Comerciantes Unidos vs. CD UT Cajamarca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 3 October 2025

This exciting clash in the Primera Division sees 11th-placed Comerciantes Unidos take on 18th-placed CD UT Cajamarca. The home side, favored by bookmakers with odds of 2.18, will be looking to bounce back from a recent dip in form. With both sides showing defensive resilience lately, having kept two clean sheets each in their last five games, the matchup promises to be intriguing.

Comerciantes, managed by Claudio Biaggio, have been inconsistent with a recent record of LWWLD. Their star, Matias Sen, has netted five goals this season. On the other side, Hernán Lisi’s CD UT Cajamarca, anchored by top scorer Jarlin Quintero (12 goals), will be desperate to improve on their previous away performances.

Considering the recent uptick in CD UT Cajamarca’s form and Comerciantes’ shaky performances, a value bet could be CD UT Cajamarca (+1) at odds of 1.85.

Comerciantes Unidos vs CD UT Cajamarca Prediction & Betting Tip

Given the recent performances and standings, a recommended betting tip for this match is CD UT Cajamarca (+1) (EH). This selection is driven by Comerciantes Unidos’ inconsistent form and CD UT Cajamarca’s potential to surprise despite being underdogs. Let’s break down the suggestion:

Comerciantes Unidos vs CD UT Cajamarca Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
CD UT Cajamarca (+1) (EH)	1.85

• Recent Performance: Comerciantes Unidos have shown a shaky form recently, with a record of LWWLD.
• Scoring Potential: CD UT Cajamarca’s Jarlin Quintero, who has scored 12 goals this season, provides a solid attacking threat.
• Value in Odds: The 1.85 odds reflect a good return for the risk, given the unpredictable nature of Comerciantes’ current form.

This bet provides a buffer should the guests keep it close, while still presenting solid value for potential payoffs.

Comerciantes Unidos vs CD UT Cajamarca Odds

The odds for this Primera Division encounter between Comerciantes Unidos and CD UT Cajamarca provide an interesting backdrop for bettors. The home team, Comerciantes Unidos, are favorites with odds of 2.18, while a draw is pegged at 3.35. CD UT Cajamarca, as the underdogs, have odds of 2.94 for an outright win. Here’s a quick look:

Comerciantes Unidos vs CD UT Cajamarca Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Comerciantes Unidos	2.18
Draw	3.35
CD UT Cajamarca	2.94

These odds reflect the home team’s slight edge, but considering CD UT Cajamarca’s recent form and the fluctuating performances of Comerciantes Unidos, placing a bet on the away team could yield a promising return. Additionally, the odds of 1.85 for CD UT Cajamarca (+1) offer a safer bet with good value.

Comerciantes Unidos Team Analysis

Comerciantes Unidos Recent Performance

Comerciantes Unidos have had a rollercoaster run in their last five games. Their recent form of LWWLD paints a picture of inconsistency. The team managed to snatch a 1-1 draw against FBC Melgar in their last fixture but suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat to Alianza Lima before that. Key wins include a solid 2-0 against Sport Huancayo and a narrow 1-0 victory over Sport Boys. However, they also endured a 2-1 defeat to Alianza Universidad.

On average, Comerciantes Unidos have scored 1 goal per game in their last five outings. Despite their attacking struggles, they have managed two clean sheets, showcasing some defensive robustness.

Nevertheless, conceding an average of 1.6 goals over the season reveals vulnerabilities, especially late in the matches, where most of the opposition’s goals come between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Comerciantes Unidos Key Players

One of the standout players for Comerciantes Unidos this season is Matias Sen, who leads the scoring charts with five goals. His presence will be crucial as they seek to regain form. Another vital component in the team is goalkeeper Álvaro Villete, who has contributed to their two clean sheets in the last five matches.

The expected lineup for Comerciantes Unidos is as follows:

• Goalkeeper: Álvaro Villete
• Defenders: Flavio Alcedo, Yordi Vilchez, Nahuel Tecilla, Paolo Méndez
• Midfielders: Pablo Cárdenas, José Marina, José Parodi, Julián Marchioni
• Forwards: Matias Sen, Alexander Lecaros

Key battles to watch will include how the offensive duo of Sen and Lecaros fare against the defensive lineup of CD UT Cajamarca, particularly center-backs Piero Serra and José Luján. Midfield control will also be essential, with José Marina and José Parodi likely engaging in a tactical duel against Cristian Mejía and Andre Vasquez.

Comerciantes Unidos Suspensions & Injuries

Currently, there are no reported suspensions or injuries for Comerciantes Unidos. This clean bill of health provides a significant boost as it allows manager Claudio Biaggio to have his best squad available for selection.

The full strength lineup will be crucial as Comerciantes look to capitalize on their home advantage and rectify their recent inconsistent form. The availability of key players like Matias Sen and Álvaro Villete can make a substantial difference, particularly given the tight defense they’ve shown with two clean sheets in their last five matches. Having no absences adds an extra layer of confidence for the team heading into this fixture.

Comerciantes Unidos Tactics and Formation

Manager Claudio Biaggio has been experimenting with formations, but it appears the team will likely line up in a 4-4-2 for this match against CD UT Cajamarca.

