Greg Hardy vs Maurice Greene Tips & Fight Predictions

Here's what you missed about this fight: In all weight classes, and especially at HW, the chance of a knockout is by far the highest in round 1. That's what the stats tell us. Now, Maurice Greene is actually not a dangerous fighter. He mostly works behind his jab and doesn't throw big looping shots that can put your lights out. Greene has gone past round 1 in 6 fights as a professional - 4 of those times he's hit the scorecards. Against a guy like Greg Hardy who really diffuses the danger in his fights due to his footwork and head movement, I like the over 2.5 here. Hardy has gone the distance in his last 3, and looks to have switched styles a little bit - now he's more of a point fighter and doesn't overexert himself to get the KO. Hardy also came in super heavy, and I expect his cardio to be not great. Hopefully, that will work in our favour here, and take some danger out of rounds 2 and 3. My analysis tells me this fight goes the distance 4 out of 10 times, so we have a nice margin over the bookmakers. This will be my second 2 unit play for UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva. Good luck everyone, gamble responsibly.