St. Pauli vs. VfB Stuttgart Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 3 May 2025 - bettingexpert
Get ready for an exciting Bundesliga clash as St. Pauli hosts VfB Stuttgart at Millerntor Stadion on 3 May 2025 at 14:30. With only three rounds left in the season, both teams have plenty to play for.
St. Pauli are currently 14th in the table with 31 points, just five points clear of the relegation zone. They are undefeated in their last four matches, showing resilience despite several key injuries. Morgan Guilavogui will be a crucial figure, having netted five goals this season.
VfB Stuttgart sit in 11th place with 41 points. They will aim to bounce back from their recent loss to Heidenheim. Ermedin Demirovic, their top scorer with 13 goals, will be key to their attacking prowess.
Given both teams’ recent form and history of drawing games, we recommend a bet on a draw. This match promises to be a tactical battle, balancing each other’s strengths.
St. Pauli’s injury list and recent form:
- Injuries: Simon Zoller (calf), Sascha Burchert (groin), James Sands (broken leg), Karol Mets (knee), Jackson Irvine (broken ankle)
- Form: Draws with Bremen and Leverkusen, win against Kiel
Stuttgart’s recent challenges and notable player:
- Recent form: Loss to Heidenheim, draw with Union Berlin
- Ermedin Demirovic’s goal-scoring form
Expect a competitive and engaging match, contributing significantly to the season’s narrative as we near the closing rounds.
St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tip
Our recommended betting tip for this exciting Bundesliga clash is a draw. Given the form and recent history of both teams, this outcome seems the most likely.
| St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.44 |
- Both teams have a tendency to draw, as seen in St. Pauli’s last two home matches and their head-to-head encounters.
- St. Pauli have shown resilience, going undefeated in their last four matches, while Stuttgart have drawn three of their last five away games.
- Both teams possess quality in attack and midfield, making it a balanced and competitive match.
St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart Odds
Analyzing the odds for the upcoming Bundesliga match:
| St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| St. Pauli win | 2.68 |
| Draw | 3.44 |
| VfB Stuttgart win | 2.51 |
VfB Stuttgart are the bookmakers’ favourites with slightly better odds for an away win. Considering the odds for both a home victory and a draw, we can expect a tightly contested matchup. This level playing field is reflected in the bookmaker’s numbers, indicating a potentially exciting and balanced game.
St. Pauli Team Analysis
Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | St. Pauli | 2025-04-27 | Bundesliga | 0-0 (Draw) |
| St. Pauli | Bayer Leverkusen | 2025-04-20 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Holstein Kiel | St. Pauli | 2025-04-12 | Bundesliga | 1-2 (Win) |
| St. Pauli | Borussia Moenchengladbach | 2025-04-06 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Bayern Munich | St. Pauli | 2025-03-29 | Bundesliga | 3-2 (Loss) |
St. Pauli have displayed a mixed bag of results over their last five fixtures. They registered two key draws against Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Moenchengladbach, while managing a crucial away win against Holstein Kiel.
Despite facing a formidable Bayern Munich side, they narrowly lost 3-2, exhibiting their fighting spirit. Their recent goalless draw against Werder Bremen suggests a solid defensive effort, keeping one clean sheet among these fixtures. On average, St. Pauli have scored 1.20 goals in their last five games, highlighting their consistent, though not prolific, attacking output. Overall, they’ve shown resilience, staying unbeaten in four consecutive fixtures in this tournament.
St. Pauli Key Players
St. Pauli’s key player to watch will be their top scorer, Morgan Guilavogui, who has netted 5 goals this season. His partnership with Noah Weißhaupt in the front line will be pivotal, especially against the likes of Julian Chabot and Finn Jeltsch from VfB Stuttgart. The midfield battle will be significant, with Carlo Boukhalfa and Eric Smith tasked with controlling the pace and providing the necessary links between defense and attack.
Expected lineup for St. Pauli:
- Goalkeeper: Nikola Vasilj
- Defenders: David Nemeth, Hauke Wahl, Siebe van der Heyden
- Midfielders: Manolis Saliakas, Carlo Boukhalfa, Eric Smith, Philipp Treu
- Forwards: Danel Sinani, Noah Weißhaupt, Morgan Guilavogui
Keep an eye on how St. Pauli’s defense handles Stuttgart’s prolific striker Ermedin Demirovic, testing their resilience in key moments.
St. Pauli Suspensions & Injuries
St. Pauli comes into this match with several injury concerns and suspensions, which could significantly affect their performance. Key players, including their captain and central defenders, are sidelined.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Simon Zoller | Calf Injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Sascha Burchert | Groin injury | Back in training |
| James Sands | Broken leg | Mid July 2025 |
| Karol Mets | Knee surgery | Mid August 2025 |
| Jackson Irvine | Broken ankle | Mid August 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Metcalfe | Yellow/red card | 1 match ban remaining |
These absences leave gaps in both defense and midfield, and St. Pauli will be looking for depth players to step up in their absence.
St. Pauli Tactics and Formation
St. Pauli Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-3
- Key Forward: Morgan Guilavogui, with 5 goals this season
- Midfield Duo: Carlo Boukhalfa and Eric Smith
- Defensive Backbone: Hauke Wahl in central defense
- Recent Strategy: Packed midfield to provide width via wing-backs and a solid defensive line.
