Girona vs. Deportivo Alavés Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 5 April 2025 - bettingexpert
The stakes are high as Girona hosts Deportivo Alavés at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi on 5 April 2025 at 13:00 for Round 30 of LaLiga. Girona, currently in 13th position with 34 points, will be eager to secure a victory to distance themselves from the relegation zone. Their recent form, with five games without a win, highlights their struggles this season. Daley Blind remains a key player for the home team, bringing experience and composure to the defense.
Deportivo Alavés, sitting precariously at 17th with 27 points, will be looking to escape the relegation zone. Despite their tough season, they have scored in 80% of their away matches. However, they will miss Nahuel Tenaglia due to suspension, adding to their challenges. Notably, Alavés has a tendency to concede late goals, particularly in the 76-90 minute interval.
Considering both teams’ forms and the last five encounters resulting in two draws, a tightly contested match is anticipated. Our prediction leans towards a draw as both teams desperately seek points to secure their LaLiga status.
Recommended bet: Draw.
Girona vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the form and circumstances of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome. Both Girona and Deportivo Alavés need points to secure their LaLiga status, and their last five encounters include two draws.
| Girona vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.30 |
- Both teams have had close encounters recently, with two matches ending in a draw.
- Girona has struggled to secure wins, going five games without a victory.
- Deportivo Alavés often concedes late goals, which can balance the scoreline.
Girona vs Deportivo Alavés Odds
| Girona vs Deportivo Alavés Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Girona | 2.07 |
| Draw | 3.30 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 3.64 |
Girona enters this match as the bookmaker’s favorite with odds of 2.07, reflecting their home advantage and better league position. A draw comes in at 3.30, which is a plausible outcome given both teams’ recent close encounters and that Girona has not won in the last five games.
Deportivo Alavés, while the underdogs at odds of 3.64, have shown they can be competitive, especially considering their tendency to score late goals. This match is set to be tight and competitive, with valuable points on the line for both sides.
Girona Team Analysis
Girona Recent Performance
Girona has struggled in their recent matches, unable to secure a win in their last five outings. Their form includes three draws and two losses.
| Home Team | Away Team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Girona | 2025-03-30 | LaLiga | 4-1 (Loss) |
| Girona | Valencia | 2025-03-15 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Espanyol | Girona | 2025-03-10 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Girona | Celta Vigo | 2025-03-01 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Real Madrid | Girona | 2025-02-23 | LaLiga | 2-0 (Loss) |
Girona has managed to score an average of 1.00 goal per game in their last five matches, but defensive lapses have been evident as they have failed to keep a clean sheet. Despite the challenges, the team has shown resilience, with standout performances from key players like Cristhian Stuani and the experienced Daley Blind, who continues to play a pivotal role in defense. The upcoming match is crucial for Girona to secure valuable points and improve their standing in the league.
Girona Key Players
Girona’s squad features several players who could make a difference in the upcoming clash against Deportivo Alavés. The experienced Daley Blind has been exceptional in defense, offering both intelligence and strategic positioning. His recent assist against Barcelona showcased his ability to contribute offensively as well. Cristhian Stuani, the team’s leading scorer with six goals, will be eager to add to his tally and lead Girona’s attack.
Potential key individual battles include Cristhian Stuani versus Alavés’ Santiago Mouriño and Daley Blind versus Kike Garcia.
Expected lineup for Girona:
- Goalkeeper: Paulo Gazzaniga
- Defenders: Alejandro Frances, Daley Blind, Ladislav Krejčí, Miguel Gutiérrez
- Midfielders: Viktor Tsygankov, Yangel Herrera, Arthur, Arnau Martínez, Yaser Asprilla
- Forward: Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld
Girona Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Abel Ruiz | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Bryan Gil | Knee injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Iván Martín Núñez | Hamstring Injury | Late April 2025 |
| Ricard Artero | Thigh injury | Out for season |
| Bojan Miovski | Muscle injury | Mid April 2025 |
Girona will be missing several key players due to injuries, which is likely to affect their performance. Abel Ruiz remains doubtful with a muscle injury, while Bryan Gil and Bojan Miovski are expected to return by mid-April. Iván Martín Núñez is sidelined until late April, and Ricard Artero is out for the season with a thigh injury. These absences could impact Girona’s attacking options and squad depth, adding pressure on fit players like Cristhian Stuani and Arnaut Danjuma to step up.
