Crystal Palace vs Burnley Prediction, Match Preview, Wednesday, 11 February

Crystal Palace vs Burnley Prediction, Match Preview, Wednesday, 11 February. Looking ahead to this Premier League clash, Crystal Palace will host Burnley at Selhurst Park. Both teams are eager to secure valuable points, with Crystal Palace aiming to capitalise on their home advantage. The match is set to kick off at 20:30, promising an intriguing contest between these two English sides.

Crystal Palace, playing at their home ground, Selhurst Park, will be looking to strengthen their position in the Premier League standings. Meanwhile, Burnley will be keen to disrupt Palace’s plans and improve their own league status. This matchup is significant as both teams are striving to climb the league table, making every point crucial in this midweek encounter.

Crystal Palace vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Crystal Palace to Win	1.55

When analysing the market odds and current form, Crystal Palace emerges as the clear favourite to secure a victory against Burnley at Selhurst Park. Despite Palace’s slight dip in form, their defensive solidity and superior head-to-head record against Burnley make them a strong pick.

• Crystal Palace have an unbeaten record against Burnley in their last five meetings, with three wins and two draws, showcasing their dominance in this fixture.
• Burnley have conceded over two goals per match in recent games and are dealing with injuries to key defenders, further weakening their chances.
• Palace’s defensive resilience, conceding just four goals in six away matches, indicates they can handle Burnley’s attack effectively.

Considering Burnley’s ongoing struggles, including defensive frailties and key injuries, backing Crystal Palace to win offers good value and a high likelihood of success.

Betting Odds

Crystal Palace are stepping into this match as clear favourites, with betting odds reflecting their strong home advantage at Selhurst Park. Burnley, on the other hand, are seen as the underdogs, offering a tempting return for those willing to back an upset.

Betting Tip	Odds
Crystal Palace to win	1.55
Draw	4.03
Burnley to win	6.11

The odds for a draw are also quite appealing, suggesting that bookmakers anticipate a competitive encounter. For those looking to explore other markets, consider the potential for a low-scoring affair, given both teams’ recent defensive performances.

Crystal Palace Analysis & Past Performance

Crystal Palace’s recent form indicates a challenging period, with only one victory in their last five matches. Notably, their most recent game ended in a 1-0 away defeat against Brighton. This run includes two draws and two losses across various competitions, suggesting inconsistency in their performances.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Brighton	Crystal Palace	0 – 1 (Win)	Premier League	8 Feb 2026
Nottingham Forest	Crystal Palace	1 – 1 (Draw)	Premier League	1 Feb 2026
Crystal Palace	Chelsea	1 – 3 (Loss)	Premier League	25 Jan 2026
Sunderland	Crystal Palace	2 – 1 (Loss)	Premier League	17 Jan 2026
Macclesfield	Crystal Palace	2 – 1 (Loss)	FA Cup	10 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
In terms of offensive output, Crystal Palace have managed an average of 1.00 goals per game in their last five fixtures. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.60 goals, highlighting vulnerabilities at the back. Despite scoring in four of these five encounters, their inability to convert this into wins is telling of their current struggles.

Their home form is particularly concerning, with no wins in their last five matches at Selhurst Park, resulting in three draws and two defeats. This lack of home advantage could be pivotal in their upcoming fixtures. Sitting in 13th place in the Premier League with 32 points, the team needs to address both ends of the pitch to climb up the table. Key player Jean-Philippe Mateta, with eight goals this season, remains a crucial figure in their attacking setup.

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Crystal Palace Suspensions & Injuries

Crystal Palace face a challenging scenario with several key players sidelined due to injuries. The absence of Cheick Doucouré, dealing with a knee injury until early March, significantly impacts the midfield’s stability. His defensive prowess and ability to dictate the pace are hard to replicate. Edward Nketiah’s strain injury, expected to resolve by mid-February, leaves a gap in the attacking options, reducing the team’s depth and versatility up front.

Jean-Philippe Mateta’s knee injury, keeping him out until late February, further limits Crystal Palace’s offensive firepower. This situation necessitates tactical adjustments, with Joergen Strand Larsen likely to shoulder more responsibility in leading the attack. The team’s reliance on its available players is crucial, as any additional injuries could severely test their squad depth.

