Hull vs. Derby Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 26 April 2025 - bettingexpert
On 26 April 2025 at 15:00, the Championship clash between Hull and Derby takes center stage at The MKM Stadium. This key encounter comes just before the final round of the season. With Hull sitting in 20th place on 48 points, just above their opponents Derby in 21st place with 46 points, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Both teams are fighting to secure their Championship status.
Recent form suggests a tight, low-scoring affair. Hull has a mixed bag of recent results (WLDLW), while Derby (LDDLW) come into this game fresh off a surprising 3-1 away win against West Bromwich.
Hull might be the bookmakers’ favorites with odds of 2.41, but don’t underestimate Derby, as our match tips recommend a bet on Derby with a +0.50 Asian Handicap. The game is likely to be a defensive battle with both teams struggling to score in recent fixtures.
Given the significance of the match in the relegation battle, expect a tense atmosphere with possibly decisive moments coming in the second half, as both teams have patterns of scoring and conceding in specific time intervals.
A stalemate seems the most probable outcome in this crucial fixture.
Hull vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tip
| Hull vs Derby Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Derby +0.50 (AH) | 1.80 |
- Hull’s recent home performance has been underwhelming, with only one win in their last five matches.
- The match is likely to be a low-scoring affair, as both teams have struggled to find the back of the net recently.
- Given Derby’s strong away performance in their last fixture and their slightly better goal-scoring record, they stand a good chance of at least securing a draw in this crucial match.
Hull vs Derby Odds
| Hull vs Derby Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Hull | 2.41 |
| Draw | 3.01 |
| Derby | 3.11 |
Hull enters this match as the bookmakers’ favourite with odds of 2.41. However, with Derby only slightly behind at 3.11, this suggests the encounter will be competitive.
The draw is priced at 3.01, indicating a closely fought game could be on the cards. Considering Hull’s lack of consistency at home and Derby’s resilience in away games, this could be a match worth betting on for those looking for potential value in the markets.
Hull Team Analysis
Hull Recent Performance
| Hull | Preston | 2025-04-21 | Championship | 2-1 (Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | Hull | 2025-04-18 | Championship | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Hull | Coventry | 2025-04-14 | Championship | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Watford | Hull | 2025-04-08 | Championship | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Hull | 2025-04-05 | Championship | 0-1 (Win) |
Hull City’s recent form has been mixed, with two wins, a draw, and two losses from their last five games. They managed to secure a vital win against Preston with a narrow 2-1 victory but have struggled for consistency at home. Their average goals scored in the last five matches is 0.80, indicating offensive challenges. Defensively, they’ve only kept one clean sheet in this span. However, a recent win against Sheffield Wednesday might give them a confidence boost heading into this match.
Of note, Hull tends to concede most of their goals between the 46th and 75th minutes, meaning they’ll need to stay especially vigilant during this period if they want to secure points. The lack of consistency at home highlights the need for a concentrated team effort.
Hull Key Players
Hull City will be looking for key performances from a few standout players, including their top scorer, Joao Pedro, who has netted six goals this season. He’ll be pivotal in breaking down Derby’s defense. Joe Gelhardt, playing as the attacking midfielder, will also be crucial in creating chances and threading key passes. On the wings, Nordin Amrabat and Abu Kamara will need to exploit any defensive lapses from Derby to provide scoring opportunities. At the back, John Egan and Charlie Hughes will anchor the defense, tasked with containing Derby’s top scorer, Jerry Yates.
Expected lineup for Hull:
- Goalkeeper: Ivor Pandur
- Defenders: Lewie Coyle, John Egan, Charlie Hughes, Sean McLoughlin
- Midfielders: Steven Alzate, Regan Slater, Nordin Amrabat, Joe Gelhardt, Abu Kamara
- Attacker: Kyle Joseph
Hull Suspensions & Injuries
Hull City is facing a challenging injury situation, with six players on the sidelines, potentially affecting their depth and performance.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Harvey Cartwright | Hand injury | Early May 2025 |
| Liam Millar | Cruciate ligament injury | Early July 2025 |
| Mohamed Belloumi | Cruciate ligament injury | Mid July 2025 |
| Dogukan Sinik | Leg injury | Early May 2025 |
| Louie Barry | Knee injury | Early May 2025 |
| Eliot Matazo | Cruciate ligament injury | Early November 2025 |
These absences could hinder Hull’s ability to execute their game plan effectively without these crucial players. With significant injuries particularly in the midfield and defensive lines, coach Ruben Selles will have to rely on his squad’s depth to compensate for these losses.
