Sport Recife vs Vitória Prediction, Match Preview, Sunday, 23 November

Sport Recife vs Vitória Prediction, Match Preview sets the stage for an intriguing clash in the Brazilian Serie A. Scheduled for Sunday, 23 November, this encounter promises to be a significant fixture as both teams vie for crucial points in the league. With Sport Recife hosting, the team will look to leverage their home advantage to secure a win against Vitória.

While the venue details remain unspecified, the importance of this match cannot be understated. Sport Recife will aim to capitalise on their current form, while Vitória seeks to disrupt their hosts’ plans and climb the Serie A standings. As the season progresses, every point becomes vital, making this matchup a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

Sport Recife vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Vitória Double Chance (Win or Draw)	1.65

Given the recent form and historical advantage, our recommended betting tip is a double chance on Vitória to win or draw. Despite playing away, Vitória’s unbeaten streak and their success in previous meetings against Sport Recife make this a value pick.

• Vitória are unbeaten in their last five matches, showcasing strong momentum.
• Sport Recife have only one win in their last five matches, indicating a struggle in form.
• Vitória have a superior head-to-head record with 10 wins compared to Sport Recife’s 5, suggesting a psychological edge.

Betting Odds

In this Serie A clash, Vitória are tipped as the favourites with odds of 2.09, reflecting their strong form. Sport Recife, playing at home, are seen as the underdogs with odds of 3.4, but their home advantage could be a game-changer.

Betting Tip	Odds
Sport Recife to win	3.4
Draw	3.32
Vitória to win	2.09

The draw is priced at 3.32, suggesting a closely fought encounter. Punters might find value in betting on both teams to score, considering the attacking potential on display.

Sport Recife Analysis & Past Performance

Sport Recife are currently experiencing a challenging period, evidenced by their recent string of poor results. The team has endured five consecutive defeats, including a 2-3 loss away against Botafogo RJ in their latest outing. During these matches, Sport Recife have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 3.40 goals per game, which is a significant concern.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Botafogo RJ	Sport Recife	3 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	18 Nov 2025
Sport Recife	Flamengo	1 – 5 (Loss)	Serie A	15 Nov 2025
Sport Recife	Atletico MG	2 – 4 (Loss)	Serie A	8 Nov 2025
Sport Recife	Juventude	0 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	5 Nov 2025
Flamengo	Sport Recife	3 – 0 (Loss)	Serie A	2 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
In their last five fixtures, Sport Recife have managed to score in three games, averaging 1.00 goal per match. However, despite their efforts, they have failed to secure any victories, highlighting a critical weakness in their ability to convert chances into wins. Their defensive frailties have been evident, with no clean sheets recorded in this period.

Sport Recife’s home performance has also been underwhelming, securing just one draw in their last five home games, losing the remaining four. This lack of home advantage is reflected in their current standings, where they sit at the bottom of the league with only 17 points. Their last 10 games paint a similar picture, with no wins and two draws, further emphasising the team’s struggles.

Derik Lacerda stands out as a notable player, having scored 6 goals this season, yet the overall team dynamics haven’t supported his contributions. Sport Recife need to address their defensive issues and improve their win ratio to avoid further slipping in the league standings.

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Sport Recife Suspensions & Injuries

Sport Recife face a challenging situation with several key players unavailable for their upcoming match against Vitória. The absence of Diogo Hereda due to a groin injury until early December 2025 weakens their defensive options, forcing César Lucena to possibly shift Aderlan to fill the void at right-back. Additionally, the muscle injury sidelining Pedro Augusto for a few weeks limits their midfield dynamism, potentially necessitating a reshuffle that could see Lucas Kal taking on a more central role.

Player	Reason for Suspension	Matches Left	Expected Comeback
Derik Lacerda	Club decision	7	Unknown
Gabriel	Yellow card accumulation	1	Unknown

The suspensions of Derik Lacerda and Gabriel further complicate matters. Derik, banned for seven matches due to a club decision, will miss out, reducing the team’s attacking versatility. Gabriel’s suspension for accumulating yellow cards means a temporary gap in central defence, likely prompting Rafael Thyere to step up in a leadership role at the back.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Diogo Hereda	Groin injury	Early December 2025
Pedro Augusto	Muscle injury	A few weeks

These absences could significantly impact Sport Recife’s tactical setup, requiring a more conservative approach to maintain defensive solidity. The betting markets might see this as a factor, potentially tilting odds in favour of Vitória, especially given Recife’s compromised squad depth and recent form challenges.