Approach:
- St. Pauli often looks to hold a compact formation defensively, utilizing a back three to absorb pressure while relying on wing-backs to add width.
- In attack, they typically use Guilavogui to lead the line, supported by wide forwards Noah Weißhaupt and Danel Sinani, aiming to exploit spaces in the opposition’s defense.
- Given their injury concerns, especially in defense, St. Pauli might adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on maintaining possession and hitting VfB Stuttgart on the break.
VfB Stuttgart Team Analysis
VfB Stuttgart Recent Performance LDLWW
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | FC Heidenheim | 2025-04-25 | Bundesliga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | 2025-04-19 | Bundesliga | 4-4 (Draw) |
| VfB Stuttgart | Werder Bremen | 2025-04-13 | Bundesliga | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Bochum | VfB Stuttgart | 2025-04-05 | Bundesliga | 0-4 (Win) |
| VfB Stuttgart | RB Leipzig | 2025-04-02 | DFB Pokal | 3-1 (Win) |
Stuttgart’s recent form of LDLWW shows a blend of mixed results in their last five outings:
- They’ve managed only one clean sheet during this stretch.
- They average 2.4 goals per game, demonstrating a potent attack.
- Although they suffered losses to Heidenheim and Werder Bremen, the thrilling 4-4 away draw against Union Berlin showed their attacking prowess.
- Convincing wins against Bochum and RB Leipzig underline their capability to turn up on big occasions.
Stuttgart’s high scoring rate and ability to perform in both domestic league and cup competitions will be crucial going into this match.
VfB Stuttgart Key Players
Expected lineup for VfB Stuttgart:
- Goalkeeper: Alexander Nubel
- Defenders: Leonidas Stergiou, Finn Jeltsch, Julian Chabot, Maximilian Mittelstädt
- Midfielders: Jamie Leweling, Atakan Karazor, Angelo Stiller, Chris Führich
- Attackers: Nick Woltemade, Ermedin Demirovic
VfB Stuttgart’s star striker, Ermedin Demirovic, leads the way with 13 goals this season and will pose a significant threat to the St. Pauli defence.
In midfield, Angelo Stiller’s ability to control the tempo and Atakan Karazor’s defensive aptitude are key components of Stuttgart’s tactical setup. Leonidas Stergiou and Julian Chabot will need to be solid at the back to handle St. Pauli’s attacking trio.
Keep an eye on Jamie Leweling for his creativity and assists, which can unlock defences. Numerous intriguing individual battles are expected across the pitch, adding spice to this Bundesliga clash.
VfB Stuttgart Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Dan-Axel Zagadou | Knee surgery | Late May 2025 |
| Luca Raimund | Thigh injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Nikolas Nartey | Hip injury | Late May 2025 |
| Anrie Chase | Groin injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Justin Diehl | Muscle injury | Mid May 2025 |
| El Bilal Toure | Foot injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Enzo Millot | Muscle injury | Mid May 2025 |
VfB Stuttgart will be without several key players due to injuries, which might affect their performance against St. Pauli. The absence of Dan-Axel Zagadou and Nikolas Nartey, in particular, could leave gaps in their defense and midfield.
Sebastian Hoeneß will need to rely on his squad depth and make tactical adjustments to overcome these challenges. Despite these setbacks, Stuttgart’s recent performances show they can still be competitive.
VfB Stuttgart Tactics and Formation
VfB Stuttgart Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Ermedin Demirović
- Midfield Setup: Atakan Karazor and Angelo Stiller in central midfield, Chris Führich and Jamie Leweling on the wings.
- Defensive Line: Leonidas Stergiou, Finn Jeltsch, Julian Chabot, and Maximilian Mittelstädt in defense.
- Goalkeeper: Alexander Nübel
Stuttgart’s 4-2-3-1 formation focuses on a solid defensive base and a flexible attack. Ermedin Demirović leads the line and is supported by a creative midfield behind him, notably by the versatile Chris Führich. Their recent matches show a balanced approach, combining width from the wings and central attacking strategies. Expect Stuttgart to exploit St. Pauli’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially given their superior goal-scoring record of 2.40 goals per game in the last five matches.
St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart Head-to-Head Statistics
Here’s a detailed look at the last five encounters between St. Pauli and VfB Stuttgart:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | St. Pauli | 2024-12-21 | Bundesliga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| St. Pauli | VfB Stuttgart | 2020-02-01 | 2. Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| VfB Stuttgart | St. Pauli | 2019-08-17 | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 (Loss) |
| St. Pauli | VfB Stuttgart | 2017-01-29 | 2. Bundesliga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| VfB Stuttgart | St. Pauli | 2016-08-08 | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 (Loss) |
With two wins, two losses, and one draw, the recent matches between these teams have typically been tightly contested affairs. Given their previous encounters, we can expect another close game on 3 May 2025. St. Pauli will look to leverage their morale-boosting win last December, while Stuttgart aims to extend their head-to-head superiority.
Odds accurate as of 05.01.2025 14:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
