Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense Prediction, Match Preview, Friday, 30 January

Vitória de Guimarães will face Moreirense in a Liga Portugal clash on Friday, 30 January. The match is set to take place at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, providing a familiar setting for Vitória de Guimarães. This encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league standings and secure valuable points in the competitive Portuguese top flight.

Vitória de Guimarães, playing at home, will look to capitalise on their home advantage against Moreirense. Meanwhile, Moreirense will be eager to upset the hosts and gain momentum in their league campaign. With both teams keen to improve their positions, this match promises to be an intriguing contest in Liga Portugal. Fans and bettors alike will be watching closely to see how these two sides measure up against each other.

Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Vitória de Guimarães to Win	1.85

Given Vitória de Guimarães’ strong home record and historical dominance over Moreirense, backing a home win at odds around 1.85 is a solid choice.

• Vitória de Guimarães have won 16 of the last 24 head-to-head meetings, highlighting their historical superiority.
• Recent high-profile victories at home against Braga and Sporting CP underline their current form and capability.
• Moreirense’s inconsistent away performances, coupled with their historical struggles in this fixture, make a home win likely.

Betting Odds

Vitória de Guimarães come into this match as favourites on home turf, with betting odds reflecting their stronger position at 2.04. Moreirense, meanwhile, are considered underdogs at 3.7, but their potential to cause an upset should not be underestimated.

Betting Tip	Odds
Vitória de Guimarães to win	2.04
Draw	3.19
Moreirense to win	3.7

The draw is priced at 3.19, indicating that bookmakers expect a competitive match. For those looking at goal markets, considering both teams’ recent performances, there may be value in exploring the over 2.5 goals option.

Vitória de Guimarães Analysis & Past Performance

Vitória de Guimarães have experienced mixed results in their recent fixtures, with their last five matches yielding two victories, one draw, and two defeats. Notably, their recent 4-2 loss away to Estoril highlighted some defensive frailties, conceding four goals and managing only 45% possession, which underlines their struggle to control matches away from home.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Estoril	Vitória de Guimarães	4 – 2 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	Jan 24, 2026
Vitória de Guimarães	FC Porto	0 – 1 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	Jan 18, 2026
Vitória de Guimarães	Braga	2 – 1 (Win)	League Cup	Jan 10, 2026
Sporting CP	Vitória de Guimarães	1 – 2 (Win)	League Cup	Jan 6, 2026
Vitória de Guimarães	Nacional	2 – 1 (Win)	Primeira Liga	Jan 2, 2026

Recent Form: Vitória’s attacking efforts have seen them average 1.60 goals per game in their last five matches, scoring in four of these encounters. However, defensively, they have been less robust, conceding an average of 1.60 goals per game, with no clean sheets in the last five fixtures. Their home performance has been slightly better, with a 40% win ratio over the last ten home games, but they have lost three of their last five home matches. This inconsistency, both defensively and offensively, suggests a need for tactical adjustments to regain stability and improve their league position.

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Vitória de Guimarães Suspensions & Injuries

The absence of José Guilherme Ribeiro due to a cruciate ligament injury, which will keep him sidelined until late August 2026, poses a significant challenge for Vitória de Guimarães. His defensive capabilities are crucial, and without him, the team may need to rely more heavily on Rodrigo Abascal in central defence. Óscar Rivas, who is doubtful with a muscle injury, adds to the uncertainty, particularly regarding midfield depth, where Oumar Camará and Matija Mitrović might be tasked with increased responsibilities.

Vitória de Guimarães’ tactical setup could be impacted by these injuries, especially if Rivas remains unavailable, potentially forcing Luís Pinto to adjust his midfield strategy. The team might opt for a more conservative approach to maintain stability, given their defensive vulnerabilities.

