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SSC Napoli vs Roma Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 15 February

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In the upcoming Serie A clash, SSC Napoli will host Roma at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium on Sunday, 15 February. This match is set to be a significant encounter in the league, with both teams looking to secure vital points. As we delve into the prediction, match preview, and betting tips, it is essential to consider the current form and strategies of both sides.

SSC Napoli, playing on their home turf, will aim to capitalise on their familiarity with the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Meanwhile, Roma will be eager to challenge their hosts and improve their standing in the Serie A table. This matchup promises to be a thrilling contest, as both teams have a history of intense encounters, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

SSC Napoli vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip Odds
Draw 2.94

Given the form and defensive strength of both teams, our recommended betting tip is a draw. Both SSC Napoli and Roma have shown resilience in their recent matches, and their closely contested games suggest that neither side will easily concede victory.

  • SSC Napoli have not lost in 22 consecutive home matches, underlining their strong home form.
  • Roma’s recent results include a draw against AC Milan, demonstrating their ability to compete against top teams.
  • The last head-to-head in Naples was a narrow 1-0 win for SSC Napoli, but previous meetings have often ended in draws, highlighting the evenly matched nature of these encounters.

With both teams boasting strong defences and recent head-to-head results showing narrow margins, a draw appears to be the most reasonable prediction.

Betting Odds

SSC Napoli enter the match as slight favourites against Roma, with odds of 2.38 reflecting their home advantage at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Roma, however, are not far behind with odds of 3.34, suggesting that the bookmakers see this as a closely contested Serie A clash.

Betting Tip Odds
SSC Napoli to win 2.38
Draw 2.94
Roma to win 3.34

The draw is priced at 2.94, which could be tempting given the competitive nature of recent encounters between these two Italian giants. Punters might also want to explore the over 2.5 goals market, considering both teams’ attacking prowess.

SSC Napoli Analysis & Past Performance

SSC Napoli’s recent form has been inconsistent, with their last five matches resulting in two wins and three losses. Their most recent encounter ended in a dramatic 7-8 defeat against Como in the Coppa Italia. Despite this setback, SSC Napoli have managed to score an impressive 14 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.80 goals per game. However, their defensive frailties are evident, as they conceded 17 goals in the same period, averaging 3.40 goals conceded per match, highlighting a significant area for improvement.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
SSC Napoli Como N/A Coppa Italia 10 Feb 2026
Genoa SSC Napoli 2 – 3 (Win) Serie A 7 Feb 2026
SSC Napoli Fiorentina 2 – 1 (Win) Serie A 31 Jan 2026
SSC Napoli Chelsea 2 – 3 (Loss) Champions League 28 Jan 2026
Juventus SSC Napoli 3 – 0 (Loss) Serie A 25 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
In terms of home performance, SSC Napoli have shown some resilience with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five home games. They have maintained a win ratio of 40% at home, underlining a need to bolster their performance at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored in four out of their last five matches, but the lack of clean sheets indicates defensive vulnerabilities.

Currently, SSC Napoli sit in 3rd place in Serie A, with 49 points, reflecting their overall competitive edge this season. Rasmus Højlund remains a key figure in their attack, being the top scorer with 8 goals. Going forward, SSC Napoli will need to address their defensive issues while capitalising on their attacking strengths to maintain their standing and improve consistency.

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SSC Napoli Suspensions & Injuries

SSC Napoli face a challenging situation with several key players unavailable due to injuries. Kevin De Bruyne is sidelined with a thigh injury, expected to return in late February 2026. His absence is a significant blow to SSC Napoli’s midfield creativity. Billy Gilmour, also out with a groin injury until late February, adds to the midfield woes. André-Frank Zambo Anguissa’s muscle injury, with an uncertain return date, further depletes the midfield options. Meanwhile, David Neres is battling a hamstring injury, expected back in late March, affecting SSC Napoli’s attacking width.

Player Injury Expected Return
Kevin De Bruyne Thigh injury Late February 2026
Billy Gilmour Groin injury Late February 2026
André-Frank Zambo Anguissa Muscle injury Unknown
David Neres Hamstring injury Late March 2026
Giovanni Di Lorenzo Knee injury Early April 2026
Scott McTominay Thigh injury Late February 2026

The suspension of Juan Jesus for accumulating yellow cards presents a defensive conundrum for SSC Napoli. With Alessandro Buongiorno stepping into the defensive line, the team will need to rely on his composure alongside Amir Rrahmani and Sam Beukema. The absence of Giovanni Di Lorenzo, due to a knee injury until early April, could force a tactical reshuffle, with Miguel Gutiérrez and Leonardo Spinazzola potentially being tasked with more defensive responsibilities.

