Brest vs. Lille Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 10 May 2025 - bettingexpert
As we approach an intriguing Ligue 1 fixture on 10 May 2025, Brest face off against Lille at Stade Francis le Blé at 20:00. This is set to be a crucial match, especially for Lille, who are eyeing a European spot. Currently 5th in the league with 57 points, Lille need to maximize points here to keep their continental dreams alive.
Brest, sitting 9th with 47 points, are comfortably mid-table and less burdened by European ambitions. Nevertheless, their recent home form, having scored in 88% of their matches at Stade Francis le Blé, makes them formidable.
The referee, Thomas Leonard, known for awarding a few penalties this season, could be pivotal in tight situations. With Lille as the bookmaker favourite at odds of 1.75, our recommended bet suggests a Lille victory. Factors like Lille’s strong recent record against Brest and their current impressive form further bolster this prediction. Expect Jonathan David and Ludovic Ajorque to lead the scoring charts for their respective sides in what promises to be a competitive encounter.
Brest vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the current form and stakes, our recommended betting tip is a Lille victory. Despite Brest’s decent home form, Lille’s race for a European spot and their strong recent performances make them the favourites.
| Brest vs Lille Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Lille to win | 1.75 |
- Lille is fighting for a European spot, making this game crucial for them.
- Brest is mid-table with no European objectives, reducing their incentive to push hard.
- Lille has a favourable recent record against Brest, winning three of their last four encounters.
Brest vs Lille Odds
With Lille pushing for a European spot, the odds are strongly in their favor for the upcoming match against Brest. Here’s a look at the betting odds:
| Brest vs Lille Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Brest | 4.38 |
| Draw | 3.82 |
| Lille | 1.75 |
Lille’s motivation to secure a European spot and their recent form make them the bookmaker’s favorite. Meanwhile, Brest’s mid-table position suggests less urgency, reflected in their higher odds for a win. The odds for a draw also indicate Lille’s advantage going into this match.
Brest Team Analysis
Brest Recent Performance
Brest has had a mixed bag of results in their recent outings, showing some inconsistency.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brest | Montpellier | 2025-05-04 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Win) |
| Marseille | Brest | 2025-04-27 | Ligue 1 | 4-1 (Loss) |
| Brest | Lens | 2025-04-20 | Ligue 1 | 1-3 (Loss) |
| Saint-Etienne | Brest | 2025-04-13 | Ligue 1 | 3-3 (Draw) |
| Brest | Monaco | 2025-04-05 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Win) |
Brest’s recent form reads WLLDW, which indicates some struggles, especially on the defensive end. They’ve managed only one clean sheet in their last five games but have been fairly decent in attack, averaging 1.6 goals per game.
Despite their inconsistent form, they have shown the ability to score regularly, netting in 88% of their home matches this season. However, defensively, they will need to tighten up to challenge Lille effectively.
Brest Key Players
Brest’s key players for the match against Lille include their top scorer, Ludovic Ajorque, who has netted 12 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net could be crucial for Brest.
Another important player is Romain Del Castillo, expected to start on the right wing, known for his creativity and providing assists. Brest’s midfield duo, Pierre Lees-Melou and Mahdi Camara, will be essential in disrupting Lille’s play and supporting both defense and attack.
In defense, Brendan Chardonnet will need to be at his best to counter Lille’s offensive threats, particularly Jonathan David.
Expected lineup for Brest:
- Goalkeeper: Marco Bizot
- Defenders: Kenny Lala, Brendan Chardonnet, Abdoulaye N’Diaye, Massadio Haidara
- Midfielders: Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, Kamory Doumbia
- Attackers: Romain Del Castillo, Ludovic Ajorque, Mathias Pereira-Lage
Brest Suspensions & Injuries
Brest face several injury concerns as they prepare for the clash against Lille. Here’s a list of their injured players and their expected return dates:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim Salah | Foot injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Soumaila Coulibaly | Groin injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Justin Bourgault | Foot injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Jordan Amavi | Calf injury | Late May 2025 |
These injuries could disrupt Brest’s preparations and depth, especially with key players like Jordan Amavi and Ibrahim Salah sidelined. Without these crucial figures, Brest may struggle to find the same defensive solidity and attacking options.
Brest Tactics and Formation
Brest Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Ludovic Ajorque
- Midfield Trio: Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, Kamory Doumbia
- Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Aggressive press, especially in the final 15 minutes of each half.
Brest’s approach under Eric Roy has largely focused on utilizing the 4-3-3 formation to optimize ball control and attacking width. The choice of wingers like Romain Del Castillo and Mathias Pereira Lage supports this aggressive, expansive style.
