Brighton vs. Liverpool Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 19 May 2025 - bettingexpert
Brighton hosts league leaders Liverpool at The American Express Community Stadium on 19 May 2025 in what promises to be an intriguing Premier League clash. With Liverpool having already secured the Premier League title this season, they’ll be looking to maintain momentum ahead of potential Champions League challenges. In contrast, Brighton, currently in 9th place, are aiming to finish the season strong as they prepare for a European spot hunt next season.
Liverpool, under the leadership of Arne Slot, are favorites with odds of 2.45, given their stronger form and position. Mohamed Salah, nominated for Player of the Season, leads their attacking line and will be key in making a breakthrough. On the home side, Joao Pedro, who has attracted interest from Arsenal, Chelsea, and Liverpool, is Brighton’s potential game-changer with 10 goals this season.
The referee, John Brooks, tends to have a firm grip, with an average of 5.6 yellow cards per game, adding an interesting dimension to the match. Overall, we recommend Liverpool to win with Draw No Bet, emphasizing their strength despite Brighton’s impressive season.
A draw could also be a possibility given previous head-to-head outcomes, but Liverpool is better positioned to clinch the win.
Key facts to consider: Liverpool have scored the most in the 61-75 minute interval, while Brighton shines in the dying moments. This promises a gripping finale.
Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tip
Our recommended betting tip for this match is to back Liverpool with a Draw No Bet. Here’s why:
- Liverpool have been one of the strongest teams in the Premier League this season, securing the top spot with 83 points.
- Despite Brighton’s commendable season, they’ve struggled in recent encounters against Liverpool, who have more often come out on top.
- With star player Mohamed Salah leading the attack, Liverpool’s offensive unit looks formidable.
| Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Liverpool to win with Draw No Bet | 2.45 |
- Liverpool have repeatedly proven their superiority against Brighton in recent meetings.
- With both teams having a fairly solid defensive record, opting for Draw No Bet minimizes risk.
- Referee John Brooks averages 5.6 yellow cards per game, suggesting a potentially cautious, balanced match.
Brighton vs Liverpool Odds
The upcoming match between Brighton and Liverpool is set to be an exciting encounter, with Liverpool being the slight favourite according to the bookmakers. Here’s a breakdown of the odds:
| Brighton vs Liverpool Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Brighton to win | 2.60 |
| Draw | 3.80 |
| Liverpool to win | 2.45 |
Liverpool, sitting at the top of the league, are seen as the team to back. However, Brighton, with a strong home record, shouldn’t be underestimated. With odds favouring Liverpool slightly, betting on them with a draw-no-bet option could offer a balanced risk-reward scenario. This setup makes the betting landscape intriguing for fans and punters alike.
Brighton Team Analysis
Brighton Recent Performance ()
Brighton have had a mixed bag of results in their last five Premier League outings. They managed to secure two important wins, drew two matches, and suffered one defeat. With an average of 2.00 goals scored per game and only one clean sheet in the last five matches, their attack is relatively strong but their defensive consistency needs improvement.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | Brighton | 2025-05-10 | Premier League | 0-2 (Win) |
| Brighton | Newcastle | 2025-05-04 | Premier League | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Brighton | West Ham | 2025-04-26 | Premier League | 3-2 (Win) |
| Brentford | Brighton | 2025-04-19 | Premier League | 4-2 (Loss) |
| Brighton | Leicester | 2025-04-12 | Premier League | 2-2 (Draw) |
Brighton’s recent form indicates they are capable of scoring but need to tighten up their defense to secure better results. This makes for an exciting match against Liverpool, as every goal-scoring opportunity could be significant.
Brighton Key Players
Brighton’s key player to watch is Joao Pedro, the Brazilian forward, who has been drawing significant interest from top Premier League clubs following his strong performances this season. With 10 goals and 7 assists to his name, Pedro presents a constant threat in the final third and will be pivotal in Brighton’s attack.
Carlos Baleba, another standout player linked with a potential transfer to Manchester City, has also been impressive in midfield. His role will be crucial in orchestrating play and disrupting Liverpool’s advances.
Expected lineup for Brighton:
- Goalkeeper: Bart Verbruggen
- Defenders: Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Pervis Estupinan
- Midfielders: Yasin Ayari, Carlos Baleba, Yankuba Minteh, Joao Pedro, Kaoru Mitoma
- Forward: Danny Welbeck
Mohamed Salah, Liverpool’s top scorer, will be a tough matchup for Brighton’s defenders, making for interesting individual battles on the pitch.
Brighton Suspensions & Injuries
Brighton has a number of injuries that could impact their performance in this crucial match against Liverpool. Key players like Joel Veltman and James Milner are close to returns but remain uncertain, while others are more definitively out until late May.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| James Milner | Hamstring Injury | Late May 2025 |
| Joel Veltman | Virus | Few days |
| Ferdi Kadioglu | Toe injury | Late May 2025 |
| Georginio Rutter | Ankle injury | Late May 2025 |
| Solly March | Knee injury | Late May 2025 |
Liverpool’s formidable attack will be a significant challenge, especially given Brighton’s somewhat depleted defense. The absence of experienced players like Milner and March could leave Brighton vulnerable, placing increased pressure on their available squad to maintain their strong form.
