Grêmio vs Palmeiras Prediction, Match Preview, Wednesday, 26 November

Grêmio vs Palmeiras Prediction, Match Preview, Wednesday, 26 November. This midweek clash in the Brazilian Serie A promises to be a captivating encounter as Grêmio hosts Palmeiras. Both teams are vying for crucial points in the league standings, making this an essential fixture for their respective campaigns. With the match taking place on Wednesday, 26 November, fans can expect an intense battle as these two Brazilian powerhouses face off.

Although the venue details remain unspecified, the significance of this matchup cannot be overstated. Grêmio, known for their solid home performances, will look to leverage their form against a formidable Palmeiras side. Meanwhile, Palmeiras, with their strong away record, will aim to secure a vital victory to bolster their position in the Serie A standings. This match is set to offer thrilling action and could have significant implications for the league table.

Grêmio vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Palmeiras to Win	2.34

Given the significant injuries plaguing Grêmio and Palmeiras’ recent strong form, our recommended betting tip is to back a Palmeiras win. The odds of 2.10 for an away victory offer solid value considering the disparity in squad health and recent performances.

• Grêmio’s recent form is worrying, with just one win in their last five games, while Palmeiras have shown they can raise their level, evidenced by their 4-0 win over LDU de Quito.
• Palmeiras have a clear historical advantage, having edged Grêmio 1-0 away from home in their last encounter in July.
• The likely return of Marcos Rocha bolsters Palmeiras’ defensive stability, which is crucial against a depleted Grêmio lineup missing key players like Martin Braithwaite and Mathías Villasanti.

Betting Odds

Grêmio faces Palmeiras in what promises to be a thrilling Serie A encounter. The betting odds have Palmeiras as slight favourites at 2.34, but Grêmio isn’t far behind at 3.06, making this a tantalising prospect for those considering the home advantage.

Betting Tip	Odds
Grêmio to win	3.06
Draw	3.12
Palmeiras to win	2.34

With the draw priced at 3.12, it suggests a closely contested match. Punters might find value in backing both teams to score, given their attacking prowess. Keep an eye on the over 2.5 goals market as well, which could offer enticing returns.

Grêmio Analysis & Past Performance

Grêmio’s recent form has been inconsistent, with their last five matches yielding one win, one draw, and three losses. This includes a notable 2-0 victory against Vasco da Gama, yet they’ve struggled against teams like Botafogo RJ, where they conceded three goals in their latest 3-2 defeat.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Botafogo RJ	Grêmio	3 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	22 Nov 2025
Grêmio	Vasco da Gama	2 – 0 (Win)	Serie A	20 Nov 2025
Fortaleza	Grêmio	2 – 2 (Draw)	Serie A	9 Nov 2025
Grêmio	Cruzeiro	0 – 1 (Loss)	Serie A	5 Nov 2025
Corinthians	Grêmio	2 – 0 (Loss)	Serie A	2 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
Grêmio has managed to score in three of their last five games, averaging 1.20 goals per match. However, their defensive issues are evident, having conceded 1.60 goals on average per game, and only securing one clean sheet in this period. This suggests a need for defensive improvements to complement their attacking efforts.

Their home performance has been more reassuring, with four wins out of their last five home fixtures, translating to an 80% win ratio at home. This stark contrast to their overall form underscores the difference between their home and away performances. Currently placed 12th in the Serie A standings with 43 points, Grêmio’s ability to maintain home dominance is crucial for climbing the league table.

Carlos Vinícius stands out as a key player, contributing significantly with nine goals this season, highlighting Grêmio’s reliance on his attacking prowess. Yet, the team must address their vulnerability to conceding goals, especially when playing away, to enhance their competitive edge.

• LWDLL

Grêmio Suspensions & Injuries

Grêmio faces significant challenges with a lengthy list of injuries affecting their squad depth and tactical flexibility. The absence of Rodrigo Ely and Mathías Villasanti, both sidelined with cruciate ligament injuries, weakens their defensive and midfield options considerably. These injuries, along with those of Fabián Balbuena and Willian, who are expected back in early December, mean coach Mano Menezes will need to rely on less experienced players to fill these crucial roles. The attacking setup is also impacted by Martin Braithwaite’s Achilles tendon injury, leaving Grêmio with limited options up front.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Gustavo Martins	Yellow cards	1	Unknown
Erick Noriega	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