With Ludovic Ajorque leading the line, Brest aims to exploit aerial duels and set-pieces. The midfield trio of Lees-Melou, Camara, and Doumbia provides balance, combining defensive solidity with creative transitions.
Overall, Brest’s tactics are built around maintaining a high tempo, frequently pressing opposition defenses, and creating opportunities through wide play and quick transitions.
Lille Team Analysis
Lille Recent Performance
Lille’s recent form has been impressive, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Bruno Génésio’s men are pushing hard for a European spot, and their recent results highlight their determination. Here’s a breakdown of their last five matches:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | Marseille | 2025-05-04 | Ligue 1 | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Angers | Lille | 2025-04-27 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Win) |
| Lille | Auxerre | 2025-04-20 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Win) |
| Toulouse | Lille | 2025-04-12 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 (Win) |
| Lyon | Lille | 2025-04-05 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Loss) |
Lille have averaged 1.80 goals per game over this period, showing strong attacking prowess. However, they have managed just one clean sheet, indicating potential vulnerabilities in defense. Their balanced offense, led by top scorer Jonathan David with 16 goals, is crucial in their push for European qualification.
Lille Key Players
Lille boasts significant talents in their squad, especially with Jonathan David leading the charge as their top scorer with 16 goals. His form will be crucial in the upcoming match against Brest. Chuba Akpom, who partners with David upfront, is another player to watch, as their combined attacking prowess can pose a real threat.
In midfield, Nabil Bentaleb and Benjamin Andre offer a robust combination of creativity and defensive stability. Hakon Arnar Haraldsson and Matias Fernandez-Pardo on the flanks add width and flexibility to Lille’s attacking strategies.
Expected lineup for Lille:
- Goalkeeper: Lucas Chevalier
- Defenders: Thomas Meunier, Bafode Diakite, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Ismaily
- Midfielders: Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Benjamin Andre, Nabil Bentaleb, Matias Fernandez-Pardo
- Attackers: Chuba Akpom, Jonathan David
Key individual battles to look out for include Jonathan David against Brest’s centre-backs, Brendan Chardonnet and Abdoulaye N’Diaye, which could be decisive in this matchup.
Lille Suspensions & Injuries
Lille will be without some key players due to injuries, which might impact their performance against Brest.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Tiago Santos | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Edon Zhegrova | Muscle injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Ethan Mbappe | Hamstring Injury | Out for season |
Lille will miss the influential presence of Tiago Santos and Ethan Mbappe, adding strain to their squad depth. Edon Zhegrova’s potential return in mid-May could provide a much-needed boost to the squad, especially in crucial attacking positions.
The absence of these players means Lille will need to rely on the depth of their bench to maintain their strong form and ensure that their key players like Jonathan David and Chuba Akpom remain fresh and firing.
Lille Tactics and Formation
Lille’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forwards: Jonathan David and Chuba Akpom
- Midfield Quartet: Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Benjamin Andre, Nabil Bentaleb, Matias Fernandez-Pardo
- Defensive Setup: Thomas Meunier, Bafode Diakite, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Ismaily
Lille will likely adopt their usual 4-4-2 formation, focusing on a balanced approach between attack and defense.
Key Forward:
- Jonathan David, with 16 goals this season, will spearhead the attack along with Chuba Akpom.
Midfield Strength:
- The presence of experienced midfielders like Benjamin Andre and Nabil Bentaleb ensures stability and control in the center of the pitch.
Defensive Setup:
- Despite conceding goals, Lille has managed one clean sheet in their last five matches, showing signs of defensive resilience.
Their tactical approach will revolve around leveraging the attacking prowess of David and Akpom while maintaining a compact midfield to disrupt Brest’s advances. Expect Lille to press high and look for quick transitions to catch Brest off guard.
Brest vs Lille Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | Brest | 2024-12-06 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Win) |
| Brest | Lille | 2024-03-17 | Ligue 1 | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Lille | Brest | 2023-10-22 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Win) |
| Lille | Brest | 2023-02-24 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Win) |
| Brest | Lille | 2023-01-11 | Ligue 1 | 0-0 (Draw) |
Lille have had a strong recent record against Brest, winning three of their last five encounters.
In the most recent meeting, Lille secured a convincing 3-1 win at home in December 2024.
These teams also played out two draws in their last five meetings, indicating that while Lille have been dominant, Brest have managed to hold their ground on occasions.
This history points to Lille’s overall upper hand, but Brest’s occasional resilience suggests they could potentially surprise.
Odds accurate as of 08/05/2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
