Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Monday, 19 January

Brighton will host Bournemouth at The American Express Community Stadium on Monday, 19 January, in what promises to be an intriguing Premier League clash. This match is crucial for both teams as they look to secure valuable points in the league standings. Brighton, playing at home, will aim to capitalise on their familiar surroundings, while Bournemouth will be eager to prove their mettle on the road.

The Premier League encounter between Brighton and Bournemouth is set against the backdrop of a competitive league season. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance, and this matchup could play a significant role in shaping their respective campaigns. With Brighton’s home advantage and Bournemouth’s determination, this game offers an exciting prospect for fans and bettors alike, making it a must-watch event in the football calendar.

Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Over 2.5 goals	1.6

With both teams showing a tendency to be involved in high-scoring matches, our recommended betting tip is ‘Over 2.5 Goals’. Brighton have been consistent at home, scoring regularly, while Bournemouth’s away fixtures also tend to feature plenty of goals. Given the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides, backing more than 2.5 goals appears to be a solid choice.

• More than 2.5 goals have been scored in 71% of the 7 matches between these teams over the past 5 seasons.
• Brighton have scored in 81% of their matches this season, indicating a high likelihood of them finding the net.
• Bournemouth concede an average of 1.9 goals per game, making it likely that Brighton will score multiple times.

Betting Odds

Brighton enter this match as favourites with odds of 1.87, reflecting their strong home form at The American Express Community Stadium. Bournemouth, meanwhile, are priced at 3.77, suggesting they are the underdogs but could offer a decent return if they manage to pull off an upset.

Betting Tip	Odds
Brighton to win	1.87
Draw	3.92
Bournemouth to win	3.77

The draw is also an intriguing option at 3.92, especially considering the competitive nature of Premier League encounters. For those looking at goal markets, both teams have shown the ability to find the net, making the over 2.5 goals market worth consideration.

Brighton Analysis & Past Performance

Brighton’s recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their recent victory over Burnley (2-0) highlighted their defensive capabilities with a clean sheet, while the 2-2 draw against West Ham demonstrated their ability to score under pressure.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Manchester United	Brighton	1 – 2 (Win)	FA Cup	11 Jan 2026
Manchester City	Brighton	1 – 1 (Draw)	Premier League	7 Jan 2026
Brighton	Burnley	2 – 0 (Win)	Premier League	3 Jan 2026
West Ham	Brighton	2 – 2 (Draw)	Premier League	30 Dec 2025
Arsenal	Brighton	2 – 1 (Loss)	Premier League	27 Dec 2025

Recent Form:
Brighton have been relatively strong at home, winning two and drawing two of their last five home fixtures. Their attack, spearheaded by Danny Welbeck, who has scored eight goals this season, averages 1.60 goals per match in the last five games, showing consistent offensive output. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.20 goals per game, highlighting a potential area for improvement.

Brighton’s overall league position is 11th, with 29 points, reflecting a team that is competitive yet inconsistent at times. The squad have managed to score in all but one of their last five encounters, showcasing an ability to find the net regularly. However, with only one clean sheet in the same period, their defensive solidity remains a concern.

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Brighton Suspensions & Injuries

Brighton face a challenging situation with several key players sidelined due to injury. Joel Veltman is recovering from illness and is expected to return in a few days, which is a relief for the defensive line. Adam Webster’s knee injury keeps him out until early April 2026, significantly impacting Brighton’s defensive depth. Solly March, another key player, is also unavailable due to a knee injury, but he is expected to return by late January 2026, which could provide a boost to the squad soon. Mats Wieffer’s toe injury will keep him out until late January 2026, and the doubtful status of Yankuba Minteh with a thigh injury further complicates Brighton’s tactical setup.

With these injuries, the starting lineup remains stable for now, with players like Jan Paul van Hecke and Lewis Dunk taking up the central defensive roles. The midfield will need to adapt, as the absence of Solly March might require Yasin Ayari or Diego Gomez to step up and fill the creative void. The tactical flexibility of Pascal Gross will be crucial in maintaining the team’s balance and creativity.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Joel Veltman	Illness	Few days
Adam Webster	Knee injury	Early April 2026
Solly March	Knee injury	Late January 2026
Stefanos Tzimas	Cruciate ligament injury	Early August 2026
Yankuba Minteh	Thigh injury	Doubtful
Mats Wieffer	Toe injury	Late January 2026

Brighton’s current tactical setup in a 4-2-3-1 formation may see slight adjustments, particularly in midfield, to compensate for the missing players. The team’s attacking capabilities remain strong with Kaoru Mitoma and Georginio Rutter leading the charge, supported by Pascal Gross’s playmaking skills. These absences might influence betting markets, as the team’s defensive vulnerabilities could be tested, making Brighton’s matches potentially more high-scoring.

