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Ceará vs. Fluminense Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 2 November 2025

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As Serie A approaches its 31st round, Ceará welcomes Fluminense in what promises to be a crucial clash. Fluminense, sitting 6th with 47 points, is aiming to cement its position within the league’s top tier and is the bookmaker’s favourite with odds of 2.55 to win. Ceará, on the other hand, struggles in 14th place with 35 points, anxious to climb further away from the relegation zone.
Both teams have had mixed form recently, with Fluminense (LWLWW) showing better defensive solidity than Ceará (WDLLL). Notably, Fluminense has managed three clean sheets in their last five matches.
The match is anticipated to be low-scoring, aligning with Ceará’s trend of fewer than 2.5 goals in 73% of their games this season. Pedro Raul and Germán Cano stand out as key players to watch, with 8 and 6 goals, respectively.
Given the context and Ceará’s home advantage, a cautious and tactical game is expected. Our recommended bet is a draw, possibly ending 1-1.

Ceará vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tip

Ceará vs Fluminense Prediction
Betting tip
Draw

The recommended betting tip for the Ceará vs Fluminense clash is a draw. This prediction aligns well with several match details and current form trends. Fluminense, currently 6th in the Serie A standings, come into this match with a cautious approach, aiming to secure at least a point to maintain their position within the upper tier. Ceará is striving to avoid the relegation zone, but their recent form and the likelihood of a low-scoring game support the draw prediction.

  • Fluminense’s defensive consistency could make it difficult for Ceará to secure a win.
  • Both Ceará and Fluminense have scored an average of 0.80 goals in their last five games.
  • Less than 2.5 goals have been scored in 73% of Ceará’s matches this season, suggesting a tight contest.

This game could likely end in a 1-1 draw, making this a sensible bet.

Ceará vs Fluminense Odds

For this Serie A showdown between Ceará and Fluminense, the odds appear quite balanced, reflecting the expected tightly contested nature of the match. Fluminense, listed as the bookmaker’s favourite, offers slightly better odds of a win, but the possibility of a draw also has strong backing from the bookies. Here are the current betting odds:

Ceará vs Fluminense Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Ceará 2.91
Draw 2.96
Fluminense 2.55

These odds suggest that while Fluminense might have a slight edge, the betting markets see a very competitive game. A draw could be the most sensible bet given the evenly matched nature of the teams and their recent performances.

  • Fluminense are bookmaker’s favourites, but the odds are very close, indicating a potential draw.
  • Both teams average 0.80 goals in their last five games, pointing towards a tight contest.
  • Ceará’s tendency to have low-scoring matches with less than 2.5 goals in 73% of their games supports the potential for a drawn result.

Ceará Team Analysis

Ceará Recent Performance

Ceará has been struggling with form lately, reflecting in their recent performance history. Over their last five matches, the team managed only one win against Santos FC with a commanding 3-0 scoreline. This was followed by a draw against Sport Recife and three consecutive losses: against Botafogo RJ, Atlético MG, and Fluminense.
Their current form reads simply as WDLLL. Despite these inconsistencies, the team scored an average of 0.80 goals per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they’ve kept only one clean sheet during this run, which underlines their struggles at the back.

  • Recent Matches:
    • Fluminense 1-0 Ceará
    • Atlético MG 1-0 Ceará
    • Ceará 0-2 Botafogo RJ
    • Sport Recife 1-1 Ceará
    • Ceará 3-0 Santos FC

Ceará remains 14th in the league with 35 points, just above the relegation fray. This lack of consistent form might be a worrying aspect for their fans going into a crucial match.

Ceará Key Players

Ceará will look to key figures like Pedro Raul, their top scorer with 8 goals, to break through Fluminense’s strong defense. Raul’s ability to convert chances will be crucial, especially given Ceará’s average of 0.80 goals scored per game in their last five matches.
Another significant contributor is Vina, who’s expected to orchestrate the midfield, creating opportunities for Ceará’s forwards.
Their defense will also be tested, with Bruno Ferreira between the sticks supported by Fabiano, Marllon, Willian Machado, and Matheus Bahia.
Here is the expected lineup for Ceará:

  • Goalkeeper: Bruno Ferreira
  • Defenders: Fabiano, Marllon, Willian Machado, Matheus Bahia
  • Midfielders: Vinícius Zanocelo, Lourenço, Antonio Galeano, Vina, Fernandinho
  • Forward: Pedro Raul

The battle between Pedro Raul and Fluminense’s experienced center-backs like Thiago Silva will be one to watch.

Ceará Suspensions & Injuries

Ceará is grappling with a few injury concerns that could impact their squad depth and performance. Key defender Luiz Otávio is recovering from knee surgery with a potential return in early November 2025. This leaves a notable gap in the backline, especially given his experience and leadership qualities.
Another significant absence is Dieguinho, sidelined with a calf injury and expected to return in about a week. Additionally, Marcos Victor is out due to a heel injury but is also slated for a potential early November return.
These injuries mean coach Léo Condé will need to adapt his defensive strategy and ensure backup players are ready to step up to the challenge in this crucial fixture against Fluminense. Despite these setbacks, Ceará will aim to field a competitive squad to secure valuable points.

