Nantes vs. Toulouse Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 27 April 2025 - bettingexpert
This Saturday’s match between Nantes and Toulouse at Stade de la Beaujoire holds significant implications in Ligue 1, as both teams aim to climb higher in the middle of the table. Nantes, sitting in 14th place with 31 points, showed resilience by managing a surprising 1-1 draw against the league champions PSG. Toulouse, just two spots above in 12th with 34 points, have been struggling recently, having not won in six consecutive matches.
Referee Florent Batta will oversee the game, adding an extra layer of discipline with his history of awarding penalties and yellow cards. Given Nantes’ recent form, which saw them draw against PSG and beat Nice, they could capitalize on Toulouse’s winless streak.
Expect a closely contested game where both teams will look to improve their standings. The bookmakers favor an away win for Toulouse, but a recommended bet is for both teams to score. Given their similar scoring patterns and Nantes’ stronger home performance, goals from both sides are quite likely.
Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tip
Recommended Bet: Both teams to score
Recent form indicates both Nantes and Toulouse are likely to find the net, given their average goals scored in their last five matches. Nantes’ home resilience, showcased in their 1-1 draw against PSG and their victory over Lille, contrasts with Toulouse’s current struggle, having failed to win in their last six games. This makes the both teams to score market appealing.
| Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 |
- Nantes have shown they can score even against tough opponents.
- Toulouse’s defensive vulnerabilities are clear, having not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches.
- The last encounters between the two teams have been goal-filled, suggesting a high chance of both sides scoring.
Nantes vs Toulouse Odds
When it comes to betting on this Ligue 1 clash, the odds suggest a competitive match. Toulouse is the slight favourite, but Nantes’ home advantage and recent form make for an intriguing contest.
| Nantes vs Toulouse Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Nantes | 2.92 |
| Draw | 3.27 |
| Toulouse | 2.43 |
Key Points to Consider:
- Toulouse, despite being the bookmakers’ favourite, is struggling with a winless streak of six games.
- Nantes have demonstrated some resilience, notably in their 1-1 draw against PSG.
- Both teams have a record of conceding goals, which could influence betting strategies towards goal-related markets.
Nantes Team Analysis
Nantes Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | Paris Saint-Germain | 2025-04-22 | Ligue 1 | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Rennes | Nantes | 2025-04-18 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Nice | Nantes | 2025-04-04 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 (Win) |
| Le Havre | Nantes | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 3-2 (Loss) |
| Nantes | Lille | 2025-03-15 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Win) |
Nantes have demonstrated a decent run of form recently, highlighted by a resilient 1-1 draw against PSG, showing they can be formidable at home. Their recent performance has resulted in two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games.
With an average of 1.40 goals scored in their last 5 games and only one clean sheet, Nantes need to tighten their defense. However, their attacking prowess should not be underestimated.
Nantes Key Players
Nantes’ key players for this upcoming clash include top scorer Matthis Abline, who has netted 8 goals this season, and dynamic winger Moses Simon. These players will be crucial in penetrating Toulouse’s defense, especially given Simon’s pace and trickery.
Midfielder Douglas Augusto, who recently scored in the draw against PSG, will also be pivotal in controlling the tempo of the game and providing creative outlets. Pedro Chirivella will support the midfield engine, ensuring a balance between defense and attack.
Expected lineup for Nantes:
- Goalkeeper: Patrik Carlgren
- Defenders: Jean-Charles Castelletto, Nicolas Pallois, Nathan Zeze
- Midfielders: Kelvin Amian, Douglas Augusto, Pedro Chirivella, Johann Lepenant, Nicolas Cozza
- Attackers: Matthis Abline, Moses Simon
Key battles to watch include Matthis Abline up against Charlie Cresswell, and Moses Simon facing Djibril Sidibe. This should add an extra layer of competitiveness to the match.
Nantes Suspensions & Injuries
Nantes will be impacted by several injuries and a key suspension for their match against Toulouse. Here’s the rundown:
Injuries:
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Adel Mahamoud | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for the season |
| Francis Coquelin | Hamstring injury | Early May 2025 |
| Anthony Lopes | Knock injury | About 1-2 weeks |
Suspensions:
| Player | Suspension | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Coco | Red card | 2 matches left |
These absences will test Nantes’ depth, especially with first-choice goalkeeper Anthony Lopes out, which means backup Patrik Carlgren will need to step up. The suspension of Marcus Coco will further complicate their squad rotation.
Nantes Tactics and Formation
Nantes Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forwards: Matthis Abline, Moses Simon
- Midfield Lineup: Kelvin Amian, Douglas Augusto, Pedro Chirivella, Johann Lepenant, Nicolas Cozza
- Defensive Lineup: Jean-Charles Castelletto, Nicolas Pallois, Nathan Zeze
- Goalkeeper: Patrik Carlgren
- Defensive Approach: Playing a five-man midfield helps protect the back three, offering additional support like tracking the runs and intercepting through balls.