In the midfield, Justin Devenny’s ankle injury compounds the issues, leaving the likes of Adam Wharton and Will Hughes to step up and fill the void. The team’s 3-4-2-1 formation will demand more from the wing-backs, such as Tyrick Mitchell and Daniel Munoz, to support both defensive and attacking transitions.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Cheick Doucouré	Knee injury	Early March 2026
Edward Nketiah	Strain injury	Mid February 2026
Justin Devenny	Ankle injury	Early March 2026
Jean-Philippe Mateta	Knee injury	Late February 2026

Crystal Palace Key Players

Crystal Palace’s attacking prowess will be significantly influenced by Joergen Strand Larsen, who is expected to lead the line. Although Jean-Philippe Mateta, the top scorer with 8 goals, is absent, Larsen’s physicality and hold-up play will be pivotal in Crystal Palace’s offensive strategy. His ability to bring midfielders into play could unlock Burnley’s defence.

In the midfield, the dynamic presence of Ismaïla Sarr and Yeremy Pino is expected to be a game-changer. Sarr’s pace and dribbling skills on the flanks provide Crystal Palace with a direct threat, while Pino’s creativity and vision can carve open defences. Additionally, Adam Wharton’s role in controlling the midfield tempo will be crucial in transitioning from defence to attack.

Defensively, Maxence Lacroix and Chris Richards form the backbone of Crystal Palace’s defence. Lacroix’s aerial dominance and Richards’ tackling ability are vital in maintaining a solid defensive line, crucial for thwarting Burnley’s attacking threats.

Expected lineup for Crystal Palace:

• Goalkeeper: Dean Henderson
• Defence: Maxence Lacroix, Chris Richards, Jefferson Lerma
• Midfield: Adam Wharton, Tyrick Mitchell, Ismaïla Sarr, Will Hughes, Daniel Munoz, Yeremy Pino
• Forward: Joergen Strand Larsen

Crystal Palace Tactics and Formation

Crystal Palace Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Joergen Strand Larsen
• Midfield Dynamics: Adam Wharton and Will Hughes
• Defensive Setup: Three central defenders with a focus on compactness
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wing play and quick transitions

Crystal Palace’s 3-4-2-1 formation under Oliver Glasner is structured to enhance both defensive resilience and offensive flexibility. The back three of Maxence Lacroix, Chris Richards, and Jefferson Lerma provides a solid defensive core, aiming to maintain compactness and reduce spaces for opposition forwards.

In midfield, Adam Wharton and Will Hughes are pivotal, tasked with transitioning play from defence to attack swiftly. Tyrick Mitchell and Ismaïla Sarr, operating as wing-backs, are crucial for width and supporting both defensive and offensive phases, often overlapping to provide crosses into the box.

Offensively, Joergen Strand Larsen leads the line, supported by the creative inputs of Yeremy Pino and Daniel Munoz. This setup allows Crystal Palace to exploit spaces on the wings and create goal-scoring opportunities, though the absence of key players like Jean-Philippe Mateta and Edward Nketiah might challenge their attacking depth.

Burnley Analysis & Past Performance

Burnley’s recent form has been challenging, with no wins in their last five Premier League matches. Their recent outings include a 0-2 home defeat to West Ham and a 3-0 away loss at Sunderland. Despite a spirited 2-2 draw against Tottenham, they remain without a victory in the league, emphasising their struggles in turning draws into wins.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Burnley	West Ham	0 – 2 (Loss)	Premier League	7 Feb, 2026
Sunderland	Burnley	3 – 0 (Loss)	Premier League	2 Feb, 2026
Burnley	Tottenham	2 – 2 (Draw)	Premier League	24 Jan, 2026
Liverpool	Burnley	1 – 1 (Draw)	Premier League	17 Jan, 2026
Burnley	Millwall	5 – 1 (Win)	FA Cup	10 Jan, 2026

Recent Form:
Burnley’s goal-scoring efforts show an average of 1.60 goals per match over the last five games, but they have conceded an average of 1.80 per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. They have managed to score in three out of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet, which indicates both attacking potential and defensive frailties.

Their away form has been particularly concerning, with three losses and two draws in their last five away fixtures. This lack of success on the road contributes to their position near the bottom of the league table, currently standing 19th with just 15 points. Their inability to secure wins, especially away, is a significant factor in their current league standing.