Brighton Key Players

Brighton’s attacking prowess this season has been significantly bolstered by Danny Welbeck, who leads the team with 8 goals. His ability to find the back of the net with clinical precision makes him a constant threat to any opposing defence. Welbeck’s experience and positioning in the box are vital as he looks to capitalise on opportunities created by his teammates.

In midfield, Pascal Gross and Kaoru Mitoma are pivotal in orchestrating play. Gross’s vision and passing accuracy allow him to control the tempo, while Mitoma’s agility and dribbling skills pose a significant threat on the flanks. Defensively, the leadership of Lewis Dunk at the back ensures solidity, with his aerial prowess and tackling ability being crucial in thwarting Bournemouth’s attacking efforts. These players are integral to Brighton’s tactical setup, balancing defensive resilience with attacking creativity.

Expected lineup for Brighton

• Goalkeeper: Bart Verbruggen
• Defenders: Jack Hinshelwood, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Maxim De Cuyper
• Midfielders: Yasin Ayari, Ferdi Kadioglu, Pascal Gross, Diego Gomez, Kaoru Mitoma
• Forward: Georginio Rutter

Brighton Tactics and Formation

Brighton Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Georginio Rutter
• Midfield Pivot: Yasin Ayari and Ferdi Kadioglu
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong wing play and dynamic midfield transitions.

Brighton’s 4-2-3-1 formation under coach Fabian Hürzeler allows them to maintain a balanced approach between attack and defence. The midfield duo of Yasin Ayari and Ferdi Kadioglu is pivotal, providing both defensive cover and creative support. Pascal Gross serves as the playmaker, linking up with wingers Diego Gomez and Kaoru Mitoma to drive offensive plays.

Defensively, Brighton rely on the experience of Lewis Dunk at the back, supported by Jan Paul van Hecke and full-backs Jack Hinshelwood and Maxim De Cuyper. This setup has contributed to their ability to keep two clean sheets in their last five games, demonstrating defensive resilience.

Offensively, Brighton capitalise on their strong wing play, with Mitoma and Gomez providing width and pace. Georginio Rutter, as the central forward, will be crucial in converting chances, especially given Brighton’s recent form, where both teams have scored in 80% of their last five matches.

Bournemouth Analysis & Past Performance

Bournemouth’s recent form has been a mix of challenges and resilience, with the team securing only one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two losses. Their latest outing ended in a high-scoring affair against Newcastle in the FA Cup, losing 9-10, which reflects both their attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities.

Home Side	Away Side	Result	Competition	Date
Newcastle	Bournemouth	N/A	FA Cup	10 Jan 2026
Bournemouth	Tottenham	3 – 2 (Win)	Premier League	7 Jan 2026
Bournemouth	Arsenal	2 – 3 (Loss)	Premier League	3 Jan 2026
Chelsea	Bournemouth	2 – 2 (Draw)	Premier League	30 Dec 2025
Brentford	Bournemouth	4 – 1 (Loss)	Premier League	27 Dec 2025

Recent Form:
Bournemouth’s offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 3.40 goals scored per game over their last five matches, with Eli Junior Kroupi leading the charge with seven goals this season. However, their defence remains a concern, having conceded an average of 4.20 goals per match in the same period, and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Their away form is particularly troubling, as they have not won any of their last five away matches, drawing two and losing three.

Bournemouth currently sit 15th in the league, with 26 points, indicating a lower mid-table standing. Despite their struggles, they have shown the ability to score consistently, as evidenced by their 100% ‘both teams to score’ ratio in recent games. Yet, the lack of defensive solidity continues to be a significant weakness, impacting their overall win ratio, which stands at 20% over the last five games.

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Bournemouth Suspensions & Injuries

Bournemouth’s injury list presents a few critical challenges ahead of their clash with Brighton. Notably, the absence of Tyler Adams due to a knock could disrupt the midfield dynamics. Adams’ ability to anchor the midfield will be missed, and the onus will be on Lewis Cook and Alex Scott to step up and fill the void effectively. Ryan Christie, also doubtful with a knock, adds to the midfield concerns, potentially affecting Bournemouth’s creative options.

