Nacional vs Tondela Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, 13 December

Nacional vs Tondela Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, 13 December, sets the stage for an intriguing clash in Liga Portugal. Scheduled to kick off at 16:30, this fixture takes place at the Estádio da Madeira, where both teams will be eager to secure vital points. Nacional, playing at home, will look to use their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Tondela.

Both teams are navigating the competitive landscape of Liga Portugal, and this encounter could have significant implications for their league positions. Nacional will aim to capitalise on their home advantage, while Tondela seeks to disrupt their hosts’ plans with a strong away performance. As the teams prepare to face off, fans can expect a closely contested battle on the pitch.

Nacional vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Both Teams to Score – Yes	1.9

Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, both Tondela and Nacional have demonstrated attacking strengths alongside defensive weaknesses. This makes ‘Both Teams to Score’ a promising betting tip for their upcoming encounter. The odds reflect a balanced matchup in which both teams are likely to find the net.

• Nacional have shown a strong attacking presence, particularly in the first half, scoring most of their goals between the 31st and 45th minute.
• Tondela’s defensive record shows they concede an average of 1.6 goals per game, indicating vulnerabilities that Nacional can exploit.
• Historical encounters have also seen both teams scoring, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring match.

The betting odds suggest a close game with goals at both ends, making our recommendation a strong value bet.

Betting Odds

Nacional step onto their home turf at Estádio da Madeira as slight favourites, with betting odds of 2.28. However, Tondela, priced at 3.11, should not be underestimated, especially given their knack for pulling off surprises on the road. The draw is also a tempting option at 3.21, reflecting the close nature of this Liga Portugal clash.

Betting Tip	Odds
Nacional to win	2.28
Draw	3.21
Tondela to win	3.11

For those considering alternative markets, both teams have shown a tendency to score, making the ‘both teams to score’ market an attractive proposition. Additionally, considering the attacking threats on both sides, the over 2.5 goals market could also offer value.

Nacional Analysis & Past Performance

Nacional are currently struggling to find their feet in Liga Portugal, sitting 14th in the standings with just 12 points. Their recent form has been concerning, with a winless streak in their last five matches, including four defeats and one draw. This slump is reflected in their inability to secure a single victory during this period, with an average of just 0.80 goals scored per game, while conceding an average of 1.80 goals.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Alverca	Nacional	1 – 0 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	7 Dec 2025
Nacional	Benfica	1 – 2 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	29 Nov 2025
Braga	Nacional	4 – 2 (Loss)	Portuguese Cup	23 Nov 2025
Estrela da Amadora	Nacional	1 – 1 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	9 Nov 2025
Nacional	Famalicão	0 – 1 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	1 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
Nacional’s attacking efforts have been underwhelming, as they have managed to score in only three of their last five matches, accumulating a total of four goals. Their defence has also been porous, conceding in every match over this period, with no clean sheets to their name. This lack of defensive solidity has been a significant factor in their recent struggles.

Despite playing at home, Nacional’s performance remains subpar. Out of their last five home games, they have secured only one win while losing four. Their home win ratio stands at a mere 20%, highlighting their difficulties in capitalising on home advantage. The absence of a consistent goal threat, even from top scorer Jesús Ramírez, who has seven goals this season, further compounds their issues.

In terms of tactics, Nacional’s lack of defensive organisation and inability to convert chances into goals have been critical weaknesses. As they prepare to face Tondela, they must address these issues to improve their chances of climbing the league table.

• LLLDL

Nacional Suspensions & Injuries

Nacional face some challenges ahead of their match against Tondela, with Ivanildo Fernandes and Filipe Soares both listed as doubtful due to unspecified injuries. The absence of Fernandes, a key defender, could force coach Tiago Margarido to make significant adjustments to the backline, potentially disrupting the team’s defensive cohesion. Filipe Soares’ doubtful status adds further uncertainty, especially in midfield where his presence is valued for his ability to transition play from defence to attack.

