Holstein Kiel vs. Werder Bremen Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips - bettingexpert
Holstein Kiel faces Werder Bremen at the Holstein Stadion in what promises to be a crucial match for both sides on 29 March 2025, at 14:30.
Holstein Kiel sits at the bottom of the Bundesliga table in 18th place with just 17 points, while Werder Bremen is 12th with 33 points. While Bremen is the bookmaker’s favourite with odds of 2.06 for an away win, Holstein Kiel will be fighting tooth and nail to climb out of the relegation zone.
Recent performance highlights for both teams show a mixed bag. Kiel has a form of DLDWL, and Bremen has LLWLL. The last five matches indicate that both teams have an average of 1.20 goals scored per game. Therefore, it could be an exciting and goal-filled match. Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals in the match.
Werder Bremen’s top scorer Jens Stage and Holstein Kiel’s Phil Harres will be crucial figures to watch. Unfortunately, Harres is expected to miss this game due to injury, which could be a significant blow to the home side.
Despite Kiel conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game this season, their resilience, particularly in the dying minutes, could make for an unpredictable contest. Both teams have the capacity to score, making this match one not to miss.
Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the recent performances and match statistics, the recommended betting tip for this fixture is to bet on “Over 2.5 goals.”
| Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 |
Why this prediction is good:
- Recent Scoring Trends: Both teams have averaged 1.20 goals per game in their last five matches, showing their ability to find the net consistently.
- Defensive Vulnerabilities: Holstein Kiel concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game this season, indicating potential defensive lapses that Bremen could exploit.
- Historical Matches: Previous fixtures between these sides have often been high-scoring affairs, suggesting this game could follow a similar pattern.
Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen Odds
| Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Holstein Kiel | 3.26 |
| Draw | 3.73 |
| Werder Bremen | 2.06 |
Werder Bremen come in as the favourites for this encounter, reflecting their stronger season performance and higher league position. Despite being at the bottom of the table, Holstein Kiel also has a chance to surprise, especially playing at home. Considering the odds, placing a bet on “Over 2.5 goals” might be a solid option due to the recent scoring trends showcased by both teams.
Holstein Kiel Team Analysis
Holstein Kiel Recent Performance
| Holstein Kiel | Opponent | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2025-03-20 | Club Friendly | 2-2 (Draw) |
| FC Heidenheim | Holstein Kiel | 2025-03-16 | Bundesliga | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Holstein Kiel | VfB Stuttgart | 2025-03-08 | Bundesliga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Union Berlin | Holstein Kiel | 2025-03-02 | Bundesliga | 0-1 (Win) |
| Holstein Kiel | Bayer Leverkusen | 2025-02-22 | Bundesliga | 0-2 (Loss) |
Recent Form: DLDWL
Holstein Kiel has struggled recently, finding themselves at the bottom of the table. In their last five matches, they have one win, two draws, and two losses. They’re averaging 1.20 goals per game, but they tend to concede quite a bit, with an average of 2.4 goals against them this season. Despite their defensive frailties, they have shown they can still put up a fight, especially by scoring most goals in the final minutes from 76-90. Their solitary clean sheet in the last 5 matches indicates their defensive challenges.
Holstein Kiel Key Players
Phil Harres has been the standout performer with 8 goals, but he remains sidelined due to an injury, which is a significant blow for them. Marcel Rapp, the head coach, will look to Steven Skrzybski and Shuto Machino to fill the void in attack.
Holstein Kiel Suspensions & Injuries
Holstein Kiel’s injury list is troubling. Harres, along with key players like Patrick Erras and Andu Kelati, are out, potentially until mid-April. This means others will need to step up.
Holstein Kiel Tactics and Formation
Holstein Kiel typically lines up in a 3-5-2 formation, relying heavily on their midfielders to control the game and provide necessary defensive coverage. In their expected lineup, Timon Weiner takes the goalkeeping duties, with a defensive trio of Timo Becker, David Zec, and Carl Johansson. The focus on a solid midfield includes players like Nicolai Remberg and Magnus Knudsen, while forwards Steven Skrzybski and Shuto Machino are tasked with finding the back of the net.
Holstein Kiel Key Players
Phil Harres has been the standout performer this season with eight goals, but his absence due to injury is a significant blow. Without Harres, Holstein Kiel will lean on others to spearhead their attack.
Steven Skrzybski and Shuto Machino are key in the forward positions. Skrzybski’s experience and Machino’s agility could create critical chances against Werder Bremen’s defense.
In midfield, Nicolai Remberg and Magnus Knudsen will be crucial for both defending and orchestrating the play. Their performance will be vital in maintaining control in the middle of the park.
Expected lineup for Holstein Kiel:
- Goalkeeper: Timon Weiner
- Defenders: Timo Becker, David Zec, Carl Johansson
- Midfielders: Lasse Rosenboom, Nicolai Remberg, Colin Kleine-Bekel, Magnus Knudsen, Finn Porath
- Attackers: Steven Skrzybski, Shuto Machino
Holstein Kiel Suspensions & Injuries
Holstein Kiel’s injury list is rather extensive, which could pose a significant challenge for coach Marcel Rapp’s tactical planning. The team’s top scorer, Phil Harres, is among those sidelined, and his absence will be keenly felt.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Erras | Head injury | Early April 2025 |
| Ivan Nekic | Muscle injury | Early April 2025 |
| Andu Kelati | Knee injury | Late April 2025 |
| Max Geschwill | Muscle injury | Early April 2025 |
| Marko Ivezic | Unknown | Mid April 2025 |
| Phil Harres | Unknown | Mid April 2025 |
With these injuries, the squad depth will be thoroughly tested. Players like Steven Skrzybski and Shuto Machino will need to step up in Harres’ absence.
