Fluminense vs. Corinthians Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 14 September 2025

As we head into Round 23 of Serie A, Fluminense hosts Corinthians for a thrilling matchup. Both teams are looking to fortify their positions in the league, with Fluminense currently sitting 9th and Corinthians trailing close behind in 12th. A win could significantly impact their standings.
Fluminense, the bookmaker favorite at 2.05 odds, have shown resilience in their recent matches with notable clean sheets. Despite some injury setbacks, including Matheus Reis and Samuel Xavier, Renato Gaúcho’s squad has been vigorous. Their top scorer, Germán Cano, who like Yuri Alberto from Corinthians, has netted 5 goals, will be crucial.
Corinthians also face injury woes, particularly with Memphis Depay, but recent performance, including a Cup win against Athletico Paranaense, puts them in high spirits. Dorival Júnior’s team averages 1.60 goals in the last five games, indicating an attacking mindset.
Recommended bet: Over 1.5 Goals, with the odds at 1.55. Given both teams’ recent match history and goal-scoring abilities, this seems a solid punt. Fluminense’s tendency to concede late goals could make for an exciting end.
Let’s see if Fluminense can secure their spot in the top half or if Corinthians will climb up the table.

Fluminense vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tip

Best Bet Recommendation: Over 1.5 Goals
Reasoning:

• Recent Form and Statistics: Fluminense and Corinthians have featured in several high-scoring games recently. Fluminense scored 8 and conceded 8 in their last 5 matches, while Corinthians scored 7 and conceded 8.
• Season Averages: Fluminense’s matches this season average 1.25 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. For Corinthians, the numbers stand at 1.05 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. These stats highlight the potential for more than 1.5 goals.
• Market Odds: With the odds for "Over 1.5 Goals" at 1.55, the market is confident that there will be multiple goals in this fixture.
  Given these factors, betting on "Over 1.5 Goals" appears to be a smart choice, supported by both statistical trends and market confidence.

Fluminense vs Corinthians Odds

As we gear up for this clash between Fluminense and Corinthians, let’s look at the betting odds to see where the smart money lies.

Fluminense, the bookmakers’ favorite, are priced at 2.05 to win. This reflects their superior position in the table and recent form, which includes two clean sheets in their last five games.
The odds for a draw stand at 2.98, suggesting it’s seen as a plausible outcome, given the overall balanced nature of this encounter. Corinthians, despite sitting lower in the standings and having a depleted squad, are available at 4.01, highlighting their status as underdogs.
The bookmakers’ odds, coupled with recent performances, indicate a competitive fixture with opportunities for bettors.

Fluminense Team Analysis

Fluminense Recent Performance

In their last five matches, Fluminense have had a mixed bag of results with a form of WLLDW.
They’ve shown defensive strength with three clean sheets in their last five games, but inconsistency has plagued them. The 2-0 win against America de Cali in the Copa Sudamericana Final Stage is a testament to their capacity to perform on big occasions. However, consecutive losses against Red Bull Bragantino and Bahia in the Cup indicate vulnerabilities that Corinthians might exploit.
Fluminense have averaged 1.20 goals scored per game recently, demonstrating their ability to find the back of the net, especially with Germán Cano, their top scorer, leading the charge. Their resilience at times, combined with lapses, makes them an unpredictable yet formidable opponent.
Renato Gaúcho’s squad will need to iron out the kinks if they aim to consolidate their position in the league’s top half.

Fluminense Key Players

Fluminense’s main threat up front is Germán Cano, their top scorer, with 5 goals this season. His clinical finishing will be pivotal in pushing Corinthians’ defense to the limit. Another player to keep an eye on is Santiago Moreno, known for his pace and agility on the wings, providing crucial assists.
In the midfield, Martinelli and Facundo Bernal will be tasked with controlling the tempo and disrupting Corinthians’ play. Veteran defender Thiago Silva brings invaluable experience and leadership to the backline, which will be essential against a team like Corinthians.
Expected lineup for Fluminense:

• Goalkeeper: Fabio
• Defenders: Guga, Thiago Silva, Juan Pablo Freytes, Rene
• Midfielders: Facundo Bernal, Martinelli, Luciano Acosta
• Attackers: Santiago Moreno, Germán Cano, Kevin Serna

These key players will need to be at their best if Fluminense hopes to secure a crucial win.

Fluminense Suspensions & Injuries

Fluminense will be missing some key players due to injuries, which could impact their performance against Corinthians.
Matheus Reis is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury, and his absence in defense is a notable loss, especially against a Corinthians attack featuring Yuri Alberto. Samuel Xavier is also out with a thigh injury, and his potential return is set for late September 2025. Renato Gaúcho will need to rely on his bench strength and tactical flexibility to fill these gaps.
Fortunately, Fluminense has no suspensions to worry about, so they can field their best available lineup. These absences will be a test of their squad depth and adaptability.

