Millwall vs Charlton Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, 24 January

Millwall vs Charlton Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, 24 January. As we look ahead to this Championship clash, Millwall will host Charlton at The Den. This fixture promises to be a compelling encounter as both teams aim to climb the league table. Millwall, playing at home, will be eager to capitalise on their familiar surroundings to secure a crucial win.

Charlton, meanwhile, will be determined to upset their hosts and claim valuable points away from home. The Den has witnessed many intense battles, and this match is set to be no different. With both teams having much to play for, fans can expect a competitive and closely fought contest. The outcome could have significant implications for both sides’ positions in the Championship standings.

Millwall vs Charlton Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Millwall to Win	1.77

Given Millwall’s impressive home form and Charlton’s recent struggles, our recommended betting tip is to back Millwall to win. The odds of around 2.10 offer good value considering recent performances and the head-to-head record.

• Millwall have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches and kept two clean sheets, demonstrating their resilience.
• Charlton have failed to win any of their last five games and suffered a heavy defeat to Chelsea, indicating poor form.
• Millwall are unbeaten in their last five encounters with Charlton, recording two wins and three draws.

Betting Odds

Millwall step onto home turf at The Den as favourites, with betting odds of 1.77 reflecting their stronger position. Charlton, meanwhile, are considered underdogs at 4.71, but they could still spring a surprise with a resilient performance.

Betting Tip	Odds
Millwall to win	1.77
Draw	3.36
Charlton to win	4.71

The draw is priced at 3.36, suggesting that bookmakers anticipate a competitive match. For those seeking value, exploring the over 2.5 goals market could be worthwhile, given both teams’ ability to find the net.

Millwall Analysis & Past Performance

Millwall’s recent form has been mixed, as shown by their last five fixtures: two wins, one draw, and two defeats. Notably, they secured a crucial victory over Watford (2-0) but stumbled against Coventry (1-2). Their attacking unit, led by top scorer Femi Azeez, has been moderately effective, averaging 1.20 goals per game in the last five league outings.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Coventry	Millwall	2 – 1 (Loss)	Championship	20 Jan, 2026
Watford	Millwall	0 – 2 (Win)	Championship	17 Jan, 2026
Burnley	Millwall	5 – 1 (Loss)	FA Cup	10 Jan, 2026
Millwall	Swansea	2 – 1 (Win)	Championship	4 Jan, 2026
Southampton	Millwall	0 – 0 (Draw)	Championship	1 Jan, 2026

Recent Form:
Defensively, Millwall have shown some vulnerability, conceding 1.60 goals per game over the last five matches, with only two clean sheets. However, at home, they are stronger, winning three of their last five matches at The Den, which contributes to a 60% win ratio in home fixtures. This resilience could prove pivotal as they look to maintain a top-half position in the Championship.

Team Dynamics:

• LWLWD

Millwall currently sit 5th in the league with 46 points, reflecting a solid overall performance this season. Their campaign has been marked by a balanced approach, with a 46% win ratio across the season. The team’s ability to score in four of their last five matches highlights their offensive potential, though defensive lapses remain a concern. Tightening up at the back while making the most of their home advantage will be crucial as they aim for a play-off spot.

Millwall Suspensions & Injuries

Millwall are facing a challenging period with several key players sidelined due to injury, notably impacting their midfield depth. The absence of Massimo Luongo, who is out with a cruciate ligament injury until early July 2026, leaves a significant gap in central midfield. His experience and ability to control the tempo will be sorely missed, particularly against a side like Charlton. Lukas Jensen’s Achilles tendon injury keeps him out until mid-March 2026, which may affect defensive stability.

Benicio Baker, Will Smallbone, and Daniel Kelly are all dealing with injuries that will keep them out until early February 2026. This trio’s absence further depletes midfield options, forcing manager Alex Neil to seek alternatives who can step up and maintain the team’s competitive edge. The lack of creativity and ball distribution in midfield could necessitate a tactical shift towards a more defensive setup.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Lukas Jensen	Achilles tendon injury	Mid March 2026
Benicio Baker	Groin injury	Early February 2026
Massimo Luongo	Cruciate ligament injury	Early July 2026
Will Smallbone	Hamstring Injury	Early February 2026
Daniel Kelly	Hamstring Injury	Early February 2026

With no suspensions to contend with, Millwall can at least field their strongest available players without additional disciplinary concerns. This could be crucial in maintaining some stability across the squad as they navigate these injury setbacks. The tactical impact of these injuries may lead to a more conservative approach, possibly adjusting to a formation that strengthens the defence and relies on counter-attacks to exploit any gaps in Charlton’s setup.

