Corinthians vs. Bahia Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 17 August 2025

Corinthians face Bahia in the 20th round of Serie A this weekend, with both sides looking to bolster their standings. Corinthians currently sit 13th with 22 points and are struggling amidst injuries and suspension woes. They haven’t won in their last five league matches, putting them close to the relegation zone. Bahia, on the other hand, are 4th with 30 points but have had their fair share of defensive issues and goalkeeper troubles.
Historically, Corinthians edge out in head-to-head encounters but have had inconsistent performances lately. Given the absence of key players like Yuri Alberto and Memphis Depay, and the fact both teams tend to have low-scoring games, a tight contest is expected. The recommended bet is under 2.5 goals.
With significant absences on either side and both teams needing a win, this match at the Neo Química Arena should be interesting. Don’t forget to catch the action on Sportv and Premiere at 01:00 on August 17.

Corinthians vs Bahia Prediction & Betting tip

Best Bet Recommendation: Under 2.5 Goals
Reasoning:

1. Low Scoring Averages: Both Corinthians and Bahia have shown a tendency towards fewer goals, with Corinthians averaging 1.20 goals in their last 5 games and Bahia scoring 1.80 on average. The overall trend suggests a tight contest with minimal goals.
2. Defensive Solidarity: Corinthians have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games, while Bahia have managed 3. This defensive resilience further supports a low-scoring affair.
3. Injuries and Suspensions: Both teams are missing key attacking players due to injuries and suspensions. Corinthians, in particular, are struggling with the absence of Yuri Alberto and Memphis Depay, limiting their scoring potency.
   Expect a closely contested match with few goals, making "Under 2.5 Goals" a solid betting choice.

Corinthians vs Bahia Odds

Heading into this Serie A clash, Corinthians are slightly favoured by the bookmakers despite their recent form struggles. The odds reflect a competitive match, with both teams experiencing key absences that could influence the outcome.

Corinthians Team Analysis

Corinthians Recent Performance

Corinthians’ recent form has been a mixed bag, encapsulated by their last five results: two wins, two draws, and one loss (DWDWL). Currently sitting in 13th place with 22 points, they are precariously close to the relegation zone, making this match crucial for them.
Their recent performance reveals an average of 1.20 goals per game and 2 clean sheets in their last five outings. While they managed an impressive 2-0 win against Palmeiras in the Cup, they stumbled with a 2-1 loss to Juventude, highlighting their inconsistency.
The team is grappling with significant injuries, including Yuri Alberto and Memphis Depay, severely impacting their attack. With a thin squad, coach Dorival Júnior faces an uphill battle to maintain competitiveness. Despite the challenges, the Neo Química Arena could provide a morale boost for the under-pressure Corinthians.

Corinthians Key Players

Corinthians will be heavily reliant on their remaining key players to deliver in this crucial home match. The talismanic striker Yuri Alberto is sidelined due to an injury, putting additional pressure on the likes of Talles Magno and Gui Negao to step up in the attacking department.

Key Players to Watch:

• Talles Magno: Expected to lead the line, Magno has shown flashes of brilliance but will need to convert those into goals more consistently.
• Raniele: As a central midfielder, Raniele plays a crucial role in both defending and transitioning play. His battle against Bahia’s dynamic midfield will be pivotal.
• Gustavo Henrique: With 2 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, Henrique will need to marshal the defense effectively to stifle Bahia’s attack.

Expected Lineup for Corinthians:

• Goalkeeper: Hugo Souza
• Defenders: Matheuzinho, Andre Ramalho, Gustavo Henrique, Matheus Bidu
• Midfielders: Breno Bidon, Raniele, Jose Martinez, Rodrigo Garro
• Forwards: Talles Magno, Gui Negao
  Corinthians will hope that their home advantage at Neo Química Arena gives them the edge they badly need.

Corinthians Suspensions & Injuries

Corinthians are currently grappling with a significant number of injuries and suspensions, affecting their squad depth and overall performance.

Injuries:

• Yuri Alberto: Diagnosed with an inguinal hernia, sidelined until early November 2025.
• Memphis Depay: Nursing a hamstring injury, expected back early September 2025.
• André Carrillo: Out for the season with an ankle injury.
• Maycon: Expected to return from a thigh injury in late August 2025.
• Hugo: Recovering from a hernia, potential return late August 2025.

Suspensions:

• Fabrizio Angileri: Serving a one-match suspension due to yellow card accumulation.
• Caca: Also suspended for one match due to yellow card accumulation.
• Angel Romero: Ordered to sit out one match following a red card.

Impact:

These absences leave coach Dorival Júnior with limited options, particularly in attack. The injuries to key players like Yuri Alberto and Depay seriously hamper their goal-scoring capabilities, while suspensions in defense add further complications. With such a depleted squad, Corinthians will need to rely on their less experienced players to step up and fill the voids.

Corinthians Tactics and Formation

Corinthians are expected to employ a 4-3-1-2 formation, which they have used consistently in their recent matches. This setup aims to provide a balanced approach, focusing on solid defense while facilitating quick transitions and counter-attacks.

