Estoril vs Tondela Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, 7 February

Estoril and Tondela are set to face off in an intriguing Liga Portugal clash this Saturday, 7 February. The match will take place at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, home of Estoril, where both teams will be eager to secure vital points. This encounter promises to be significant as both sides look to improve their standings in the league.

Estoril will be looking to leverage their home advantage at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota against a Tondela side that has shown resilience on the road. With both teams keen to climb the Liga Portugal table, this match could prove pivotal in shaping their respective seasons. Fans can expect a competitive battle as these two Portuguese teams vie for supremacy on the pitch.

Estoril vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Estoril to Win & Both Teams to Score	2.4

Looking at the current betting market, the most compelling angle is to back Estoril to win with both teams scoring. Estoril’s recent form and attacking prowess, combined with Tondela’s defensive struggles but occasional ability to find the net, make this a strong bet.

• Estoril are unbeaten in their last six home matches, indicating strong home form.
• Despite their position, Tondela have shown they can score, as evidenced by their goals in recent head-to-head matches.
• Tondela’s defensive issues (conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game) make it likely Estoril will find the net multiple times.

Betting Odds

Estoril head into this fixture as favourites on home turf, with odds of 1.68 reflecting confidence in their ability to secure a win against Tondela. However, Tondela’s odds of 4.67 might appeal to those seeking an upset, especially considering their potential to surprise away from home.

Betting Tip	Odds
Estoril to win	1.68
Draw	3.82
Tondela to win	4.67

The draw is priced at 3.82, indicating that bookmakers see it as a plausible outcome. For those looking to diversify their bets, exploring the over 2.5 goals market could be worthwhile, given both teams’ attacking capabilities.

Estoril Analysis & Recent Performance

Estoril have been in commendable form recently, securing four wins in their last five encounters, including a notable 4-2 victory against Santa Clara. Their only defeat came at the hands of Benfica, a challenging fixture that ended 3-1. This recent run has seen them climb to 8th in the Liga Portugal standings.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Santa Clara	Estoril	2 – 4 (Win)	Liga Portugal	31 Jan 2026
Estoril	Vitoria de Guimaraes	4 – 2 (Win)	Liga Portugal	24 Jan 2026
Estrela da Amadora	Estoril	0 – 5 (Win)	Liga Portugal	19 Jan 2026
Benfica	Estoril	3 – 1 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	3 Jan 2026
Estoril	Alverca	4 – 1 (Win)	Liga Portugal	27 Dec 2025

Recent Form:
Estoril’s attacking prowess is evident, averaging 3.60 goals per game over the last five matches. Notably, they have scored in all these fixtures, underscoring their consistent attacking threat. Their defence, however, has been less reliable, conceding an average of 1.60 goals per match, with only one clean sheet in this period. At home, they have been strong, with a win ratio of 60%, remaining unbeaten in their last three home games.

Key Insights:

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Yanis Begraoui emerges as a pivotal figure, contributing significantly to their attacking output with 15 goals this season. While their attack is formidable, defensive lapses remain a concern, particularly as they have conceded in four of their last five outings. Tactical adjustments in the defensive setup could enhance their overall stability, making them a more balanced side in the upcoming fixtures.

Estoril Suspensions & Injuries

Estoril face some challenges ahead of their match against Tondela, primarily due to injuries affecting their squad depth. The absence of Or Israelov, who is sidelined with a thigh injury, may force Ian Cathro to rethink his defensive strategies. Israelov’s presence in the backline has been vital, and his doubtful return status could leave a gap that needs addressing.

André Lacximicant, another player whose status is doubtful due to an unspecified injury, adds to the uncertainty in the squad. Lacximicant’s versatility in midfield means his absence could impact Estoril’s ability to control the centre of the park, potentially forcing Cathro to rely on less experienced players or adjust the midfield setup to maintain balance.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Or Israelov	Thigh injury	Doubtful
André Lacximicant	Unknown	Doubtful

With these injuries, Estoril might need to adjust their tactical approach, possibly tightening their defensive lines or opting for a more conservative setup to mitigate the impact of these key absences. The uncertainty around player availability could influence betting markets, with potential shifts in odds reflecting Estoril’s compromised squad depth.

Estoril Key Players

Estoril’s leading goal threat comes from Yanis Begraoui, who has impressively netted 15 goals this season. His clinical finishing and ability to find space in the box make him a constant danger for any opposition defence. Begraoui’s partnership with Alejandro Marqués in the forward line will be pivotal, as their synergy could unlock Tondela’s backline.

In midfield, Pizzi stands out as the playmaker, orchestrating the team’s attacking moves with his vision and precise passing. His experience and composure on the ball provide stability and creativity, which are essential for Estoril’s tactical setup. Meanwhile, Joel Robles in goal will be crucial for maintaining defensive solidity, with Felix Bacher and Pedro Amaral anchoring the defence. Their ability to read the game and make crucial interceptions will be vital against Tondela’s attacking threats.

Expected lineup for Estoril:

• Goalkeeper: Joel Robles
• Defenders: Kevin Boma, Felix Bacher, Pedro Amaral
• Midfielders: Ricard Sanchez, Pizzi, Jordan Holsgrove, João Carvalho
• Forwards: Rafik Guitane, Alejandro Marqués, Yanis Begraoui

Estoril Tactics and Formation

Estoril Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Likely 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Yanis Begraoui
• Midfield Engine: Pizzi and João Carvalho
• Defensive Record: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and dynamic wing play.

Estoril’s recent performances suggest a preference for a 4-3-3 formation, aiming to leverage both offensive and defensive stability. Pizzi and João Carvalho are pivotal in midfield, offering creativity and control. Under Ian Cathro, Estoril have shown an ability to adapt tactically, focusing on maintaining possession and pressing opponents high up the pitch.