Comerciantes Unidos Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Matias Sen and Alexander Lecaros
• Midfield Quartet: Pablo Cárdenas, José Marina, José Parodi, Julián Marchioni
• Defensive Backbone: Flavio Alcedo, Yordi Vilchez, Nahuel Tecilla, Paolo Méndez
• Key Strength: Despite inconsistency, they’ve managed two clean sheets in their last five games.
• Notable Strategy: They often find success with an attacking mindset, especially during the 31-45 and 61-75-minute intervals, with a late surge between 76-90 minutes also proving effective.

This setup aims to leverage their strength in the latter parts of each half, balancing defensive solidity with timely offensive bursts. The presence of Matias Sen up front will be pivotal as they look to exploit any lapses in CD UT Cajamarca’s defense.

CD UT Cajamarca Team Analysis

CD UT Cajamarca Recent Performance

CD UT Cajamarca have seen a mixed bag of results recently, reflected in their LLLDW form over their last five matches. They secured a solid 2-0 victory at home against Los Chankas and held Deportivo Garcilaso to a 0-0 draw – solid showings that might offer some momentum going into this matchup.

However, they have also suffered defeats to Universitario de Deportes (2-1), Asociacion Deportiva Tarma (3-1), and Ayacucho FC (1-0), showcasing troubling inconsistencies in their performance.

Over these five games, CD UT Cajamarca has averaged 0.8 goals per match and managed two clean sheets, indicating room for improvement in both offensive and defensive aspects. Given their recent struggles, but also potential for steadying the ship, the away side will be looking to leverage their key player Jarlin Quintero, who has netted 12 goals this season.

CD UT Cajamarca Key Players

Jarlin Quintero stands out as the key player for CD UT Cajamarca, having netted 12 goals this season. His contributions will be vital as they face Comerciantes Unidos. Another significant figure is goalkeeper Diego Campos, who has helped the team secure two clean sheets in their last five matches.

The expected lineup for CD UT Cajamarca is as follows:

• Goalkeeper: Diego Campos
• Defenders: Luis Garro, Piero Serra, José Luján, Anthony Rosell
• Midfielders: Freddy Oncoy, Juan Vega, Cristian Mejía, Andre Vasquez, Erinson Ramírez
• Forward: Jarlin Quintero

Key battles to watch will include Quintero against Comerciantes Unidos’ solid defensive pairing of Yordi Vilchez and Nahuel Tecilla. Additionally, Campos’ shot-stopping abilities will be tested by the offensive duo of Matias Sen and Alexander Lecaros.

CD UT Cajamarca Suspensions & Injuries

CD UT Cajamarca will be without the services of Roberto Koichi Aparicio due to a cruciate ligament injury, with a potential return slated for late December 2025. This absence could impact their midfield depth, forcing coach Hernán Lisi to rely more heavily on players like Cristian Mejía and Andre Vasquez to control the center of the pitch.

Having only one significant injury allows CD UT Cajamarca to field a relatively stable starting eleven. However, the loss of Aparicio’s experience and presence could give Comerciantes Unidos an edge, particularly in the midfield battles where Aparicio’s defensive strength would have been beneficial. This might necessitate tactical adjustments from Lisi to mitigate this gap.

CD UT Cajamarca Tactics and Formation

CD UT Cajamarca, managed by Hernán Lisi, are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation for their clash against Comerciantes Unidos. This setup focuses on providing defensive stability while leveraging the attack capabilities of their star players.

CD UT Cajamarca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Jarlin Quintero
• Midfield Configuration: Freddy Oncoy as the defensive anchor, with Juan Vega, Cristian Mejía, Andre Vasquez, and Erinson Ramírez supporting in advanced roles.
• Defensive Backbone: Luis Garro, Piero Serra, José Luján, Anthony Rosell forming the backline.
• Goalkeeping Security: Diego Campos

Key Strengths:

• Two clean sheets in the last five matches show defensive resilience.
• The team tends to adopt a cautious approach initially, then ramp up intensity, especially effective in the 61-75 minute interval.

This formation utilizes Quintero’s goal-scoring prowess while ensuring a solid defensive structure to counter Comerciantes’ attacking threats.

Comerciantes Unidos vs CD UT Cajamarca Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five head-to-head meetings between Comerciantes Unidos and CD UT Cajamarca, we see a history of closely contested matches with no clear dominance from either side. Here’s a breakdown:

• 2025-05-17: CD UT Cajamarca 2 – 0 Comerciantes Unidos (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 2024-08-15: Comerciantes Unidos 1 – 1 CD UT Cajamarca (Liga 1 Clausura)
• 2024-03-08: CD UT Cajamarca 2 – 3 Comerciantes Unidos (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 2021-06-12: Comerciantes Unidos 0 – 1 CD UT Cajamarca (Copa Bicentenario)
• 2019-06-23: Comerciantes Unidos 0 – 1 CD UT Cajamarca (Copa Bicentenario Grp. B)

Key insights:

• Recent Dominance: CD UT Cajamarca have won 3 out of the last 5 encounters, showcasing a slight upper hand in these clashes.
• Close Encounters: Matches are often tight, with small margins deciding outcomes.

These statistics underline the potential for another competitive game, adding spice to the upcoming encounter.

Odds accurate as of 01/10/2025 21:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.