Fluminense Tactics and Formation

Fluminense Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Germán Cano, with 5 goals this season.
• Midfield Duo: Martinelli, Facundo Bernal
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Fluid wing play and solid midfield control.
  Renato Gaúcho is expected to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, leveraging Germán Cano’s goal-scoring prowess upfront. Santiago Moreno’s speed on the right wing and Luciano Acosta’s creativity as the attacking midfielder provide offensive versatility.
  The combination of Martinelli and Facundo Bernal in defensive midfield will aim to break up Corinthians’ play and initiate counter-attacks. The experience of Thiago Silva in defense will be critical, especially in maintaining the team’s structure and discipline.
  This tactical setup aims to exploit Corinthians’ weaknesses and ensure Fluminense’s dominance, particularly in the midfield.

Corinthians Team Analysis

Corinthians Recent Performance

Corinthians have had a relatively strong run lately, with a form of LWWDW in their last five matches.
Their recent victories include a solid 2-0 Cup win against Athletico Paranaense and a thrilling 3-2 league win against Vasco da Gama. These performances underline their attacking prowess, as indicated by their average of 1.60 goals per game in the last five matches.
They’ve kept two clean sheets in this period, showing defensive resilience although their defense conceded 8 in five games, a concern for coach Dorival Júnior. Yuri Alberto, with 5 goals, is a significant threat upfront, as his consistency in scoring could unsettle Fluminense’s backline.
Corinthians’ form suggests they are capable of pulling off an upset, especially with their recent goal-scoring momentum.

Corinthians Key Players

Corinthians’ key player upfront is Yuri Alberto, who has netted 5 goals this season. His scoring prowess will be essential for Corinthians as they aim to breach Fluminense’s defense. Another crucial player is Rodrigo Garro, occupying the attacking midfield role, expected to create opportunities and link up with the forwards.
In midfield, Maycon will play a pivotal role in dictating the tempo and breaking up Fluminense’s play. The defense, led by Gustavo Henrique, must be solid, especially given Fluminense’s attacking threats.
Expected lineup for Corinthians:

• Goalkeeper: Hugo Souza
• Defenders: Matheuzinho, Andre Ramalho, Gustavo Henrique, Matheus Bidu
• Midfielders: Charles, Maycon, José Martínez, Rodrigo Garro
• Attackers: Gui Negao, Yuri Alberto

These players need to be at their best to challenge a resilient Fluminense side.

Corinthians Suspensions & Injuries

Corinthians are facing significant challenges due to injuries and suspensions that could impact their performance against Fluminense.
Memphis Depay, an important offensive player, is doubtful for the match due to a thigh injury, which means Corinthians might miss his attacking threat. Andre Carrillo is out for the season with an ankle injury, further depleting their attacking options. Additionally, Raniele is expected to return from a thigh injury only by late September 2025.
Adding to their woes, Breno Bidon is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, which leaves Dorival Júnior with fewer midfield options.
These absences put pressure on the squad’s depth and resilience, requiring the rest of the team to step up and deliver.

Corinthians Tactics and Formation

Corinthians Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Yuri Alberto, with 5 goals this season.
• Midfield Trio: Charles, Maycon, José Martínez
• Defensive Resilience: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and attacking intent, evident from their average of 1.60 goals per game in the last five matches.
  Dorival Júnior is likely to set up Corinthians in a 4-3-3 formation to exploit Fluminense’s occasional defensive lapses. In this setup, Yuri Alberto will spearhead the attack, supported by Gui Negao and Rodrigo Garro, creating a formidable front three.
  The midfield, controlled by Maycon, Charles, and José Martínez, will aim to disrupt Fluminense’s play and initiate quick transitions. The defense, led by Gustavo Henrique, must remain disciplined, particularly given Fluminense’s knack for scoring in 75% of their matches this season.
  This tactical approach aims to balance defensive solidity with an aggressive offensive mindset.

Fluminense vs Corinthians Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head statistics between Fluminense and Corinthians show a history of competitive encounters, making this upcoming clash even more intriguing.
The last five meetings have been a mixed bag:

• Corinthians 0 – 2 Fluminense on 16 April 2025
• Fluminense 0 – 0 Corinthians on 18 August 2024
• Corinthians 3 – 0 Fluminense on 28 April 2024
• Fluminense 3 – 3 Corinthians on 20 October 2023
• Corinthians 2 – 0 Fluminense on 28 May 2023

Fluminense has had the upper hand recently with a 2-0 victory in their latest duel. However, past results demonstrate that both teams are capable of pulling off a win.
Such history underscores the balanced nature of this fixture, signaling an exciting match ahead at the Serie A.

Odds accurate as of 12 September 2025 01:05, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.