Marseille vs. Montpellier Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 19 April 2025 - bettingexpert

It’s shaping up to be an exciting evening at the Stade Orange Vélodrome as third-place Marseille host bottom-of-the-table Montpellier in a crucial Ligue 1 clash. Marseille are looking to secure their spot in the top three, with 52 points so far, while Montpellier are desperately fighting relegation, sitting last with just 15 points.

Marseille, led by Roberto De Zerbi, are the clear favourites with odds of 1.20 for a home win. Despite some recent shaky form (LWLLL), a strong lineup featuring top scorer Mason Greenwood, who has netted 16 times this season, should give them the edge. Greenwood’s impressive form has even attracted attention from wealthy Saudi Arabian clubs, although he remains focused on his current team.

Montpellier, under Zoumana Camara, have struggled defensively, evidenced by conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match. Their winless streak (LLLLL) doesn’t bode well for their chances here. With key players out injured and Bamo Meïté suspended, they face an uphill battle.

Referee Jérôme Brisard will officiate the match, where past encounters have been largely one-sided in favour of Marseille. With history and form both leaning towards a comfortable home win, our recommended bet is Marseille -2.50 Asian Handicap.

Expect Marseille to maintain their strong home form and possibly secure another high-margin victory against their struggling opponents.

Marseille vs Montpellier Prediction & Betting tip

Based on recent form and past encounters, we recommend betting on Marseille -2.50 Asian Handicap. This bet has been chosen due to Marseille’s dominant home record and Montpellier’s significant defensive struggles.

Marseille vs Montpellier Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Marseille -2.50 Asian Handicap	1.20

• Marseille’s solid record at home and their favorable odds make them a strong bet for a high-margin victory.
• Montpellier’s average of 2.2 goals conceded per match this season indicates a weak defensive line.
• Past records show Marseille routinely winning by large margins, including a 5-0 victory in their last meeting.

Expect an entertaining game with Marseille likely securing a convincing win based on current form and head-to-head statistics.

Marseille vs Montpellier Odds

Marseille vs Montpellier Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Marseille	1.20
Draw	6.85
Montpellier	12.17

The odds heavily favor Marseille, given their strong position in the league and recent performances against Montpellier. With Marseille at 1.20 to win, it’s clear that bookmakers see them as the dominant side. The odds for a draw stand at 6.85, and a Montpellier win comes at 12.17, reflecting Montpellier’s current struggles and poor away record.

Given these odds, a bet on Marseille seems a solid move, especially considering their impressive head-to-head record and Montpellier’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Marseille Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Monaco	Marseille	2025-04-12	Ligue 1	3-0 (Loss)
Marseille	Toulouse	2025-04-06	Ligue 1	3-2 (Win)
Reims	Marseille	2025-03-29	Ligue 1	3-1 (Loss)
PSG	Marseille	2025-03-16	Ligue 1	3-1 (Loss)
Marseille	Lens	2025-03-08	Ligue 1	0-1 (Loss)

With a recent form of LWLLL, Marseille have struggled to maintain momentum. Despite the inconsistency, the home win against Toulouse demonstrates their potential.

Marseille have averaged one goal per game in their last five matches but have also failed to keep a clean sheet during this period. This defensive vulnerability is something they’ll need to address, especially given Montpellier’s struggles.

Greenwood’s impressive form, with 16 goals this season, continues to be a beacon for Marseille amidst the tumultuous fixtures.

Marseille Key Players

Marseille’s key man remains Mason Greenwood, their top scorer with 16 goals this season, who has been in superb form and is notably attracting significant transfer interest from Saudi Arabian clubs. His ability to find the back of the net could be pivotal in this fixture.
Expected lineup for Marseille:

• Goalkeeper: Gerónimo Rulli
• Defenders: Amir Murillo, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Ulisses Garcia
• Midfielders: Luis Henrique, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Valentin Rongier, Quentin Merlin
• Attacking Midfielders: Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot
• Forward: Amine Gouiri

With Greenwood’s finishing, Højbjerg’s experience in midfield, and Rulli’s capability in goal, Marseille look well-equipped to exploit Montpellier’s defensive shortcomings.

Marseille Suspensions & Injuries

Marseille has a few key injuries that might impact the team’s performance. Ruben Blanco is sidelined with a knee injury and is expected to return in late April 2025. Valentin Rongier is also nursing a muscle injury, potentially keeping him out for a few weeks. Leonardo Balerdi is recovering from a sprained knee, with an anticipated return in early May 2025.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Ruben Blanco	Knee injury	Late April 2025
Valentin Rongier	Muscle injury	A few weeks
Leonardo Balerdi	Sprained knee	Early May 2025

These absences could affect Marseille’s depth, particularly in defense and midfield. However, coach Roberto De Zerbi will look to leverage his squad’s overall strength to mitigate these setbacks.