Sport Recife Key Players

Sport Recife’s attacking threat will be significantly influenced by the performances of Matheusinho and Pablo upfront. Despite the absence of their top scorer Derik Lacerda, who is currently suspended, Pablo’s ability to exploit spaces and Matheusinho’s agility and quick footwork can create numerous opportunities. Matheusinho, playing as a forward, often drifts wide to stretch defences, providing crucial width to the attack.

In the midfield, Lucas Lima’s role as a playmaker will be pivotal. His vision and passing accuracy can unlock Vitória’s defence, making him an essential conduit between defence and attack. Alongside him, Christian Rivera provides the necessary steel and ball-winning capabilities, ensuring the midfield remains competitive.

Expected lineup for Sport Recife

• Goalkeeper: Caíque França
• Defenders: Matheus Alexandre, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Luan Cândido
• Midfielders: Christian Rivera, Lucas Kal, Lucas Lima
• Forwards: Matheusinho, Pablo, Léo Pereira

Defensively, the duo of Rafael Thyere and Ramon Menezes will be key in maintaining a solid backline. Rafael Thyere’s leadership and aerial prowess complement Ramon Menezes’ tackling abilities, forming a resilient defensive partnership. Sport Recife’s tactical approach will likely rely on a solid defensive structure, with quick transitions facilitated by their midfield maestros.

Sport Recife Tactics and Formation

Sport Recife Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Pablo
• Midfield Pivot: Lucas Kal and Christian Rivera
• Defensive Vulnerability: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Struggles in maintaining possession and defending set-pieces.

Sport Recife typically line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under the guidance of coach César Lucena. The setup is intended to provide a balance between defence and attack, but recent performances indicate struggles, particularly in maintaining possession, which was only 40% against Botafogo RJ.

Defensively, Sport Recife have been vulnerable, conceding 17 goals in their last five matches. The defensive line, anchored by Rafael Thyere and Luan Cândido, has struggled to maintain clean sheets, highlighting issues with organisation and defending set-pieces.

Offensively, Pablo is the focal point as the lone striker, supported by the creative play of Lucas Lima and Léo Pereira. However, the team’s inability to effectively transition from defence to attack has limited their goal-scoring opportunities, evidenced by their average of 1 goal per game in recent matches.

Vitória Analysis & Past Performance

Vitória’s recent form has been inconsistent, with their last five matches yielding one win, two draws, and two losses. Notably, they secured a crucial 1-0 victory against Internacional, but were held to goalless draws by Palmeiras and Botafogo RJ, highlighting their struggles in front of goal.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Palmeiras	Vitória	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	19 Nov 2025
Vitória	Botafogo RJ	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	9 Nov 2025
Vitória	Internacional	1 – 0 (Win)	Serie A	5 Nov 2025
Cruzeiro	Vitória	3 – 1 (Loss)	Serie A	1 Nov 2025
Vitória	Corinthians	0 – 1 (Loss)	Serie A	25 Oct 2025

Recent Form:
Vitória have averaged just 0.40 goals per game in their last five fixtures, emphasising their attacking challenges. Defensively, they have been more solid, conceding only 0.80 goals per game and achieving three clean sheets. Away from home, they have struggled significantly, managing only one win in their last ten away matches, translating to a low win ratio of 10% on the road.

Currently sitting 17th in the league standings with 36 points, Vitória’s position underscores the need for improvement, particularly in their away performances where they’ve secured just one victory out of 17 attempts this season. Key player Renato Kayzer, with 8 goals, remains vital for any attacking success.

