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baseball | Thursday, August 4, 2022 8:56 AM (Revised at: Thursday, August 4, 2022 5:22 PM)

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Run Total Best Bet: Humpty’s Total Had a Great Fall

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Run Total Best Bet: Humpty’s Total Had a Great Fall
Contributor: The Canadian Press / Alamy Stock Photo

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Run Total Best Bet: Thursday, August 4th

So, Ej picked up the pieces from the Tuesday loss with another winner on Wednesday, and our resident baseball pundit just watched the total fall off the wall in Minnesota. The Twins and Blue Jays had a straight 8 posted on the early line and like Humpty Dumpty it fell to 7.5 in just an hour after being posted.

In this article: :

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

August 5, 00:40 (UK time)

No, I am not losing my mind because the public is jumping on this under and I will tell why it’s happening. The absence of George Springer for the Jays certainly affects the top of the Jays lineup and these two starting pitchers have held their own this campaign.

So, why the Over, Ej? First of all, when I first was going over the board and saw the 8 I was still going to suggest this total to go over that number so now we can simply cash that ticket with 8 runs?
Now, the line is 1.87 at Pinnacle, and all right, the juice can be seen as a little deterrent but is it really? For all of the fair lines you always see out of me, I think a -115 for you American suitors is fair and worth the action.

I assume when you folks see this in the morning in the UK, the 7.5 will be the total you are looking at and it might be 1.91 for either direction. I know it opened it at 8, so there is no questioning that, and I see runs here for a few reasons.

The expected absence of Springer again is likely why many see this Jays offense struggling on Thursday as these teams start a 4-game series that will run through the weekend. I know so many folks that also just automatically play the under in the first of a 4-gamer as long as the pitchers are credible and the bats have been light in the recent trend.

And, yes that is true, the Jays bats are light right now and the last week hasn’t seen more than 5 runs in any outing for the Jays. Concerning? No sir, I call that due, and bucking the trend that folks would point to the under first here.

Let’s talk starters and they both have been seen giving up a long ball lately, just saying. I am seeing the expected starters for this game showing Alex Manoah (11 – 5; 2.43 ERA) vs. Sonny Gray (6 – 3; 3.41 ERA).

Manoah has given up at least one home run in 6 of his last 7 outings, and if you look at his season to this point it almost mirrors his 2021 campaign. He started 20 games last year and this will be his 21st start tonight so it will be interesting to see how he navigates the rest of his starts he has left to make in the regular season. He has also already matched his 12 HR allowed from a year ago so his next mistake will set the wrong type of personal record.

Sonny Gray we are all plenty familiar with around here and you have seen me pick on him a handful of times this campaign. If you look over his last 7 starts, the final scores are all out of control and full of runs being scored. I expect that to simply continue to help us laugh at the line setters for sliding this total down to 7.5. Busted!

Vladi and Bichette were completely absent yesterday against the Rays, and I have talked about what it is like facing 4 different pitchers in a game as they did. Kevin Cash started Jalen Beeks and after navigating through 6 batters in the first inning he was yanked and the Jays faced 4 different relievers that included a 4inning effort from Ryan Yarbrough.

Holding down the Jays bats, even with what’s expected to be one without Springer in the lineup, is not easy to do and they are due to break out which I see happening tonight.

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Best Bet

Final Though? Oh, okay, I have your final thought right here!. We’re ending the week 3 – 1 because this is my last article this week here at bettingexpert. I see a 6 – 5 game breaking out and this total falling like Humpty Dumpty makes me smile even larger so have a nice rest of the week and weekend out there!

  • Selection: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Best odds: 1.83 (Pinnacle)
  • Stakes: 4/10

Odds as of 10:30 am August 4, odds may now differ.

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