Premier League Betting: An Introduction
The English Premier League is the top tier of English football and is the most popular league to watch across the globe, regularly broadcasting to over 4 billion people worldwide. As such Premier League betting is also extremely popular with more Premier League bets placed each season than Germany's Bundesliga and Italy's Serie A combined.
In the bettingexpert How To Bet On The Premier League guide, we're going to discuss in detail how to bet on England's top division, and show you how to build your betting bankroll and consistently earn profits.
2018/2019 English Premier League Dates
The 2018/19 Premier League football season will run from August 10th 2018 to May 12th 2019.
- How The Premier League Works
- The History Of Premier League Football
- Premier League Odds Explained
- How To Bet On The Premier League And Win
- Premier League Betting Statistics
- Betting On The Premier League Online
- Premier League Live Streaming
- Premier League Betting Tips
1. How The Premier League Works
The Premier League, sometimes referred to as the EPL or English Premier League outside of the United Kingdom, consists of 20 teams who play each other twice over the course of one season, once at home and once away, meaning each side plays 38 Premier League games per season. The season typically runs from August through to May.
Premier League Champions and European Qualification
The team that finishes with the most points after 38 games become Premier League Champions. The two teams that finish in Second and Third place qualify for the most prestigious European club competition, the Champions League, the following season, with Fourth place earning a spot in the Champions League qualification round.
Fifth place earns a spot in the second continental club competition, the Europa League, for the following season. Depending on teams' success in the domestic as well as continental cup competitions throughout the season, teams who finish in Sixth and Seventh position can also qualify for a Europa League place. Winners of the English domestic cup competitions the FA Cup and the League Cup are guaranteed spots in the Europa League, but if the winner(s) of these Cups finish in the top four of the Premier League they enter the Champions League, and their Europa League spot(s) is given to the next highest-finishing team who is not already guaranteed a spot in a European competition.
Premier League Relegation
Positions 18, 19 and 20 make up what is known as the 'relegation zone'. The three sides who finish in these positions after their 38 games are relegated to the second tier of English football, currently known as The Championship. Their places are taken by the two teams who finish First and Second in the Championship that season, and the winners of the Championship Play-Offs, competed for by the four sides that finish 3rd to 6th place in the division.
2. The History Of Premier League Football
The English Premier League was formed in 1992 after the clubs competing in the English First Division broke away from the Football League. This led to the Premier League operating one of the four professional English leagues and the Football League continuing to operate the other three. The top division became the Premier League, the second division became Football League Division One, the third Football League Division Two and the fourth Football League Division Three.
Due to sponsorship, the Premier League football has had different titles since its inception. It began life as the FA Premier League and was then known as the FA Carling Premiership from 1993/1994 until 2001. Barclaycard then became the top league's sponsor until 2004, then in 2007 the league was rebranded again and became known as the Barclays Premier League. This name lasted until the 2016/2017 season when the league became known simply as the Premier League.
Premiership football began life as a 24 team league. This was reduced to 20 for the 1994-1995 season and has remained with the same number of teams competing ever since. Altogether, (as of the 2017/2018 season) there has been 49 teams who have spent at least one season playing Premier League football in England's top flight, and in total six teams have been crowned Premier League Champions. These are:
- Manchester United (13 times Champions)
- Chelsea (5)
- Arsenal (3)
- Manchester City (3)
- Leicester City (1)
- Blackburn Rovers (1)
Almost every side to have competed in the Premier League have been English-based, with Swansea City becoming the first non-English club to play Premier League football when they were promoted in 2011. They were joined by their Welsh rivals Cardiff City in 2013, but were relegated a season later, and the Bluebirds are making another appearance in the top flight for the 2018/2019 campaign.
Premier League Champions
|1992-1993||Manchester United||84||Aston Villa||74|
|1993-1994||Manchester United||92||Blackburn Rovers||84|
|1994-1995||Blackburn Rovers||89||Manchester United||88|
|1995-1996||Manchester United||82||Newcastle United||78|
|1996-1997||Manchester United||75||Newcastle United||68|
|2011-2012||Manchester City*||89||Manchester United||89|
|2012-2013||Manchester United||89||Manchester City||78|
|2017-2018||Manchester City||100||Manchester United||81|
*denotes the Premier League title won on goal difference
Understanding Premier League odds and the various betting markets available is important for maximising your chances betting on the Premier League. Bookmakers offer odds on almost everything when it comes to Premier League football, with betting markets ranging from what we call outright bets (a bet that is placed on the outcome of a whole league or tournament) such as Title Winners and Top Four Finishers, to betting on individual Premier League games like Asian Handicaps and Both Teams To Score bets.
