Burnley vs West Ham: Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips (Saturday, 7 February)

Burnley will host West Ham at Turf Moor in a compelling Premier League clash on Saturday, 7 February. This fixture promises to be an intriguing contest as both teams seek to secure crucial points in the league standings. Burnley, playing on home soil, will look to capitalise on their familiarity with the conditions to gain an advantage over their opponents.

West Ham, meanwhile, will be determined to challenge Burnley and improve their position in the Premier League table. With both sides having much to play for, this encounter is set to be a competitive affair. The outcome could have significant implications for each team’s campaign, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

Burnley vs West Ham: Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
More than 2 goals in the first half	5.7

Given Burnley’s poor form and West Ham’s tendency to concede goals, our recommended betting tip is ‘Both Teams to Score’. Both sides have strong incentives to attack, each aiming for a vital win to boost their league prospects.

• Burnley have failed to win in their last 15 matches, underlining their defensive struggles and making it likely they will concede.
• West Ham have been vulnerable at the back, particularly between the 61st and 75th minutes, increasing the likelihood of conceding.
• Both teams are desperate for a win, and this attacking approach should result in an open game with goals at both ends.

Burnley have failed to win in their last 15 matches, underlining their defensive struggles and making it likely they will concede.

West Ham have been vulnerable at the back, particularly between the 61st and 75th minutes, increasing the likelihood of conceding.

Both teams are desperate for a win, and this attacking approach should result in an open game with goals at both ends.

Betting Odds

As Burnley welcome West Ham to Turf Moor, the betting odds point towards a closely contested encounter. West Ham are slight favourites at odds of 2.15, reflecting their superior league position and recent form. Burnley, priced at 3.33, could appeal to those seeking value for a potential home upset.

Betting Tip	Odds
Burnley to win	3.33
Draw	3.45
West Ham to win	2.15

The draw, at 3.45, may attract punters anticipating a stalemate. With both teams known for their resilience, the under 2.5 goals market is also drawing interest.

Burnley: Analysis & Recent Performance

Burnley currently find themselves in a difficult position in the Premier League, sitting 19th with just 15 points. Their recent form has been mixed, with only one win in their last five matches—a comprehensive 5-1 victory over Millwall in the FA Cup. However, they have struggled to translate this momentum into league success, drawing three times and losing once in their last five league outings.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Sunderland	Burnley	3 – 0 (Defeat)	Premier League	2 February 2026
Burnley	Tottenham	2 – 2 (Draw)	Premier League	24 January 2026
Liverpool	Burnley	1 – 1 (Draw)	Premier League	17 January 2026
Burnley	Millwall	5 – 1 (Victory)	FA Cup	10 January 2026
Burnley	Manchester United	2 – 2 (Draw)	Premier League	7 January 2026

Recent Form:
In their last five matches, Burnley have scored 10 goals, averaging 2.00 goals per game, but have conceded 9, with no clean sheets. Their defensive frailties have been a major issue, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per match. Despite their attacking threat—particularly from Zian Flemming—their inability to keep clean sheets has hindered progress.

At home, Burnley have fared slightly better, with one win, one loss, and three draws in their last five matches at Turf Moor. They have scored in four of these games but have conceded in all, with a home win ratio of 0.20. This underlines the need for improvement if they are to secure more victories on home turf.

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Burnley: Suspensions & Injuries

Burnley are contending with several injury setbacks ahead of their clash with West Ham. Notably, Zeki Amdouni and Josh Cullen are sidelined with cruciate ligament injuries, significantly impacting Burnley’s attacking and midfield options. Amdouni’s absence will be felt in the forward line, while Cullen’s unavailability until September means Burnley will miss his presence and defensive contributions in midfield, potentially requiring Lesley Ugochukwu to play a deeper role.

Connor Roberts and Mike Tresor are also unavailable due to a strain and an ankle injury respectively, both expected back by mid to late February. Their absence could limit Burnley’s width and crossing ability, prompting tactical adjustments from manager Scott Parker, who may rely on Kyle Walker’s versatility at wing-back.