The likely absence of these players necessitates tactical adjustments. Nacional may have to rely on less experienced squad members or alter their formation to compensate for the lack of depth in defence and midfield. This could involve a more cautious approach, focusing on maintaining a solid shape to mitigate the impact of these absences.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Ivanildo Fernandes	Unknown	Doubtful
Filipe Soares	Unknown	Doubtful

Without Fernandes, Nacional’s defensive robustness could be compromised, which may influence betting markets, potentially favouring Tondela. The lack of clarity on Soares’ availability further complicates predictions, as his inclusion could significantly bolster Nacional’s midfield options. The potential tactical shifts and player replacements will be crucial in determining Nacional’s capability to compete effectively against Tondela.

Nacional Key Players

Nacional’s attack will heavily rely on Jesús Ramírez, the team’s top scorer with 7 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net, combined with his knack for being in the right place at the right time, makes him a formidable threat to any defence. Ramírez’s partnership with Paulinho Bóia up front will be crucial, as Bóia’s pace and dribbling skills can open up spaces for Ramírez to exploit.

In midfield, Matheus Dias will be pivotal in controlling the game’s tempo and linking play between defence and attack. His vision and passing accuracy make him a key playmaker. Defensively, the experience of Léo Santos will be essential in organising the backline and thwarting Tondela’s attacking threats. His leadership and aerial prowess provide a solid foundation for Nacional’s defence.

Expected lineup for Nacional

• Goalkeeper: Kaique Pereira
• Defence: Alan Núñez, Zé Vítor, Léo Santos, Lenny Vallier
• Midfield: Chiheb Labidi, Matheus Dias, Liziero
• Forward: Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez, Mootaz Nourani

Nacional Tactics and Formation

Nacional Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Jesús Ramírez
• Midfield Dynamics: Liziero and Matheus Dias
• Defensive Concerns: Zero clean sheets in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: Focus on midfield control and wide play.

Nacional, under the guidance of Tiago Margarido, typically deploy a 4-3-3 formation that emphasises control in midfield and width in attack. The midfield trio, likely consisting of Liziero, Matheus Dias, and Chiheb Labidi, is pivotal in both defensive transitions and initiating forward plays.

Offensively, Jesús Ramírez stands out as the primary goal threat, supported by wingers Paulinho Bóia and Mootaz Nourani. This attacking line aims to exploit the flanks and create scoring opportunities through quick interplays and crosses into the box.

Defensively, Nacional’s struggles have been evident, with no clean sheets in their last five outings. The backline, featuring Alan Núñez and Zé Vítor, needs to tighten their organisation to prevent conceding goals, especially given the absence of Ivanildo Fernandes due to injury.

Tondela Analysis & Past Performance

Tondela’s recent form has been inconsistent, with only one victory in their last five matches. This win came against Gil Vicente with a narrow 1-0 scoreline, highlighting their defensive resilience but also their struggle to find the back of the net consistently. In their recent outing against FC Porto, Tondela suffered a 0-2 defeat, underscoring their difficulties against stronger opponents.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Tondela	FC Porto	0 – 2 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	7 Dec 2025
Gil Vicente	Tondela	0 – 1 (Win)	Primeira Liga	29 Nov 2025
Tondela	Caldas	N/A	Portuguese Cup	23 Nov 2025
Tondela	Vitória de Guimarães	0 – 1 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	8 Nov 2025
AVS Futebol SAD	Tondela	2 – 2 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	2 Nov 2025

Recent Form:

• LWLLD

Tondela’s attacking line has averaged 0.60 goals per game over their last five fixtures, indicating challenges in converting opportunities into goals. Conversely, they have conceded an average of 1.60 goals per match, reflecting a vulnerability at the back. Despite this, Tondela managed to secure two clean sheets in their last five away matches, where they have a slightly better record with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their current standing at 16th in the league, with just nine points, suggests a need to improve both offensive output and defensive solidity if they are to climb out of the relegation zone.

Tondela Suspensions & Injuries

Tondela face a minor setback with the injury to Gabriel, whose return remains uncertain as the specifics of his injury and recovery timeline are unknown. Gabriel’s absence might not have an immediate impact on the starting eleven given the depth in Tondela’s squad, but it does limit their options for rotation and tactical flexibility, especially in midfield.

