USA vs Paraguay Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Saturday, June 13th

In the World Cup clash set for Saturday, June 13th, the USA will face Paraguay at the iconic SoFi Stadium. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure a strong position in the tournament. With the USA playing on home soil, they will look to leverage the support of their fans to gain an advantage over Paraguay.

Paraguay, on the other hand, will be eager to prove their mettle against the USA, making this an intriguing encounter. The dynamics of this World Cup match at SoFi Stadium could significantly influence the standings, and both teams will be keen to capitalise on any opportunities. These betting tips will break down the potential outcomes and key factors to consider for this exciting fixture.

USA vs Paraguay Prediction & Betting tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Under 2.25 goals	1.83

Given the current form and circumstances surrounding both teams, backing ‘Under 2.25 Goals’ for this match appears to be a wise choice. The USA, despite having the home advantage, have their attacking options slightly weakened due to injuries. On the other hand, Paraguay have shown resilience in defence during their World Cup qualifiers, managing to keep clean sheets against top South American teams such as Brazil and Argentina.

• The USA’s attacking line is impacted by injuries, likely reducing their scoring potential.
• Paraguay’s strong defensive record in recent competitive matches suggests a low-scoring game.
• The home advantage for the USA is balanced by Paraguay’s proven defensive capabilities against top-tier teams.

Betting Odds

In this World Cup clash at SoFi Stadium, the USA are tipped as favourites with betting odds of 1.95. Paraguay, however, offer a tempting 4.1 for an upset, while a draw stands at 3.37, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup.

Betting Tip	Odds
USA to win	1.95
Draw	3.37
Paraguay to win	4.1

For those looking for value, consider the over 2.5 goals market, given both teams’ attacking capabilities. The odds suggest a close encounter, making the draw a viable option for punters seeking a balanced risk-reward scenario.

USA Analysis & Past Performance

The USA team are coming off a mixed set of results, with their last five matches ending in two wins and three losses. Notably, their recent home performance against Germany resulted in a narrow 1-2 defeat, despite holding 53% possession and registering 16 shots compared to Germany’s 12. This suggests a team capable of creating opportunities but struggling to convert them into results.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
USA	Germany	1 – 2 (Loss)	Friendlies	6 Jun 2026
USA	Senegal	3 – 2 (Win)	Friendlies	31 May 2026
USA	Portugal	0 – 2 (Loss)	Friendlies	31 Mar 2026
USA	Belgium	2 – 5 (Loss)	Friendlies	28 Mar 2026
USA	Uruguay	5 – 1 (Win)	Friendlies	19 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
In their last five games, the USA have averaged 2.20 goals scored per match while conceding an average of 2.40 goals, highlighting a defensive fragility. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in these outings, which is a concern given their attacking prowess that has seen them score in four out of the last five matches. The team’s win ratio stands at 40%, indicating room for improvement in converting competitive performances into victories.

Home Performance:

• LWLLW

Playing at home, the USA have won two of their last five matches, with a win ratio of 40% at home. They have been consistent in finding the net but have struggled defensively, conceding in every home match during this period. With a 0% clean sheet ratio, tightening their defence will be crucial to improving their home form.

USA Suspensions & Injuries

The USA face a significant challenge in their defensive line with the absence of Cameron Carter-Vickers due to an Achilles tendon injury that rules him out for the season. This absence is a blow to their defensive stability, as Carter-Vickers has been a key figure in their backline. His absence means that coach Mauricio Pochettino will need to rely heavily on alternatives like Chris Richards and Tim Ream, who featured in the last match. Richards, with his aerial prowess, and Ream, known for his experience, will be crucial in maintaining a solid defensive structure against Paraguay.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Cameron Carter-Vickers	Achilles tendon injury	Out for the season

With no suspensions affecting the squad, Pochettino has the freedom to focus on tactical adjustments rather than disciplinary issues. The defensive reshuffle may lead to a more conservative approach, with the possibility of deploying a double pivot in midfield to provide additional cover for the backline. Tyler Adams and Luca de la Torre could be tasked with these defensive duties, ensuring a robust shield in front of the defence.