Jordan Beyer’s knee injury, expected to keep him out until late February, further depletes Burnley’s defensive ranks. Axel Tuanzebe and Maxime Esteve will need to step up to ensure defensive solidity. The absence of both Roberts and Beyer could lead to a more conservative approach to protect the backline.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Zeki Amdouni	Cruciate ligament injury	Early April 2026
Connor Roberts	Strain injury	Mid February 2026
Louis Jordan Beyer	Knee injury	Late February 2026
Josh Cullen	Cruciate ligament injury	Early September 2026
Mike Tresor	Ankle injury	Mid February 2026

These injuries not only affect team selection but could also influence betting markets, as Burnley may be seen as less likely to secure a win due to these key absences. The squad’s depth will be tested, and their ability to adapt tactically will be crucial in overcoming West Ham’s challenge.

Burnley: Key Players

Burnley’s top scorer, Zian Flemming, with five goals this season, will be central to their attacking strategy against West Ham. Flemming’s ability to score from midfield positions makes him a dual threat, both creating and finishing chances. His late runs into the box could cause significant problems for West Ham’s defence.

At the back, Axel Tuanzebe and Maxime Esteve are expected to provide stability, with Tuanzebe’s leadership and Esteve’s physicality being vital in neutralising West Ham’s attacking threats. In midfield, Florentino will be tasked with dictating the tempo and breaking up opposition play, providing a solid base for Burnley’s transitions.

On the flanks, Marcus Edwards and Jaidon Anthony will look to exploit any weaknesses in West Ham’s full-back areas with their pace and dribbling, potentially stretching the defence and creating space for Flemming and striker Lyle Foster.

Expected lineup for Burnley:

• Goalkeeper: Martin Dubravka
• Defence: Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys
• Midfield: Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Lucas Pires, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony, Florentino
• Forward: Lyle Foster

Burnley: Tactics & Formation

Burnley Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Lyle Foster
• Midfield Pivot: Lesley Ugochukwu and Lucas Pires
• Defensive Weakness: No clean sheets in recent matches
• Notable Strategy: Wing-back play and focus on possession.

Under Scott Parker, Burnley utilise a 3-4-2-1 formation that emphasises midfield control and width through wing-backs. The central pairing of Lesley Ugochukwu and Lucas Pires is responsible for both shielding the defence and launching attacks. Marcus Edwards and Jaidon Anthony, operating behind the striker, provide creativity and penetration.

Defensively, the trio of Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Esteve, and Bashir Humphreys have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in every recent game. The absence of key defenders such as Jordan Beyer has further exposed vulnerabilities, necessitating a collective defensive effort.

Offensively, Burnley aim to exploit the wide areas through Kyle Walker and Marcus Edwards to create opportunities for Lyle Foster. Despite enjoying high possession, converting chances into goals has been a challenge, as shown in their recent 0-3 defeat to Sunderland.

West Ham: Analysis & Recent Performance

West Ham’s recent form in the Premier League has been mixed, with three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a narrow 3-2 loss to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, highlighting both their attacking threat and defensive vulnerabilities.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Chelsea	West Ham	3 – 2 (Loss)	Premier League	31 Jan 2026
West Ham	Sunderland	3 – 1 (Win)	Premier League	24 Jan 2026
Tottenham	West Ham	1 – 2 (Win)	Premier League	17 Jan 2026
West Ham	Queens Park Rangers	1 – 1 (Extra time: 1 – 0) (Win)	FA Cup	11 Jan 2026
West Ham	Nottingham Forest	1 – 2 (Loss)	Premier League	6 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

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The Hammers have consistently found the net, averaging 2.00 goals per game in their last five fixtures. However, their defensive record leaves room for improvement, conceding an average of 1.60 goals per match and failing to keep a clean sheet. Away from home, West Ham have struggled, with only one win in their last five away games, which could be a concern as they prepare to face Burnley.