Girona Tactics and Formation
Girona Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-5-1
- Key Forward: Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld
- Midfield Quintet:
- Right Midfielder: Viktor Tsygankov
- Right Central Midfielder: Yangel Herrera
- Central Midfielder: Arthur
- Left Central Midfielder: Arnau Martínez
- Left Midfielder: Yaser Asprilla
- Defensive Backbone: Daley Blind and Ladislav Krejčí in central defense
Girona relies heavily on a solid midfield to maintain possession and control the pace of the game. Despite their current struggles, Daley Blind’s leadership and organizational skills are crucial. His strategic thinking helps maintain order, especially against top-tier opponents. The attacking options up front, led by Danjuma and complemented by the creativity of Tsygankov and Asprilla on the wings, aim to exploit Deportivo Alaves’ vulnerability in the last 15 minutes of the game. Girona’s tactic is to weather early pressure and capitalize on transitions, leaning on the composure of veterans like Blind in defense.
Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis
Deportivo Alaves Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | Rayo Vallecano | 2025-03-29 | LaLiga | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Las Palmas | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-03-14 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Villarreal | 2025-03-08 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Mallorca | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-03-02 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Espanyol | 2025-02-22 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
Deportivo Alaves has had a mixed bag of results recently, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches.
Recent Form: LDWDL
They have managed to secure only one clean sheet during this period, reflecting their defensive vulnerabilities. On average, they have scored 0.80 goals per game in their last five matches. This shows a slight struggle in finding the back of the net consistently.
Given their position near the relegation zone, every point is crucial for Alaves, making this upcoming fixture against Girona vital.
Deportivo Alaves Key Players
Key figures for Deportivo Alaves include striker Kike Garcia, who is the top scorer for the team with 11 goals this season. In midfield, Joan Jordán will be essential in controlling the tempo and distributing the ball. Players like Antonio Blanco and Carles Aleña also add depth and creativity to the midfield.
Expected lineup for Deportivo Alaves:
- Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
- Defenders: Hugo Novoa, Abdel Abqar, Santiago Mouriño, Manu Sánchez
- Midfielders: Antonio Blanco, Pau Cabanes, Joan Jordán, Jon Guridi, Carles Aleña
- Attackers: Kike Garcia
Individual battles to watch include Kike Garcia against Daley Blind, as well as Joan Jordán taking on Arthur in the midfield.
Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Tenaglia | Yellow cards | One match |
The absence of Nahuel Tenaglia, who is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, will be a significant blow to Deportivo Alaves. He has been a consistent performer in the defense, and his suspension means Eduardo Coudet will need to reshuffle his backline.
This adjustment could potentially weaken their defensive solidity, particularly on the right side, which Tenaglia usually secures effectively. The responsibility will likely fall to Hugo Novoa to step up and fill this gap. Given the importance of this match for both teams, Tenaglia’s suspension might just tip the balance slightly in favour of Girona.
Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation
Deportivo Alaves’ Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1.
- Key Forward: Kike Garcia.
- Midfield Trio: Antonio Blanco, Pau Cabanes, Joan Jordán.
- Defensive Adjustment: Hugo Novoa is expected to replace the suspended Nahuel Tenaglia at right back.
- Defensive Strength: Despite only one clean sheet in the last five games, their defence has moments of resilience.
Eduardo Coudet will likely keep the 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a solid midfield to control the game and provide support to the lone forward, Kike Garcia. The midfield trio will play a crucial role in both offensive buildups and defensive coverage. With Tenaglia out, Hugo Novoa must step up to maintain backline stability. Expect cautious but opportunistic play, aiming to exploit any defensive lapses by Girona to secure points.
Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | Girona | 2025-01-11 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Girona | 2024-05-10 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Girona | Deportivo Alaves | 2023-12-18 | LaLiga | 3-0 (Win) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Girona | 2019-05-18 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Win) |
| Girona | Deportivo Alaves | 2018-12-05 | Copa del Rey | 2-1 (Win) |
Girona and Deportivo Alaves have faced each other multiple times over recent seasons, with Girona having the upper hand.
In their last five encounters, Girona has secured three wins, while Alaves has recorded one victory. One match ended in a draw.
With both teams fighting for crucial points, expect another intense and competitive game.
Odds accurate as of April 3, 2025, 1:01 PM, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