Holstein Kiel Tactics and Formation
Holstein Kiel Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forwards: Steven Skrzybski, Shuto Machino
- Midfield Line: Lasse Rosenboom, Nicolai Remberg, Colin Kleine-Bekel, Magnus Knudsen, Finn Porath
- Defensive Trio: Timo Becker, David Zec, Carl Johansson
- Goalkeeper: Timon Weiner
Holstein Kiel, under coach Marcel Rapp, will likely field a 3-5-2 formation for their upcoming clash against Werder Bremen. This formation provides strength in both midfield and defensive areas, allowing flexibility in transitions. The wing-backs, Rosenboom and Porath, are expected to contribute to both defense and attack, adding width to the team’s play.
Without top scorer Phil Harres, the forward duo of Skrzybski and Machino will need to step up and capitalize on any chances to ensure the home side remains competitive. The midfield unit, spearheaded by the industrious Remberg and Kleine-Bekel, will be crucial in maintaining control and distributing play efficiently.
Holstein Kiel’s notable strategy could involve maximizing their scoring opportunities in the 76-90 minute interval, a period in which they have frequently found the net this season. This tactical approach aims to exploit tiring opposition defenses and secure vital points to help lift them from the bottom of the table.
Werder Bremen Team Analysis
Werder Bremen Recent Performance
Werder Bremen’s recent form has been inconsistent, recorded as LLWLL over their last five matches. Despite a convincing 2-0 win against Bayer Leverkusen, they have struggled with losses to Borussia Mönchengladbach, Wolfsburg, and Freiburg.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | Borussia M’gladbach | 2025-03-15 | Bundesliga | 2-4 (Loss) |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Werder Bremen | 2025-03-08 | Bundesliga | 0-2 (Win) |
| Werder Bremen | Wolfsburg | 2025-03-01 | Bundesliga | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Werder Bremen | 2025-02-25 | DFB Pokal | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Freiburg | Werder Bremen | 2025-02-21 | Bundesliga | 5-0 (Loss) |
Ole Werner’s side has averaged 1.2 goals per game in their last five fixtures and managed just one clean sheet. Despite these challenges, Werder Bremen remains a threat upfront with key players such as Jens Stage and Andre Silva leading their attacking efforts.
Werder Bremen needs to find consistency if they aim to climb higher from their current 12th place in the Bundesliga. Achieving this will require tightening their defense and improving cohesion in their attacking play.
Werder Bremen Key Players
Expected lineup for Werder Bremen:
- Goalkeeper: Michael Zetterer
- Defenders: Amos Pieper, Marco Friedl, Anthony Jung
- Midfielders: Mitchell Weiser, Jens Stage, Senne Lynen, Romano Schmid, Felix Agu
- Forwards: Oliver Burke, Andre Silva
Key players to watch for Werder Bremen include Jens Stage and Andre Silva. Stage, the team’s top scorer with 7 goals, will be pivotal in orchestrating attacks and breaking down Holstein Kiel’s defense. Andre Silva brings experience and a knack for finding the net, essential for converting chances. The midfield battle featuring Jens Stage against Holstein Kiel’s Colin Kleine-Bekel promises to be a crucial area. Similarly, at the back, Amos Pieper’s matchup against Holstein Kiel’s forwards will be vital in ensuring defensive solidity.
Werder Bremen Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Milos Veljkovic | Concussion | Early April 2025 |
| Justin Njinmah | Muscle injury | Early April 2025 |
Werder Bremen will be without Milos Veljkovic, who is out with a concussion, and Justin Njinmah, sidelined with a muscle injury. Veljkovic’s absence could be significant as he has been a steady presence in the defense. With him out, the defensive duties will heavily rely on Marco Friedl and Anthony Jung to maintain solidity at the back.
Njinmah’s absence could limit their options off the bench, especially with the second half needing fresh legs. This factor might affect their flexibility in making tactical changes during the game. The team will need to manage these absences efficiently to secure a good result against Holstein Kiel.
Werder Bremen Tactics and Formation
Werder Bremen’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forward: Andre Silva
- Midfield Quintet: Mitchell Weiser, Jens Stage, Senne Lynen, Romano Schmid, Felix Agu
- Defensive Line: Amos Pieper, Marco Friedl, Anthony Jung
- Goalkeeper: Michael Zetterer
Werder Bremen tends to rely on a solid back three, with the full-backs pushing forward to support the midfield. The quintet in midfield creates flexibility and diverse attacking options. Given their recent injury concerns, maintaining defensive strength will be critical, especially with Milos Veljkovic missing. Expect a balance of solid defense and counter-attacking football.
Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | Holstein Kiel | 2024-11-09 | Bundesliga | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Werder Bremen | Holstein Kiel | 2022-04-29 | 2. Bundesliga | 2-3 (Win) |
| Holstein Kiel | Werder Bremen | 2021-11-27 | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 (Win) |
Historically, Holstein Kiel has managed to secure victories over Werder Bremen, winning two of their last three encounters. However, their most recent match in November 2024 saw Werder take home the win, a fact likely to fuel their confidence going into this game.
Odds accurate as of 27/03/2025 14:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
