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Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Sunday, January 18th

Parma Calcio 1913-Genoa
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Parma Calcio 19130 - 0Genoa

Parma Calcio 1913 and Genoa are set to face off in an intriguing Serie A fixture this Sunday, 18 January. The match will be held at the historic Stadio Ennio Tardini, providing Parma with a familiar setting as they aim to make the most of their home advantage. Both teams are eager to secure crucial points in the league standings, making this a significant encounter for their respective seasons.

Parma Calcio 1913 will look to capitalise on their home ground to climb the Serie A table, while Genoa, renowned for their resilience, will be determined to challenge and disrupt Parma’s plans. With both sides targeting a positive result, this match promises plenty of action and is a key fixture for punters seeking insights and betting tips.

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip Odds
Less than 0.5 goals in the first half 2.5

Given the closely matched nature of this contest, our recommended betting tip is for both teams to score (BTTS). This is based on the fact that both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities while possessing the attacking quality to find the net.

  • Parma Calcio 1913 conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match indicates defensive frailties.
  • Genoa’s discipline issues, averaging 2.2 yellow cards per game, can lead to defensive lapses.
  • Mateo Pellegrino’s form, being the top scorer for Parma, highlights their attacking potential.

Betting Odds

For this Serie A clash, the betting odds suggest a tightly contested match between Parma Calcio 1913 and Genoa. Parma are slight favourites at odds of 2.83, with Genoa close behind at 2.89, indicating that bookmakers expect a balanced affair. The draw, priced at 2.77, is also an attractive option for those anticipating a stalemate.

Betting Tip Odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to win 2.83
Draw 2.77
Genoa to win 2.89

For those considering a wager, the odds suggest value in backing either side, with both teams given similar chances of victory. Additionally, the draw market could appeal given the even nature of these two teams.

Parma Calcio 1913 Analysis & Past Performance

Parma Calcio 1913 have produced mixed results recently, registering two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. Their defensive strength has been evident with two clean sheets, but they have also conceded four goals in this period, highlighting the need for greater consistency at the back.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
SSC Napoli Parma Calcio 1913 0 – 0 (Draw) Serie A 14 Jan 2026
Lecce Parma Calcio 1913 1 – 2 (Win) Serie A 11 Jan 2026
Parma Calcio 1913 Inter 0 – 2 (Loss) Serie A 7 Jan 2026
Sassuolo Parma Calcio 1913 1 – 1 (Draw) Serie A 3 Jan 2026
Parma Calcio 1913 Fiorentina 1 – 0 (Win) Serie A 27 Dec 2025

Recent Form:
Offensively, Parma have averaged 0.80 goals per game over their last five matches, with Mateo Pellegrino leading the way as top scorer with six goals this season. While they secured a crucial win over Lecce (2-1), their home form remains a concern, with just two wins in their last ten home fixtures. Their overall win ratio stands at 40%, underlining the need for improved performances at home.

Team Statistics:

  • DWLDW

Parma’s matches have generally been low-scoring, with both teams scoring in only 40% of their games. Their possession figures, such as the low 31% against Napoli, suggest a counter-attacking approach that may need refining to apply more pressure against stronger opponents. Sitting 14th in the league with 22 points, Parma will be aiming to improve their mid-table position through tactical adjustments.

Parma Calcio 1913 Suspensions & Injuries

Parma Calcio 1913 face several key absences that could impact their upcoming fixture against Genoa. Matija Frigan’s cruciate ligament injury is a significant setback, with his return not expected until early March 2026. This leaves a void in attack, potentially affecting Parma’s forward options. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Zion Suzuki is sidelined with a broken hand until early February, raising concerns about depth in goal.

The injuries to Abdoulaye N’Diaye and Mathias Fjörtoft Lövik, both doubtful, further strain Parma’s defensive and midfield resources. However, the starting line-up remains largely intact, with key players such as Jacob Ondrejka and Patrick Cutrone leading the attack. Coach Carlos Cuesta may need to rely on the squad’s adaptability and depth to compensate for these absences and maintain tactical stability.