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Vitória Suspensions & Injuries

Vitória face significant challenges ahead of their clash with Sport Recife due to a number of injuries that could affect their tactical setup. The absence of key players like Jamerson and Alexandre Fintelman, both expected to return in early December, will likely force coach Jair Ventura to rethink his defensive strategy. The loss of Lucas Arcanjo and Rúben Ramos Ismael for the season further compounds these issues, potentially weakening their midfield and goalkeeping options.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Jamerson	Broken ankle	Early December 2025
Rúben Ramos Ismael	Knee surgery	Out for season
Alexandre Fintelman	Hip injury	Early December 2025
Claudinho	Knee injury	Early December 2025
Lucas Arcanjo	Knee injury	Out for season

With Willian Oliveira suspended for accumulating yellow cards, Vitória’s midfield depth will be tested. This suspension adds to their woes, as Oliveira has been pivotal in providing defensive stability. In his absence, Gabriel Baralhas may take on a more defensive role, while Erick could be tasked with additional responsibilities in midfield to maintain balance.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Willian Oliveira	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

These unavailability issues could influence betting markets, as Vitória’s squad depth will be severely tested. The tactical impact of these absences might see a shift towards a more conservative approach, potentially affecting their attacking potency. As the team looks to adapt, the pressure will be on the available players to step up and deliver a competitive performance against a formidable Sport Recife side.

Vitória Key Players

Renato Kayzer stands out as Vitória’s top scorer, having found the back of the net 8 times this season. As a forward, Kayzer’s ability to break through defences with his clinical finishing and instinctive positioning makes him a constant threat in the final third. His partnership with Renzo López, the expected lone striker, could be pivotal in breaking down Sport Recife’s defence.

Vitória’s midfield is orchestrated by Gabriel Baralhas, whose role as a playmaker provides both defensive stability and creative flair. His vision and passing range allow him to dictate the tempo of the game, linking effectively with the wingers, Erick and Aitor Cantalapiedra, who provide width and pace. In defence, Lucas Halter’s presence is crucial, offering solidity and leadership at the back, crucial in withstanding opposition attacks.

Expected lineup for Vitória:

• Goalkeeper: Thiago Couto
• Defenders: Edu, Camutanga, Lucas Halter
• Midfielders: Raúl Cáceres, Ronald, Gabriel Baralhas, Ramon, Erick, Aitor Cantalapiedra
• Striker: Renzo López

Vitória Tactics and Formation

Vitória Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-4-1
• Key Forward: Renzo López
• Midfield Structure: Erick, Willian, Gabriel Baralhas, Aitor Cantalapiedra
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Defensive solidity with counter-attacking potential.

Vitória’s recent deployment of a 5-4-1 formation underscores their focus on defensive solidity, particularly evident in their three clean sheets over the last five games. The defensive line, anchored by Lucas Halter and Camutanga, is designed to absorb pressure and protect goalkeeper Thiago, who has been integral in maintaining their clean sheets.

Offensively, Vitória rely heavily on Renzo López as the lone striker. He is supported by a compact midfield quartet of Erick, Willian, Gabriel Baralhas, and Aitor Cantalapiedra, who are crucial in transitioning from defence to attack. This setup allows Vitória to exploit spaces on counterattacks, capitalising on the pace and creativity of Aitor Cantalapiedra.

Despite their defensive resilience, Vitória’s ability to score remains a concern, highlighted by their 0-0 draw against Palmeiras. The team averages only 0.40 goals per game in recent matches, indicating a need for more offensive output to complement their defensive efforts.

Sport Recife vs Vitória Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Vitória have the upper hand with 12 wins compared to Sport Recife’s 6, and 6 matches ending in a draw. Their last encounter was a thrilling 2-2 draw in Serie A, showing how closely matched these teams can be.

In Serie A meetings, Sport Recife and Vitória have often played out tight contests, with Vitória slightly edging the overall H2H. Despite this, Sport Recife have shown resilience, especially in home fixtures where they aim to close the gap.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Vitória	Sport Recife	2 – 2	Serie A	2025-07-24
Vitória	Sport Recife	1 – 0	Copa do Nordeste Group A	2025-03-20
Vitória	Sport Recife	1 – 0	Serie B	2023-11-18
Sport Recife	Vitória	1 – 2	Serie B	2023-07-20
Sport Recife	Vitória	1 – 1	Copa do Nordeste Group Stage	2020-02-01