Brighton Tactics and Formation
Brighton Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Danny Welbeck
- Playmaker: Joao Pedro
- Wingers: Yankuba Minteh and Kaoru Mitoma
- Defensive Midfield: Yasin Ayari and Carlos Baleba
Brighton is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Danny Welbeck leading the attack. Joao Pedro, their top scorer with 10 goals, will play just behind Welbeck as the main creative force. On the flanks, the pace and skill of Yankuba Minteh and Kaoru Mitoma will aim to stretch Liverpool’s defense. Defensively, Yasin Ayari and Carlos Baleba will anchor the midfield, providing cover for the backline and trying to keep the influential Mohamed Salah in check. Brighton has shown resilience, especially in the last quarters of games, often scoring late goals. However, with key injuries in their squad, maintaining this tactical discipline will be crucial against a high-flying Liverpool side.
Liverpool Team Analysis
Liverpool Recent Performance DLWWW
Liverpool has been in solid form over their last five Premier League outings with three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their performance in these games highlights their consistent attacking prowess, averaging 2.2 goals per match. However, their defensive record shows room for improvement, with only one clean sheet in this period.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Arsenal | 2025-05-11 | Premier League | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Chelsea | Liverpool | 2025-05-04 | Premier League | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Liverpool | Tottenham | 2025-04-27 | Premier League | 5-1 (Win) |
| Leicester City | Liverpool | 2025-04-20 | Premier League | 0-1 (Win) |
| Liverpool | West Ham | 2025-04-13 | Premier League | 2-1 (Win) |
Overall, Liverpool’s attacking strategy has been effective, spearheaded by their top scorer Mohamed Salah. Their ability to maintain offensive pressure, particularly in the latter stages of matches, has kept them at the top of the Premier League table.
Liverpool Key Players
Liverpool’s squad is brimming with talent, and their key players have been pivotal in their success this season. The standout performer is Mohamed Salah, who leads the scoring charts with 28 goals. His ability to find the back of the net consistently makes him a constant threat for any defence.
Expected lineup for Liverpool:
- Goalkeeper: Alisson
- Defenders: Conor Bradley, Jarell Quansah, Virgil van Dijk, Konstantinos Tsimikas
- Midfielders: Alexis Mac Allister, Curtis Jones, Harvey Elliott
- Attackers: Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, Diogo Jota
Key individual battles to watch include Mohamed Salah against Brighton’s left-back Pervis Estupiñán, and Diogo Jota challenging the solidity of Brighton’s centre-back Lewis Dunk. These matchups could very well dictate the flow and outcome of the game.
Liverpool Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Matip | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Joe Gomez | Hamstring injury | Doubtful |
Liverpool’s defence is dealing with significant absences. Joel Matip’s season-ending cruciate ligament injury is a major blow, and Joe Gomez’s hamstring issue leaves him doubtful for the match.
These injuries may affect Liverpool’s stability at the back, putting extra responsibility on Virgil van Dijk and young Jarell Quansah. Their ability to adapt to these challenges will be crucial in maintaining the team’s defensive solidity as they aim to retain their top spot in the league.
Liverpool Tactics and Formation
Liverpool’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Diogo Jota
- Midfield Trio: Alexis Mac Allister, Curtis Jones, Harvey Elliott
- Defensive Line: Conor Bradley, Jarell Quansah, Virgil Van Dijk, Konstantinos Tsimikas
- Notable Strategy: Strong attack during the 61-75 minute interval
In this setup, Liverpool will likely focus on leveraging Mohamed Salah’s pace and goal-scoring ability on the right wing, with Cody Gakpo providing width on the left. The duo of Mac Allister and Jones in defensive midfield is tasked with breaking up Brighton’s attacks and supporting the forward play. Van Dijk’s leadership at the back will be crucial, particularly given the absences of Matip and Gomez, making defensive set-pieces and organisational skills even more vital.
Brighton vs Liverpool Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Brighton | 2024-11-02 | Premier League | 2-1 (Win) |
| Brighton | Liverpool | 2024-10-30 | EFL Cup | 2-3 (Loss) |
| Liverpool | Brighton | 2024-03-31 | Premier League | 2-1 (Win) |
| Brighton | Liverpool | 2023-10-08 | Premier League | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Brighton | Liverpool | 2023-01-29 | FA Cup | 2-1 (Win) |
The last five meetings between Brighton and Liverpool have been a mixed bag, showcasing both teams’ ability to compete intensely. Liverpool has a slight edge, with three wins out of the last five encounters. Brighton managed to clinch a win in the FA Cup and held Liverpool to a draw in the Premier League. Expect a tight contest, as both squads have proven they can find the back of the net against each other.
Odds accurate as of 17/05/2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