The absence of Carter-Vickers might influence betting markets, with odds potentially adjusted to reflect a perceived vulnerability in the USA’s defence. However, with the depth and versatility of players like Richards and Ream, the USA will aim to mitigate this impact effectively. A solid performance from the rest of the defensive unit could still ensure a strong showing against Paraguay.

USA Key Players

The USA team are set to rely heavily on the midfield dynamism of Christian Pulisic and Weston McKennie, both of whom are crucial in driving the team forward. Pulisic, often the creative force, will likely play a pivotal role in breaking down Paraguay’s defence with his dribbling and vision. McKennie, known for his box-to-box capabilities, provides the necessary balance between attack and defence, making him indispensable in controlling the midfield.

Folarin Balogun, expected to lead the line, will be a key figure in the attacking third. Although his goal tally is currently unknown, his presence as a forward is critical to stretching defences and creating opportunities. In defence, Chris Richards and Tim Ream are expected to anchor the backline, with Richards’ pace and Ream’s experience providing a solid foundation.

Expected lineup for USA:

• Goalkeeper: Matt Freese
• Defenders: Alex Freeman, Tim Ream, Chris Richards
• Midfielders: Sergiño Dest, Tyler Adams, Weston McKennie, Antonee Robinson, Malik Tillman, Christian Pulisic
• Forward: Folarin Balogun

USA Tactics and Formation

USA Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Patrick Agyemang
• Midfield Pivot: Tyler Adams and Luca de la Torre
• Defensive Concerns: Conceded 14 shots in the last match
• Notable Strategy: High pressing with quick transitions.

Under Mauricio Pochettino, the USA are likely to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation. This setup allows the team to maintain a structured defence while providing flexibility in attack. Tyler Adams and Luca de la Torre are expected to form the midfield pivot, offering both defensive coverage and forward momentum. They play crucial roles in transitioning the ball from defence to attack, supporting the offensive line.

Defensively, the USA’s backline, including players like Chris Richards and Tim Ream, faces challenges as evidenced by the 14 shots conceded against Mexico. This highlights a need for greater defensive cohesion to prevent similar scenarios against Paraguay. The team have managed only one clean sheet in their last five outings, indicating room for improvement in defensive solidity.

Offensively, Patrick Agyemang leads the line, supported by dynamic midfielders such as Malik Tillman and Diego Luna. The USA’s strategy involves high pressing and exploiting quick transitions, aiming to capitalise on turnovers by rapidly advancing into attacking positions.

Paraguay Analysis & Past Performance

Paraguay’s recent form has been somewhat mixed, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. These performances reflect their mid-top rating, indicating potential but inconsistencies. The team registered a dominant 4-0 win against Nicaragua and a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Mexico, showcasing their ability to perform against diverse opponents.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Paraguay	Nicaragua	4 – 0 (Win)	Friendlies	5 Jun 2026
Morocco	Paraguay	2 – 1 (Loss)	Friendlies	31 Mar 2026
Greece	Paraguay	0 – 1 (Win)	Friendlies	27 Mar 2026
Mexico	Paraguay	1 – 2 (Win)	Friendlies	19 Nov 2025
USA	Paraguay	2 – 1 (Loss)	Friendlies	15 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
Paraguay have averaged 1.80 goals per match across their last five games, demonstrating a reasonably strong attack. However, defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.00 goal per game, managing to keep two clean sheets. These statistics highlight a balance between their attacking prowess and occasional defensive lapses.

In away fixtures, Paraguay have shown vulnerability, securing only two victories in their last five away matches. Their away win ratio stands at 40%, with recent defeats against Morocco and the USA emphasising their struggles on the road. Nonetheless, their ability to score in all five recent matches suggests a persistent attacking threat, led by a dynamic forward lineup.

• WLWWL

Paraguay Suspensions & Injuries

Paraguay face a challenging situation ahead of their clash with the USA due to several injuries to key players. Santiago Arzamendia’s cruciate ligament injury is a significant blow to the defence, leaving a gap that will likely be filled by the less experienced Agustín Sández. The absence of Adam Bareiro, due to a muscle injury, is expected to impact the attacking options. With his return anticipated in a few weeks, Paraguay will need to rely heavily on Antonio Sanabria and Ronaldo Martínez to lead the forward line.