With no players suspended, Tondela’s coach, Cristiano Bacci, has the opportunity to deploy his preferred lineup without major disruptions from disciplinary issues. This could prove advantageous against Nacional, allowing Tondela to maintain strategic consistency.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Gabriel	Unknown	Unknown

The uncertainty surrounding Gabriel’s return means that Bacci may need to rely on other midfielders such as Juan Rodríguez or Sphephelo Sithole to fill the void. Both players have featured in recent lineups and can offer stability in the centre of the park. The choice between them will depend on the specific tactical approach Bacci decides to employ against Nacional.

Tondela’s ability to field a largely unchanged side could have positive implications for their betting odds against Nacional, as consistency in team selection often translates to better on-field chemistry. However, the unknown factors of Gabriel’s injury might still pose a risk if unexpected changes are required during the match.

Tondela Key Players

Tondela’s attacking force is led by Pedro Henrique, who has been the team’s top scorer this season with three goals. His ability to find the net from various positions makes him a constant threat to opposing defences. His partnership with Jordan Siebatcheu in the forward line is expected to be pivotal as they aim to break down Nacional’s defensive setup. Henrique’s sharp finishing and Siebatcheu’s physical presence could form a potent combination.

In midfield, Hugo Félix plays a crucial role in orchestrating play. His vision and passing accuracy are essential for transitioning the ball from defence to attack efficiently. Alongside him, Sphephelo Sithole is expected to provide the necessary defensive cover, breaking up play and allowing Félix the freedom to create opportunities.

Expected lineup for Tondela:

• Goalkeeper: Bernardo
• Defenders: Tiago Manso, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Nor Maviram
• Midfielders: Juan Rodríguez, Sphephelo Sithole, Hugo Félix
• Forwards: Pedro Maranhão, Jordan Siebatcheu, Moudjatovic

Tondela Tactics and Formation

Tondela Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-4-1-1
• Key Forward: Jordan Siebatcheu
• Midfield Engine: Sphephelo Sithole
• Defensive Concerns: Lack of clean sheets in recent matches
• Notable Strategy: Reliance on counter-attacks and set-piece opportunities.

Tondela’s likely deployment of a 4-4-1-1 formation aims to provide a balanced approach between defence and attack. With Sphephelo Sithole anchoring the midfield, the team often looks to disrupt opposition play and quickly transition to attack. This formation allows Pedro Henrique to exploit spaces between the lines, supporting Jordan Siebatcheu in the forward position.

Defensively, Tondela have faced challenges, as evidenced by their recent lack of clean sheets. The backline, featuring players like Tiago Manso and Christian Marques, must tighten up to reduce the average of 2.20 goals conceded per match. Their ability to withstand pressure and maintain composure will be crucial against Nacional.

Offensively, Tondela rely heavily on counter-attacks and set-piece situations to create scoring opportunities. Jordan Siebatcheu’s physical presence and Pedro Henrique’s creativity are pivotal in breaking down defences, especially in matches where possession is limited.

Nacional vs Tondela Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Nacional and Tondela have faced off 17 times, with Nacional winning eight matches and Tondela securing seven victories, alongside three draws. The last encounter was a friendly where Tondela edged out Nacional 2-1 at Estádio da Madeira.

The last time these two met in Liga Portugal, Nacional came out on top with a thrilling 3-2 away win against Tondela in May 2024. When it comes to home advantage, Nacional have been quite solid, winning their last league meeting at home 1-0 back in January 2024.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	Tournament	Date
Nacional	Tondela	1 – 2	Friendly Match	2025-07-24
Tondela	Nacional	2 – 3	Liga Portugal 2	2024-05-12
Nacional	Tondela	1 – 1	Liga Portugal 2	2024-01-06
Tondela	Nacional	1 – 0	Liga Portugal 2	2023-01-29
Nacional	Tondela	1 – 0	Portuguese Cup	2022-11-09