• LLDDW

Burnley Suspensions & Injuries

Burnley face this match with several key absences that could significantly impact their tactical setup. Zeki Amdouni’s cruciate ligament injury rules him out until early April, removing a vital attacking option. Josh Cullen is another long-term absentee with a similar injury, sidelining him until September, which affects Burnley’s midfield dynamism. With Connor Roberts and Mike Trésor both expected back in mid-February, Burnley will miss their services in this crucial fixture. Roberts’ strain injury and Trésor’s ankle issue mean adjustments are necessary at the back and in creative roles.

Louis Jordan Beyer, suffering from a knee injury, is likely to return by late February. His absence weakens Burnley’s defensive depth, potentially putting more pressure on Maxime Estève and Bashir Humphreys in central defence. Burnley might have to rely on their bench to fill these gaps, which could lead to a more conservative approach against Crystal Palace.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Zeki Amdouni	Cruciate ligament injury	Early April 2026
Connor Roberts	Strain injury	Mid February 2026
Louis Jordan Beyer	Knee injury	Late February 2026
Josh Cullen	Cruciate ligament injury	Early September 2026
Mike Trésor	Ankle injury	Mid February 2026

These injuries force Burnley to rethink their strategy, possibly adopting a more defensive 4-5-1 formation to maintain solidity in the midfield and defence. The lack of key players might influence betting markets, possibly skewing odds in favour of Crystal Palace, given Burnley’s compromised squad depth.

Burnley Key Players

Zian Flemming stands out as Burnley’s top scorer with 5 goals this season. His role as the lone forward is pivotal, as his ability to find the back of the net will be crucial against Crystal Palace. Flemming’s clinical finishing and positional awareness make him a constant threat to any defence, and his contributions often tilt the balance in Burnley’s favour.

In the midfield, Marcus Edwards and Hannibal Mejbri are key players who can significantly influence the game’s tempo. Edwards, known for his dribbling prowess and creativity, provides the attacking spark needed to unlock defences. Mejbri, with his vision and passing accuracy, acts as a vital playmaker, ensuring the seamless transition from defence to attack. Defensively, Kyle Walker’s experience and leadership at the back are crucial in organising the defence, while Maxime Estève’s physicality aids in neutralising opposing forwards.

Expected lineup for Burnley

• Goalkeeper: Martin Dúbravka
• Defenders: Kyle Walker, Maxime Estève, Bashir Humphreys, Lucas Pires
• Midfielders: Marcus Edwards, Florentino, Lesley Ugochukwu, Jaidon Anthony, Hannibal Mejbri
• Forward: Zian Flemming

Burnley Tactics and Formation

Burnley Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Zian Flemming
• Midfield Core: Florentino and Lesley Ugochukwu
• Defensive Challenges: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Focus on midfield control and wing play.

Burnley, under Scott Parker, employ a 4-5-1 formation that emphasises midfield dominance and wide play. This setup aims to provide both defensive coverage and offensive support, with Florentino and Lesley Ugochukwu playing pivotal roles in midfield. Their task is to disrupt opposition attacks while facilitating transitions to offence.

In attack, Zian Flemming serves as the focal point, supported by wingers Marcus Edwards and Jaidon Anthony. This trio is crucial for creating scoring opportunities, especially given Burnley’s recent struggles in front of goal, as evidenced by their goalless performance against West Ham.

Defensively, the backline led by Kyle Walker and Maxime Estève faces the challenge of tightening up, having conceded in all of their last five matches. The team will need to improve their defensive coordination to avoid conceding early goals, which have been a recurring issue.

Crystal Palace vs Burnley Head-to-Head Record

Crystal Palace and Burnley have faced off 41 times, with Palace slightly ahead in the head-to-head record with 14 wins to Burnley’s 12, alongside 15 draws. Their last encounter was a Premier League match in December 2025, where Palace snatched a 1-0 victory at Turf Moor.

The last time these two met at Selhurst Park was in February 2024, and Palace fans will fondly remember a convincing 3-0 win. Historically, Palace have been strong at home against Burnley, which could be a factor in their favour this time around.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	League	Date
Burnley	Crystal Palace	0 – 1	Premier League	2025-12-03
Crystal Palace	Burnley	3 – 0	Premier League	2024-02-24
Burnley	Crystal Palace	0 – 2	Premier League	2023-11-04
Crystal Palace	Burnley	1 – 1	Premier League	2022-02-26
Burnley	Crystal Palace	3 – 3	Premier League	2021-11-20