Premier League Odds For Individual Matches
There are dozens of bet types covering outcomes for individual Premier League games. The most popular of these include:
- Match Result 1X2: Selecting the result (Home win, Draw, Away win) at the end of 90 minutes plus added time.
- Asian Handicap: Selecting the winner with each competing team carrying a goals handicap.
- Goal Total Over/Under: Selecting either over or under a specified number of goals.
For a comprehensive list and detailed descriptions of football bet types, please read our How To Bet On Football - Football Bets Explained guide.
Premier League Title Odds
Every bookmaker offers odds for each Premier League club to win the Premier League title. Commonly referred to as Premier League title odds, this market is available before and throughout the season. Most famously, Leicester City were 5001.00 to win the Premier League title before the 2015/2016 season began and indeed went on to become Premier League champions in one of the biggest Premier League shocks of all time. Reports suggest it cost British bookmakers £25 million, the biggest loss for bookies in British history on a single sports market.
Odds to win the Premier League vary with different bookmakers. To enhance your chances betting on the Premier League, it's important to shop around for the best odds available on a given betting market. And Premier League outright winner betting is no different. To ensure you are getting the best odds on your selection, use an odds comparison site.
Odds on a particular team winning the Premier League title fluctuate over the course of a season, depending on a team's performance and standing in the league table as the season progresses. Premier League winner odds also depend on change of manager, injuries to key players, new signings and so on. Anything that dictates how a team performs also dictates the odds that bookmakers will offer.
Some bookmakers offer Premier League winner each-way betting odds. Using the example above, we can see that each way terms are1/5 odds on teams to finish in the top 3 of the league, In this instance if we were to bet on Tottenham £20 each-way, we would be betting £20 on them to win the Premier League at odds of 10.0 and £20 on them to finish in the top 3 at 1/5 the odds of 10.0.
Each way odds are calculated as:
((Each way terms) of (winner odds - 1)) +1
So in this example, our each way odds for Tottenham would be:
(1/5 of (10.0 - 1) +1
(1/5 of 9.0) +1
1.80 + 1
So our £20 each way on Tottenham, is essentially two bets:
£20 on Tottenham to win the Premier League at odds of 10.0
£20 on Tottenham to finish top 3 at odds of 2.80
One of the reasons that Premier League outright betting is so popular is the ability to trade in and out of the market throughout the season. For example, a particular club may have a difficult schedule first month or so. In this instance, you may look to wait until after that opening run of fixtures as a run of poor results will see that club's odds drift. On the other hand, a club may have an easy run of opening fixtures. In this case you may look to bet early as their odds are likely to shorten after a run of early victories.
Premier League Top 4 Odds
The Premier League Top 4 race keeps viewers watching to the last game of the season, regardless of whether the title and relegation places have been decided already. The top four Premier League places are significant as they dictate which teams will be playing in the Champions League the season after, which not only adds prestige to that particular club but also offers huge financial rewards.
Below are an example of Premier League Top 4 Odds, with odds posted by Paddy Power prior to the beginning of the 2018/19 Premier League season.
Premier League top 4 odds is a huge betting market. The most common way to bet on this market is to pick one side to finish in the Top 4, though you can also place what is known as an exact bet where you must correctly predict each of the teams to finish in the Premier League top 4 this season.
Positional finish betting isn't limited to just the top 4. You can also bet on the following markets:
- Premier League Top 2 Odds
- Premier League Top 6 Odds
- Premier League Top 10 Odds
- Premier League Bottom 10 Odds
- Premier League Not To Finish Top 4 Odds
- Premier League Not To Finish Top 6 Odds
- Premier League To Finish Bottom Odds
- Premier League Top At Christmas Odds
- Premier League Bottom At Christmas Odds
Premier League Relegation Odds
Betting on which sides will finish in the Premier League bottom three is another favourite for many bettors. As with League Winner and Top Four Finisher bets, Premier League relegation odds are available in this market before and during a season, with the odds fluctuating as the season progresses depending on a team's position in the table.
Below are an example of Premier League relegation odds, in this case odds listed at Coral prior to the kickoff of the 2018/19 Premier League season.
Premier League relegation odds aren't limited to the clubs that will go down to the Championship. You can also bet on whether or not a club will remain in the Premier League. This market is typically referred to To Will Stay Up.
