Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto Prediction, Match Preview, Monday, 2 February

Casa Pia AC are set to face FC Porto in a highly anticipated Liga Portugal clash on Monday, 2 February. The match will be held at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter between these two Portuguese sides. With FC Porto among the top teams in the league, this fixture presents a significant challenge for Casa Pia AC, who will be eager to make a statement on home soil.

The importance of this matchup cannot be overstated, as FC Porto look to maintain their position at the top of the Liga Portugal standings. Meanwhile, Casa Pia AC will be determined to upset the odds and secure a vital victory in front of their home supporters. This fixture promises an exciting contest, with both teams having much to play for as the season progresses.

Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
FC Porto to Win and Over 1.5 Goals	1.7

Given FC Porto’s commanding form and Casa Pia AC’s defensive struggles, my recommended betting tip is for Porto to win with a -1.5 Asian Handicap. Porto’s recent victories, combined with Casa Pia AC’s key defensive injuries, make this a strong bet.

• FC Porto have won seven of their last eight encounters against Casa Pia AC, including a 4-0 win earlier this season.
• Casa Pia AC have conceded nine goals in their last three matches and are missing key defensive players.
• FC Porto have maintained over 65% possession in recent games, demonstrating their ability to control matches and create scoring opportunities.

Betting Odds

In this Liga Portugal clash, FC Porto are clear favourites with betting odds of 1.26, reflecting their strong form and superior squad depth. Casa Pia AC, on the other hand, are seen as underdogs with odds of 11.25, which may appeal to those looking for a long shot.

Betting Tip	Odds
Casa Pia AC to win	11.25
Draw	5.29
FC Porto to win	1.26

The draw is priced at 5.29, suggesting that bookmakers see it as a less likely outcome. For those interested in alternative markets, considering FC Porto’s attacking prowess, the over 2.5 goals market could be worth a punt.

Casa Pia AC Analysis & Past Performance

Casa Pia AC have struggled to find consistent form in recent weeks, with just one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two defeats. In their most recent outing, they drew 3-3 with AVS Futebol SAD, highlighting their defensive vulnerability, conceding three goals despite scoring three themselves.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Casa Pia AC	AVS Futebol SAD	3 – 3 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	23 Jan 2026
Sporting CP	Casa Pia AC	3 – 0 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	16 Jan 2026
Rio Ave	Casa Pia AC	3 – 1 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	4 Jan 2026
Casa Pia AC	Vitoria de Guimaraes	0 – 0 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	28 Dec 2025
Tondela	Casa Pia AC	1 – 2 (Win)	Primeira Liga	21 Dec 2025

Recent Form:
Casa Pia AC have averaged 1.20 goals per game in their last five fixtures, but their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match. Despite scoring in three of their last five games, they have managed only one clean sheet, underlining their inability to maintain defensive solidity. Their win ratio in this period stands at a modest 20%, emphasising the need for improvement in both attack and defence.

Home Performance:

• DLLDW

At home, Casa Pia AC’s struggles are pronounced, as they have yet to register a win in their last five home games, drawing three and losing two. They have scored in three of these matches, but their defence has been breached in four, resulting in a winless home streak. This lack of home advantage is a significant concern, given their precarious league position, currently sitting 16th with 15 points.

Casa Pia AC Suspensions & Injuries

Casa Pia AC are facing a challenging situation with several key players unavailable due to injury. Kiki Silva’s knee injury and Lawrence Ofori’s ankle issue have left them doubtful for the upcoming clash against FC Porto. Their absence could significantly affect the team’s tactical setup, particularly in maintaining midfield stability. The defensive line also suffers a blow with Duplexe Tchamba out until mid-February, potentially weakening their backline resilience.

The muscle injury sustained by Kaique Rocha adds to Casa Pia AC’s defensive concerns, leaving coach Álvaro Pacheco with limited options to reshuffle his defence. This situation may force Pacheco to rely on less experienced players, which could impact the team’s overall defensive solidity against a formidable FC Porto attack.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Kiki Silva	Knee injury	Doubtful
Lawrence Ofori	Ankle injury	Doubtful
Duplexe Tchamba	Unknown	Mid February 2026
Kaique Rocha	Muscle injury	Doubtful

With no suspensions to contend with, Casa Pia AC’s coach Álvaro Pacheco will need to make strategic adjustments to compensate for the injury-induced absences. This might include a shift in formation or the introduction of younger talents from the bench. The lack of depth due to these injuries could influence the match’s betting markets, potentially favouring FC Porto given Casa Pia AC’s weakened squad.