The suspensions of Gustavo Martins and Erick Noriega further compound Grêmio’s defensive woes. With both players unavailable due to yellow card suspensions, the team’s backline will require reshuffling. Marcos Rocha and Marlon are expected to step in, but this may leave Grêmio vulnerable against a potent Palmeiras attack. The tactical impact of these absences could see Grêmio adopting a more conservative approach, focusing on defensive solidity to counteract these losses.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Rodrigo Ely	Cruciate ligament injury	Mid December 2025
Mathías Villasanti	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Fabián Balbuena	Broken ankle	Early December 2025
Martin Braithwaite	Achilles tendon injury	Out for season
João Pedro	Shoulder injury	Out for season
Willian	Broken foot	Early December 2025
Alex Santana	Muscle injury	Early December 2025
Riquelme Freitas	Ankle injury	Out for season
Cristian Olivera	Ankle injury	Out for season

The combination of injuries and suspensions may influence betting markets, as Grêmio’s weakened squad faces a challenging matchup against Palmeiras. Punters may view these absences as a potential advantage for the visitors, possibly affecting odds and betting strategies. Historical performance without key players has shown a dip in form, which could play a role in shaping expectations for this fixture.

Grêmio Key Players

Grêmio’s attacking prowess will be spearheaded by Carlos Vinícius, the team’s top scorer with 9 goals this season. Known for his clinical finishing and ability to hold up play, Vinícius will be crucial in breaking down Palmeiras’ defence. His presence in the forward line, alongside the dynamic Francis Amuzu and Alysson Edward, offers a blend of pace and physicality that is likely to trouble the opposition’s backline.

In midfield, Edenílson stands out as a key figure with his creative playmaking abilities. His vision and passing range can unlock defences, providing vital support to the forwards. Alongside him, Arthur’s box-to-box energy and Dodi’s defensive acumen will be instrumental in controlling the midfield battle.

Expected lineup for Grêmio

• Goalkeeper: Tiago Volpi
• Defence: Marcos Rocha, Wagner Leonardo, Walter Kannemann, Marlon
• Midfield: Dodi, Arthur, Edenílson
• Forward: Alysson Edward, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius

Defensively, Walter Kannemann is expected to marshal the backline with his robust defending and leadership. His partnership with Wagner Leonardo will be pivotal in maintaining a solid defensive structure against Palmeiras. The tactical impact of these players, with their combined strengths, is set to shape Grêmio’s approach, focusing on a balanced yet aggressive style of play.

Grêmio Tactics and Formation

Grêmio Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Likely 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: André
• Midfield Pivot: Gustavo Cuéllar and Dodi
• Defensive Concerns: Conceded eight goals in last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on possession and midfield control.

Grêmio’s potential use of a 4-2-3-1 formation aims to maintain midfield dominance and balance between attack and defence. With Gustavo Cuéllar and Dodi anchoring the midfield, they are tasked with breaking up opposition play and distributing the ball effectively to the forward line. Edenílson plays a pivotal role as the advanced midfielder, linking up with André at the tip of the attack.

Defensively, Grêmio has struggled recently, conceding eight goals in their last five matches. The defensive line, likely featuring Marcos Rocha and Gustavo Martins, needs to tighten up to prevent further lapses. Their ability to maintain possession is crucial in mitigating defensive vulnerabilities.

Offensively, Grêmio focuses on controlling possession, which allows them to dictate the tempo and create opportunities through quick transitions. However, converting possession into goals remains a challenge, as evidenced by their recent form which includes only one clean sheet in the last five games.

Palmeiras Analysis & Past Performance

Palmeiras enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent performances. Over their last five matches, they’ve managed one win, two draws, and two losses. Notably, their only win came with a 2-0 victory against Santos FC at home. However, the subsequent matches have highlighted some inconsistencies, particularly in their away form, where they have lost four of their last five away fixtures.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Palmeiras	Fluminense	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	23 Nov 2025
Palmeiras	Vitoria	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	19 Nov 2025
Santos FC	Palmeiras	1 – 0 (Loss)	Serie A	16 Nov 2025
Mirassol	Palmeiras	2 – 1 (Loss)	Serie A	9 Nov 2025
Palmeiras	Santos FC	2 – 0 (Win)	Serie A	7 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
The team’s attacking prowess has been somewhat muted, averaging a mere 0.60 goals per game over their last five outings. Despite this, they have managed to maintain defensive solidity, with three clean sheets in the same period, indicating a resilient backline. Despite their struggles up front, Vitor Roque remains a critical player, having netted 16 goals this season, contributing significantly to their overall tally.

Palmeiras holds a strong position in the Serie A standings, currently sitting second with 70 points. This reflects a successful season overall, with a win ratio of 60% across 35 matches. Their away form, however, has been less convincing, winning only 56% of their matches on the road. Tactical adjustments might be necessary to bolster their offensive capabilities, especially in high-stakes away games.

