Como vs. Empoli Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips - bettingexpert
We’re gearing up for an intriguing clash between Como and Empoli in Serie A, set to take place at the charming Stadio G. Sinigaglia at 14:00 on 29 March 2025. With the season reaching its final stretch, both teams have everything to play for, given their respective battles in the standings.
Como, currently under the tactical guidance of Marc Bircham, finds themselves seven points clear of the relegation zone in 13th place with 29 points. A win would bolster their bid to secure safety and potentially pave the way for new signings, like their rumoured interest in Barcelona’s Ansu Fati. Despite some inconsistency, Como have shown they can compete, highlighted by recent victories against Napoli and Fiorentina.
Empoli, facing a tougher season in 18th place with 22 points, will be desperate for a win to climb out of the relegation zone. Their coach, Roberto D’Aversa, will rely heavily on Sebastiano Esposito, who has been a bright spark with 8 goals this season.
Historically, Empoli has a decent record against Como, and considering Como’s defensive issues, our recommended bet is a potential surprise win for Empoli. Despite the odds favouring Como, Empoli’s counter-attacking style might just exploit their weaknesses.
Referee Maurizio Mariani will oversee what promises to be an intense contest loaded with implications for both sides. Expect a hard-fought battle as both teams push for those crucial three points.
Como vs Empoli Prediction & Betting Tip
- Our recommended bet: Empoli to win.
- Despite being the bookmaker’s underdog, Empoli has shown resilience this season, especially against lower-ranked teams and boasts a counter-attacking style that could be effective against Como’s defense.
| Como vs Empoli Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Empoli to win | 5.06 |
- Empoli has scored in 73% of their away matches this season, demonstrating their ability to find the net even on the road.
- Como has struggled with consistency, having only one clean sheet in their last five games, which could be exposed by Empoli’s attackers.
- Sebastiano Esposito, Empoli’s top scorer, is in good form and could capitalize on Como’s defensive lapses.
Como vs Empoli Odds
The bookmakers favor Como in this matchup against Empoli, but the odds highlight the potential for a competitive and unpredictable encounter. Let’s break down the betting odds:
| Como vs Empoli Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Como | 1.75 |
| Draw | 3.44 |
| Empoli | 5.06 |
Despite Empoli’s underdog status, their resilient performances this season, particularly their ability to score in 73% of their away matches, suggest there could be value in betting on them.
Given Como’s inconsistencies, a bet on Empoli could provide a significant return. However, Como’s status as the bookmaker’s favorite is backed by their previous solid home performances.
Como Team Analysis
Recent Performance
Here’s a look at Como’s recent performance, reflecting a mix of highs and lows:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | Como | 2025-03-15 | Serie A | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Como | Venezia | 2025-03-08 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Roma | Como | 2025-03-02 | Serie A | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Como | SSC Napoli | 2025-02-23 | Serie A | 2-1 (Win) |
| Fiorentina | Como | 2025-02-16 | Serie A | 0-2 (Win) |
Recent Form: LDLWW
Como have managed to secure 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. They’ve shown resilience, especially with wins against Napoli and Fiorentina. However, they have also faced challenges against stronger teams like AC Milan and Roma. On average, Como scored 1.40 goals per match and kept just one clean sheet over this period. Their inconsistent performances make this an interesting matchup against Empoli.
Como Key Players
Como will be looking to their key players to make a significant impact in this crucial match against Empoli. Leading the charge is Patrick Cutrone, the team’s top scorer with 6 goals this season. His striking abilities will be pivotal, especially against Empoli’s defense.
In the midfield, Maxence Caqueret and Lucas Da Cunha will play crucial roles in dictating the tempo and providing support both defensively and offensively. Meanwhile, Gabriel Strefezza’s creativity on the wing could be instrumental in breaking down Empoli’s backline.
Cesc Fabregas, the former Barcelona and Chelsea star, manages the team and will rely heavily on these key players.
Expected lineup for Como:
- Goalkeeper: Jean Butez
- Defenders: Ivan Smolcic, Edoardo Goldaniga, Marc Oliver Kempf, Álex Valle
- Midfielders: Maxence Caqueret, Lucas Da Cunha, Gabriel Strefezza, Maximo Perrone, Assane Diao
- Forward: Patrick Cutrone
Como Suspensions & Injuries
Como’s head coach, Cesc Fabregas, will have to navigate several key absences for the upcoming match against Empoli. These suspensions and injuries might influence the team’s performance and strategy.
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Paz | Yellow cards | 1 match |
| Dele Alli | Red card | 1 match |
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Iván Azón | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Alberto Dossena | Cruciate ligament injury | Early October 2025 |
The suspensions of Nico Paz and Dele Alli mean that Como will miss their creative midfield presence, potentially affecting their ball movement and overall playmaking ability.