Despite these challenges, Vitória de Guimarães’ recent performances suggest they can cope with these absences, but it will require strategic acumen from coach Luís Pinto. The betting markets might see these injuries as a factor, potentially influencing the odds in favour of Moreirense.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
José Guilherme Ribeiro	Cruciate ligament injury	Late August 2026
Óscar Rivas	Muscle strain	Doubtful

Vitória de Guimarães Key Players

Nélson Oliveira stands out as Vitória de Guimarães’ top scorer, having found the net three times this season. His ability to position himself effectively in the box and capitalise on crosses makes him a significant threat against Moreirense. Oliveira’s knack for goal-scoring will be instrumental in Vitória de Guimarães’ attacking strategy, especially in breaking through defensive lines.

In midfield, Matija Mitrović and Samu are pivotal for their dual roles in both defensive duties and orchestrating play. Mitrović’s defensive acumen and Samu’s creative vision provide a balanced midfield dynamic that is crucial for controlling the tempo of the match. Defensively, Miguel Nóbrega’s leadership and Rodrigo Abascal’s physical presence are essential in maintaining defensive solidity and thwarting Moreirense’s attacks.

Expected lineup for Vitória de Guimarães

• Goalkeeper: Juan Castillo
• Defence: Tony Strata, Miguel Nóbrega, Rodrigo Abascal, João Mendes
• Midfield: Gonçalo Nogueira, Matija Mitrović, Samu
• Forward: Oumar Camará, Noah Saviolo, Alioune Ndoye

Vitória de Guimarães Tactics and Formation

Vitória de Guimarães Tactical Breakdown:

• Recent Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Alioune Ndoye
• Midfield Pivot: Gonçalo Nogueira and Matija Mitrović
• Defensive Strength: Struggling with clean sheets, conceding in four of the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on possession and controlling the midfield.

Vitória de Guimarães typically set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, which offers a balanced approach between defence and attack. The midfield pairing of Gonçalo Nogueira and Matija Mitrović is central to their strategy, as they focus on maintaining possession and dictating the pace of the game. The creative influence of Samu and the physical presence of Alioune Ndoye up front are pivotal in their offensive play.

Defensively, Vitória de Guimarães have faced challenges, as evidenced by their recent form, conceding goals consistently. The back four, led by Miguel Nóbrega and Rodrigo Abascal, need to tighten up to avoid further defensive lapses. Their inability to keep clean sheets has been a significant factor in recent match outcomes.

Offensively, Vitória de Guimarães rely on quick transitions and exploiting spaces left by the opposition. Their strength lies in the midfield’s ability to control the game, but they will need to convert possession into more goal-scoring opportunities to improve their recent results.

Moreirense Analysis & Past Performance

Moreirense have been in solid form recently, registering three wins, one loss, and a draw in their last five outings. Their recent performances include a notable 2-0 victory against AVS Futebol SAD and a narrow 1-0 triumph over Tondela, showcasing their ability to secure wins in tight matches.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Moreirense	Santa Clara	1 – 0 (Win)	Liga Portugal	24 Jan 2026
Alverca	Moreirense	2 – 1 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	17 Jan 2026
Moreirense	Tondela	1 – 0 (Win)	Liga Portugal	11 Jan 2026
AVS Futebol SAD	Moreirense	0 – 2 (Win)	Liga Portugal	3 Jan 2026
Estrela da Amadora	Moreirense	0 – 0 (Draw)	Liga Portugal	20 Dec 2025

Recent Form:
Moreirense’s attack has been reliable, averaging 1.00 goals per game in their last five matches, with their top scorer Guilherme Schettine playing a pivotal role. Defensively, they have been impressive, conceding just 0.40 goals per match, and achieving four clean sheets in this period. Their defensive solidity is further highlighted by their ability to maintain composure under pressure, as evidenced by their recent 1-0 win against Santa Clara.

Despite these strengths, Moreirense’s away performance has been less consistent, with only one win in their last five away matches, suggesting room for improvement. Their current standing at 6th in Liga Portugal with 30 points reflects their competitive edge, yet their away win ratio of just 0.20 indicates a potential vulnerability when playing outside their home ground.

