Millwall - Swansea - bettingexpert

Millwall-Swansea

Championship

Fulltime

1 - 0

(HT 1-0)

Millwall vs Swansea Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 26 April 2025

An exciting clash is on the cards as Millwall take on Swansea at The Den in Championship action on 26 April 2025. As we head into round 45 of 46, every point is crucial. Millwall sit in 8th with 63 points and need a strong finish to push for the playoffs, while Swansea trail close behind in 11th with 60 points.

Millwall are slight favourites, but their offensive struggles and injury woes might make this a tight contest—they’ve often failed to score heavily. Their last encounter saw Millwall edge it 1-0 away at Swansea.

Both teams have been defensively solid of late, with Swansea boasting four clean sheets in their last five games. This should be a tight match, and given Swansea’s recent strong form, a Draw No Bet on Swansea is the recommended punt.

Millwall vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tip

Based on recent form and match conditions, our recommended betting tip is a "Draw No Bet" on Swansea City. Despite Millwall being slight favourites at home, Swansea’s strong recent performances make them a solid choice. They’ve secured an impressive 83% win rate in their last six games and boast an excellent defensive record with four clean sheets in their last five matches.

Millwall vs Swansea Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Swansea Draw No Bet	2.29

Swansea City have shown excellent form, winning their last five matches and keeping four clean sheets.
Millwall are facing injury struggles, which could impact their performance despite their decent home record.
The "Draw No Bet" option is safer and offers a favourable return, mitigating risk due to Swansea’s strong current form.

Millwall vs Swansea Odds

Here’s a quick peek at the betting odds for Millwall vs Swansea:

Millwall vs Swansea Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Millwall	2.24
Draw	3.11
Swansea	3.29

Millwall are slight favourites according to the bookmakers, benefiting from their home advantage at The Den.
However, given Swansea’s stellar recent form, with five consecutive wins and four clean sheets, the odds for a Swansea win present an intriguing possibility for optimistic punters. A draw is also worth considering at decent odds of 3.11.
Millwall’s recent injury troubles could also impact their performance, potentially making Swansea a valuable bet for risk-takers.

Millwall Team Analysis

Millwall Recent Performance

Millwall have had an up-and-down season, but their recent form has been positive, with four wins out of their last five matches. Here’s a closer look:

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Millwall	Norwich	2025-04-21	Championship	3-1 (Win)
Blackburn	Millwall	2025-04-18	Championship	4-1 (Loss)
Millwall	Middlesbrough	2025-04-12	Championship	1-0 (Win)
Sheff Utd	Millwall	2025-04-08	Championship	0-1 (Win)
Millwall	Portsmouth	2025-04-05	Championship	2-1 (Win)

Recent Form: WWWLW

Millwall have managed to average 1.60 goals per game in their last five fixtures, showing decent offensive capability despite their season-long struggles in front of goal. They have also secured two clean sheets in their last five, reflecting some stability at the back. With a solid home record and fighting for a top-six finish, they’re a tough side at The Den.

Millwall Key Players

Millwall’s Mihailo Ivanovic stands out as their key player, topping the team’s scoring chart with 11 goals this season. His offensive contributions will be crucial, especially given the team’s struggles to score consistently, often failing to net more than one goal per match.
Another pivotal player is George Evans, the reliable goalkeeper who has helped secure two clean sheets in the last five games. Defenders like Jake Cooper and Japhet Tanganga will need to be at their best to keep Swansea at bay.

Expected lineup for Millwall:

Goalkeeper: George Evans
Defenders: Tristan Crama, Japhet Tanganga, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge
Midfielders: Luke Cundle, Casper De Norre, George Saville, Femi Azeez
Forwards: Mihailo Ivanovic, Josh Coburn

Key individual battles could include Ivanovic up against Swansea’s robust defenders, Ben Cabango and Harry Darling.

Millwall Suspensions & Injuries

Millwall is facing a challenging situation with multiple injuries, which may impact their squad depth and overall performance.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Danny McNamara	Knee injury	Early May 2025
Calum Scanlon	Hamstring injury	Early May 2025
Zak Lovelace	Knee surgery	Mid July 2025
Duncan Watmore	Muscle injury	Early May 2025
Raees Bangura-Williams	Lack of fitness	Doubtful
Camiel Neghli	Hamstring injury	Mid May 2025

With key players like Danny McNamara, Duncan Watmore, and Calum Scanlon all out until early May, Millwall might struggle to maintain their defensive and midfield solidity. The absence of Zak Lovelace until July and the doubt over Raees Bangura-Williams’ fitness could hamper their attacking options, potentially influencing their push for a top-six finish.