Casa Pia AC Key Players

Jérémy Livolant stands out as Casa Pia AC’s top scorer with three goals this season. As a forward, Livolant’s agility and sharp finishing make him a constant threat to opposition defences. His ability to find space and exploit defensive weaknesses will be crucial against FC Porto. The forward line is further bolstered by Tiago Morais and Cassiano, who bring a blend of pace and physicality, providing Livolant with opportunities to capitalise on.

Midfield dynamism comes from Gaizka Larrazabal and Rafael Brito, both of whom are key in dictating the tempo and transitioning play from defence to attack. Larrazabal’s versatility allows him to support both defensive duties and forward surges, while Brito’s ball distribution is pivotal in maintaining possession and creating chances.

Expected lineup for Casa Pia AC

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Sequeira
• Defence: João Goulart, Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Kaly, David Sousa
• Midfield: Gaizka Larrazabal, Renato Sam Na Nhaga, Rafael Brito, Abdu Conté
• Forward: Tiago Morais, Cassiano, Jérémy Livolant

Defensively, João Goulart and David Sousa form the backbone of the team’s efforts to thwart FC Porto’s attacking advances. Their combined experience and tactical awareness are vital in organising the backline and ensuring defensive solidity. Abdu Conté’s contributions on the flank, both defensively and offensively, can provide additional width and support, making Casa Pia AC a well-rounded side ready for the challenge.

Casa Pia AC Tactics and Formation

Casa Pia AC Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Jérémy Livolant
• Midfield Anchor: Rafael Brito
• Defensive Concerns: Conceded 10 goals in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on width and crossing from the flanks.

Casa Pia AC operate a 4-3-3 formation designed to leverage width and create scoring opportunities through crosses. With Jérémy Livolant as the key forward, the team relies on his ability to convert chances, having scored three goals recently. Rafael Brito anchors the midfield, providing defensive cover while facilitating forward play.

Defensively, Casa Pia AC have struggled, conceding 10 goals in their last five matches, which highlights vulnerabilities in their backline. The defence, led by João Goulart and David Sousa, will need to improve coordination to prevent leaking goals and secure more clean sheets.

Offensively, Casa Pia AC’s strategy is to exploit the flanks with wingers Tiago Morais and Jérémy Livolant. The team often aims to deliver early crosses into the box, hoping to catch defences off guard, though this approach demands high accuracy and swift execution to be effective.

FC Porto Analysis & Past Performance

FC Porto’s recent form has been impressive, with the team currently on a five-match unbeaten streak, consisting of four wins and one draw. Their latest victory was a commanding 3-1 win against Rangers in the Europa League, showcasing their ability to perform on both domestic and international stages. The team sits confidently at the top of the Liga Portugal standings with 55 points, maintaining a remarkable win ratio of 80% across their last five games.

Home Side	Away Side	Outcome	Tournament	Date
FC Porto	Rangers	3 – 1 (Win)	Europa League	29 Jan 2026
FC Porto	Gil Vicente	3 – 0 (Win)	Liga Portugal	26 Jan 2026
Viktoria Plzen	FC Porto	1 – 1 (Draw)	Europa League	22 Jan 2026
Vitoria de Guimaraes	FC Porto	0 – 1 (Win)	Liga Portugal	18 Jan 2026
FC Porto	Benfica	1 – 0 (Win)	Taça de Portugal	14 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• WWDWW

FC Porto’s attacking prowess is evident, averaging 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches, while their defensive line has been equally solid, conceding only 0.40 goals per match and achieving three clean sheets. Their away form is particularly noteworthy, having won four out of their last five away encounters, demonstrating strong adaptability and tactical discipline. Samuel Aghehowa, their top scorer, continues to be a key figure, adding depth to their offensive capabilities. This combination of robust defence and efficient attack makes them a formidable opponent for any team.