Player Injury Expected Return
Matija Frigan Cruciate ligament injury Early March 2026
Zion Suzuki Broken hand Early February 2026
Abdoulaye N’Diaye Muscle injury Doubtful
Pontus Almqvist Muscle injury Late January 2026
Vicente Guaita Shoulder injury Late January 2026
Mathias Fjörtoft Lövik Physical discomfort Doubtful

Tactically, Parma may adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on defensive solidity in light of these injuries. The team’s ability to adapt will be crucial, and any tactical changes could influence betting markets, with punters watching closely to see how these absences affect Parma’s chances against Genoa.

Parma Calcio 1913 Key Players

Parma Calcio 1913’s attacking threat will rely heavily on their top scorer, Mateo Pellegrino, who has netted six times this season. Pellegrino’s sharp finishing and intelligent movement make him a constant danger in the final third. Partnering him is Patrick Cutrone, whose energetic play and work rate complement Pellegrino’s goal-scoring instincts, forming a potent strike partnership.

The midfield will be marshalled by Nahuel Estevez and Mandela Keita, who are vital for controlling the tempo. Estevez’s vision and passing range can unlock defences, while Keita’s box-to-box energy offers both defensive cover and attacking support. In defence, Alessandro Circati’s leadership and aerial prowess will be key to organising the back line against Genoa’s forwards.

Expected line-up for Parma Calcio 1913

  • Goalkeeper: Filippo Rinaldi
  • Defenders: Alessandro Circati, Enrico Del Prato, Lautaro Valenti
  • Midfielders: Sascha Britschgi, Mandela Keita, Nahuel Estevez, Christian Ordonez, Oliver Soerensen
  • Forwards: Jacob Ondrejka, Patrick Cutrone

Parma Calcio 1913 Tactics and Formation

Parma Calcio 1913 Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-5-2
  • Key Forward: Patrick Cutrone
  • Midfield Pivot: Nahuel Estevez and Mandela Keita
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Utilising wing-backs for width and defensive transitions.

Parma Calcio 1913’s 3-5-2 formation is designed to maximise width and defensive stability. The five-man midfield, anchored by Nahuel Estevez and Mandela Keita, is tasked with dictating play and distributing the ball. This setup enables wing-backs Sascha Britschgi and Oliver Soerensen to support both attack and defence.

At the back, the trio of Alessandro Circati, Enrico Del Prato, and Lautaro Valenti form a compact defensive unit in front of goalkeeper Filippo Rinaldi. This tactical approach has contributed to two clean sheets in their last five matches, highlighting their ability to withstand pressure.

In attack, Parma rely on the partnership of Jacob Ondrejka and Patrick Cutrone. Their combination of Cutrone’s positioning and Ondrejka’s pace is central to Parma’s counter-attacking play.

Genoa Analysis & Past Performance

Genoa’s recent form has been inconsistent, with a mixture of results in their last five matches. They recorded a convincing 3-0 win over Cagliari, demonstrating their attacking capability, but also suffered defeats to Roma and Atalanta, exposing defensive weaknesses. Draws against AC Milan and Pisa (both 1-1) highlight their struggle to turn draws into victories.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
Genoa Cagliari 3 – 0 (Win) Serie A 12 Jan 2026
AC Milan Genoa 1 – 1 (Draw) Serie A 8 Jan 2026
Genoa Pisa 1 – 1 (Draw) Serie A 3 Jan 2026
Roma Genoa 3 – 1 (Loss) Serie A 29 Dec 2025
Genoa Atalanta 0 – 1 (Loss) Serie A 21 Dec 2025

Recent Form:

  • WDDLL

Genoa have averaged 1.20 goals per game in their last five fixtures, conceding at the same rate. They have scored in four of these five games, showing a consistent attacking threat, but have managed just one clean sheet, underlining their defensive issues. Away from home, Genoa have won only one of their last five matches, with a 20% win ratio. This points to a need for improved away performances as they look to climb from 15th in the league.