Midfield depth is also a concern with César Olmedo out with a knee injury and Julio Enciso doubtful due to a muscle strain. This situation may force coach Gustavo Alfaro to deploy Diego Gómez in a more advanced role, or perhaps introduce a less experienced player into the starting eleven. The tactical impact of these injuries is significant, as Paraguay may have to adopt a more conservative approach to mitigate the weakened squad depth.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Santiago Arzamendia	knee ligament injury	Late August 2026
Adam Bareiro	muscle injury	A few weeks
César Olmedo	knee injury	Unknown
Julio Enciso	muscle injury	Doubtful

Without suspensions to complicate matters further, the focus remains on managing the fitness of the available squad. Nevertheless, the absence of these key players is likely to influence betting markets, with Paraguay’s chances of securing a result against a strong USA side appearing diminished. The tactical adjustments required could lead to a more defensive setup, potentially affecting the overall dynamics of the match.

Paraguay Key Players

Miguel Almirón stands out as one of Paraguay’s most influential players in their lineup against the USA. Known for his pace and dribbling skills, Almirón often acts as the catalyst in Paraguay’s attacking play. His ability to cut inside and deliver precise passes makes him a constant threat to any defence. Alongside him, Antonio Sanabria will be crucial, expected to lead the line with his clinical finishing skills. Sanabria’s positioning and ability to find space in the box could be pivotal in converting chances into goals.

Defensively, Gustavo Gómez provides the backbone of Paraguay’s defence with his leadership and tackling prowess. His partnership with Omar Alderete is key in maintaining a solid defensive structure, crucial against a high-pressing team like the USA. In midfield, Andrés Cubas is expected to play a vital role in breaking up opposition play and transitioning the ball forward, ensuring a balanced approach between defence and attack.

Expected lineup for Paraguay

• Goalkeeper: Roberto Gatito Fernández
• Defence: Juan José Cáceres, Gustavo Gómez, Omar Alderete, Júnior Alonso
• Midfield: Damián Bobadilla, Andrés Cubas, Diego Gómez
• Forward: Miguel Almirón, Antonio Sanabria, Mauricio

Paraguay Tactics and Formation

Paraguay Tactical Breakdown:

• Expected Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Antonio Sanabria and Ronaldo Martínez
• Midfield Pivot: Diego Gómez and Damián Bobadilla
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong aerial presence and disciplined defensive structure.

Paraguay are likely to adopt a 4-4-2 formation under coach Gustavo Alfaro, focusing on a robust defensive setup and quick transitions. The defensive line, featuring Gustavo Gómez and Omar Alderete, provides a solid backbone, essential in maintaining their recent defensive record of three clean sheets in five matches.

In the midfield, Diego Gómez and Damián Bobadilla form the pivot, tasked with breaking up opposition play and distributing the ball efficiently. Their ability to switch from defence to attack quickly will be crucial against a dynamic USA side.

Offensively, Paraguay will rely on the striking duo of Antonio Sanabria and Ronaldo Martínez. Their physical presence and ability to capitalise on set-pieces offer a significant threat, particularly with the aerial prowess of Gómez and Alderete in support during offensive set plays.

USA vs Paraguay H2H Record

In their head-to-head record, the USA lead with 4 wins compared to Paraguay’s 2, and no matches have ended in a draw. The most recent encounter saw the USA triumph 2-1 in a friendly match in November 2025. This suggests a slight edge for the Americans, especially in non-competitive fixtures.

The last time these teams met in a competitive setting was during the Copa América Centenario in 2016, where the USA secured a narrow 1-0 victory. Historically, the USA have been strong at home, winning their last three home fixtures against Paraguay, including a 1-0 friendly win in 2018.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
USA	Paraguay	2 – 1	Friendlies	2025-11-15
USA	Paraguay	1 – 0	Friendlies	2018-03-27
USA	Paraguay	1 – 0	Copa America Centenario Group A	2016-06-11
USA	Paraguay	0 – 1	Friendlies	2011-03-30
USA	Paraguay	1 – 3	Copa America Group C	2007-07-02