• DDLLW

Palmeiras Suspensions & Injuries

Palmeiras faces a challenging task ahead of their Serie A clash with Grêmio, as they will be without several key players due to injuries and suspensions. The absence of Murilo Cerqueira, suspended for one match due to yellow card accumulation, will force a reshuffle in the defensive line. This could potentially see Khellven or Joaquín Piquerez stepping up to fill the gap, though neither matches Cerqueira’s aerial prowess and defensive solidity.

Player	Reason for Suspension	Matches Left	Expected Comeback
Murilo Cerqueira	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

In terms of injuries, the squad is particularly hard hit with Figueiredo, Paulinho, and Lucas Evangelista all ruled out for the season. This severely depletes Palmeiras’ options in midfield and attack, potentially necessitating tactical adjustments from Abel Ferreira. The absence of Lucas Evangelista, in particular, could disrupt the midfield’s creativity, requiring Emiliano Martínez to take on a more prominent role.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Figueiredo	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Paulinho	Shin injury	Out for season
Lucas Evangelista	Thigh injury	Out for season
Weverton	Broken hand	Around 1-2 weeks

Additionally, Weverton’s broken hand leaves him sidelined for about 1-2 weeks, making Carlos Miguel the likely candidate to continue between the sticks. While Miguel has shown competence, Weverton’s leadership and shot-stopping abilities will be sorely missed. These absences could impact Palmeiras’ defensive stability and overall depth, potentially influencing betting markets as they face a resilient Grêmio side.

Palmeiras Key Players

Palmeiras will heavily rely on their top scorer, Vitor Roque, who has impressively netted 16 goals this season. As a forward, Roque’s agility and sharp finishing make him a constant threat to any defence. His partnership with José Manuel López up front is pivotal, with López’s physicality complementing Roque’s finesse. In the midfield, Andreas Pereira stands out as a dynamic playmaker capable of dictating the game’s rhythm. His vision and passing range are crucial for creating opportunities and breaking down opposing defences.

At the back, Gustavo Gómez anchors the defence with his leadership and aerial prowess, essential for maintaining a solid defensive line. Alongside him, Joaquín Piquerez provides stability and the ability to support attacking plays with his overlapping runs. These key players not only enhance Palmeiras’ tactical flexibility but also bring a blend of experience and skill that could be decisive in clinching victory.

Expected lineup for Palmeiras:

• Goalkeeper: Carlos Miguel
• Defence: Khellven, Gustavo Gómez, Bruno Fuchs, Joaquín Piquerez
• Midfield: Allan, Aníbal Moreno, Andreas Pereira, Felipe Anderson
• Forward: José Manuel López, Vitor Roque

Palmeiras Tactics and Formation

Palmeiras Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Predominantly 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Vitor Roque
• Midfield Engine: Emiliano Martínez and Ramón Sosa
• Defensive Solidity: Three clean sheets in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: Strong defensive organisation complemented by quick counterattacks.

Palmeiras typically lines up in a 4-4-2 formation, which allows them to maintain a solid defensive structure while being able to transition quickly into attack. The midfield partnership of Emiliano Martínez and Ramón Sosa is pivotal, offering a blend of creativity and defensive cover. This setup has proven effective, as evidenced by their three clean sheets in the last five games.

Defensively, Palmeiras relies on the experience of Gustavo Gómez and Murilo Cerqueira at the heart of the defence, complemented by full-backs Khellven and Joaquín Piquerez. This defensive lineup has been instrumental in maintaining their clean sheet streak, showcasing their ability to repel opposition attacks effectively.

Offensively, Vitor Roque, the team’s top scorer with 16 goals, leads the line. His partnership with José Manuel López provides a dual threat in front of goal, supported by the width and creativity supplied by the midfield. Palmeiras’ strategy often involves soaking up pressure and launching swift counterattacks, capitalising on the speed and precision of their forwards.

Grêmio vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Palmeiras, the latter has the upper hand with 21 wins compared to Grêmio’s 11, alongside 15 draws. Their last encounter saw Palmeiras clinch a narrow 1-0 victory at home in Serie A, continuing their recent dominance.

When it comes to Serie A matches, Palmeiras have consistently outperformed Grêmio, particularly in recent seasons. Despite Grêmio’s spirited performances, Palmeiras’ ability to secure crucial wins has been evident, as shown in their last few meetings.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Palmeiras	Grêmio	1 – 0	Serie A	2025-07-27
Palmeiras	Grêmio	1 – 0	Serie A	2024-11-09
Grêmio	Palmeiras	2 – 2	Serie A	2024-07-04
Grêmio	Palmeiras	1 – 0	Serie A	2023-09-22
Palmeiras	Grêmio	4 – 1	Serie A	2023-05-11