many clean sheets lately. Sao Paulo, despite their dip in form and injury-laden squad, still possess the capability to secure a valuable away point.

• Mirassol’s excellent home performance, undefeated with 9 wins and 5 draws this season.
• Both teams have conceded relatively few goals on average, indicating likely defensive strengths.
• Sao Paulo’s capacity to fight back despite recent poor form and injuries suggests a balanced game.

With these factors in play, a draw appears to be the smartest bet.

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo Odds

The upcoming Serie A match between Mirassol and Sao Paulo has generated considerable interest among bettors. Mirassol, the bookmaker’s favourite for this clash, are priced at 2.35 to secure a home win. Given their robust home record, this doesn’t come as a surprise. A draw, which seems likely considering both teams’ recent defensive showings, is offered at 3.06. Sao Paulo, despite their struggles, hold underdog odds of 3.13 to snatch an away victory.

Despite Mirassol’s strong home presence, the balanced odds reflect Sao Paulo’s potential to compete and possibly share points.

Mirassol Team Analysis

Mirassol Recent Performance: L-D-L-W-W

Mirassol’s recent form has been a bit of a mixed bag, but their performance on home turf remains a standout. In their last five games, they’ve registered two wins, two losses, and one draw (L-D-L-W-W), indicating a slight upturn in form.

They’re currently positioned 4th in the Serie A standings with 49 points, and their average goals scored per game over the last five matches stands at 1.20. However, they haven’t managed a single clean sheet in these games, which could be a concern heading into this match.

Recent victories against Fluminense and Internacional highlight their attacking capabilities, spearheaded by their top scorer, Reinaldo, who has netted 10 goals so far. Despite their defensive vulnerabilities, their home record this season – unbeaten with 9 wins and 5 draws – provides a solid foundation to build upon.

Mirassol Key Players

Mirassol’s charge is led by their prolific forward Reinaldo, who has scored 10 goals this season and will be pivotal in breaking down Sao Paulo’s defense. Another decisive player is Alesson, who’s expected to start on the left wing. His interplay with Gabriel in the attacking midfield could carve out opportunities for Mirassol.

Defensively, the team will need robust performances from the centre-back duo João Victor and Jemmes. They’ll be vital in quelling Sao Paulo’s attacking threats, especially from Luciano Neves.

Expected lineup for Mirassol:

• Goalkeeper: Walter
• Defenders: Daniel Borges, João Victor, Jemmes, Reinaldo
• Midfielders: Danielzinho, Neto Moura, Gabriel
• Forwards: Guilherme Marques, Cristian Renato, Alesson

Reinaldo’s matchup against Sao Paulo’s Sabino promises to be an enticing battle, which could significantly impact the outcome of the match.

Mirassol Suspensions & Injuries

Mirassol will be navigating this crucial match without some key players due to suspensions and injuries. Notably, their goalkeeper Alex Muralha and forward Negueba are both suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, which might impact their defensive solidity and attacking options.

Additionally, they’re missing Matheus Sales, Edson Carioca, and Lucas Ramon. Sales and Ramon are expected to return in the coming weeks, but Carioca’s thigh injury rules him out for the remainder of the season.

These absences could challenge Mirassol’s depth, necessitating strong performances from their replacements to maintain their form and secure vital points in their push for a higher finish in the league standings.

Mirassol Tactics and Formation

Mirassol Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Cristian Renato
• Midfield Trio: Danielzinho, Neto Moura, Gabriel
• Defensive Strength: Solid home record with 9 wins and 5 draws, but no clean sheets in the last 5 games.
• Notable Strategy: Strong home performance and a solid attacking lineup with a focus on creating chances through the wings.

Mirassol’s setup primarily revolves around a 4-2-3-1 formation. Without key players like Negueba and Alex Muralha, the roles of substitutes become crucial. Danielzinho and Neto Moura will anchor the midfield, providing both defensive coverage and engaging in forward play to support Gabriel. Sporting a formidable home record, their strategy would likely involve pressing from the wings, utilizing Alesson and Guilherme Marques to stretch Sao Paulo’s defense. Reinaldo, while known for his goalscoring, will also be crucial in supporting the left-back role.