Defensively, the backline composed of Ricard Sanchez, Felix Bacher, Kevin Boma, and Pedro Amaral has faced challenges, evidenced by only one clean sheet in the last five outings. Joel Robles in goal provides experience, though the defensive unit will need to tighten up to improve their clean sheet record.

Offensively, Estoril thrive on dynamic wing play and quick transitions. Yanis Begraoui, the team’s top scorer, plays a crucial role in spearheading attacks, supported by Rafik Guitane and Alejandro Marqués. This setup allows them to exploit spaces behind opposition defences, particularly effective against teams that press high.

Tondela Analysis & Recent Performance

Tondela’s recent form has been concerning, with the team securing just one win in their last five outings, alongside three losses and one draw. Their only victory came against Arouca in a 3-1 home triumph. The team has struggled offensively, managing only three goals across these fixtures, averaging 0.60 goals per game. Defensive frailties are evident as well, with six goals conceded, highlighting an average of 1.20 goals conceded per match.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Tondela	Benfica	0 – 0 (Draw)	Liga Portugal	1 Feb, 2026
Famalicão	Tondela	3 – 0 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	25 Jan, 2026
Tondela	Braga	0 – 1 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	18 Jan, 2026
Moreirense	Tondela	1 – 0 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	11 Jan, 2026
Tondela	Arouca	3 – 1 (Win)	Liga Portugal	3 Jan, 2026

Recent Form:

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Away from home, Tondela have faced significant challenges, recording just one win in their last five away matches. The team’s away win ratio stands at a mere 20%, with three defeats and one draw during this period. Their inability to score consistently is notable, with only one game in which they found the net on the road. Tondela’s defensive structure has shown vulnerabilities, with only one clean sheet in their last five matches, pointing to a need for greater defensive solidity.

Tondela Suspensions & Injuries

Tondela approach this match against Estoril with the significant advantage of having no injuries or suspensions affecting their squad. This clean bill of health allows coach Cristiano Bacci to deploy his preferred starting lineup without restrictions, potentially enhancing Tondela’s tactical flexibility and overall performance on the pitch.

With all players available, Tondela can maintain their tactical structure and playstyle without any compulsory adjustments. This level of continuity is likely to bolster team cohesion and effectiveness, particularly in maintaining defensive solidity and attacking fluidity.

The absence of any unavailable players also means that Tondela’s depth will not be tested, allowing them to make strategic substitutions that could be crucial in managing the game’s tempo and responding to Estoril’s tactics.

In the betting markets, Tondela’s full squad availability could be viewed positively, potentially narrowing the odds against them. This could attract punters looking for value in a team undeterred by selection concerns, thereby impacting the overall betting dynamics for this encounter.

Tondela Key Players

Tondela’s top scorer, Pedro Henrique, with three goals to his name, is undoubtedly the linchpin in their offensive setup. His ability to find the back of the net with precision makes him a constant threat to any defence. His role as a forward is complemented by the creative prowess of Rodrigo Conceição, who provides crucial support from the wings with his pace and dribbling skills.

Midfield dynamo Joe Hodge plays a pivotal role in orchestrating Tondela’s play. His vision and passing accuracy can unlock defences, while Sphephelo Sithole adds a layer of defensive solidity, ensuring balance in midfield. In defence, Christian Marques and Brayan Medina form a robust partnership that will be vital in thwarting Estoril’s attacking threats. The defensive duo’s strength and tactical awareness are key to maintaining Tondela’s defensive structure.

Expected lineup for Tondela:

• Goalkeeper: Bernardo
• Defenders: Bebeto, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Nor Maviram
• Midfielders: Sphephelo Sithole, Joe Hodge, Cícero Clebson Alves Santana
• Forwards: Rodrigo Conceição, Makan Aiko, Jordan Siebatcheu

Tondela Tactics and Formation

Tondela Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Jordan Siebatcheu
• Midfield Core: Sphephelo Sithole, Joe Hodge
• Defensive Structure: Managed a clean sheet against Benfica in the last match
• Notable Strategy: Defensive resilience and counter-attacking potential.

Tondela’s 4-5-1 formation focuses heavily on defensive solidity, with a packed midfield designed to stifle opposition attacks. The central midfield pairing of Sphephelo Sithole and Joe Hodge is pivotal, tasked with breaking up play and initiating swift counter-attacks.

Defensively, the back four, including Bebeto and Christian Marques, showed resilience in their recent goalless draw against Benfica, despite conceding 24 shots. This highlights their ability to absorb pressure and maintain a clean sheet under intense conditions.

Offensively, Tondela rely on the lone striker, Jordan Siebatcheu, to capitalise on counter-attacking opportunities. With limited goalscoring in recent games, their strategy will likely focus on tight defensive play and exploiting any gaps in Estoril’s defence during transitions.

Estoril vs Tondela Head-to-Head Record

Estoril have the upper hand in their head-to-head record against Tondela, boasting eight wins to Tondela’s two, with three matches ending in a draw. The last time these two met was in August 2025, where they played out a 2-2 draw in Liga Portugal. This result shows that Tondela can hold their own, even if Estoril have historically dominated.

The last time Estoril hosted Tondela in Liga Portugal was back in February 2022, when Estoril secured a narrow 1-0 victory. Estoril’s strong home form could be a key factor in the upcoming fixture, given their impressive track record at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Tondela	Estoril	2 – 2	Primeira Liga	2025-08-31
Tondela	Estoril	0 – 0	League Cup Group H	2022-11-19
Estoril	Tondela	1 – 0	Primeira Liga	2022-02-12
Tondela	Estoril	3 – 1	Cup	2021-12-21
Tondela	Estoril	1 – 2	Primeira Liga	2021-09-13