FC Porto Suspensions & Injuries

FC Porto face a challenging situation with the potential absence of key players due to injury. Nehuén Pérez and Luuk de Jong are both doubtful for the upcoming match against Casa Pia AC. Pérez’s tendon injury could significantly impact defensive solidity, as he is an integral part of the backline, while de Jong’s knock leaves a question mark over the attacking options available to the coach.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Nehuén Pérez	Tendon injury	Doubtful
Luuk de Jong	Knock	Doubtful

In the absence of Nehuén Pérez, FC Porto may need to rely on Jan Bednarek to step up in the defensive line. Bednarek, who has previously shown his capability, will need to ensure the backline remains organised and resilient. The potential absence of Luuk de Jong could see William Gomes or Samuel Aghehowa take on greater responsibilities up front, aiming to maintain the attacking threat.

These injuries could necessitate tactical adjustments from coach Francesco Farioli, possibly altering the formation to compensate for the unavailability of key players. This could influence the betting markets, as FC Porto’s odds might be affected by these potential absences, given the importance of Pérez and de Jong to their tactical setup.

FC Porto Key Players

FC Porto’s attacking prowess will heavily rely on their top scorer, Samuel Aghehowa, who has netted 12 goals this season. Aghehowa’s clinical finishing and ability to find space in the box make him a constant threat to any defence. His partnership with Pepe and Borja Sainz in the forward line is expected to be pivotal, as they aim to dismantle Casa Pia AC’s defensive structure. In midfield, the creative force of Gabriel Veiga will be crucial in linking up play and providing the necessary support to the forwards. His vision and passing range can unlock defences and create scoring opportunities.

Defensively, Jan Bednarek and Jakub Kiwior form a formidable centre-back pairing, tasked with maintaining solidity at the back. Bednarek’s aerial dominance and Kiwior’s anticipation will be key in neutralising Casa Pia AC’s attacking threats. Meanwhile, Diogo Costa in goal offers reliability and excellent shot-stopping ability, further strengthening Porto’s defensive setup.

Expected lineup for FC Porto:

• Goalkeeper: Diogo Costa
• Defenders: Martim Fernandes, Thiago Silva, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior
• Midfielders: Victor Froholdt, Pablo Rosario, Gabriel Veiga
• Forwards: Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Borja Sainz

FC Porto Tactics and Formation

FC Porto Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Samuel Aghehowa
• Midfield Pivot: Alan Varela and Rodrigo Mora
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong pressing and wide play.

In recent matches, FC Porto have favoured a 4-3-3 formation, leveraging their midfield strength with Alan Varela and Rodrigo Mora orchestrating play. This setup allows them to dominate possession and transition swiftly from defence to attack, a strategy that has seen them maintain a strong winning streak.

Defensively, the backline led by Jan Bednarek and Jakub Kiwior has been pivotal in securing clean sheets. The full-backs, Alberto Costa and Francisco Moura, provide width and support in both defensive duties and attacking transitions, crucial in Porto’s recent defensive successes.

Offensively, Samuel Aghehowa is a key figure, leading the line with his goal-scoring prowess, supported by wingers William Gomes and Pepe. FC Porto’s approach often involves pressing opponents high up the pitch and exploiting spaces on the flanks, a tactic that has proven effective in breaking down defences.

Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between Casa Pia AC and FC Porto, it has been a one-sided affair, with Porto winning seven of their eight encounters, while Casa Pia AC have yet to register a win. The teams have drawn once. The last meeting saw Porto dominate with a 4-0 victory at home in Liga Portugal.

The last time Casa Pia AC hosted this fixture, they narrowly lost 1-0 to Porto. Porto’s consistent form in these matchups, especially in Liga Portugal, suggests they have the upper hand. Casa Pia AC will be looking to break this pattern and secure their first win against Porto.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
FC Porto	Casa Pia AC	4 – 0	Liga Portugal	2025-08-24
Casa Pia AC	FC Porto	0 – 1	Liga Portugal	2025-04-12
FC Porto	Casa Pia AC	2 – 0	Liga Portugal	2024-12-02
Casa Pia AC	FC Porto	1 – 2	Liga Portugal	2024-04-21
FC Porto	Casa Pia AC	3 – 1	Liga Portugal	2023-12-09