Palmeiras vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 October 2025

Palmeiras, currently sitting 3rd in the Serie A standings, are set to host 11th-placed Vasco da Gama on 1 October 2025. With both teams coming off decent runs, this clash promises to be a thrilling encounter. Palmeiras, led by Abel Ferreira, are strong favourites with odds of 1.34, boasting a squad rich in depth and talent, including high-profile signings like Andreas Pereira.

Vasco da Gama, under Fernando Diniz, have their talisman Philippe Coutinho back in form, netting in recent games and earning a potential World Cup call-up. However, they remain the underdogs with odds at 8.94 due to their inconsistent form.

Palmeiras have outperformed Vasco in recent matchups, winning four of their last five encounters. The recommended bet is for Palmeiras to win with a -1 handicap, reflecting their superior technical and physical capabilities.

Expect an engaging battle, with Palmeiras aiming to continue their title challenge and Vasco striving to climb the table.

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Prediction & Betting Tip

• Palmeiras are favourites, boasting a strong squad with depth and quality, including high-profile players like Andreas Pereira.
• Vasco da Gama, despite recent good form, have struggled against Palmeiras, having not won in their last five encounters.
• Palmeiras’ technical and physical capabilities, along with home advantage, give them the edge in this clash.

Back this prediction for a better chance of success.

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Odds

The odds for this Serie A match clearly favour Palmeiras, reflecting their strong form and position in the league table. Palmeiras are bookmakers’ favourites to win, and their superior squad depth and quality are major factors. However, Vasco da Gama have shown some improvement recently and could pose a challenge.

Palmeiras’ odds of 1.34 for a win highlight their expected dominance in this match. A draw stands at 4.70, while a Vasco da Gama victory is pegged at 8.94, indicating their underdog status. Given Palmeiras’ recent performances and home advantage, they are rightly favourites to take all three points. This table makes it clear which results are favoured and helps bettors make informed decisions.

Palmeiras Team Analysis

Palmeiras Recent Performance

Recent Form: WWWWL

Palmeiras have been in strong form recently, winning four out of their last five matches. Their recent performances include a mix of domestic league and international fixtures. They triumphed over River Plate home and away in the Copa Libertadores, securing a spot in the semifinals. In the league, they thrashed Fortaleza and Internacional with 4-1 scorelines before slipping to a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Bahia.

• Average Goals Scored: 2.60 goals per game in the last five matches highlight their offensive prowess.
• Clean Sheets: Despite their goal-scoring form, they haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last five games, showcasing a potential vulnerability in defence.

This impressive run underscores Palmeiras’ strong standing in Serie A and their ambition to secure the title.

Palmeiras Key Players

Palmeiras boasts a roster teeming with talent that can make a significant difference in their clash against Vasco da Gama. Vitor Roque, the top scorer with 8 goals, is expected to lead the attack, posing a substantial threat to Vasco’s defense. Another key figure is Andreas Pereira, the highest-paid player in Palmeiras’ history, who has been influential in the midfield, both setting up and scoring goals.

Felipe Anderson adds an extra layer of creativity and unpredictability on the wings. Given his 3 assists this season, his link-up play with Vitor Roque could be pivotal.

Expected lineup for Palmeiras:

• Goalkeeper: Weverton
• Defenders: Agustín Giay, Gustavo Gómez, Murilo Cerqueira, Jefte
• Midfielders: Aníbal Moreno, Emiliano Martínez, Andreas Pereira, Felipe Anderson
• Attackers: José Manuel López, Vitor Roque

On the defensive front, Gustavo Gómez will be crucial in keeping Vasco’s Pablo Vegetti at bay, making this a vital individual battle to watch.

Palmeiras Suspensions & Injuries

Palmeiras are dealing with a few injury concerns heading into this matchup. Figueiredo and Paulinho are both out for the season due to a cruciate ligament injury and a shin injury, respectively. Joaquín Piquerez is doubtful with a knee injury and his absence could be a significant blow to the defence. Additionally, Lucas Evangelista is sidelined with a thigh injury, expected to return in early November.

While these injuries present challenges, Palmeiras’ deep squad and the recent performances of players like Vitor Roque and Andreas Pereira provide hope that they can continue their strong form. However, the defensive vulnerabilities might be an area Vasco da Gama could look to exploit.

Palmeiras Tactics and Formation

Palmeiras Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Vitor Roque
• Midfield Trio: Andreas Pereira, Emiliano Martínez, José Manuel López
• Defensive Concerns: No clean sheets in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: Focus on maintaining possession and attacking via the wings

Palmeiras typically deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation under Abel Ferreira. Vitor Roque is a crucial figure up front, due to his goal-scoring prowess. In the midfielder, the trio of Pereira, Martínez, and López are pivotal, providing both defensive solidity and creative moments.

