baseball | Tuesday, September 27, 2022 10:35 AM

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Moneyline Best Bet: Webb Dominates Rockies

Sam Cox

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Moneyline Best Bet: Tuesday, September 27th

The San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies beginning their three-game series at Oracle Park isn’t the most glamorous of Tuesday night’s action. It is, however, an opportunity for bettors to find some moneyline value. The Giants have quietly played some good baseball in September, going 14-10 in the month so far.

Colorado has not. At 9-13 in September, the Rockies have also lived up to their reputation of being a woeful road team with a 24-48 mark away from Coors Field.

In this article:

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Preview
San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Best Bet

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Preview

Wed, Sep 28. 02:45 (UK time)

Even amid a very disappointing season, the Giants have owned the Rockies in 2022. San Francisco is 11-5 against the team from Denver, and recorded a four-game sweep just last week. It has been a lost year for the Giants with underperformance and ageing core players, but they are a considerably better team than the Rockies in every department. One of the biggest differences between the teams is the starting pitching, and that is on show in a big way in this series opener.

Logan Webb will take the ball for the Giants. Only nine National League starters have a better ERA. German Marquez is on the hill for the Rockies, owner of a 5.14 ERA and an xERA of 4.61. Marquez has an ERA north of six in September, and has given up at least one homer in his last 11 starts. He has drastically upped his sinker usage in 2022, but it’s fair to say that hasn’t paid dividends.

It is a massive advantage for the Giants in the starting pitching department, particularly playing at Oracle Park. Their offence is 20th by wRC+ since the start of August, which isn’t much to write home about, but they are still considerably better than the Rockies over that period. Only the Marlins rank worse than Colorado.

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Best Bet

Both bullpens have been good this month, each sitting in the top seven in xFIP. The Giants, though, have converted that into results with a 3.18 relief ERA over the period, while the Rockies are 28th by the same metric.

A run through the respective statistics makes it very difficult to construct a case for Colorado winning this game. Webb shut them down just last week with one hit allowed in 5.1 innings, and a similar performance is to be expected against this lowly offence. The Giants bullpen has pitched well lately, which suggests they can convert a strong Webb start into a victory here.

Marquez’s struggles are a contributing factor to another woeful season for the Rockies. He should find life easier on the road, but that’s not sufficient to back him for a win here.