The injury to Enes Ünal, who is sidelined with a muscle injury until late January, means Bournemouth will have to rely heavily on Evanilson to lead the line. The Brazilian forward’s form will be crucial in mitigating the impact of Ünal’s absence. Additionally, Justin Kluivert’s recovery from knee surgery, expected by mid-April, leaves a gap in the attacking options, necessitating tactical adjustments by coach Andoni Iraola.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Matai Akinmboni	Muscle injury	Unknown
Ben Doak	Hamstring injury	Late February 2026
Tyler Adams	Knock	Late February 2026
Ryan Christie	Knock	Doubtful
Will Dennis	Ankle injury	Late March 2026
Justin Kluivert	Knee surgery	Mid April 2026
Enes Ünal	Muscle injury	Late January 2026

Defensively, Bournemouth will need to adapt without Will Dennis, who is out with an ankle injury until late March. This could test the depth of their defensive line, although Marcos Senesi and Alex Jiménez are expected to hold the fort. The absence of Ben Doak, out until late February with a hamstring injury, further limits the attacking width, which might lead to a more central attacking approach.

The injuries might influence Bournemouth’s betting odds, as the unavailability of key players like Adams and Ünal could be seen as weakening their chances against a robust Brighton side. Bettors may need to consider these absences when assessing Bournemouth’s potential performance and outcomes in this crucial Premier League fixture.

Bournemouth Key Players

At the heart of Bournemouth’s attack is Eli Junior Kroupi, the team’s top scorer with 7 goals this season. Kroupi’s ability to find the back of the net and his clever positioning make him a constant threat to any defence. His partnership with forward Evanilson will be crucial in breaking down Brighton’s defensive lines. Marcus Tavernier, operating from midfield, provides the creative spark and his vision could unlock opportunities for Kroupi and Evanilson.

In defence, Marcos Senesi plays a pivotal role with his commanding presence and exceptional aerial ability, which will be essential in countering Brighton’s attacking threats. The combination of James Hill and Adrien Truffert in the backline adds stability and resilience, ensuring Bournemouth remain solid at the back.

Expected lineup for Bournemouth:

• Goalkeeper: Djordje Petrovic
• Defence: Marcos Senesi, Alex Jiménez, James Hill, Adrien Truffert
• Midfield: David Brooks, Marcus Tavernier, Eli Junior Kroupi, Alex Scott, Lewis Cook
• Forward: Evanilson

The tactical implications of these key players are significant. Kroupi’s scoring prowess and Tavernier’s creativity enable Bournemouth to adopt a dynamic attacking approach, while Senesi’s defensive capabilities provide a solid foundation. This balance of offensive and defensive strengths will be crucial in navigating the challenges posed by Brighton.

Bournemouth Tactics and Formation

Bournemouth Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Evanilson
• Midfield Core: Lewis Cook and Alex Scott
• Defensive Concerns: Zero clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing with a focus on offensive transitions.

Bournemouth’s 4-2-3-1 formation, orchestrated by coach Andoni Iraola, positions Evanilson as the focal point in attack, supported by a dynamic trio of Eli Junior Kroupi, David Brooks, and Marcus Tavernier. The midfield pivot of Lewis Cook and Alex Scott offers a balance of defensive shielding and forward progression, essential for maintaining control in the middle third.

Defensively, the backline of Marcos Senesi, Alex Jiménez, James Hill, and Adrien Truffert has struggled to maintain clean sheets, conceding an average of 4.2 goals per game over the last five matches. This defensive vulnerability requires attention, particularly against Brighton’s potent attack.

Offensively, Bournemouth thrive on high pressing and swift transitions, leveraging the pace and creativity of their attacking midfielders. Despite their defensive frailties, this approach has seen them score in every recent match, with Eli Junior Kroupi being a key contributor with seven goals this season.

Brighton vs Bournemouth H2H Record

In their head-to-head record, Bournemouth slightly edge Brighton with 12 wins to 11, alongside 7 draws. The last encounter saw Bournemouth clinch a 2-1 victory at home in the Premier League. This suggests Bournemouth might have a slight psychological edge going into this fixture.

The last time Brighton hosted Bournemouth at The American Express Community Stadium, they came out on top with a 2-1 win. This could give Brighton fans hope for another positive result at home. Historically, matches between these two sides tend to be closely contested, with a narrow goal margin often deciding the outcome.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
AFC Bournemouth	Brighton & Hove Albion	2 – 1	Premier League	2025-09-13
Brighton & Hove Albion	AFC Bournemouth	2 – 1	Premier League	2025-02-25
AFC Bournemouth	Brighton & Hove Albion	1 – 2	Premier League	2024-11-23
AFC Bournemouth	Brighton & Hove Albion	3 – 0	Premier League	2024-04-28
Brighton & Hove Albion	AFC Bournemouth	3 – 1	Premier League	2023-09-24