Jack Hermansson vs Marvin Vettori Tips & Fight Predictions

Hermansson is totally a live dog against Vettori, and I honestly believe this line should be flipped, here’s why: First of all, Hermansson is a beast on the ground. With heavy top control and a sharp submission game, he’s a dangerous guy to be on the mat with. Second of all, looking at some numbers, Hermansson lands more and absorbs less than his opponent in this matchup. Across the board this advantage wins fighters fights 52% of the time, and in matchups with two established UFC names, that percentage is over 60. Vettori still has that recognition from going to a split decision with Izzy years ago, but be careful here - this is what I call the Jon Jones effect; it’s where a fighter’s skill set becomes overhyped due to a close fight with a big name. Actually, betting against fighters in this category will most likely leave you with a positive return: Reyes, Gastelum, Gustafsson, etc. Furthermore, Vettori had a pretty bad showing on the ground in his last fight, struggling a bit too much in scrambles against Karl Roberson, a pure striker with no ground game. Also, the last time we saw Vettori against a grappler like Hermansson, he lost (vs Carlos Jr.). My final read is that Hermansson has the better cardio in this fight, and with Vettori’s lackluster killer instinct, Hermansson will not be in much danger on the feet.