Premier League Points Handicap Odds
This is an always popular and extremely intriguing market whereby each club in the Premier League is given a points handicap. Typically the club that is favourite to win the league is given mark of 0 (scratch) all the way down to the relegation candidates who are usually around the +40 points mark.
As you can see, each club is given a handicap so as to create an even race of sorts. At the completion of the season, each club has their points total added to their handicap, with the club totally the highest numer of total combined points, winning the market. It's a particularly profitable market for those bettors who feel able to identify less publicised clubs that are due to over perform in the coming season.
Premier League Top Goalscorer Odds
Betting on the Premier League Top Goalscorer is a favoured market. Like other Outright Markets, you can bet on who will finish the season as the Premier League's Top Goalscorer at the start of and throughout the season. Below is an example of Premier League Top Goalscorer odds, with odds listed by Ladbrokes prior to the commencement of the 2018/19 Premier League season.
Many bookmakers also offer odds of which player will be the top goalscorer at their club. This can prove to be very profitable for bettors who have a deep knowledge of the league particularly those clubs that are expected to finish in the lower half of the league table. Many bettors can make an educated guess as to who will finish top goalscorer for Manchester City or Arsenal. But how many can assess who will finish top goalscorer for the likes of Bournemouth or Burnley?
By examining the table below you'll also notice that on only nine occasions since the inception of the Premier League 24 seasons ago, has the top goalscorer played for the eventual Premier League Champions.
Premier League Top Goalscorers Season By Season
|1992-1993||Teddy Sheringham||Nottingham Forest/
|1993-1994||Andy Cole||Newcastle United||34|
|1994-1995||Alan Shearer||Blackburn Rovers||34|
|1995-1996||Alan Shearer||Blackburn Rovers||31|
|1996-1997||Alan Shearer||Newcastle United||25|
|1997-1998||Dion Dublin||Coventry City||18|
|Chris Sutton||Blackburn Rovers||18|
|1998-1999||Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink||Leeds United||18|
|Dwight Yorke||Manchester United||18|
|2000-2001||Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink||Chelsea||23|
|2002-2003||Ruud van Nistelrooy||Manchester United||25|
|2007-2008||Cristiano Ronaldo||Manchester United||31|
|2010-2011||Carlos Tevez||Manchester City||20|
|Dimitar Berbatov||Manchester United||20|
|2011-2012||Robin van Persie||Arsenal||30|
|2012-2013||Robin van Persie||Manchester United||26|
|2014-2015||Sergio Aguero||Manchester City||26|
|2015-2016||Harry Kane||Tottenham Hotspur||25|
|2016-2017||Harry Kane||Tottenham Hotspur||29|
When betting on the Premier League, there are a number of things you can do to improve your chances of generating profits. Most of these apply to football betting regardless of what league, division or tournament your are placing bets on . The most important of these include:
- Bet only when there is value
- Specialise in certain markets
- Apply a consistent staking method
- Keep detailed records of your bets
- Have accounts with multiple bookmakers
To learn more about the basics of successful and profitable football betting, please read our How To Bet On Football And Win guide.
Conduct Regular Research And Analysis
Knowledge is power. And when it comes to beating the bookmakers, knowledge is money. Make no mistake, when it comes to beating bookmaker odds, the Premier League is one of the most difficult leagues to beat. We're not just talking football leagues either. Stack up any sports league across the world against the Premier League, and you'll find that Premier League odds are as accurate as any.
Because the Premier League is one of the most bet on sports leagues on the planet. The sheer volume of money bet on any Premier League match on a typical weekend reflects thousands of astute opinions. It's that volume of considered opinion that creates what is often referred to as an 'efficient betting market', meaning the odds are an accurate reflection of each clubs chances of winning the contest.
Only the most astute football bettors make money betting on the Premier League. If you're up for the challenge you need to research. Study everything you can. Premier League news, Premier League stats, upcoming Premier League fixtures, injuries, suspensions, head-to-head records, study everything you can.
Premier League Matchup Analyser
If you're a serious stats geek, the Premier League matcup analyser is the perfect tool for you.
Here are our recommended sites for Premier League stats and news:
- bettingexpert Clash
- Premier League Stats
- ESPN Premier League Stats
- EPL Index
- Squawka Premier League Stats
How does the Premier League compare with other leagues in terms of goal averages? How often do Premier League matches end without a goal scored? What is home field advantage worth in the Premier League? In this section we'll take a look at some basic Premier League betting statistics, looking at data from 1,900 Premier League matches played across the last five seasons and comparing that data with nine other top European football leagues.