From a betting perspective, these absences suggest a potentially tighter match, with Millwall possibly struggling to assert their usual dominance. The absence of key midfielders could influence betting markets, perhaps making Charlton a more attractive option for punters seeking an upset.

Millwall Key Players

Millwall’s attacking threat is led by their top scorer, Femi Azeez, who has scored 7 goals this season. Operating from midfield, Azeez is integral to the team’s offensive thrust, combining his goal-scoring instincts with playmaking ability. His role as a creator allows him to link up effectively with forwards Thierno Ballo and Macaulay Langstaff, making him a dual threat.

In defence, Jake Cooper stands out as a key figure. His commanding presence at the back, alongside Caleb Taylor, forms a formidable barrier against Charlton’s attackers. Cooper’s aerial ability is vital defensively and also provides a threat during set-pieces. Meanwhile, Billy Mitchell’s energy and tenacity in midfield provide the necessary balance, enabling Millwall to transition smoothly between defence and attack.

Expected lineup for Millwall

• Goalkeeper: Max Crocombe
• Defence: Tristan Crama, Caleb Taylor, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge
• Midfield: Billy Mitchell, Camiel Neghli, Femi Azeez
• Forward: Thierno Ballo, Macaulay Langstaff, Mihailo Ivanovic

Millwall Tactics and Formation

Millwall Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Mihailo Ivanovic
• Midfield Engine: Billy Mitchell and Camiel Neghli
• Defensive Resilience: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong in aerial duels and set-piece situations.

Millwall’s recent performances suggest a preference for a 4-2-3-1 formation, offering a balanced approach between defence and attack. With Billy Mitchell and Camiel Neghli anchoring the midfield, they provide both defensive cover and support for transitions. Mihailo Ivanovic leads the line, supported by wingers Femi Azeez and Macaulay Langstaff, who add pace and creativity.

Defensively, the team benefits from the solidity of Jake Cooper and Caleb Taylor at centre-back, with their height advantageous in aerial duels. This setup has helped Millwall achieve two clean sheets in their last five matches, underlining their defensive capabilities.

Offensively, Millwall often look to exploit set-piece opportunities, leveraging the aerial prowess of their defenders. Their ability to maintain intensity late in matches has been crucial, especially when pressing for late goals.

Charlton Analysis & Past Performance

Charlton’s recent form has been inconsistent, as shown by their last five matches: one win, two defeats, and two draws, including a disappointing 1-2 loss to Derby at home. Currently 18th in the Championship, they have accumulated 32 points, highlighting their struggle to break into the top half of the table.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Charlton	Derby	1 – 2 (Loss)	Championship	20 Jan 2026
Charlton	Sheffield United	1 – 0 (Win)	Championship	17 Jan 2026
Charlton	Chelsea	1 – 5 (Loss)	FA Cup	10 Jan 2026
Blackburn	Charlton	2 – 2 (Draw)	Championship	4 Jan 2026
Charlton	Coventry	1 – 1 (Draw)	Championship	1 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• LWLDD

Charlton have managed to score in all of their last five games, averaging 1.20 goals per match, but their defensive frailties are clear with 2.00 goals conceded on average. Despite scoring in 80% of their matches, they’ve managed just one clean sheet in this period, indicating a need for greater defensive solidity. Their away form is particularly concerning, with no wins in their last five away fixtures and three defeats, reflecting a 0% win ratio on the road. This highlights a critical area for improvement if they are to move up the standings.