Despite a strong scoring record, the team shows vulnerabilities in defence with no clean sheets in recent matches. Expected to dominate possession, Palmeiras often exploit the wings, utilizing the speed and creativity of players like Felipe Anderson, to break down defences. This tactical approach, coupled with squad depth, makes them a formidable force, even with key injuries.

Vasco da Gama Team Analysis

Vasco da Gama Recent Performance

Recent Form: WDDWW

Vasco da Gama have put together an impressive run in their last five games, remaining unbeaten. Fernando Diniz’s squad registered wins over Cruzeiro and Bahia, along with respectable draws against Flamengo and Ceará. They also showcased their composure in a penalty shootout victory over Botafogo RJ in the Cup.

• Average Goals Scored: 2.80 goals per game in the last five matches, indicating strong offensive capabilities.
• Clean Sheets: Vasco have managed one clean sheet in their last five games, suggesting room for improvement in defence.

This recent form boosts their confidence going into the clash against Palmeiras, although they remain underdogs. If they can maintain their scoring rate, they may trouble Palmeiras’ somewhat exposed back line.

Vasco da Gama Key Players

Vasco da Gama’s resurgence can be attributed to several key players. Philippe Coutinho, recently back in top form, has been a standout performer, contributing significantly to their attack. Coutinho, a potential candidate for Brazil’s 2026 World Cup squad, has been instrumental in recent matches with crucial goals and assists.

Another player to watch is Pablo Vegetti, the team’s top scorer with 12 goals. His ability to find the back of the net will be vital in breaking down Palmeiras’ defence.

Expected lineup for Vasco da Gama:

• Goalkeeper: Leo Jardim
• Defenders: Paulo Henrique, Carlos Cuesta, Robert Renan, José Luis Rodríguez
• Midfielders: Mateus Carvalho, Hugo Moura, Philippe Coutinho, Nuno Moreira
• Attackers: Rayan Vitor, Pablo Vegetti

Look out for the individual battle between Vegetti and Palmeiras’ centre-back Gustavo Gómez, which could be a decisive matchup.

Vasco da Gama Suspensions & Injuries

Vasco da Gama faces several injury and suspension issues as they prepare to face Palmeiras. Key midfielder Cauan Barros is suspended due to accumulated yellow cards, leaving a gap in the midfield. Injuries present additional challenges:

• Adson (Broken Leg) – Out until late October 2025.
• Thiago Mendes (Calf Injury) – Expected return in 1-2 weeks.
• Jair (Cruciate Ligament Injury) – Out for the season.
• Lucas Piton (Calf Injury) – Expected return in 1-2 weeks.
• Tchê Tchê (Thigh Injury) – Expected return in 1-2 weeks.
• GB (Thigh Injury) – Expected return mid-October 2025.

This spate of injuries and suspensions could affect Vasco’s depth and performance, potentially making it harder for them to compete against a strong Palmeiras side.

Vasco da Gama Tactics and Formation

Vasco da Gama Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Pablo Vegetti
• Midfield Trio: Philippe Coutinho, Hugo Moura, Nuno Moreira
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Focus on quick counter-attacks and utilising Coutinho’s creativity

Under Fernando Diniz, Vasco da Gama typically lines up in a 4-2-3-1 formation to balance both their attacking and defensive duties. Pablo Vegetti leads the line and has been a reliable goal-scorer with 12 goals to his name.

In midfield, Philippe Coutinho plays a central role, providing experience, vision, and goal-scoring prowess, while Hugo Moura and Nuno Moreira support him. Coutinho’s ability to unlock defences with his passing and dribbling makes him the key playmaker.

Defensively, Vasco have shown vulnerabilities with just one clean sheet in their last five matches, implying they could be susceptible against Palmeiras’ strong attack. Quick counter-attacks and leveraging Coutinho’s creativity will be Vasco’s likely strategy to upset their hosts.

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head Statistics

Historically, Palmeiras have had the upper hand in their encounters with Vasco da Gama. In their last five meetings, Palmeiras have secured four victories and one draw, highlighting their dominance. The results are as follows:

• 4 May 2025: Vasco da Gama 0 – Palmeiras 1 (Serie A)
• 22 September 2024: Vasco da Gama 0 – Palmeiras 1 (Serie A)
• 14 June 2024: Palmeiras 2 – Vasco da Gama 0 (Serie A)
• 27 August 2023: Palmeiras 1 – Vasco da Gama 0 (Serie A)
• 23 April 2023: Vasco da Gama 2 – Palmeiras 2 (Serie A)

These head-to-head stats reveal Palmeiras’ strong form against Vasco, suggesting that history might be on their side for this upcoming match. With Palmeiras aiming to maintain their title challenge and Vasco striving for a better league position, this match is poised to be another exciting chapter in their rivalry.

Odds accurate as of 29.09.2025 23:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.