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basketball | Thursday, May 5, 2022 2:00 PM (Revised at: Friday, May 6, 2022 1:14 PM)

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Bet Builder Tips: Friday, May 6th

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Bet Builder Tips: Friday, May 6th
Contributor: Sipa US / Alamy Stock Photo

Trailing 2-0, the Dallas Mavericks host the Phoenix Suns on Friday night. The game tips off at 02:30 (UK time) at American Airlines Center with the Mavericks facing a must-win in just the third game of this Western Conference second round series.

In this article:

  • Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Analysis
  • Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Bet Builder Tips

Dallas was fortunate to lose Game 1 by seven points. It was a misleading score in many ways, with the Suns dominating from the first tip. Game 2 was a heavier defeat for the Mavericks. They held a brief lead, but they were blown away in the second half. Phoenix scored 71 second half points to Dallas’ 49, with Luka Doncic being particularly targeted on the defensive end.

Chris Paul was majestic once again, scoring 28 points on 16 shots. Devin Booker got hot early and finished with 30 on 19 attempts. The Suns rode out foul trouble for Deandre Ayton and JaVale McGee, with Bismack Biyombo contributing 18 good minutes from the bench for a +12. Phoenix posted the second-best single-game true shooting percentage in NBA postseason history, and Paul once again took over in the fourth.

Despite such dominance through two games, and with Doncic acknowledging he needs to play better defence, Phoenix is favoured by just 1.5 for Game 3 in Texas. They are 20/23 on the moneyline. With Booker back to full health, they look far too strong for this Mavericks team, particularly with Jalen Brunson scoring just 22 points on 28 shots through two.

More tips for this game at our Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns tips page

We can feel pretty good about backing the Suns on the moneyline, even if their white-hot shooting from Game 2 is unsustainable. Monty Williams’ team simply have too much offensive firepower for the Mavericks, and their relentless attacking of Doncic on the defensive end clearly chipped away at his effectiveness on offence.

Getting into the 120s in both games so far, it’s worth backing the Suns offence to put up some big numbers again. Their perimeter shooting may well decline a bit on the road, but the mid-range mastery of Paul and Booker is as reliable as it gets in the NBA right now.

Ayton, if he stays out of foul trouble, will score plenty as well. The former first overall pick has taken great advantage of his size in this series and is knocking down shots at will. With what we’ve seen from Dallas’ defence, there’s value backing the Suns to score over 115.5.

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Bet Builder Tips

  • Phoenix Suns to Win (OT Included)
  • Suns to score over 115.5
  •  Over 226.5 total points

Bet Builder available at bet365 at 4.75 odds as of 4 pm May 5th 2022. Odds may now differ.

The high-scoring nature of this series to date makes it worth taking a look at the game totals, too. Dallas has continued to shoot the ball well, hitting over 40% of their threes. Doncic has kept increasing his historic playoff scoring average.

Both games have seen over 230 total points. Good offence beats good defence, which has been exhibited through the start of this series. This bet builder gets to almost 4/1 with over 226.5 total points. 

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