Ceará Tactics and Formation

Ceará Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: Expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 setup.
  • Key Forward: Pedro Raul – With 8 goals this season, he will be their main attacking threat.
  • Midfield Trio: Vinícius Zanocelo, Lourenço, and Vina are expected to control the midfield. Vina, in particular, will play a crucial role as the attacking midfielder, creating chances for Raul.
  • Defensive Setup: Despite having only one clean sheet in their last five games, the backline of Fabiano, Marllon, Willian Machado, and Matheus Bahia will need to step up, especially with key defender Luiz Otávio out due to injury.
  • Notable Strategy: Ceará tends to focus on a cautious, defensive approach but looks to exploit counter-attacking opportunities, often displaying stronger attacking intent in the latter part of the second half.

With several key injuries, coach Léo Condé’s tactical adaptability will be essential as Ceará aims to secure vital points against a defensively solid Fluminense.

Fluminense Team Analysis

Fluminense Recent Performance

Fluminense comes into this match with a mixed bag of results, showcasing moments of both solidity and vulnerability. Their recent form reads LWLWW, indicating two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. Noteworthy is their defensive prowess, which has seen them secure three clean sheets during this period.

  • Recent Matches:
    • Fluminense 1-0 Ceará
    • Fluminense 1-0 Internacional
    • Vasco da Gama 2-0 Fluminense
    • Fluminense 1-0 Juventude
    • Mirassol 2-1 Fluminense

In terms of offensive output, they’ve averaged only 0.80 goals per game in their last five outings, the same as their upcoming opponents, Ceará. Fluminense’s ability to grind out narrow victories and maintain a tight ship at the back could play a pivotal role in this encounter. Sitting 6th in the league with 47 points, Fluminense aims to solidify their position within the top tier of Serie A football.

Fluminense Key Players

Fluminense will look to key players like Germán Cano, their top scorer with 6 goals, to lead the attack against Ceará. Cano’s precision and ability to find the net in crucial moments make him a vital asset for the team.
In the midfield, the duo of Martinelli and Hércules is expected to provide both defensive cover and support in advancing the ball up the field. Their coordination could dictate the game’s tempo and control.
On the defensive front, Thiago Silva and Juan Pablo Freytes will be crucial in thwarting Ceará’s attacking threats, especially against Pedro Raul. Goalkeeper Fábio’s experience and recent clean sheets add another layer of stability at the back.
Expected lineup for Fluminense:

  • Goalkeeper: Fábio
  • Defenders: Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Juan Pablo Freytes, Renê
  • Midfielders: Martinelli, Hércules, Agustín Canobbio, Vinícius Lima, Kevin Serna
  • Forward: John Kennedy

The individual battles, especially between Cano and Ceará’s defenders, will be key in this match.

Fluminense Suspensions & Injuries

Fluminense are facing a few player absences that could impact their tactical setup and squad depth for this key fixture against Ceará. Notably, Luciano Acosta is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, leaving a gap in the midfield that coach Luis Zubeldía will need to address.
On the injury front, Matheus Reis is recovering from a cruciate ligament injury, but he is expected to return in early November. Ganso is also dealing with a calf injury and has a similar return timeframe. Gustavo Nonato’s thigh injury, although doubtful, adds another concern. Manoel is recovering from a knee injury and may be back by early November as well.
These absences mean Fluminense will need to rely on their depth, particularly in defence, which has been a key part of their strategy this season. With several key midfielders potentially missing, adjusting their tactical approach will be crucial to maintaining their form.

Fluminense Tactics and Formation

Fluminense Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: Fluminense is expected to deploy their consistent 4-2-3-1 formation.
  • Key Forward: John Kennedy – leading the attack, with Germán Cano providing essential support.
  • Midfield and Defence: Martinelli and Hércules are set to anchor the midfield. They will be key in transitioning from defense to attack, especially with key absences like Acosta due to suspension.
  • Defensive Strength: Having secured three clean sheets in their last five games, Fluminense’s backline of Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Juan Pablo Freytes, and Renê, supported by goalkeeper Fábio, has shown robustness.
  • Notable Strategy: Fluminense often focuses on a solid defensive setup and looks to capitalize on quick transitions and counter-attacks.

Fluminense’s ability to maintain defensive consistency, despite injuries and suspensions, will be crucial in this match. Establishing control in midfield and disrupting Ceará’s attacking patterns will be key to securing at least a point.

Ceará vs Fluminense Head-to-Head Statistics

Recent encounters between Ceará and Fluminense suggest a tightly contested rivalry. Over the last five meetings, Fluminense holds a slight edge with three wins, while Ceará has managed just one victory, and one match ended in a draw.

  • Fluminense 1-0 Ceará (29 October 2025) – Serie A
  • Fluminense 1-0 Ceará (31 October 2022) – Serie A
  • Fluminense 2-1 Ceará (9 July 2022) – Serie A
  • Ceará 1-0 Fluminense (31 October 2021) – Serie A
  • Fluminense 0-0 Ceará (8 July 2021) – Serie A

Fluminense has shown dominance, winning the last three encounters, albeit by narrow margins. Notably, the recent matches have been low-scoring, indicating strong defensive performances from both sides. Ceará will look to turn the tide on their home turf, but historical data suggests they may face a tough challenge. Fluminense’s ability to secure results in tight games could be a key factor once again in this match.

Odds accurate as of 31.10.2025 19:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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