Brighton vs Fulham Tips & Predictions

Brighton v Fulham Recent Form

The Seagulls picked up a vital win last time out. Their 1-0 victory over Leeds United was their first in the Premier League since the 2-1 triumph over Aston Villa in mid-November. Fulham haven’t won since November. Their 2-1 defeat to Manchester United on Wednesday night was their ninth consecutive Premier League match without a win.

Brighton v Fulham Recent Matchups

This match has been played in multiple competitions from Division Three to the Premier League. The most recent fixture was back in December which the two sides drew 0-0 at Craven Cottage. This match last season finished 2-2 at the Amex Stadium after a brace from Brighton’s Glenn Murray.

Brighton v Fulham Stats & Analysis

Brighton come into this one with a troubling home record. The Seagulls just can’t seem to win at the Amex Stadium with no home Premier League victories all season long. The last time they won a league fixture at the Amex was way back in June 2020 when they beat Arsenal 2-1. That was their only win in their last 18 home Premier League fixtures, a worrying trend for Graham Potter’s men.

But they’ve picked up points. Brighton have become the Premier League’s draw specialists after sharing the points in eight of their 18 league games. They’ve drawn five of their last seven home league matches and have just shown an inability to turn those positions into wins.

Fulham can relate to that problem. The Cottagers have taken a leaf out of Brighton’s book in recent weeks and are drawing a great number of their matches too. Fulham have shared the points in five of their last seven matches and haven’t won a league match since November.

It’s clear what the issue is for Scott Parker’s men. Fulham just aren’t scoring enough goals whether they’re playing home or away. The Cottagers have managed just four goals in their last eight Premier League fixtures at a rate of 0.50 per game. No side has scored fewer goals than Fulham have during their last eight matches and that includes bottom-placed Sheffield United who have managed five.

Brighton v Fulham Bets

It doesn’t bode well for the Cottagers. Brighton are the favourites to win this match and secure their first home Premier League win in six months at 11/10. The visitors are out at 14/5 to get their first away win since their trip to Leicester City in November. When combined, these two sides have drawn nine of their last 14 Premier League fixtures. A draw here is 13/5.

It certainly wouldn’t be a surprise to see the points shared in this match. These two sides have drawn more than their fair share of Premier League matches this campaign. Even many of the previous matches between Brighton and Fulham have finished all square. They’ve split the points in two of their last three. A 1-1 draw is 6/1 which represents excellent value.

Half or handicap betting makes little sense with sides this evenly balanced. Instead, there may be better value in backing the number of goals. These kinds of matches are often tight as both teams would surely take a point of offered right now. Under 2.5 total match goals is 5/6 and under 1.5 is 12/5.

There may be some value in the goals betting. Both teams have scored in 63% of Brighton’s Premier League matches this season. No side has a higher figure so both teams to score looks a good punt at 10/11. There are goalscoring options on both teams with plenty of choices to pick from. It may well be worth backing a less-than-prolific goalscorer. Ruben Loftus-Cheek has put in some good performances for the Cottagers of late and is out at 13/1 to score the first goal here. Lewis Dunk is an 11/2 anytime goalscorer for the hosts.