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Kicking off the preliminary card of UFC 248 is Gerald Meerschaert vs Deron Winn in the middleweight division. Who wins and why?
Gerald “GM3″ Meerschaert (30-12) is taking on new UFC fighter Deron Winn. Meerschaert is 5-4 in the UFC, and has been finished once by Jack Hermansson.
Meerschaerts biggest forces are his submission skills and his head movement. He is 187 cm tall (6’1”) and has a reach of 196 cm (77”).
Deron Winn (6-1) is a wrestler with two fights in the UFC. His record in the organization is 1-1, most recently losing a split decision to Darren Stewart at UFC on ESPN 6 – Reyes vs Weidman.
Winn is 168 cm tall (5’6”) and has a reach of 178 cm (70”).
One of our shorter predictions here at bettingexpert – we think that everything points to Meerschaert winning this fight. He almost holds a 20 cm advantage both in terms of height and reach over his opponent. Meerschaert is a submission artist who has a submission average of 1.8. Winn has only had two fights in the promotion and has lost a decision to Darren Stewart who is 4-5 in his last 9, not exactly a world-beater. Meerschaert is also the 2.10 favorite with bookmakers at the moment, giving him the betting value. He has the experience, the size, the submissions and fights at a range where Devon Winn just won’t be able to get to him. His size advantage will also give him the advantage in the clinch and wrestling exchanges.
Winn is a tough wrestler, and Gerald probably won’t be able to get him out of there. He’ll get it done by decision.
bettingexpert prediction: Gerald Meerschaert def. Deron Winn by unanimous decision.
Odds 2.25 for Gerald Meerschaert to win – bet 10 GBP and earn a solid 12,5 GBP profit (125% ROI).
Odds for Gerald to win via decision are at 5.50, which is pretty great value!