UFC 254 Prediction: Sam Alvey vs. Da Un Jung
In the light heavyweight division, Sam Alvey and Da Un Jung will lock horns on the prelims of UFC 254 this Saturday. Sam Alvey, an established UFC veteran with 19 fights in the promotion is heading into this fight on a 4-fight skid and is looking to get back in the win column. On the other side of the cage, staring back at him, will be Da Un Jung, 27, UFC light heavyweight up-and-comer with a 2-0 record in the UFC (1 submission, 1 KO).
Da Un Jung has the size advantage in this fight. Alvey surrenders 2 inches in height and 3 inches in reach to the Japanese fighter. On average, Da Un Jung lands quite a bit more than Alvey but also absorbs quite a bit. Both fighters are known mostly for their hands, and always try to keep the fight standing. They both have an 80% takedown defense.
Time for the prediction. I feel like there is a big gap in experience between these two fighters. Alvey, having more UFC fights than Jung has pro fights, will have a big experience advantage once the cage closes on Saturday night. In these sort of matchups, the person with more UFC bouts than his opponent has pro fights tends to win more often than not. If we take a little trip down memory lane it wasn’t too long ago that Jan Blachowicz upset the bookies against Dominick Reyes in a similar situation.
Alvey has decent fundamentals, and his experience should be enough to give him the win here. We can also count on some urgency from Alvey, as he is most likely fighting for his job here. A 5-fight skid isn’t good for a UFC fighter.
Prediction: Sam Alvey via UD.