Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Same-Game Parlay: Best Bets For Monday Night

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Same-Game Parlay, Opta Stats, Player Props

With Game Six of an enthralling National League Championship Series scheduled for Monday night, we’ve put together a Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks same-game parlay. After Arizona fought back, the Phillies cruised to a Game Five win to put them within one game of returning to the World Series.

It’s a big night of MLB postseason action, with the Rangers and Astros playing Game Seven at Minute Maid Park to decide who represents the American League in the World Series.

Read below for our analysis of Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks from US sports expert Sam Cox. For more free baseball tips, visit the bettingexpert community, and for more expert tips, visit our Expert Insights section.

• Brandon Marsh over 0.5 hits
• Merrill Kelly over 1.5 walks allowed
• Ketel Marte over 0.5 hits

Bet Builder odds: 4.50

US, MLB, 23rd October, 22:07 (UK)

Odds via Bet365 as at 11:00, 23rd October 2023. Odds may now differ.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Stats and Facts:

• Philadelphia’s 131 wRC+ is the best of any team this postseason.
• The Phillies have hit 23 homers this postseason, which is five more than any other ballclub.
• Kyle Schwarber holds the record for the most homers in NLCS history, and has a 1.898 OPS in this series.
• The Phillies have only covered in 41.7% of games this season as a home favourite.
• The Dbacks have a 31-22 against the spread record as a road underdog.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Same-Game Parlay: Marsh, Kelly Feature

Brandon Marsh over 0.5 hits

Brandon Marsh keeps delivering for us, so he’s getting this Game Six same-game parlay started. Marsh has amassed a quiet seven-game hitting streak. Admittedly, most of those have been single-hit games, but Marsh’s plate appearances have been good and he’s made plenty of solid contact.

We know all about Marsh’s splits – he’s an excellent hitter against right-handers, which he has demonstrated in these Playoffs. Batting in the eight hole, Kelly and other Dbacks pitchers are forced to go at Marsh with the big bats following him at the top of the order.

Merrill Kelly over 1.5 walks allowed

Only the Twins have a higher walk rate than the Phillies this postseason. Philadelphia has drawn a walk in over 10% of their postseason plate appearances, and Merrill Kelly allowed three walks in 5.2 innings when he started earlier in this series.

Kelly was only in the 34th percentile in walk rate during the regular year, and has gone over this line in both of his Playoff starts. It is now seven straight outings with two or more walks for the veteran right-hander.

Yes, Torey Lovullo will have a short leash with his veteran starter in an elimination game, but we still like the value here.

Ketel Marte over 0.5 hits

Ketel Marte has arguably been the hottest hitter in baseball this postseason. He has at least one hit in every game during these Playoffs, and has delivered multiple base hits in three of the last four games.

It’s a no-brainer to back Marte to extend his hitting streak here, despite how well Aaron Nola has pitched over the last few weeks.

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.