Marseille Tactics and Formation

Marseille Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Amine Gouiri
• Midfield Duo: Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Valentin Rongier
• Defensive Organization: Utilizes three center backs, focusing on a balanced defense.
• Notable Strategy:
  • Strong attacking presence, especially in the 61-75 minute interval.
  • Dependence on Mason Greenwood for goal contributions—currently the team’s top scorer with 16 goals.
  • High pressing and quick ball recovery to offset average defensive vulnerabilities, indicated by no clean sheets in the last five games.
  • Width provided by wing-backs Luis Henrique and Quentin Merlin, crucial on both flanks.

Expect Roberto De Zerbi to continue leveraging his squad’s attacking strengths to maintain home dominance, despite recent injuries impacting squad depth.

Montpellier Team Analysis

Montpellier Recent Performance

Montpellier’s recent form spells trouble. They have suffered five consecutive losses in their last five Ligue 1 matches:

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Angers	Montpellier	2025-04-13	Ligue 1	2-0 (Loss)
Montpellier	Le Havre	2025-04-06	Ligue 1	0-2 (Loss)
Auxerre	Montpellier	2025-03-30	Ligue 1	1-0 (Loss)
Montpellier	Saint-Etienne	2025-03-16	Ligue 1	0-2 (Loss)
Lille	Montpellier	2025-03-08	Ligue 1	1-0 (Loss)

Recent Form: LLLLL
Montpellier has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging 0.00 goals scored in their last five games and failing to keep a clean sheet. With a defense conceding 2.2 goals on average this season, their outlook appears bleak.

Montpellier Key Players

Expected lineup for Montpellier:

• Goalkeeper: Benjamin Lecomte
• Defenders: Modibo Sagnan, Boubakar Kouyaté, Becir Omeragic
• Midfielders: Wilfried Ndollo Bille, Jordan Ferri, Joris Chotard, Khalil Fayad, Théo Sainte-Luce
• Attackers: Tanguy Coulibaly, Nicolas Pays

Montpellier’s top scorer, Arnaud Nordin, who has netted 4 goals this season, will be crucial. Given the absences due to injuries and suspension, players like Joris Chotard and Tanguy Coulibaly need to step up, especially in the midfield battle against Marseille’s Pierre-Emile Højbjerg and Valentin Rongier. Key individual battles include Nicolas Pays trying to penetrate Marseille’s defense led by Geoffrey Kondogbia.

Montpellier Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Christopher Jullien	Cruciate ligament injury	Late April 2025
Nikola Maksimovic	Hamstring Injury	Out for season
Enzo Tchato	Muscle injury	Late April 2025
Andy Delort	Illness	About 1-2 weeks
Player	Suspension	Expected return
————	————	—————–
Bamo Meïté	Red card	1 match left

Montpellier are facing a significant challenge with several key players out. The absence of defender Nikola Maksimovic for the rest of the season and Christopher Jullien until late April leaves a gap in their backline. Additionally, Bamo Meïté’s suspension will further stretch Montpellier’s defensive resources.

The midfield also faces difficulties with Enzo Tchato out due to a muscle injury, and up front, Andy Delort’s absence weakens their attacking options. This compounded situation puts pressure on the remaining fit players to deliver, especially against a strong side like Marseille.

Montpellier Tactics and Formation

Montpellier’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-4-1
• Defensive Stalwarts: Modibo Sagnan, Boubakar Kouyaté, and Becir Omeragic
• Midfield Engine: Jordan Ferri, Joris Chotard, and Khalil Fayad
• Wing Threats: Wilfried Ndollo Bille and Théo Sainte-Luce
• Sole Forward: Nicolas Pays

Montpellier’s approach for this match appears to be very defensive, given their 5-4-1 formation. With their midfield quartet lying deep, the team will likely rely on counter-attacks.

Their key strategy will be to frustrate Marseille’s potent attack by keeping numbers behind the ball and trying to exploit any gaps left during transition plays. Given their recent defensive struggles, they’ll need a disciplined performance to avoid a high-scoring defeat.

Marseille vs Montpellier Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Montpellier	Marseille	2024-10-20	Ligue 1	0-5 (Win)
Marseille	Montpellier	2024-02-25	Ligue 1	4-1 (Win)
Montpellier	Marseille	2023-12-20	Ligue 1	1-1 (Draw)
Marseille	Montpellier	2023-03-31	Ligue 1	1-1 (Draw)
Montpellier	Marseille	2023-01-02	Ligue 1	1-2 (Win)

These last five encounters illustrate Marseille’s dominance, having won three times and drawn twice. Notably, in their most recent fixtures, Marseille triumphed with 5-0 and 4-1 victories, suggesting their offense consistently outplays Montpellier’s defense.
Expect Marseille to leverage this momentum as they aim for another commanding performance.

Odds accurate as of 17/04/2025 20:06, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.