Sao Paulo Team Analysis

Sao Paulo Recent Performance: L-L-W-L-L

Sao Paulo have experienced a turbulent period, highlighted by their recent form of one win and four losses (L-L-W-L-L). Despite a valuable win against Fortaleza, they’ve struggled, with their defeats against Gremio, Palmeiras, and Ceara raising concerns.

In the last five matches, Sao Paulo averaged just 0.80 goals per game, reflecting their attacking inefficiencies. Defensively, they’ve managed to keep a single clean sheet, pointing toward vulnerabilities at the back.

With an 8th place standing in Serie A and 38 points, Coach Hernán Crespo will need to rally his team to improve both ends of the pitch. Their resilience is paramount, especially facing a strong home side like Mirassol.

Sao Paulo Key Players

Sao Paulo will be reliant on key players like Luciano Neves, their top scorer with 6 goals this season. Luciano, who’s expected to start on the left forward position, will need to be at his clinical best to find the net against Mirassol. Another pivotal player for Sao Paulo will be Alisson in the central midfield, whose creativity and ball distribution are crucial for breaking down the opposition.

Defensively, Robert Arboleda and Alan Franco will need to be solid at the back to contain Mirassol’s attacking threats from Reinaldo and Co. Their ability to coordinate and maintain a cohesive unit will be essential in limiting goal-scoring opportunities for the home side.

Expected lineup for Sao Paulo:

• Goalkeeper: Rafael
• Defenders: Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Sabino
• Midfielders: Maílton, Alisson, Marcos Antonio, Damián Bobadilla, Patryck
• Forwards: Luciano, Gonzalo Tapia

Luciano’s battle against Mirassol’s defenders, particularly Jemmes and João Victor, could be a decisive factor in determining the outcome of the match.

Sao Paulo Suspensions & Injuries

Sao Paulo is grappling with significant injury concerns ahead of their clash with Mirassol. Key players like Jonathan Calleri, Ryan Francisco, and André Silva are sidelined due to cruciate ligament injuries, ruling them out for the season. Additionally, Luan Santos, Rafael Toloi, and Oscar are dealing with thigh and calf injuries, potentially missing the match.

These absences are likely to impact Sao Paulo’s performance, particularly in defensive stability and attacking prowess. Coach Hernán Crespo will need to rely heavily on the remaining squad members to fill these gaps and push for a positive result in this critical mid-season game.

With these injury woes, the depth of Sao Paulo’s bench will be thoroughly tested against a resilient Mirassol side.

Sao Paulo Tactics and Formation

Sao Paulo Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Luciano Neves
• Midfield Trio: Alisson, Marcos Antonio, Damián Bobadilla
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Compact defensive setup with a focus on quick transitions to exploit the wings.

Sao Paulo’s likely formation of 3-5-2 will aim to maximize midfield dominance and provide defensive solidity. Luciano Neves, their lead striker, will be pivotal in converting chances and leading the line. The midfield, anchored by Alisson, Marcos Antonio, and Bobadilla, is designed to control the game’s tempo and create opportunities for the forwards.

Defensively, the trio of Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, and Sabino will have the crucial task of neutralizing Mirassol’s attacking threats. The wingbacks, Maílton and Patryck, will need to balance their defensive duties with providing width in attack, ensuring Sao Paulo can exploit any gaps left by Mirassol.

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five encounters, Mirassol and Sao Paulo have seen a mix of results, indicating a competitive edge between them. The most recent meeting saw Mirassol triumphing 2-0 away at Sao Paulo in May 2025, showcasing their ability to perform against tough opposition.

However, Sao Paulo has historically had the upper hand, with notable victories including a dominant 4-1 win in the 2025 Paulista A1 and a comprehensive 3-0 away win back in March 2022. Another significant encounter was their 4-0 win during the Paulista A1 Playoff stage in May 2021.

Sao Paulo’s overall strength in these historical clashes highlights the challenge for Mirassol, despite their recent success. This balanced history sets up an intriguing contest.

Odds accurate as of 17/10/2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.