Please keep in mind that these stats should be considered only as part of your preliminary analysis only and as a comparative guide to the Premier League and other European leagues. In other words, don't place bets from this data alone. Dig deeper.
5.1 What Is Home Field Advantage Worth In The Premier League?
A good place to start in any statistical analysis to consider the value of home field advantage. The table below shows the raw winning percentages for both home and away clubs across ten European leagues the last five seasons.
|League||Home Win %||Draw %||Away Win %|
|English Premier League||44.5%||25.2%||30.3%|
|Belgian Pro League||46.5%||25.0%||28.5%|
|French Ligue Un||45.1%||27.4%||27.5%|
|Italian Serie A||45.2%||27.0%||27.8%|
|Russian Premier League||43.8%||26.5%||29.7%|
|Spanish La Liga||47.9%||23.5%||28.6%|
What has home field advantage been with in the Premier League in recent seasons? With a winning percentage of 44.5%, Premier League home clubs sit just below the ten league average of 45.3%. In terms of points won, the average Premier League home club earned 1.59 points per home match the last five seasons, compared to the ten league average of 1.61.
But what was home field advantage worth in the Premier League in terms of a goal advantage? The table below shows the average goals scored for both home and away clubs across the last five seasons of play.
|League||Home Goals||Away Goals||Home Advantage|
|English Premier League||1.54||1.19||+0.35|
|Belgian Pro League||1.62||1.22||+0.40|
|French Ligue Un||1.44||1.07||+0.37|
|Italian Serie A||1.50||1.14||+0.36|
|Russian Premier League||1.39||1.08||+0.31|
|Spanish La Liga||1.63||1.13||+0.50|
The Premier League saw an average goal advantage for home clubs of +0.35 goals the last five seasons, the same mark as the German Bundesliga across the same time span. This +0.35 goal advantage translates to a 0.70 goal swing between an average Premier League club playing at home and an average Premier League club playing away.
The table below shows the average differential between a club's home goal difference and their away goal difference in Premier League matches played the last five seasons. For example, Manchester City have been on average a +1.19 goal better team at home as opposed to away the last five seasons, the greatest differential in home and away form of all Premier League clubs during this time. At the other end of the spectrum, Crystal Palace have been a mere +0.02 goal better club at home in their 114 Premier League matches played the last five seasons.
|West Bromwich Albion||190||+0.45|
|West Ham United||152||+0.79|
5.2 How Often Are Premier League Matches Drawn At Halftime?
Let's now look at the home, away and draw percentages for halftime results in Premier League matches the last five seasons. ..
|League||Home Win %||Draw %||Away Win %|
|English Premier League||34.0%||42.3%||23.7%|
|Belgian Pro League||34.4%||42.6%||23.0%|
|French Ligue Un||34.2%||43.9%||21.9%|
|Italian Serie A||34.5%||43.7%||21.8%|
|Russian Premier League||34.5%||42.3%||23.2%|
|Spanish La Liga||37.4%||40.0%||22.6%|
The Premier League saw just above the ten league average with 42.3% of matches drawn at halftime compared to 41.5%. We can also see that Premier League home clubs led at halftime at around the ten league average, 34% to 34.9% and likewise away clubs leading at halftime 23.7% to 23.6%.
5.3 How Often Do Premier League Home Clubs Lead Halftime/Fulltime?
How often are Premier League matches drawn at both halftime and fulltime? How often do Premier League home teams lose after leading at halftime? The table below displays the percentages for each combination of results comparing the Premier League with nine other top European Leagues. For example, H/A reflects the home team leading at halftime and the away team then leading at fulltime.
Once again the Premier League is in the neighbourhood of league averages.
5.4 Who Wins When A Premier League Match Is Drawn At Halftime?
When a Premier League match is tied at the half, how often do home clubs win? How often does the away club claim victory? How often does the match remain drawn? The table below shows the chances of each across ten leagues the last five season.
|League||Home Win %||Draw %||Away Win %|
|English Premier League||36.0%||36.8%||27.2%|
|Belgian Pro League||37.9%||37.9%||24.2%|
|French Ligue Un||37.9%||38.4%||23.7%|
|Italian Serie A||36.5%||39.5%||24.0%|
|Russian Premier League||33.7%||38.5%||27.8%|
|Spanish La Liga||38.1%||36.6%||25.3%|
Once again we can see the Premier League is in the range of ten league averages, with a slightly higher occurrence rate of away clubs winning when the match was drawn at halftime.