Charlton Suspensions & Injuries

Charlton are also dealing with a challenging situation, with several key players sidelined due to injury. The absences of Josh Edwards and Onel Hernandez, both expected to return by early February, will significantly impact the team’s attacking options. In addition, Harvey Knibbs and Amari’i Bell are out until mid-February, which could stretch Charlton’s squad depth, particularly in attacking and defensive areas.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Josh Edwards	Ankle injury	Early February 2026
Onel Hernandez	Muscle injury	Early February 2026
Harvey Knibbs	Ankle injury	Mid February 2026
Amari’i Bell	Hamstring injury	Mid February 2026

Manager Nathan Jones will need to consider tactical adjustments to compensate for these losses. With the unavailable players primarily affecting the wings and forward positions, there may be a shift towards a more compact midfield strategy, relying on the likes of Conor Coventry and Kayne Ramsay to maintain control in the centre of the park.

These absences might also influence betting markets, as Charlton’s chances against Millwall could be seen as diminished without a full-strength squad. Bettors may take note of these key injuries when placing their wagers, potentially leading to a more cautious approach towards backing Charlton.

Charlton Key Players

Charlton’s attacking hopes rest on their top scorer Sonny Carey, who has found the net six times this season. Playing from midfield, Carey is not only a goal threat but also a pivotal playmaker, capable of dictating the tempo and unlocking defences with his precise passing. His ability to transition from defence to attack seamlessly makes him indispensable in Charlton’s tactical setup, especially against a resilient Millwall side.

In attack, the duo of Lyndon Dykes and Miles Leaburn will be crucial. Dykes brings a physical presence and aerial threat, while Leaburn’s agility and finishing skills add a different dimension to Charlton’s offensive strategies. In defence, Reece Burke anchors the backline, providing leadership and stability—vital for maintaining a solid structure.

Expected lineup for Charlton:

• Goalkeeper: Thomas Kaminski
• Defence: Reece Burke, Lloyd Jones, Macaulay Gillesphey
• Midfield: Kayne Ramsay, Sonny Carey, Karoy Anderson, Conor Coventry
• Forward: Lyndon Dykes, Miles Leaburn, Tyreece Campbell

The combination of these key players highlights Charlton’s balanced approach, blending defensive solidity with attacking flair. The interplay between Carey’s creativity, Dykes’ physicality, and Leaburn’s agility could be decisive in breaking down Millwall’s defence.

Charlton Tactics and Formation

Charlton Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Miles Leaburn
• Midfield Pivot: Conor Coventry and Kayne Ramsay
• Defensive Weakness: Only one clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasising possession with 61% against Derby.

Charlton have been utilising a 3-5-2 formation, which allows them to pack the midfield and dominate possession. Conor Coventry and Kayne Ramsay are pivotal in controlling the midfield, providing balance between defence and attack. This setup aims to leverage Sonny Carey’s creativity and Tyreece Campbell’s agility to support the forwards.

Defensively, the trio of Reece Burke, Lloyd Jones, and Macaulay Gillesphey is tasked with maintaining a solid backline. However, this formation has seen Charlton concede 10 goals in their last five matches, highlighting vulnerabilities that opponents like Millwall could exploit.

Offensively, Charlton’s strategy revolves around maintaining possession and creating chances through midfield dominance. Despite their possession strength, as shown by 61% against Derby, converting these opportunities into goals remains a challenge, with only six goals scored in the last five games.

Millwall vs Charlton Head-to-Head Record

Millwall have dominated the head-to-head record against Charlton, winning 8 of their last 15 meetings, while Charlton are yet to secure a victory. The remaining 7 matches ended in draws. Their most recent Championship clash ended 1-1 at Charlton’s ground in September 2025.

The last time these two met at The Den, Millwall managed a 2-2 draw in a friendly in July 2023. However, in their last Championship meeting at home, Millwall claimed a 2-1 win in November 2019. Millwall’s strong home form suggests they may hold the advantage once again.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Charlton Athletic	Millwall	1 – 1	Championship	2025-09-13
Millwall	Charlton Athletic	2 – 2	Friendly	2023-07-25
Charlton Athletic	Millwall	0 – 1	Championship	2020-07-03
Millwall	Charlton Athletic	2 – 1	Championship	2019-11-09
Charlton Athletic	Millwall	0 – 0	League One	2017-01-14