Millwall Tactics and Formation

Millwall Tactical Breakdown:

Formation: 4-2-3-1
Key Forward: Josh Coburn
Midfield Trio: Casper De Norre, George Saville, Luke Cundle
Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.

Millwall has been structured in a 4-2-3-1 formation, which has offered both defensive solidity and flexibility in attack. Alex Neil has relied on a strong midfield duo in Casper De Norre and George Saville to shield the defense, while Luke Cundle provides creative support.

The wide men, Femi Azeez and Mihailo Ivanovic, play crucial roles in stretching opposition defenses. With injuries in key positions, depth will be tested, especially in maintaining their pressing game and counter-attacking threats.

Millwall’s ability to close out games remains crucial, as they have conceded most goals in the 76-90 minute interval.

Swansea Team Analysis

Swansea Recent Performance

Swansea have been in formidable form, enjoying a five-game winning streak. This remarkable run has boosted their position in the Championship, keeping them close to the top 10 with an 83% win rate in their last 6 outings.
Their recent matches have shown their capability both offensively and defensively, with an average of 1.60 goals scored per game and four clean sheets in their last five games.

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Queens Park Rangers	Swansea	2025-04-21	Championship	1-2 (Win)
Swansea	Hull	2025-04-18	Championship	1-0 (Win)
Sunderland	Swansea	2025-04-12	Championship	0-1 (Win)
Swansea	Plymouth	2025-04-09	Championship	3-0 (Win)
Swansea	Derby	2025-04-05	Championship	1-0 (Win)

Swansea’s robust defensive setup, conceding only one goal in these five matches, has been a significant factor in their success. Their recent performances make them one of the most in-form sides in the Championship, promising a tight contest at The Den.

Swansea Key Players

Swansea’s recent form can be attributed to several key players who have consistently delivered outstanding performances.
Liam Cullen, the team’s top scorer, has netted 10 goals this season and will be crucial in breaking down Millwall’s defense. His pace and finishing ability make him a constant threat.
The midfield duo of Gonçalo Franco and Jay Fulton provides stability and creativity. They will play vital roles in controlling the game’s tempo and feeding balls to the forwards.
In defense, the partnership of Ben Cabango and Harry Darling has been rock solid. With Swansea averaging four clean sheets in the last five games, their ability to neutralize Millwall’s attacks will be essential.

Expected lineup for Swansea:

Goalkeeper: Lawrence Vigouroux
Defenders: Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Harry Darling, Josh Tymon
Midfielders: Gonçalo Franco, Jay Fulton, Ronald, Lewis O’Brien, Ji-Sung Eom
Forward: Liam Cullen

Swansea Suspensions & Injuries

Swansea City heads into this match with a relatively healthy squad but does have a couple of injury concerns that could impact their performance.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Kristian Pedersen	Hamstring Injury	Mid May 2025
Myles Peart-Harris	Back injury	Early May 2025

Kristian Pedersen’s absence due to a hamstring injury means Swansea will miss his defensive solidity for this crucial clash. Myles Peart-Harris’s back injury also sidelines him, affecting Swansea’s midfield depth.

Despite these setbacks, Swansea’s recent form suggests that the squad has adapted well to changes, and they remain a formidable opponent.

Swansea Tactics and Formation

Swansea City’s Tactical Breakdown:

Formation: Predominantly 4-2-3-1
Defensive Duo: Ben Cabango and Harry Darling
Key Midfield Presence: Jay Fulton and Gonçalo Franco
Notable Forward: Liam Cullen

Swansea has opted for a solid 4-2-3-1 formation, which has been effective in their recent winning streak. The defensive pair of Ben Cabango and Harry Darling have proved reliable, contributing to their impressive record of four clean sheets in the last five games.

In midfield, Jay Fulton and Gonçalo Franco provide a strong defensive shield, allowing the attacking trio, led by the influential Lewis O’Brien in the attacking midfielder role, to push forward and create opportunities.

The key attacking threat, Liam Cullen, will look to add to his tally of 10 goals this season, providing the cutting edge in the final third. This balanced approach has been instrumental in Swansea’s recent form.

Millwall vs Swansea Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last 5 meetings between the teams:

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Swansea City	Millwall	2024-10-26	Championship	0-1 (Loss)
Swansea City	Millwall	2024-05-04	Championship	0-1 (Loss)
Millwall	Swansea City	2023-09-30	Championship	0-3 (Loss)
Millwall	Swansea City	2023-03-14	Championship	2-1 (Win)
Swansea City	Millwall	2022-08-16	Championship	2-2 (Draw)

Recent encounters show a closely contested rivalry, with Millwall winning three of the last five matches. This historical context adds an extra layer of excitement as Millwall aim to maintain their edge, while Swansea look to overturn past results.

Odds accurate as of 24/04/2025 15:01, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.