5.4 What Is The Most Common Winning Margin In The Premier League?
How often do we see blowouts of three goals or greater in the Premier League? How often do Premier League matches end with a margin of one goal? The table below displays a break down of match results, based on fulltime margins.
|League||Home 3+||Home 2||Home 1||Draw||Away 1||Away 2||Away 3 +|
Again, the Premier League is straddling league averages, with 15.9% of all matches ending with a margin of at least three goals, compared to the average of 16%.
5.5 How Often Do Premier League Matches End Over 2.5 Goals?
What is the percentage of Premier League matches that finish under 2.5 goals and what number of Premier League matches end with a minimum of three goals? The table below shows the Over/Under results for the Premier League in comparison to ten major European leagues the last five seasons.
|League||Over 1.5||Under 1.5||Over 2.5||Under 2.5||Over 3.5||Under 3.5|
On average just over 51% of all matches exceeded the 2.5 goals mark across the ten leagues, with the Premier League seeing 52.5% of all matches eclipse the 2.5 goals.
5.6 How Often Do Both Teams Score In Premier League Matches?
How many Premier League matches end with both teams scoring? The table below shows the percentage of Premier League matches played the last five seasons that ended with either both teams scoring or either one team/neither team scoring.
|League||Both Teams To Score Yes||Both Teams To Score No|
|English Premier League||51.3%||48.7%|
|Belgian Pro League||54.4%||45.6%|
|French Ligue Un||49.7%||50.3%|
|Italian Serie A||51.0%||49.0%|
|Russian Premier League||47.0%||53.0%|
|Spanish La Liga||49.7%||50.3%|
Once again, the Premier League is bang on average, with 51.3% of all Premier League matches played the last five seasons seeing both teams score, while the ten league average was 51.5%.
5.7 How Often Do Premier League Matches End Scoreless?
What percentage of Premier League matches end without a goal scored? The table below shows both first goal rates for both home and away Premier League clubs plus the overall rate of scoreless matches the last five seasons across ten major European leagues.
|League||Home Scores First||Away Scores First||Match Ends Scoreless|
As we may have expected, the Premier League is in the near range of the league average for both the home and away teams scoring first. In terms of scoreless matches, the Premier League saw 8% of matches played end without a goal scored, half a percentage point up on the ten league average of 7.5%.
Choosing an online bookmaker for your Premier League betting can seem a little overwhelming at first, with literally every bookmaker on the planet offering a range of Premier League betting markets.
When it comes to selecting a bookmaker there are a number things to consider. In terms of Premier League betting, the most important to consider are:
- The bookmaker's reputation and media profile.
- The diversity of Premier League betting markets available.
- Premier League In-Play betting markets and Cash Out available.
- Premier League betting odds and bookmaker commissions.
- Mobile betting on Premier League matches.
- Welcome Bonus and Premier League promotional offers.
To learn more about selecting the perfect Premier League bookmaker for you, please consult our Football Bookmakers guide.
And to read detailed reviews of over 50 online bookmakers, please visit our Bookmaker Reviews listing.
Sky Sports and BT Sport own the broadcasting rights to show Premier League live football in the U.K. Sky Sports Premier League coverage combined wit BT Sport, will see 168 Premier League games televised per season in the UK, with matches also available worldwide. The remaining 212 matches are shown all over the world live, except for the UK, using both visual or audio Streams.
Which Bookmakers Live Stream Premier League Matches?
Because of the UK Broadcasting Laws, no bookmaker can offer visual Premier League live streaming to its UK customers. However some, like offer audio Premier League live streaming to the UK, and visual live streaming to the rest of the world. To qualify for live streaming, you must have either a funded account or have placed a bet in the previous 24 hours.
To see which football leagues are being live streamed this season, please read the live streaming section of our How To Bet On Football guide.
To learn more about bookmaker live streams, please read our bettingexpert live streaming guide.
There are hundreds of experts offering English Premier League predictions and betting tips every week of the Premier League season. No matter which match you're looking to bet on, there will be dozens of tips posted by our Premier League tipsters.
Are all of our tipster profitable? Unfortunately the answer is no. But what makes bettingexpert unique is that you are able to see just how successful our experts have been with their previous tips using the User Statistics tab. Finding the best Premier League tipsters at bettingexpert has never been easier.
Best Premier League Tipsters 2018/19
Below are our top Premier League tipsters from last season. Which of our best Premier League tipsters will be profitable again in 2018/19?
For the latest tips, please visit our Premier League Betting Tips page.
To learn more about betting tips, please read our guide to following betting tips.