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Moreirense Suspensions & Injuries

Moreirense face a significant challenge with Vasco Sousa sidelined due to a broken leg, with his return expected in mid-May 2026. Sousa’s absence could impact the team’s midfield dynamism, as he has been a key player in linking defence and attack. His role in the squad is crucial, and without his presence, Moreirense might struggle to maintain their usual fluidity in transitioning from defence to attack.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Vasco Sousa	Broken leg	Mid May 2026

The absence of Vasco Sousa will force coach Vasco Botelho da Costa to consider alternative options in midfield. Mateja Stjepanović, who has featured in recent matches, may be tasked with filling the void. While Stjepanović offers a different skill set, his ability to adapt quickly to a more prominent role will be pivotal for Moreirense.

Tactically, Moreirense may need to adjust their formation to compensate for the loss of Sousa. This could involve deploying a more defensive-minded midfielder to ensure stability and control in the centre of the park. Such adjustments might influence their attacking prowess, potentially leading to a more cautious approach against Vitória de Guimarães.

With Sousa’s injury, betting markets may see Moreirense as underdogs, given the potential disruption in their midfield setup. Bettors should consider the impact of his absence on Moreirense’s overall performance, particularly in how they manage possession and create scoring opportunities.

Moreirense Key Players

Guilherme Schettine stands out as Moreirense’s top scorer, having netted nine goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net with precision makes him a crucial asset, especially against Vitória de Guimarães. Schettine’s composure in front of goal and his knack for exploiting defensive weaknesses promise to be pivotal in Moreirense’s attacking strategy.

In midfield, the trio of Rodrigo Alonso, Mateja Stjepanović, and Alanzinho play significant roles in dictating play. Alanzinho, in particular, is known for his vision and ability to unlock defences with his passing, while Stjepanović provides the necessary defensive cover. The defensive line, marshalled by Gilberto Batista and Maracás, will be essential in maintaining structure and resilience against the hosts.

• Goalkeeper: André Ferreira
• Defenders: Dinis Pinto, Gilberto Batista, Maracás, Álvaro Martínez
• Midfielders: Rodrigo Alonso, Mateja Stjepanović, Alanzinho
• Forwards: Diogo Martins Travassos, Luís Semedo, Kiko Bondoso

Expected lineup for Moreirense

Moreirense Tactics and Formation

Moreirense Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Luís Semedo
• Midfield Engine: Alan and Rodri
• Defensive Record: Four clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Compact defence with quick transitions.

Moreirense’s 4-3-3 formation emphasises a balance between defensive solidity and attacking prowess. The midfield trio, led by Alan and Rodri, provides both defensive cover and creative outlets, crucial for transitioning from defence to attack. This setup allows Moreirense to maintain a compact shape, making them difficult to break down, as evidenced by their impressive defensive record of four clean sheets in their last five matches.

Offensively, the team relies heavily on Luís Semedo, who serves as the focal point in their attacking plays. Supported by wingers Diogo Travassos and Kiko Bondoso, Semedo’s role is pivotal in converting chances, especially during quick counterattacks, which is a hallmark of their strategy.

Defensively, the backline, featuring players like Maracás and Álvaro Martínez, has proven resilient. Their ability to absorb pressure and launch counterattacks has been instrumental in Moreirense’s recent run of form, helping them secure valuable points and maintain a strong league position.

Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense Head-to-Head Record

Vitória de Guimarães have the upper hand in their head-to-head record against Moreirense, boasting 18 wins compared to Moreirense’s six, with 10 draws in their 34 encounters. The last meeting saw Moreirense claim a 2-0 victory at home in Liga Portugal, showing they can be a tough opponent.

When Vitória de Guimarães host Moreirense, they tend to come out on top. Their last home fixture against Moreirense ended in a 1-0 victory, part of a pattern where Guimarães have been quite dominant on home soil.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	Competition	Date
Moreirense	Vitória de Guimarães	2 – 0	Liga Portugal	2025-08-23
Moreirense	Vitória de Guimarães	2 – 2	Liga Portugal	2025-03-30
Vitória de Guimarães	Moreirense	1 – 0	Liga Portugal	2024-11-03
Vitória de Guimarães	Moreirense	1 – 0	Liga Portugal	2024-03-30
Moreirense	Vitória de Guimarães	1 – 0	Liga Portugal	2023-11-05