Injuries to Iván Azón and Alberto Dossena further strain the squad, possibly reducing defensive solidity and attacking options. How Fabregas adjusts his lineup will be crucial in overcoming these challenges.
Como Tactics and Formation
Como Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Patrick Cutrone
- Midfielders: Maxence Caqueret, Lucas Da Cunha
- Defensive Line: Ivan Smolcic, Edoardo Goldaniga, Marc Oliver Kempf, Álex Valle
- Recent Strategy: Focus on exploiting the wings
Head coach Cesc Fabregas has effectively settled on a 4-2-3-1 formation that maximizes both defensive stability and attacking flexibility.
Patrick Cutrone will lead the charge up front, looking to add to his six goals this season. The midfield duo of Maxence Caqueret and Lucas Da Cunha provides solidity and effective ball distribution, while the defense has seen varied success, with one clean sheet in the last five games.
Como’s strategy has favored wing play, an area where Gabriel Strefezza could be crucial. Expect them to exploit Empoli’s defensive frailties, particularly as Empoli concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Empoli Team Analysis
Empoli Recent Performance WLLDL
Empoli has had a tough run in their last five matches, marked by varying fortunes and crucial draws. Their recent form is as follows:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | Empoli | 2025-03-15 | Serie A | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Empoli | Roma | 2025-03-09 | Serie A | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Genoa | Empoli | 2025-03-02 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Juventus | Empoli | 2025-02-26 | Coppa Italia | 1-1 (Win on Penalties) |
| Empoli | Atalanta | 2025-02-23 | Serie A | 0-5 (Loss) |
Empoli’s recent performance has been challenging, with only one win in their last five matches, including a penalty shoot-out victory against Juventus in the Coppa Italia. They have scored an average of 1.20 goals per match in the last five games but have struggled to keep clean sheets, with none in the same period. Their defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match this season, have been a concern.
Still, their ability to find the back of the net in 73% of their away matches suggests they have the means to put pressure on Como.
Empoli Key Players
Empoli’s key players will be crucial in their endeavor to salvage their season and avoid relegation. Leading the line will be Sebastiano Esposito, the team’s top scorer with 8 goals in the Serie A campaign. His sharp finishing and quick movements will be pivotal against Como’s defense.
Expected lineup for Empoli:
- Goalkeeper: Marco Silvestri
- Defenders: Luca Marianucci, Ardian Ismajli, Mattia Viti
- Midfielders: Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi, Alberto Grassi, Liam Henderson, Giuseppe Pezzella
- Attackers: Sebastiano Esposito, Liberato Cacace, Lorenzo Colombo
Key individual battles to watch include Esposito going up against Como’s center backs Edoardo Goldaniga and Marc Oliver Kempf, while midfielder Alberto Grassi’s match-up with Maxence Caqueret will be vital in dictating the game’s tempo.
Empoli Suspensions & Injuries
Empoli is facing significant challenges with a long list of injuries affecting key players. Here’s the injury table:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Saba Sazonov | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Nicolas Haas | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Pietro Pellegri | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Faustino Anjorin | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Youssef Maleh | Knee injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Szymon Zurkowski | Knee injury | Mid April 2025 |
These absences will undoubtedly impact Empoli’s squad depth and strategy. Key players such as Sebastiano Esposito and Alberto Grassi will need to step up and fill the void.
Empoli coach Roberto D’Aversa must strategize effectively to counter these setbacks and boost his team’s survival hopes in Serie A.
Empoli Tactics and Formation
Empoli’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Lorenzo Colombo
- Wingbacks: Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi (R), Giuseppe Pezzella (L)
- Midfield Duo: Alberto Grassi and Liam Henderson
- Defensive Line: Luca Marianucci, Ardian Ismajli, Mattia Viti
- Notable Strategy: Utilizing a counter-attacking style to exploit gaps in Como’s defense
Empoli will look to leverage their pace on the flanks with Gyasi and Pezzella providing width. Esposito and Cacace aim to support Colombo in attack, creating a fluid offensive dynamic. Grassi and Henderson will anchor the midfield, tasked with breaking up play and initiating counters. Despite recent defensive struggles, the back three provide stability, hoping to absorb pressure and launch quick transitions.
Como vs Empoli Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | Como | 2024-11-04 | Serie A | 1-0 |
| Empoli | Como | 2003-02-02 | Serie A | 0-0 |
| Como | Empoli | 2002-09-14 | Serie A | 0-2 |
| Como | Empoli | 2002-05-12 | Serie Bwin | 2-0 |
| Empoli | Como | 2001-12-09 | Serie Bwin | 0-1 |
The head-to-head statistics reveal that both teams have had a mix of results over the years. Como has managed two wins in their last five meetings, while Empoli has secured two victories and a draw.
Empoli’s most recent win came in their last encounter in November 2024, with a narrow 1-0 victory at home.
Odds accurate as of 27th March 2025 14:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
