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All 30 teams are taking the field around North America on Friday night. The action gets underway with a Europe-friendly start between the Reds and Cubs, followed by several blockbuster matchups, including the Rays hosting the Dodgers, the Rangers in Baltimore and Chris Sale facing the overachieving Diamondbacks.
In this article:
Sat, May 27. 00:30 (UK time)
The St Louis Cardinals have cooled off a bit of late, with their scorching offence returning to something resembling a normal pace. This is still a stacked line-up, however, which ranks 4th in season-long xwOBA and third in wRC+.
The Red Birds face Shane Bieber, who has a 4.92 xERA. He has been far less dominant than his 3.08 ERA indicates. This is the highest hard-hit rate of his career and his lowest strikeout rate. He’s in the bottom 2% of the league in average exit velocity.
Cleveland has allowed four or more runs in nine of their last 13. St Louis has scored the most runs in the Majors this month.
More Cleveland Guardians vs St Louis Cardinals Tips
Sat, May 27. 02:40 (UK time)
Houston has covered the runline in 13 of 24 road games. Only four teams have covered less frequently than the Athletics, who are heading for one of the worst seasons in MLB history.
James Kaprielian, owner of an ERA starting with an eight and an xERA in the sixes, takes on Astros youngster Hunter Brown. Brown allowed one earned run and racked up nine strikeouts when he faced this Oakland line up last week. Kaprielian was effective against the Astros, too, but Houston still won by two clear runs.
The Astros swept the Athletics only a few days ago, covering in two of the three games. Sure, they were shutout in consecutive games by the Brewers, but this is a great opportunity to get firing again.
Brown has also had four or more strikeouts in eight of his nine starts. He’s in the 73rd percentile in strikeout rate, while the Athletics have the third-highest K% in the big leagues this month.
More Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros Tips
Sat, May 27. 01:10 (UK time)
Michael Conforto crushed his 11th home run of the season on Thursday night. Having missed all of 2022, Conforto started ice-cold, but he has been one of the hottest hitters in the league over the last couple of weeks.
He has had over 0.5 total bases in 10 of his last 12 games. On Friday, the former Met matches up with Freddy Peralta, who is right around league average in expected batting average. Milwaukee’s bullpen also has the fourth-worst ERA this month, giving Conforto a good opportunity to record a hit even if he struggles against Peralta.
Conforto has an .848 OPS against righties like Peralta, and has a mammoth 1.030 OPS on the road. In 2023, Conforto has also fared better against flyball pitchers (Peralta is above league-average in flyball rate).
This is a great matchup for the leftie – we can’t believe the value available here.
More Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Tips
Acca odds: 5.51
Odds as of 11:00 am May 26th, 2023. Odds may now differ.
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