Holstein Kiel vs. Freiburg Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 10 May 2025 - bettingexpert
This Saturday, all eyes will be on the Holstein Stadion as Holstein Kiel takes on Freiburg in what could be a pivotal Bundesliga clash. With the end of the season fast approaching, each game becomes more critical.
Holstein Kiel finds themselves in a precarious position, languishing at 17th place with 25 points. They urgently need to escape the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Freiburg sits comfortably in 4th place, holding onto the potential of Champions League qualification with 52 points.
In terms of form, Holstein Kiel has shown sparks of resilience, winning two and drawing two of their last five matches (WWDLD). However, their defensive frailties persist, with no clean sheets in their last five games.
Freiburg, on the other hand, is unbeaten in their last four Bundesliga outings (DWWWL) and has the upper hand based on recent encounters. With Ritsu Doan and Junior Adamu leading their attack, they are the bookmaker’s favourite to win.
Given the stakes, expect a hard-fought match. However, our prediction tips the scales in favor of Freiburg continuing their unbeaten run and bolstering their chances of securing a top-four finish.
Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tip
Holstein Kiel is in desperate need of points to avoid relegation, while Freiburg is pushing to secure a Champions League spot. Given their recent form and standings, Freiburg is the bookmakers’ favourite. Our recommended bet is for Freiburg to win.
| Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Freiburg to win | 2.10 |
- Freiburg is in better form, unbeaten in their last six away matches in the Bundesliga.
- Holstein Kiel has a leaky defense, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game this season.
- Holstein Kiel’s key player, Shuto Machino, is injured, reducing their attacking threat.
This combination of factors suggests that Freiburg is well-positioned to come out on top.
Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Odds
With the upcoming Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Freiburg set for 10 May 2025, it’s important to break down the odds for the match:
| Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Holstein Kiel | 3.13 |
| Draw | 3.76 |
| Freiburg | 2.10 |
Freiburg is the bookmaker’s favourite, reflecting their strong position in the league and solid recent form. Holstein Kiel, battling relegation, offers higher odds for an upset win at home.
Holstein Kiel Team Analysis
Holstein Kiel Recent Performance
Holstein Kiel’s recent form has seen a mix of promising and less-than-ideal results. They’ve managed to secure two wins, two draws, and a loss, indicating a fighting spirit despite their relegation struggles.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg | Holstein Kiel | 2025-05-04 | Bundesliga | 1-3 (Win) |
| Holstein Kiel | Borussia Moenchengladbach | 2025-04-26 | Bundesliga | 4-3 (Win) |
| RB Leipzig | Holstein Kiel | 2025-04-19 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Holstein Kiel | St. Pauli | 2025-04-12 | Bundesliga | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Mainz 05 | Holstein Kiel | 2025-04-05 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
Holstein Kiel averages 2.00 goals scored in their last 5 games, but defensive issues remain with no clean sheets secured. They’ve been scoring consistently, registering goals in five consecutive matches—a positive trend for fans hoping for an upset against Freiburg.
Holstein Kiel Key Players
Holstein Kiel’s key players are essential in their fight to avoid relegation.
Shuto Machino, despite his recent injury, remains the team’s most prolific scorer with 11 goals this season. If he returns, he could be crucial in breaking down Freiburg’s defense.
Steven Skrzybski, often the creative force operating behind the forwards, could play a decisive role in linking play and creating opportunities.
Defensively, Carl Johansson and David Zec will need to step up and shore up a backline that has struggled this season.
Expected lineup for Holstein Kiel:
- Goalkeeper: Thomas Dähne
- Defenders: Carl Johansson, David Zec, Timo Becker
- Midfielders: Lasse Rosenboom, Armin Gigovic, Lewis Holtby, John Tolkin, Steven Skrzybski
- Forwards: Alexander Bernhardsson, Benedikt Pichler
Holstein Kiel Suspensions & Injuries
Holstein Kiel faces several injury setbacks that could significantly impact their performance against Freiburg.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Erras | Head injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Ivan Nekic | Medial Collateral Ligament injury | Early June 2025 |
| Andu Kelati | Knee injury | Late May 2025 |
| Colin Kleine-Bekel | Cruciate ligament injury | Early June 2025 |
| Marco Komenda | Tendon injury | Mid June 2025 |
| Shuto Machino | Foot injury | Few days |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Remberg | Yellow cards | 1 match |
These absences are likely to weaken both their defensive and attacking prowess. Shuto Machino’s potential return could boost their goal-scoring chances, but the absence of key players like Remberg will be felt across the middle of the park. Key substitutes and rotational players will need to step up to fill these critical gaps.