West Ham: Suspensions & Injuries

West Ham face a couple of significant absences this week. Jean-Clair Todibo is suspended following a red card, meaning the defensive line must adapt, likely bringing Max Kilman into the starting eleven. This change could affect West Ham’s defensive stability, as Todibo’s absence may require a more cautious approach from the back four.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Jean-Clair Todibo	Red card	1	Unknown

In terms of injuries, Łukasz Fabiański remains sidelined with a back injury and is expected to return in mid-February 2026. Alphonse Areola continues as the starting goalkeeper and has performed well in Fabiański’s absence. Areola’s consistency could help maintain the team’s form, though Fabiański’s experience is missed.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Łukasz Fabiański	Back injury	Mid-February 2026

These absences could impact West Ham’s overall performance, especially defensively. Bettors may wish to consider the effect of these missing players on West Ham’s chances of keeping a clean sheet, as Todibo’s suspension could lead to defensive vulnerabilities against Burnley.

West Ham: Key Players

West Ham’s attacking threat centres on their top scorer, Jarrod Bowen, who has netted eight times this season. Bowen’s ability to exploit space on the flanks and cut inside makes him a constant danger. His partnership with Valentín Castellanos up front could be vital in breaking down Burnley’s defence. Castellanos, known for his sharp movement and clinical finishing, will look to make the most of any chances created by Bowen and the midfield.

In midfield, Tomáš Souček’s physicality and aerial prowess provide West Ham with both defensive solidity and an extra attacking option at set-pieces. His role in breaking up play and supporting attacks is crucial for the team’s balance. Meanwhile, Crysencio Summerville is expected to inject creativity and pace, potentially unlocking Burnley’s defence with his dribbling.

Expected lineup for West Ham

• Goalkeeper: Alphonse Areola
• Defence: Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Max Kilman, Malick Diouf
• Midfield: Jarrod Bowen, Crysencio Summerville, Pablo, Mateus Fernandes, Tomáš Souček
• Forward: Valentín Castellanos

West Ham: Tactics & Formation

West Ham Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-1-1
• Key Forward: Valentín Castellanos
• Midfield Core: Pablo and Tomáš Souček
• Defensive Change: Max Kilman replaces Jean-Clair Todibo
• Recent Form: Scored in all last five games but kept no clean sheets.

West Ham’s 4-4-1-1 formation under Nuno Espírito Santo provides a structured approach, with Valentín Castellanos leading the line. The midfield, anchored by Pablo and Tomáš Souček, is key to dictating play and supporting both defence and attack. Jarrod Bowen’s presence out wide adds further width and creativity.

Defensively, Max Kilman partners Konstantinos Mavropanos in central defence, focusing on aerial strength and organisation. This adjustment, following Jean-Clair Todibo’s suspension, aims to address vulnerabilities exposed in their recent 3-2 defeat to Chelsea.

Going forward, West Ham have been effective, scoring consistently in recent matches. However, their inability to keep clean sheets highlights a need for greater defensive resilience, especially against a Burnley side that can threaten on the counter.

Burnley vs West Ham: Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, West Ham have been the dominant side, winning 14 of 27 encounters to Burnley’s six, with seven draws. The most recent meeting saw West Ham edge Burnley 3-2 in the Premier League, underlining their attacking strength.

The last time the sides met at Turf Moor, West Ham secured a 2-1 victory in November 2023. Burnley will be eager to reverse this trend, particularly given their recent struggles at home against the Hammers.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	League	Date
West Ham United	Burnley	3 – 2	Premier League	2025-11-08
West Ham United	Burnley	2 – 2	Premier League	2024-03-10
Burnley	West Ham United	1 – 2	Premier League	2023-11-25
West Ham United	Burnley	1 – 1	Premier League	2022-04-17
Burnley	West Ham United	0 – 0	Premier League	2021-12-12