Player Suspension Matches Left Expected Return
Juan Jesus Yellow cards 1 Unknown

These absences may influence the betting markets, with SSC Napoli potentially seen as more vulnerable against Roma. The lack of depth in key areas could prompt tactical adjustments from coach Antonio Conte, who may opt for a more conservative formation to mitigate the impact of these unavailabilities.

SSC Napoli Key Players

Rasmus Højlund emerges as the key player for SSC Napoli, having netted 8 goals this season, making him the team’s top scorer. His ability to consistently find the back of the net is a testament to his clinical finishing and positional awareness. As the lone forward in the expected lineup, Højlund’s role is crucial in leading the attack, and he will be tasked with capitalising on any defensive lapses from Roma.

In midfield, Stanislav Lobotka stands out as a pivotal figure. His role as a playmaker involves dictating the tempo and distributing the ball efficiently, which could disrupt Roma’s defensive setup. Alongside Lobotka, Eljif Elmas adds dynamism with his ability to drive forward and support the attack, contributing both defensively and offensively.

Amir Rrahmani, anchoring the defence, provides stability and leadership at the back. His aerial prowess and tackling skills will be vital in neutralising Roma’s attacking threats. The defensive solidity he brings is complemented by Alessandro Buongiorno and Sam Beukema, forming a formidable backline.

Expected lineup for SSC Napoli

  • Goalkeeper: Alex Meret
  • Defence: Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Sam Beukema
  • Midfield: Miguel Gutiérrez, Eljif Elmas, Stanislav Lobotka, Leonardo Spinazzola, Giovane Nascimento, Antonio Vergara
  • Forward: Rasmus Højlund

SSC Napoli Tactics and Formation

SSC Napoli Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-2-1
  • Key Forward: Rasmus Højlund
  • Midfield Engine: Stanislav Lobotka and Eljif Elmas
  • Defensive Structure: Struggling to maintain clean sheets recently.
  • Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wide play and high pressing.

SSC Napoli, under Antonio Conte, are utilising a 3-4-2-1 formation that emphasises width and high pressing. This setup allows them to exploit the flanks with Miguel Gutiérrez and Leonardo Spinazzola, providing width and supporting both defensive and attacking transitions.

In midfield, Stanislav Lobotka and Eljif Elmas are crucial for maintaining possession and dictating the tempo. They provide a balance between defence and attack, enabling quick transitions and supporting the lone striker Rasmus Højlund, who is pivotal in SSC Napoli’s offensive play.

Defensively, the back three of Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, and Sam Beukema must be vigilant, especially given recent struggles to keep clean sheets. Injuries to key players like Kevin De Bruyne and Giovanni Di Lorenzo have necessitated tactical adjustments, potentially impacting their defensive solidity.

Roma Analysis & Past Performance

Roma have displayed a solid run of form, with recent performances underscoring their competitive edge. In their last five outings across all competitions, Roma secured three victories, including a decisive 2-0 win against Cagliari, while suffering just one defeat at the hands of Udinese (0-1).

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
Roma Cagliari 2 – 0 (Win) Serie A 9 Feb 2026
Udinese Roma 1 – 0 (Loss) Serie A 2 Feb 2026
Panathinaikos Roma 1 – 1 (Draw) Europa League 29 Jan 2026
Roma AC Milan 1 – 1 (Draw) Serie A 25 Jan 2026
Roma VfB Stuttgart 2 – 0 (Win) Europa League 22 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Roma’s attacking prowess is evident, averaging 1.40 goals per match in their last five games. Defensively, they have been robust, conceding only 0.60 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in three of these encounters. Away from home, however, Roma’s form has been less consistent, with two wins and one draw in their last five away matches, indicating room for improvement in their performances on the road.

Team Statistics:
Currently positioned 5th in Serie A with 46 points, Roma’s season has been characterised by a strong balance between attack and defence. They have scored in 8 out of their last 10 games, maintaining a clean sheet in 50% of those matches. Matías Soulé, their top scorer with 6 goals, remains a crucial figure in their offensive strategy.

Strengths & Weaknesses:

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Roma’s strengths lie in their defensive solidity and ability to secure clean sheets, which has been pivotal in their recent success. However, they have shown vulnerability in maintaining consistent away form, which could be a critical factor in their upcoming clash against SSC Napoli.

Roma Suspensions & Injuries

Roma will face SSC Napoli without several key players due to injuries, which could significantly affect their performance. Artem Dovbyk, who is sidelined with a muscle injury until mid-April, will be a notable absence, potentially impacting their attacking options. Stephan El Shaarawy’s Achilles tendon injury adds to the squad’s woes, with his return date still uncertain. This leaves Roma with fewer experienced attacking alternatives, placing more pressure on Donyell Malen to deliver up front.