- Offensive Strategy: Utilizing wingbacks extensively to stretch oppositions and deliver crosses into the box. Both Simon and Abline are crucial in capitalizing on these deliveries.
- Midfield Dynamics: With Pedro Chirivella at the heart of the midfield, expect him to set the tempo and control the build-up play, supported by Augusto’s defensive work and Lepenant’s box-to-box capabilities.
- Notable Strength: Strong second-half performances, evidenced by their equalizer against PSG in their recent 1-1 draw.
This balanced and adaptive formation allows for defensive stability while also providing versatility in attack.
Toulouse Team Analysis
Toulouse Recent Performance
Toulouse have hit a rough patch, losing their last five Ligue 1 matches. They haven’t managed to keep a single clean sheet during this period and have struggled to find the back of the net consistently.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reims | Toulouse | 2025-04-20 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Toulouse | Lille | 2025-04-12 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Toulouse | 2025-04-06 | Ligue 1 | 3-2 (Loss) |
| Toulouse | Brest | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 2-4 (Loss) |
| Strasbourg | Toulouse | 2025-03-16 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Loss) |
Recent Form: LLLLL
Toulouse have averaged 1.20 goals per game in their last five outings, clearly having a tough time both defensively and offensively. With no clean sheets in these matches, defensive frailties have been glaringly evident. Their losing streak, combined with an average of 1.3 goals conceded per game this season, indicates a need for significant tactical adjustments.
Toulouse Key Players
With a string of poor performances, Toulouse will need their key players to step up in this crucial match against Nantes. Top scorer Zakaria Aboukhlal has netted 7 goals so far this season and will be pivotal in their attacking efforts. Alongside him, the defensive duties will fall heavily on Djibril Sidibe and Charlie Cresswell, especially given Mark McKenzie’s suspension.
Expected lineup for Toulouse:
- Goalkeeper: Guillaume Restes
- Defenders: Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Umit Akdag
- Midfielders: Rafik Messali, Cristhian Cásseres Jr, Vincent Sierro, Gabriel Suazo, Aron Dönnum, Yann Gboho
- Forward: Frank Magri
Keep an eye on the midfield battle between Toulouse’s Cristhian Cásseres Jr and Nantes’ Pedro Chirivella, which could be a determining factor in the game’s outcome.
Toulouse Suspensions & Injuries
Toulouse will be missing key personnel due to suspensions and injuries, which might impact their performance against Nantes. The absence of both a vital defender and a creative midfield presence could be a significant blow.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Niklas Schmidt | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | Ankle injury | Early May 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Mark McKenzie | Red card | 2 matches left |
The suspension of Mark McKenzie will force changes in Toulouse’s backline, increasing pressure on Djibril Sidibe and Charlie Cresswell to step up. Meanwhile, the injuries to Schmidt and Nicolaisen limit coach Carles MartÃnez’s options in midfield and defence, potentially affecting the team’s overall cohesion and strategy on match day.
Toulouse Tactics and Formation
Toulouse’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Frank Magri
- Supportive Midfield: Aron Dönnum and Yann Gboho in advanced roles, with Cristhian Cásseres Jr and Vincent Sierro anchoring central midfield.
- Defensive Setup: Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, and Umit Akdag forming a back three to shield goalkeeper Guillaume Restes.
Notable Strategies:
- Utilizing wing-backs Rafik Messali and Gabriel Suazo to stretch the play and provide width.
- Relying on the creative abilities of Dönnum and Gboho to unlock Nantes’ defense.
- Given the recent slump and a series of defensive frailties, there is a likelihood of focusing on a solid defensive performance before committing more players forward.
This formation and set-up will be crucial for Toulouse as they look to bounce back from their current winless streak.
Nantes vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Statistics
| Nantes | Toulouse | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | Nantes | 2024-08-18 | Ligue 1 | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Toulouse | Nantes | 2024-02-11 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Nantes | Toulouse | 2023-08-13 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Toulouse | Nantes | 2023-05-14 | Ligue 1 | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Nantes | Toulouse | 2023-04-29 | Coupe de France | 1-5 (Loss) |
Nantes and Toulouse have a competitive history, with recent meetings highlighting a balanced rivalry.
The five most recent encounters have seen both teams share the honors fairly evenly, although Toulouse has had a slight edge with two wins compared to Nantes’ one.
The most memorable encounter was Toulouse’s 5-1 victory in the Coupe de France in April 2023.
Odds accurate as of 25 April 2025, 16:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