Holstein Kiel Tactics and Formation
Holstein Kiel Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-1-2
- Key Forward: Shuto Machino (if fit)
- Midfield Engine: Armin Gigovic, Lewis Holtby
- Defensive Setup: Timo Becker, David Zec, Marko Ivezic
- Notable Strategy: High press and quick transitions
Marcel Rapp sticks to a 3-4-1-2, aiming for defensive solidity with three center-backs.
Lasse Rosenboom and John Tolkin provide width in midfield, while Gigovic and Holtby control the tempo centrally.
Steven Skrzybski plays a crucial role just behind the strikers, looking to link play and create opportunities.
Kiel’s strategy involves pressing high and transitioning quickly, but they must address the tendency to concede heavily, especially before halftime.
Freiburg Team Analysis
Freiburg Recent Performance
Recent Form: Freiburg has been in solid form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, illustrating their strong performance in the league.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | Bayer Leverkusen | 2025-05-04 | Bundesliga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Wolfsburg | Freiburg | 2025-04-26 | Bundesliga | 0-1 (Win) |
| Freiburg | Hoffenheim | 2025-04-19 | Bundesliga | 3-2 (Win) |
| Borussia Moenchengladbach | Freiburg | 2025-04-12 | Bundesliga | 1-2 (Win) |
| Freiburg | Borussia Dortmund | 2025-04-05 | Bundesliga | 1-4 (Loss) |
Freiburg have averaged 1.8 goals per game over their last five matches, showcasing a potent attack. They have one clean sheet in the same period, highlighting a balanced defensive effort. This form has propelled them to 4th in the standings, reinforcing their Champions League aspirations.
Their streak of scoring in 7 consecutive matches demonstrates offensive consistency that poses a significant threat to their opponents.
Freiburg Key Players
Freiburg boasts several key players who can influence the outcome of their matches. The standout performer has been Ritsu Doan, who is the top scorer with 9 goals this season. His ability to consistently find the back of the net adds considerable firepower to Freiburg’s attack.
Merlin Röhl, expected to play as the attacking midfielder, will be instrumental in creating opportunities and driving the team’s forward play. Additionally, Freiburg’s captain, Matthias Ginter, commands the defense and brings stability at the back.
Expected lineup for Freiburg:
- Goalkeeper: Florian Müller
- Defenders: Max Rosenfelder, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Jordy Makengo
- Midfielders: Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage, Ritsu Doan, Merlin Röhl, Vincenzo Grifo
- Forward: Junior Adamu
Watch out for the individual battle between Doan and Holstein Kiel’s defenders, which could be decisive.
Freiburg Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel-Kofi Kyereh | Knee surgery | Mid May 2025 |
| Bruno Ogbus | Achilles tendon injury | Out for the season |
| Lucas Höler | Muscle injury | Late May 2025 |
Freiburg has a few notable injuries that could impact their squad’s depth and flexibility. Daniel-Kofi Kyereh is expected to return from knee surgery in mid-May, but his absence will be felt in the midfield. Bruno Ogbus is out for the season with an Achilles tendon injury, which is a blow to their defensive options. Additionally, Lucas Höler’s muscle injury sidelines him until late May, potentially affecting their attacking rotations.
These injuries might limit Freiburg’s ability to rotate players, putting extra pressure on key squad members to remain fit and perform consistently. However, with a relatively solid starting lineup, Freiburg should still be competitive in their upcoming fixtures.
Freiburg Tactics and Formation
Freiburg Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Junior Adamu
Junior Adamu is expected to lead the attack, providing pace and finishing abilities essential for breaking down Holstein Kiel’s defense. - Midfield Trio: Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Merlin Röhl
With Osterhage and Eggestein holding the defensive line, Röhl will have the freedom to create opportunities in the attacking midfield role. - Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
Freiburg’s defense, marshaled by Matthias Ginter and Philipp Lienhart, has been relatively solid, contributing to their impressive away record. - Notable Strategy: High pressing and wing play.
Freiburg typically leverages the pace of Ritsu Doan and Vincenzo Grifo on the wings to stretch the opposition. This will be crucial in disrupting Holstein Kiel, especially given their vulnerability to conceding goals.
Freiburg’s tactical setup favors a balanced approach, combining defensive solidity with incisive attacking play, crucial for their Champions League qualification aspirations.
Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | Holstein Kiel | 2025-01-11 | Bundesliga | 3-2 (Loss) |
| Holstein Kiel | Freiburg | 2018-10-31 | DFB Pokal | 2-1 (Win) |
This matchup has seen both teams claiming victory in their last two encounters. Their most recent meeting in January 2025 saw Freiburg edge out Holstein Kiel with a 3-2 win in the Bundesliga.
Holstein Kiel secured a 2-1 win over Freiburg in the 2018 DFB Pokal, highlighting their ability to perform in one-off contests.
With both teams eager for points, expect this encounter to be tightly contested.
Odds accurate as of 08/05/2025 14:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