Midfield dynamo Manu Koné is also unavailable due to a thigh injury, expected to return in late February. His absence may force coach Gian Piero Gasperini to rely heavily on Niccolò Pisilli and Bryan Cristante to maintain midfield stability. With players like Evan Ferguson and Robinio Vaz doubtful, the depth of the squad will be tested, especially against a formidable SSC Napoli side.

Player Injury Expected Return
Artem Dovbyk Muscle injury Mid-April 2026
Stephan El Shaarawy Achilles tendon injury Unknown
Manu Koné Thigh injury Late February 2026
Evan Ferguson Thigh injury Doubtful
Robinio Vaz Leg injury Doubtful

These absences may prompt tactical adjustments from Gasperini, possibly leading to a more conservative approach to counterbalance the lack of attacking depth. The reliance on a solid defensive setup will be crucial, with the available defenders needing to step up to minimise the impact of the missing players.

The betting markets might view these injuries as a disadvantage for Roma, potentially influencing odds in favour of SSC Napoli. With several key players missing, Roma’s chances of securing a positive result could be seen as diminished, making it a challenging fixture for the Giallorossi.

Roma Key Players

Roma’s offensive aspirations heavily depend on Matías Soulé, the team’s top scorer with 6 goals this season. Soulé operates primarily from midfield, bringing not only a knack for finding the back of the net but also creating critical chances for his teammates. His ability to navigate tight spaces and deliver precise passes makes him a dual threat, both as a playmaker and a finisher.

In the heart of midfield, Bryan Cristante and Lorenzo Pellegrini are pivotal. Cristante’s defensive acumen and passing range provide balance and transition, while Pellegrini’s vision and leadership are vital for orchestrating Roma’s attacking plays. Up front, Donyell Malen is expected to lead the line. His speed and agility can stretch SSC Napoli’s defence, creating opportunities for both himself and his teammates.

Expected lineup for Roma:

  • Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
  • Defence: Gianluca Mancini, Evan N’Dicka, Daniele Ghilardi
  • Midfield: Mehmet Zeki Çelik, Bryan Cristante, Niccolò Pisilli, Wesley, Matías Soulé, Lorenzo Pellegrini
  • Forward: Donyell Malen

Defensively, Gianluca Mancini and Evan N’Dicka form a formidable partnership at the back. Mancini’s robust tackling and aerial prowess, combined with N’Dicka’s composed ball-playing ability, are crucial for maintaining defensive solidity. This defensive duo not only shields the goalkeeper, Mile Svilar, but also initiates counter-attacks, adding a strategic layer to Roma’s play. Collectively, these key players are instrumental in shaping Roma’s tactical approach, focusing on quick transitions and exploiting spaces in the opponent’s half.

Roma Tactics and Formation

Roma Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-2-1
  • Key Forward: Donyell Malen
  • Midfield Pivot: Bryan Cristante and Niccolò Pisilli
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wing play and central solidity.

Roma’s 3-4-2-1 formation under Gian Piero Gasperini is crafted to maximise both defensive resilience and offensive fluidity. With Bryan Cristante and Niccolò Pisilli anchoring the midfield, they provide a strong core, ensuring ball retention and transition support. The presence of Matías Soulé and Lorenzo Pellegrini in advanced midfield roles allows for creative playmaking, feeding Donyell Malen, the key forward.

Defensively, the trio of Gianluca Mancini, Evan N’Dicka, and Daniele Ghilardi forms a compact unit, contributing to Roma’s two clean sheets in their last five matches. This setup offers a balance between defensive security and the ability to build from the back.

Offensively, Roma leverage wing-backs Mehmet Zeki Çelik and Wesley to stretch the play, creating space for central players to exploit. Their strategy often involves quick transitions and exploiting the wings, evident in their recent performances, such as their 2-0 victory over Cagliari.

SSC Napoli vs Roma Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between SSC Napoli and Roma is perfectly balanced, with both teams winning 16 times and drawing 11 matches across their 43 encounters. In their most recent clash, SSC Napoli secured a narrow 1-0 victory away at Roma in Serie A, showcasing their ability to snatch points on the road.

When it comes to Serie A meetings, the rivalry remains tight. The last time SSC Napoli hosted Roma at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, the match ended in a 1-0 win for the home side, highlighting SSC Napoli’s slight edge when playing in front of their fans.

Home Team Away Team Score League Date
Roma SSC Napoli 0 – 1 Serie A 2025-11-30
Roma SSC Napoli 1 – 1 Serie A 2025-02-02
SSC Napoli Roma 1 – 0 Serie A 2024-11-24
SSC Napoli Roma 2 – 2 Serie A 2024-04-28
Roma SSC Napoli 2 – 0 Serie A 2023-12-23
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