Hull Tactics and Formation
Hull City Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Kyle Joseph
- Midfield Anchors: Regan Slater, Steven Alzate
- Defensive Backbone: Ivor Pandur in goal, John Egan, and Charlie Hughes at centre-back
- Notable Strategy: Hull tends to concede most goals during the 46-75 minute interval, suggesting a need for heightened defensive focus after halftime.
Hull, under Ruben Selles, typically adopts a 4-2-3-1 formation. The team relies on a strong midfield duo of Slater and Alzate to shield the defense and transition play.
The presence of creative players like Joe Gelhardt and wing threats Nordin Amrabat and Abu Kamara offers attacking versatility aimed at creating opportunities for Kyle Joseph up front. Despite a shaky defense, with several goals conceded after halftime, Hull’s game plan must emphasize maintaining focus during critical periods to secure a positive result.
Derby Team Analysis
Derby Recent Performance
Derby have managed a mixed bag of results in their last five outings, showing some resilience but also moments of inconsistency. Here’s a look at their recent matches:
| Home Team | Away Team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich | Derby | 2025-04-21 | Championship | 1-3 (Win) |
| Derby | Luton | 2025-04-18 | Championship | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Portsmouth | Derby | 2025-04-12 | Championship | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Derby | Burnley | 2025-04-08 | Championship | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Swansea | Derby | 2025-04-05 | Championship | 1-0 (Loss) |
Recent Form: LDDLW
Derby have averaged 1.00 goals scored per game and secured just one clean sheet in their last five matches. Their recent form sees them oscillating between commendable wins, like the 3-1 away victory against West Bromwich, and frustrating losses, such as the narrow defeat to Luton. Despite their fluctuating performances, they often make games competitive and have shown the ability to grind out results, which could be crucial in this crunch match against Hull.
Derby Key Players
Derby will be looking to their key players to make a significant impact in this crucial match against Hull. Jerry Yates, the team’s top scorer with 10 goals, will be pivotal in the attack. He’ll be partnered by Marcus Harness upfront, both tasked with breaking down Hull’s defence.
Expected lineup for Derby:
- Goalkeeper: Josh Vickers
- Defenders: Sondre Langås, Nathaniel Phillips, Matt Clarke
- Midfielders: Kane Wilson, Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Craig Forsyth
- Attackers: Liam Thompson, Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness
Key matchups to watch include Yates and Harness against Hull’s centre-backs, John Egan and Charlie Hughes. These battles could very well decide the outcome of this fixture.
Derby Suspensions & Injuries
Derby will be facing Hull without several key players due to injuries, which could impact their performance in this crucial fixture.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Curtis Nelson | Cruciate ligament injury | Early October 2025 |
| Dajaune Brown | Hamstring injury | Late May 2025 |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor | Hamstring injury | Mid May 2025 |
| David Ozoh | Thigh injury | Out for season |
| Kemar Roofe | Hamstring injury | Early May 2025 |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | Knee surgery | Late July 2025 |
| Ryan Nyambe | Hamstring injury | Early May 2025 |
| Callum Elder | Knock injury | Doubtful |
These injuries mean Derby may have to rely more on their depth and younger players to step up. The absence of experienced players like Curtis Nelson could leave their defense vulnerable, adding to the challenges Derby faces in this match.
Derby Tactics and Formation
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forward: Jerry Yates
- Midfield Core: Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Craig Forsyth
- Defensive Setup: Three at the back bolstered by wing-backs
John Eustace is likely to stick with Derby’s consistent 3-5-2 formation, leveraging solid midfield play and wing-back support. Jerry Yates leads the attack with a critical role in breaking down Hull’s defence. The midfield trio of Adams, Armstrong, and Forsyth provides both creative and defensive cover, keeping the team’s balance. Derby’s strategy often includes early pressure and scoring, as well as maintaining a robust defensive structure to absorb Hull’s attacks.
Hull vs Derby Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County | Hull City | 2024-10-26 | Championship | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Derby County | Hull City | 2022-02-08 | Championship | 3-1 (Win) |
| Hull City | Derby County | 2021-08-18 | Championship | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Derby County | Hull City | 2020-01-18 | Championship | 1-0 (Win) |
| Hull City | Derby County | 2019-10-26 | Championship | 2-0 (Win) |
In their last five meetings, Derby County has been the more successful side with three wins compared to Hull City’s one.
A recent trend shows that Derby often has the upper hand, particularly when playing at home. However, both teams played out a 1-1 draw in their most recent encounter, indicating that a closely contested match might be on the cards. This historical context adds a layer of intricacy as both teams battle to avoid relegation.
Odds accurate as of 24/04/2025 15:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