Corinthians Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-1-2
• Key Forward: With Yuri Alberto sidelined, Talles Magno will be pivotal, supported by Gui Negao in the attacking role.
• Midfield Trio: Breno Bidon, Raniele, and Jose Martinez will anchor the midfield, with Rodrigo Garro providing creativity in the attacking midfielder position.
• Defensive Strength: The team has kept two clean sheets in their last five matches, indicating a resilient defense marshaled by Gustavo Henrique.
• Notable Strategy: Corinthians have shown a tendency to score most of their goals in the 76-90-minute interval, suggesting an emphasis on late surges.
  Coach Dorival Júnior will likely instruct his squad to remain compact defensively while exploiting any weaknesses in Bahia’s backline, particularly given the visitors’ issues with goalkeeping inconsistency. The home advantage at Neo Química Arena could also play a crucial role in their tactical execution.

Bahia Team Analysis

Bahia Recent Performance

Bahia’s recent form has seen them go unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws (WWDDD). Currently, they are in 4th place with 30 points, showing a solid run despite some inconsistencies.
In terms of scoring, Bahia have been relatively productive, averaging 1.80 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they’ve also been strong with 3 clean sheets during the same period, reflecting their robust backline and strategic discipline.
Games like their recent 3-3 draw with Fluminense underscore their ability to score but also reveal occasional defensive lapses. Coach Rogério Ceni will be eager to maintain their form and address these inconsistencies, especially given their critical match-up at a challenging venue like the Neo Química Arena.

Bahia Key Players

Bahia will look to key players to maintain their excellent form as they face Corinthians. Luciano Juba, their leading goal-scorer with 4 goals, will certainly be the focal point in the attack.

Key Players to Watch:

• Luciano Juba: Known for his ability to convert opportunities into goals, he will be crucial in breaking down a strong Corinthians defense.
• Willian Jose: As the central forward, Jose has the experience and physicality to trouble any defensive line.
• Jean Lucas: Anchoring the midfield, Lucas’s battle against Corinthians’ central players will be one to watch, providing stability and creativity.

Expected Lineup for Bahia:

• Goalkeeper: Ronaldo
• Defenders: Gilberto, David Duarte, Santi Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba
• Midfielders: Michel Araújo, Caio Alexandre, Jean Lucas
• Forwards: Ademir Santos, Willian Jose, Kayky
  The game is likely to be determined by these key battles, with Bahia’s form providing them a good foundation to challenge for a positive result at Neo Química Arena.

Bahia Suspensions & Injuries

Bahia are dealing with several significant absences due to injuries and suspensions, which may impact their performance against Corinthians.

Injuries:

• Kanu: Sidelined with a calf injury, expected to return in late November 2025.
• Erick Carvalho: Recovering from a thigh injury, potential return by mid-September 2025.
• Erick Pulga: Expected back in 1-2 weeks following a thigh injury.
• Rodrigo Nestor: Nursing an elbow injury, likely to return in early September 2025.

Suspensions:

• Éverton Ribeiro: Serving a one-match suspension due to yellow card accumulation.

Impact:

The absence of Éverton Ribeiro, a key midfielder, will force coach Rogério Ceni to adjust his setup, potentially compromising some of the team’s fluidity in the middle of the park. Additionally, the injuries to defensive stalwart Kanu and versatile midfielder Rodrigo Nestor could expose vulnerability in both defense and midfield. The squad depth will be tested, and Bahia will need other players to step up to maintain their strong form.

Bahia Tactics and Formation

Bahia are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation for this crucial Serie A encounter against Corinthians. Coach Rogério Ceni will be keen to leverage their strong recent form and solid defensive record to secure another positive result.

Bahia Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Luciano Juba will be the key attacker, leading Bahia’s charge upfront. His ability to find the net, already having 4 goals this season, will be crucial.
• Midfield Trio: Michel Araújo, Caio Alexandre, and Jean Lucas will form the core of the midfield, aiming to dominate possession and provide creative passes.
• Defensive Strength: With 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, Bahia’s defense anchored by David Duarte and Santi Ramos Mingo will look to build on this solidity.
• Notable Strategy: Bahia have shown effectiveness in the 76-90-minute interval, often capitalizing on tired defenses to score critical goals.
  Ceni will instruct his squad to focus on maintaining defensive solidity, especially given the goalkeeping issues, while exploiting Corinthians’ vulnerabilities, particularly late in the game. The absence of key players like Éverton Ribeiro will require Bahia to stay tactically disciplined and leverage their unbeaten run.

Corinthians vs Bahia Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the last five encounters between Corinthians and Bahia, the home team has had a slight edge historically. Corinthians have secured two wins, Bahia have managed one, and there have been two draws.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

• Bahia 1-1 Corinthians (30 March 2025): A well-fought draw, showcasing balanced play.
• Corinthians 3-0 Bahia (3 December 2024): Corinthians dominated at home.
• Bahia 0-1 Corinthians (21 July 2024): Corinthians clinched a narrow away win.
• Corinthians 1-5 Bahia (25 November 2023): A surprising and heavy defeat for Corinthians at home.
• Bahia 0-0 Corinthians (22 July 2023): A goalless stalemate.
  Corinthians will hope to leverage their past successes, especially the recent 3-0 home win in 2024. However, with both teams facing key absences, this match promises to be closely contested.

Odds accurate as of 15 August 2025 01:06, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.