Everton vs Newcastle United Tips & Predictions

Everton v Newcastle Recent Form

Everton look like they’ve recaptured that early-season form. They drew 1-1 with Leicester City on Wednesday evening after three consecutive wins in the Premier League and FA Cup. The Magpies are on a woeful run. Steve Bruce’s men have lost each of their last six matches including that 2-1 defeat to Leeds on Tuesday.

Everton v Newcastle Recent Matchups

It was Newcastle that came out on top when these sides last met back in November. The Magpies won 2-1 which was a rare result in the history of this fixture. Everton have dominated this contest in recent years and have won 10, drawn three, and lost three of their last 16 meetings going back to 2011.

Everton v Newcastle Stats & Analysis

Things are looking up for Everton once again. They’re just two points from the top four and have games in hand over some of the teams around them. It’s no coincidence that the Toffees’ form improved once their best players were all back and fit. Dominic Calvert-Lewin, James Rodriguez, and Richarlison have quite a connection but their form will undoubtedly be helped by the return of Lucas Digne. The Toffees’ record when all four men have started is played eight, won six, drawn two.

The Toffees have improved defensively. Back at the start of the season, Everton just looked to outscore the opposition which resulted in some exciting matches. Things are a little different lately. The Toffees haven’t conceded more than one goal in a Premier League match since they beat Fulham 3-2 back in November. That’s quite a record considering they’ve played Chelsea, Arsenal, Leeds, and Leicester City twice.

Newcastle could only dream of such a defensive record. Steve Bruce’s men have kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 matches in all competitions but that came against the champions, Liverpool. The Magpies’ biggest problem has been a lack of goals. That Miguel Almiron equaliser at the weekend was just their second in their last seven Premier League matches.

Bruce will hope that the Magpies’ form can pick up now that Allan Saint-Maximin is back fit. The Frenchman is undoubtedly their talisman and their record with and without him shows as much. Newcastle secured an average of 1.25 Premier League points per game before Saint-Maximin’s injury. They’ve managed just 0.80 since then. That’s the difference between a 47-point season and a 30-point season.

Everton v Newcastle Bets

So it’s no surprise to see that Everton are the big favourites to win this one. The Toffees are 4/7 odds-on to secure the three points and to continue their excellent run of form. A draw is 10/3 and a Newcastle win is out at 13/2. Newcastle have been written off for this match but they may have a chance. 13/8 for a Newcastle win or a draw double chance represents good value considering that Allan Saint-Maximin should feature for them.

But a Toffees win is the likeliest outcome. They have the history on Newcastle with a series of impressive victories down the years. They’re on a fine run of form and the Magpies have struggled for goals. Everton are 7/5 to win to nil if you fancy it.

If the Toffees do run away with this match then they’ll expect to do it before the break Everton have an excellent first-half record with 32 points from 18 matches. Only two teams have taken more first-half points than Carlo Ancelotti’s men. Newcastle are down in 18th in that particular table so there’s a chance for Everton to dominate from the off. The hosts are 6/5 to win the first half here or you can get a first-half Asian handicap of Everton -1 at 10/3.

There are goalscorers in both sides. Everton have their attacking quartet but Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison have struggled for goals in recent weeks. James Rodriguez is a tempting 5/2 anytime goalscorer while Lucas Digne is out at 14/1 to do the same despite being played on the left-wing in midweek. Allan Saint-Maximin is way out at 13/2 to score anytime for the visitors.