Genoa Suspensions & Injuries

Genoa are contending with several important absences due to injury. Caleb Ekuban is sidelined with a muscle injury until late January, which could affect Genoa’s attacking depth. His usual role as a forward means Genoa may have to rely more on Vitinha and Lorenzo Colombo up front. Benjamin Siegrist is also out with a broken finger, but with Nicola Leali as the starting goalkeeper, the impact is somewhat mitigated.

The midfield is weakened by Albert Gronbaek’s muscle injury, with his return date uncertain. This increases the burden on Ruslan Malinovsky and Morten Frendrup to maintain midfield control. Maxwel Cornet, another midfield option, is also unavailable with a muscle injury until late January, further limiting Genoa’s rotation options.

Player Injury Expected Return
Benjamin Siegrist Broken finger Late January 2026
Albert Gronbaek Muscle injury Doubtful
Maxwel Cornet Muscle injury Late January 2026
Caleb Ekuban Muscle injury Late January 2026

Tactically, Genoa manager Daniele De Rossi may need to adopt a more conservative approach, especially in midfield, to compensate for the lack of depth and maintain balance. These absences could influence the betting markets, potentially lowering Genoa’s odds given the reduced squad strength.

Genoa Key Players

Lorenzo Colombo, Genoa’s top scorer with five goals, is central to their attacking threat. His consistent finishing makes him a significant danger to Parma’s defence. As a forward, Colombo’s movement and positioning allow him to capitalise on chances created by his teammates. Alongside him, Vitinha adds dynamism to the forward line, with his agility and quick feet likely to trouble defenders.

In midfield, Ruslan Malinovsky stands out as the main playmaker. His vision and passing are crucial for linking defence and attack, providing the creativity needed to break down Parma’s back line. At the back, Leo Østigård and Johan Vásquez form a solid partnership, known for their tackling and interception skills, which are vital for neutralising opposition attacks.

Expected line-up for Genoa

  • Goalkeeper: Nicola Leali
  • Defence: Leo Oestigard, Johan Vasquez, Alessandro Marcandalli
  • Midfield: Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Ruslan Malinovsky, Morten Frendrup, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Aaron Martin Caricol
  • Forward: Vitinha, Lorenzo Colombo

Genoa Tactics and Formation

Genoa Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-5-2
  • Key Forward: Lorenzo Colombo
  • Midfield Engine: Ruslan Malinovsky
  • Defensive Setup: Three centre-backs, contributing to one clean sheet in the last five games.
  • Notable Strategy: Utilises wing-backs for width and counter-attacking opportunities.

Under Daniele De Rossi, Genoa’s 3-5-2 formation is built on a compact defensive structure while allowing flexibility in attack. The back three of Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez, and Alessandro Marcandalli form the defensive core, which was instrumental in their recent 3-0 win over Cagliari.

In midfield, Ruslan Malinovsky plays a pivotal role, orchestrating play alongside Morten Frendrup and Mikael Egill Ellertsson. The wing-backs, Brooke Norton-Cuffy and Aaron Martin Caricol, provide the necessary width and are key to Genoa’s counter-attacking strategy, enabling quick transitions from defence to attack.

Going forward, Lorenzo Colombo, the team’s top scorer, partners Vitinha in attack. Their movement and understanding are crucial to breaking down opposition defences, especially in transition when Genoa look to exploit spaces left by the opposition.

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between Parma Calcio 1913 and Genoa, Genoa hold a slight advantage with nine wins to Parma’s eight, alongside eight draws. Their most recent meeting ended in a goalless draw, reflecting the closely fought nature of these Serie A contests.

The last time Parma hosted Genoa at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A, they suffered a 0-1 defeat in November 2024. However, Parma did claim a 2-0 home victory in February 2023, albeit in Serie B, showing they can compete strongly on their own turf.

Home Team Away Team Score League Date
Genoa Parma 0 – 0 Serie A 2025-10-19
Genoa Parma 1 – 0 Serie A 2025-01-12
Parma Genoa 0 – 1 Serie A 2024-11-04
Parma Genoa 2 – 0 Serie B 2023-02-05
Genoa Parma 3 – 3 Serie B 2022-09-03
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