Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth Prediction: Betting Preview
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth Prediction 1: Go for goals
Premier League form side Crystal Palace came back down to earth with a bump after they dared to inflict more pane on Manchester City by taking a 2-0 lead after just 21 minutes. Alas City found their shooting boots and came back to win 5-2. They then got thumped 5-0 at Newcastle despite winning the expected goals battle! Bournemouth meanwhile got back on track with their win on Monday night against Fulham having failed to win any of their previous six games. It took them up into eighth and just six points off Chelsea and Aston Villa who are trying to juggle matches across multiple competitions. Europe is a distinct possibility at the Vitality Stadium next season.
England, Premier League, Saturday, April 19th, 15:00 (UK)
- Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth Prediction 1: Over 2.5 goals (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.80
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 8/10 (TRACKED BET)
Despite Crystal Palace’s two defeats this week where they conceded five goals in both, they still rank as one of the form sides in the Premier League over the last five months. Since the end of October, Palace have picked up the joint fifth most points in the league, losing just six times. It’s no fluke either with Palace also ranked fifth for expected points. They could have scored more goals too, with their 36 in this period a huge 9.41 fewer than their 45.41 expected goals.
Despite failing to win six of their last seven games, Bournemouth have collected just three fewer points than Palace in the same period but have also suffered from some bad fortune in-front of goal, only scoring 42 goals from 49.24 xG, resulting in them underperforming their expected points (37 v 42.39 xPts) which ranks them third. They could really make up the six point deficit on Chelsea with the Blues remaining games. Indeed Chelsea have just five wins in their last 16 games and with a tough looking run-in, there’s plenty of motivation for the Cherries to end the season on a high with potential European qualification. Chelsea face Fulham (A), Everton (H), Liverpool (H), Newcastle (A), Man Utd (H) and Forest (A). Bournemouth are 15.0 to finish in the top six.
For this match what it does mean is another match involving Palace where there are goals, goals, goals. Indeed seven of their last nine games at home have seen Over 2.5 goals winners and it’s no surprise with the quality they have going forward having scored two or more goals in eight of their last twelve home and away combined. In terms of Over 2.5 goals for Bournemouth, 11 of their last 16 games have seen three or more goals (69%) but away from home it’s been even more productive with their last 11 all seeing winners and a strike rate of 81% for the season (13 of 16 matches).
Both attacks are potent with Jean-Philippe Mateta and Ismaila Sarr scoring 20 goals between for Palace in the league and wing-back Daniel Munoz has contributed of late with four goals in his last 11 games across all competitions. For Bournemouth, Justin Kluivert, Evanilson, Antoine Semenyo and Dango Ouattara have 36 goals between them meaning it’s difficult to see either defence keeping them out. Both sides sit in the top 10 for shots conceded.
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth Prediction odds via bet365 as at 12:00, April 17th, 2025. Odds may now differ.
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth Injuries, Team News and Possible Lineups Prediction: Good availability for both teams
For Crystal Palace, just Cheick Doucouré (knee injury) and Chadi Riad (knee injury).are unavailable. Against Newcastle in midweek they welcomed back Matt Turner, Romain Esse, and Eddie Nketiah and Marc Guéhi following their suspensions. For Bournemouth, Justin Kluivert is hit-and-miss whether he can start with a tight muscle injury. Luis Sinisterra remains a doubt with a hamstring strain whilst Ryan Christie has played with a groin issue all season and decision could be made to have surgery which would see him miss the remainder of the season. Enes Unal remains a long-term issue with following surgery on his ACL in January.
Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Henderson; Richards, Lacroix, Guehi; Munoz, Wharton, Lerma, Mitchell; Sarr, Mateta, Eze
Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Kepa; Smith, Senesi, Huijsen, Kerkez; Cook, Adams; Semenyo, Kluivert, Ouattara; Evanilson
Match OPTA Stats: Both sides goal heavy
- 7 of Crystal Palace’s 9 games at home have seen Over 2.5 goals
- Crystal Palace have scored two or more goals in 8 of their last 12 matches
- 11 of Bournemouth’s last 16 games have seen Over 2.5 goals
- 13 of Bournemouth’s 16 away games have had three or more goals
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